AI correctly predicted the Portugal Bawah 20 win.
The match finished 5–0, validating the model's directional assessment.
Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa
Gred ramalan
B-
Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.
- Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 matlamat) ✖ tak betul
- Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Tidak ✔ Betul
- 1X2 Portugal Bawah 20 Portugal Bawah 20 ✔ Betul
- Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 5-0 ✖ tak betul
Model lwn Pasaran Penutup
| Hasil | Model | Menutup Pasaran | Perbezaan | isyarat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal Bawah 20 | 41.4% | 39.6% | +1.8 pp | Aligned |
| Draw | 29.4% | 27.2% | +2.2 pp | Aligned |
| Republik Czech Bawah 20 | 29.2% | 33.2% | -3.9 pp | Aligned |
The model and closing market are broadly aligned, with probability differences below 5 percentage points.
Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.
Selepas sepenuh masa, lean arah model sepadan dengan keputusan (Portugal Bawah 20 win 5–0).
Market Assessment
The market and model are broadly aligned. Any small pricing gap likely reflects rounding or bookmaker margin, not a structural disagreement.
- Current pricing remains close to the model baseline.
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.60) — 5 goals materialised
- Both Teams To Score (No) matched the full-time result
What failed
- Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Under 2.5; match finished Over 2.5 (5 goals)
- Exact score: outside the model's top score bins
Market lesson
The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Portugal Bawah 20 win 5–0).
Laman pertaruhan premium stake: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo FHn2uDc1. Daftar sekarang
Garis Masa Ramalan
Cara ramalan ini beralih daripada ramalan kepada semakan sepenuh masa.
-
Oct 02, 2026 · 13:59 UTC Forecast generated
- Model 1X2 · Portugal Bawah 20 41.4% · Draw 29.4% · Republik Czech Bawah 20 29.3%
- xG · Portugal Bawah 20 1.43 — Republik Czech Bawah 20 1.17
-
Oct 02, 2026 · 13:29 UTC Opening odds snapshot PRE30
- 1X2 odds · Portugal Bawah 20 1.93 · Draw 3.45 · Republik Czech Bawah 20 3.50
- Implied 1X2 · Portugal Bawah 20 47.4% · Draw 26.5% · Republik Czech Bawah 20 26.1%
- Bookmaker · Pinnacle
-
Oct 02, 2026 · 13:59 UTC Closing snapshot recorded PRE1
- 1X2 odds · Portugal Bawah 20 2.31 · Draw 3.37 · Republik Czech Bawah 20 2.76
- Implied 1X2 · Portugal Bawah 20 39.6% · Draw 27.2% · Republik Czech Bawah 20 33.2%
- Bookmaker · Pinnacle
-
Oct 02, 2026 · 14:00 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Portugal Bawah 20 win · 5–0
-
FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Gambar Sejarah
Dibekukan pada sepak mula — keluaran model seperti sebelum perlawanan bermula.
Keputusan sejarah:
Observe
Keputusan Sejarah
No Primary Bet
Hasil
Validated
Metrik pra-padanan (konteks sejarah)
Kebolehpercayaan Ramalan
77/100
· High
- Validation: Pass
Bukti
★★★★★
- No strong statistical edge
- Direction agrees with model lean
- Validation passed
Market Compatibility
80/100
Betting Confidence
80/100
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
2.76
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Portugal Bawah 20 win · Portugal Bawah 20 5–0 Republik Czech Bawah 20
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
B-
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Semakan Soalan Lazim
- Sejauh manakah ramalan itu tepat?
- Halaman ini menilai pasaran berarah (1X2, Lebih/Bawah 2.5, BTTS) berbanding keputusan sepenuh masa. Gred ramalan menggambarkan bilangan pasaran yang dijejaki itu sepadan dengan realiti.
- Apakah ukuran Ketepatan xG?
- Ketepatan xG membandingkan profil matlamat jangkaan pra-perlawanan model dengan garis skor sebenar — bukan sama ada setiap pasaran mencecah. Semakan arah yang kukuh boleh wujud bersama dengan skor ketepatan xG yang sederhana.
- Mengapakah skor tepat tidak diramalkan?
- Hasil skor betul ialah ekor berkemungkinan rendah walaupun model membaca profil padanan dengan baik. Kami menyerlahkan tong skor tertinggi untuk konteks; kehilangan baris tepat tidak membatalkan semakan arah.
- Adakah ini meningkatkan rekod AI?
- Setiap perlawanan selesai dilog masuk dalam saluran paip pengesahan kami. Kadar hit teragregat dan kajian CLV diterbitkan secara berasingan — halaman ini ialah jejak audit setiap perlawanan.
Ramalan adalah untuk tujuan maklumat sahaja. Sentiasa berjudi dengan penuh tanggungjawab dan dalam had anda. Prestasi masa lalu tidak menjamin hasil masa depan.
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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"why": [
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"tone": "ok"
},
{
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},
{
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}
],
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"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +19.1% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration Clear \u2705 \u2192 Primary eligible. Decision Strength 8.1/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +19.1% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: Clear \u2192 Primary eligible \u00b7 Decision Strength 8.1/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
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},
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"value": "90 (\u226565)"
},
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},
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"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": true,
"value": "agree"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+19.1% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 8,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": "market_confirmed",
"reasons": [
"Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Portugal Bawah 20).",
"Decision strength: 8.1/10"
],
"reliability_score": 90,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV"
],
"subline": "Market-confirmed consensus value \u2014 steam supports the model lean. Size carefully.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "actionable",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.0668,
"consensus_ev_display": "-6.7%",
"consensus_odds": 2.31,
"disagreement_label": "Normal",
"disagreement_level": "normal",
"implied_prob": 0.3964,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.4137,
"raw_edge_display": "+1.7 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": 1.7,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.4329004329004329,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.0444,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-4.4%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": false,
"calibration_status": "ok",
"deviation_pct": 5.9,
"reasons": [],
"recommended_action": "ok",
"strength_delta": 0.0,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "ok",
"block_value_alert": false,
"separation_score": 0,
"strength_delta": 0.0,
"xg_gap": 0.26
}
}
},
"bet_status": "primary",
"books_breadth_display": "6/6",
"breadth_ratio": 1.0,
"evidence": {
"score": 88,
"signals": [
{
"icon": "\u25cb",
"key": "statistical_edge",
"label": "No strong statistical edge",
"status": "neutral"
},
{
"icon": "\u2713",
"key": "market_agreement",
"label": "Direction agrees with model lean",
"status": "pass"
},
{
"icon": "\u2713",
"key": "steam",
"label": "Market drift supports model side (direction only \u2014 not pricing convergence)",
"status": "pass"
},
{
"icon": "\u2713",
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation passed",
"status": "pass"
}
],
"stars": 4,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"forecast_reliability": {
"breakdown": [
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation: Pass",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"key": "steam",
"label": "Market drift aligns with model",
"tone": "ok"
}
],
"parts": {
"alignment": 23.0,
"data_quality": 12.0,
"market_coverage": 10.0,
"steam_coherence": 10.0,
"validation": 30.0
},
"score": 90,
"stars": 5,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"lean_gap_pp": 3.93,
"market_agreement": "strong",
"max_gap_pp": 3.93,
"model_calibration": {
"away_xg": 1.17,
"calibration_status": "ok",
"deviation_pct": 6.0,
"elevated": false,
"home_xg": 1.43,
"impact_note": "",
"league_avg_xg": 1.35,
"peak_xg": 1.43,
"status_label": "Within typical league range",
"summary": "Home xG 1.43 \u00b7 Away xG 1.17 \u00b7 League avg 1.35 \u00b7 Peak deviation +6%",
"title": "Model Calibration Check"
},
"move_is_drift": true,
"mv_status": "pass",
"odds_delta_pct": 3.7,
"steam_conflicts": false,
"steam_move_display": "\u2191 +3.7%",
"steam_team": "Republik Czech Bawah 20",
"suppress_execution": false,
"value_split": {
"execution_confidence": {
"label": "Betting Confidence",
"score": 94,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"market_compatibility": {
"label": "Market Compatibility",
"note": "Price proximity vs model (inverse of pp gap) \u2014 not the same as a Primary go-ahead. Read alongside Decision Strength and Alignment.",
"score": 91,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"model_edge_strength": {
"label": "Model Signal Strength",
"score": 41,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"model_value": {
"label": "Market Compatibility",
"note": "Price proximity vs model (inverse of pp gap) \u2014 not the same as a Primary go-ahead. Read alongside Decision Strength and Alignment.",
"score": 91,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"recommendation": {
"action": "primary",
"label": "Primary Bet"
}
},
"verdict": {
"agree_note": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Portugal Bawah 20).",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 3.9,
"key": "agree",
"label": "Agree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "high",
"probability_gap_pp": 3.9,
"summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Portugal Bawah 20)."
},
"authority": {
"action": "primary",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 3.9,
"key": "agree",
"label": "Agree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "high",
"probability_gap_pp": 3.9,
"summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Portugal Bawah 20)."
},
"alignment_key": "agree",
"best_consensus_ev": 0.1914,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.1914,
"confidence_band": "High",
"decision_strength": 8.1,
"decision_strength_v1": 6.5,
"decision_strength_v2": 8.1,
"decision_type": "PRIMARY",
"execution_confidence": 94,
"extreme_disagreement": false,
"final_verdict_audit": {
"action": "Compare best available odds before sizing.",
"action_label": "Action",
"decision": "Primary Bet",
"is_primary": true,
"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Portugal Bawah 20 at 41.4%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 39.6%.",
"why": [
{
"text": "Decision Model identifies Portugal Bawah 20 as the value side (41.4%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Market broadly agrees with the direction",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Consensus EV, reliability/execution, and calibration cleared Primary gates",
"tone": "ok"
}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
"gap_pp": 1.7,
"gates_failed": [],
"has_top_pick": true,
"headline": "Primary Bet",
"hero_mode": "default",
"icon": "\u2713",
"label": "Primary Bet \u2014 Market-confirmed value",
"market_signal": "Market aligns with model lean",
"model_conflict_detail": null,
"model_lean": "Portugal Bawah 20",
"no_primary_reasons": null,
"outlier_detected": false,
"outlier_excluded_panel": "",
"primary_allowed": true,
"primary_block_explain": null,
"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +19.1% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration Clear \u2705 \u2192 Primary eligible. Decision Strength 8.1/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +19.1% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: Clear \u2192 Primary eligible \u00b7 Decision Strength 8.1/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
"items": [
{
"key": "extreme_gap",
"label": "Extreme gap",
"ok": true,
"value": "no"
},
{
"key": "xg_calibration",
"label": "xG calibration",
"ok": true,
"value": "ok"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": true,
"value": "90 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": true,
"value": "94 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": true,
"value": "agree"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+19.1% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 8,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": "market_confirmed",
"reasons": [
"Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Portugal Bawah 20).",
"Decision strength: 8.1/10"
],
"reliability_score": 90,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV"
],
"subline": "Market-confirmed consensus value \u2014 steam supports the model lean. Size carefully.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "actionable",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.0668,
"consensus_ev_display": "-6.7%",
"consensus_odds": 2.31,
"disagreement_label": "Normal",
"disagreement_level": "normal",
"implied_prob": 0.3964,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.4137,
"raw_edge_display": "+1.7 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": 1.7,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.4329004329004329,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.0444,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-4.4%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": false,
"calibration_status": "ok",
"deviation_pct": 5.9,
"reasons": [],
"recommended_action": "ok",
"strength_delta": 0.0,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "ok",
"block_value_alert": false,
"separation_score": 0,
"strength_delta": 0.0,
"xg_gap": 0.26
}
}
},
"headline": "Primary Bet",
"icon": "\u2713",
"label": "Primary Bet \u2014 Market-confirmed value",
"subline": "Market-confirmed consensus value \u2014 steam supports the model lean. Size carefully.",
"tier": "actionable"
},
"why": {
"action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
"bullets": [
"Model: Portugal Bawah 20 1.43 xG vs Republik Czech Bawah 20 1.17 \u2192 Portugal Bawah 20 41.4%",
"Market: Portugal Bawah 20 ~39.6% implied",
"Market Drift: Republik Czech Bawah 20 odds \u2191 +3.7%"
],
"one_liner": "Model and market both lean Portugal Bawah 20 with no major conflict.",
"title": "Why?"
}
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 1.76,
"fair_prob": 41.4,
"label": "Portugal Bawah 20",
"market_prob": 39.64,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 2.19,
"fair_prob": 29.36,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 27.17,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -3.93,
"fair_prob": 29.25,
"label": "Republik Czech Bawah 20",
"market_prob": 33.18,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": -8.62,
"fair_prob": 48.2,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 56.82,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": 8.62,
"fair_prob": 51.8,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 43.18,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": -5.03,
"fair_prob": 54.1,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 59.13,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": 5.03,
"fair_prob": 45.9,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 40.87,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "aligned",
"edge_pp": -3.93,
"fair_prob_pct": 29.25,
"hero_side": "away",
"hero_team_name": "Republik Czech Bawah 20",
"market_prob_pct": 33.18,
"status": "aligned",
"steam_team_name": "Republik Czech Bawah 20"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"closing_footnote": "Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.",
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"comparison_summary": "The model and closing market are broadly aligned, with probability differences below 5 percentage points.",
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "aligned",
"edge_status": "aligned",
"max_gap_pp": 3.93,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "",
"divergence_level": "aligned",
"divergence_level_label": "Aligned",
"divergence_note": "",
"divergence_tier": "aligned",
"edge_label": "Aligned",
"edge_label_key": "aligned",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Balanced match",
"favourite_label": "Portugal Bawah 20",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
"headline": "Balanced match",
"market_agreement_label": "Strong",
"market_direction": {
"label": "Supports model direction",
"positive": true
},
"market_prob_pct": 39.6,
"model_prob_gap_display": "+1.8 percentage points",
"model_prob_gap_pp": 1.8,
"model_prob_pct": 41.4,
"outcome_separation_tier": "medium",
"paragraphs": [],
"pricing_convergence": {
"gap_display": "+1.8 percentage points",
"gap_pp": 1.8,
"label": "High",
"label_key": "mi_fa_pricing_high"
},
"reliability_headline": "High reliability",
"reliability_icon": "\u2713",
"reliability_score": 90,
"reliability_tier": "high",
"summary": "Portugal Bawah 20 \u2014 market direction supports the model lean.",
"tier": "balanced",
"title": "Prediction Assessment",
"validation_label": "Pass",
"value_split": {
"execution_confidence": {
"label": "Betting Confidence",
"score": 94,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"market_compatibility": {
"label": "Market Compatibility",
"note": "Price proximity vs model (inverse of pp gap) \u2014 not the same as a Primary go-ahead. Read alongside Decision Strength and Alignment.",
"score": 91,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"model_edge_strength": {
"label": "Model Signal Strength",
"score": 41,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"model_value": {
"label": "Market Compatibility",
"note": "Price proximity vs model (inverse of pp gap) \u2014 not the same as a Primary go-ahead. Read alongside Decision Strength and Alignment.",
"score": 91,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"recommendation": {
"action": "primary",
"label": "Primary Bet"
}
},
"why": {
"action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
"bullets": [
"Model: Portugal Bawah 20 1.43 xG vs Republik Czech Bawah 20 1.17 \u2192 Portugal Bawah 20 41.4%",
"Market: Portugal Bawah 20 ~39.6% implied",
"Market Drift: Republik Czech Bawah 20 odds \u2191 +3.7%"
],
"one_liner": "Model and market both lean Portugal Bawah 20 with no major conflict.",
"title": "Why?"
}
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -3.93,
"hero_label": "Republik Czech Bawah 20",
"hero_side": "away",
"market_activity": "Republik Czech Bawah 20 odds lengthened \u2191 +3.7%.",
"market_agreement": "strong",
"market_agreement_label": "Strong",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"Current pricing remains close to the model baseline."
],
"follow_up": "",
"gap_tier": "aligned",
"lead": "The market and model are broadly aligned. Any small pricing gap likely reflects rounding or bookmaker margin, not a structural disagreement.",
"note": "Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on Republik Czech Bawah 20.",
"paragraphs": [
"The market and model are broadly aligned. Any small pricing gap likely reflects rounding or bookmaker margin, not a structural disagreement.",
"Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on Republik Czech Bawah 20."
],
"quiet_market": false,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"Market pricing and the fair estimate remain broadly aligned.",
"Recent line movement on Republik Czech Bawah 20 (\u2191 +3.7%) aligns with the pricing gap.",
"Broad sportsbook alignment (6/6) supports the current market view on Republik Czech Bawah 20."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"market_source": "closing_1x2",
"max_gap_pp": 3.93,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_pass",
"status": "pass"
},
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 12.0 pp (at 41.4%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 12.0,
"max_prob_pct": 41.4,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "medium",
"tier_label": "Medium"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Medium",
"overall_assessment": {
"badge_class": "aligned",
"largest_gap_label": "Republik Czech Bawah 20",
"largest_gap_pp": -3.9,
"lead": "The model and closing market are broadly aligned.",
"level": "aligned",
"max_gap_pp": 3.9,
"title": "Broadly Aligned"
},
"rows": [
{
"difference_pp": 1.76,
"edge_pp": 1.76,
"fair_prob_pct": 41.4,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Portugal Bawah 20",
"market_prob_pct": 39.64,
"side": "home",
"signal_key": "aligned",
"signal_label": "Aligned"
},
{
"difference_pp": 2.19,
"edge_pp": 2.19,
"fair_prob_pct": 29.36,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 27.17,
"side": "draw",
"signal_key": "aligned",
"signal_label": "Aligned"
},
{
"difference_pp": -3.93,
"edge_pp": -3.93,
"fair_prob_pct": 29.25,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Republik Czech Bawah 20",
"market_prob_pct": 33.18,
"side": "away",
"signal_key": "aligned",
"signal_label": "Aligned"
}
],
"status": "aligned",
"status_label": "Aligned",
"steam_note": "Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on Republik Czech Bawah 20.",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": false,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Portugal Bawah 20 (39.6%).",
"However, Republik Czech Bawah 20 has seen one of the strongest multi-book drifts of the day (\u2191 +3.7%, 6/6) \u2014 odds lengthened, not shortened.",
"Portugal Bawah 20 \u2014 market direction supports the model lean."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 36.23,
"closing_odds": 2.76,
"closing_reason": "",
"closing_status": "recorded",
"closing_status_label": "Recorded",
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_reason": "",
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 36.23,
"entry_odds": 2.76,
"match_phase": "upcoming",
"match_phase_detail": "",
"match_phase_display": "Upcoming",
"match_phase_label": "Upcoming",
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"model_validation_status": "pass",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Prediction Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"books_reacting": 6,
"books_reacting_detail": [
{
"bookmaker_id": 3,
"bookmaker_name": "Betfair",
"is_sharp": true,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +7.6%",
"odds_delta_pct": 7.6
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 4,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"is_sharp": true,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +7.4%",
"odds_delta_pct": 7.4
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 2,
"bookmaker_name": "Marathonbet",
"is_sharp": false,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +5.1%",
"odds_delta_pct": 5.1
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 36,
"bookmaker_name": "BetVictor",
"is_sharp": false,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +3.8%",
"odds_delta_pct": 3.8
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 11,
"bookmaker_name": "1xBet",
"is_sharp": false,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +3.7%",
"odds_delta_pct": 3.7
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 8,
"bookmaker_name": "Bet365",
"is_sharp": true,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +3.7%",
"odds_delta_pct": 3.7
}
],
"books_total": 6,
"breadth_display": "6/6",
"clv_label": "+0.00 pp",
"clv_status": "evaluated",
"current_odds": 2.8,
"is_drift": true,
"move_context": "Highest consensus move",
"move_display": "\u2191 +3.7%",
"move_pct_abs": 3.7,
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 33h 7m",
"narrative_paragraphs": [
"Betfair led repricing on Republik Czech Bawah 20 (3.7%) \u2014 sharp book moved before wider follow-through.",
"A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation."
],
"narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
"odds_delta_pct": 3.7,
"odds_path": {
"chart_y_labels": [
"3.50",
"3.10",
"2.70"
],
"display": "3.50 \u2192 2.70 \u2192 2.80",
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 33h 7m",
"pick_team": "Republik Czech Bawah 20",
"points": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "3.50"
},
{
"label_key": "extreme",
"value": "2.70"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "2.80"
}
],
"sparkline_points": [
2.7,
2.76,
3.5,
2.8
],
"sparkline_polyline": "0.0,18.0 18.7,16.7 37.3,0.0 56.0,15.8",
"sparkline_trend": "volatile",
"sparkline_trend_label": "V-shape swing",
"summary_boxes": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "2.70"
},
{
"label_key": "low",
"value": "2.70"
},
{
"label_key": "high",
"value": "3.50"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "2.80"
}
]
},
"open_odds": 2.7,
"page_alert_line": "Broad drift across 6/6 sportsbooks on Republik Czech Bawah 20",
"phase_label": "Sharp repricing",
"phase_tip": "Aggressive adjustment \u2014 often sharp-led or high consensus.",
"pick_team": "Republik Czech Bawah 20",
"ref_book": "Bet365",
"seo_title_alert": "",
"sharp_leader": "Betfair",
"show": true,
"signal_badge_class": "confirm",
"signal_icon": "\u26a1",
"signal_impact": {
"current_odds": 2.8,
"is_drift": true,
"label": "Market Signal",
"move_display": "\u2191 +3.7%",
"open_odds": 2.7,
"summary": "Broad market drift supports the same direction as the model lean.",
"team": "Republik Czech Bawah 20",
"tone": "with"
},
"signal_key": "sharp_led",
"signal_label": "Sharp-led move",
"steam_score": 57,
"steam_subtitle": "Moderate sharp signal",
"steam_tier": "B",
"title": "Market Move Intelligence"
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "6/6",
"current_odds": 2.8,
"move_display": "\u2191 +3.7%",
"open_odds": 2.7,
"pick_team": "Republik Czech Bawah 20",
"steam_score": 57,
"steam_team_name": "Republik Czech Bawah 20",
"steam_tier": "B"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 3.9,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"at2.away_team_slug": "czech-republic-u20",
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_goal_display": null,
"away_team_display_name": "Republik Czech Bawah 20",
"away_team_id": 18047,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/18047.webp",
"away_team_name": "Republik Czech Bawah 20",
"away_team_name_canonical": "Republik Czech Bawah 20",
"away_team_public_id": "5nIFmS4bnTbfTA",
"away_team_slug": "czech-republic-u20",
"country_code": null,
"country_display_name": "World",
"country_flag": null,
"country_id": 168,
"country_name": "World",
"fixture_id": 1632088,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_goal_display": null,
"home_team_country": "Portugal",
"home_team_display_name": "Portugal Bawah 20",
"home_team_id": 10299,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/10299.webp",
"home_team_name": "Portugal Bawah 20",
"home_team_public_id": "3ohYEwI2mS6kHx",
"home_team_slug": "portugal-u20",
"ht.home_team_slug": "portugal-u20",
"league_country": "World",
"league_country_display": "World",
"league_display_name": "Liga Elit Bawah 20",
"league_id": 890,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/890.webp",
"league_name": "Liga Elit Bawah 20",
"league_public_id": "3LL0KHXjrFzQjC",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-10-02 14:00:00",
"public_id": "1cWG3ddPNctq6n",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"score_penalty_away": null,
"score_penalty_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": null,
"venue_name": "Estadio Algarve"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.4236,
"best_odd": 2.76,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0166,
"ev": -0.1299,
"implied_prob": 0.3318,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.3318,
"draw": 0.2717,
"home": 0.3964
},
"model_prob": 0.2927,
"p_final": 0.3153
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2902,
"best_odd": 3.37,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0063,
"ev": -0.0629,
"implied_prob": 0.2717,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.3318,
"draw": 0.2717,
"home": 0.3964
},
"model_prob": 0.2936,
"p_final": 0.2781
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4384,
"best_odd": 2.31,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0076,
"ev": -0.0668,
"implied_prob": 0.3964,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.3318,
"draw": 0.2717,
"home": 0.3964
},
"model_prob": 0.4137,
"p_final": 0.404
}
},
"1x2_outlier": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "legacy_max_odd",
"away": {
"best_odd": 2.76,
"edge": -0.0696,
"ev": -0.1921,
"implied_prob": 0.3623,
"model_prob": 0.2927
},
"draw": {
"best_odd": 3.37,
"edge": -0.0032,
"ev": -0.0106,
"implied_prob": 0.2967,
"model_prob": 0.2936
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"best_odd": 2.31,
"edge": -0.0192,
"ev": -0.0444,
"implied_prob": 0.4329,
"model_prob": 0.4137
}
},
"btts": {
"alpha_no": 0.1663,
"alpha_yes": 0.2287,
"best_no_odd": 2.3,
"best_yes_odd": 1.57,
"btts_ev_mode": "market_first_available",
"edge_no": 0.0503,
"edge_yes": -0.0503,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.0557,
"ev_no_risk_adj": -0.0642,
"ev_yes": -0.1506,
"ev_yes_risk_adj": -0.101,
"implied_no": 0.4087,
"implied_yes": 0.5913,
"market_first": {
"available": true,
"mode": "market_first_btts",
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"no": {
"alpha": 0.1663,
"best_odd": 2.245,
"edge": 0.0084,
"ev": -0.0642,
"implied_prob": 0.4084,
"model_prob": 0.459,
"p_final": 0.4168
},
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"yes": {
"alpha": 0.2287,
"best_odd": 1.55,
"edge": -0.0116,
"ev": -0.101,
"implied_prob": 0.5916,
"model_prob": 0.541,
"p_final": 0.58
}
},
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"p_final_no": 0.4168,
"p_final_yes": 0.58,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"alpha_over": 0.216,
"alpha_under": 0.1964,
"best_over_odd": 1.72,
"best_under_odd": 2.3,
"consensus_over_odd": 1.62,
"consensus_under_odd": 2.12,
"edge_over": -0.0862,
"edge_under": 0.0862,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.171,
"ev_over_risk_adj": -0.1114,
"ev_under": 0.1914,
"ev_under_risk_adj": -0.0464,
"implied_over": 0.5682,
"implied_over_mf": 0.5668,
"implied_under": 0.4318,
"implied_under_mf": 0.4332,
"market_first": {
"available": true,
"mode": "market_first_ou",
"n_bookmakers": 6,
"over": {
"alpha": 0.216,
"best_odd": 1.62,
"edge": -0.0183,
"ev": -0.1114,
"implied_prob": 0.5668,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"p_final": 0.5485
},
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"under": {
"alpha": 0.1964,
"best_odd": 2.12,
"edge": 0.0167,
"ev": -0.0464,
"implied_prob": 0.4332,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"p_final": 0.4498
}
},
"n_bookmakers": 6,
"ou_ev_mode": "market_first_available",
"p_final_over": 0.5485,
"p_final_under": 0.4498,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.5.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_consensus_ev": 0.1914,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.1914,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.1914,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"breakdown_v2": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV"
],
"score": 8.1,
"score_v1_legacy": 6.5,
"score_v2_pre_penalty": 8.1,
"strength_v2": true
},
"decision_strength_v2": {
"breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV"
],
"score": 8.1,
"score_pre_penalty": 8.1
},
"decision_type": "PRIMARY",
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"final_action": "primary",
"final_decision": {
"action": "primary",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 3.9,
"key": "agree",
"label": "Agree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "high",
"probability_gap_pp": 3.9,
"summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Portugal Bawah 20)."
},
"alignment_key": "agree",
"best_consensus_ev": 0.1914,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.1914,
"confidence_band": "High",
"decision_strength": 8.1,
"decision_strength_v1": 6.5,
"decision_strength_v2": 8.1,
"decision_type": "PRIMARY",
"execution_confidence": 94,
"extreme_disagreement": false,
"final_verdict_audit": {
"action": "Compare best available odds before sizing.",
"action_label": "Action",
"decision": "Primary Bet",
"is_primary": true,
"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Portugal Bawah 20 at 41.4%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 39.6%.",
"why": [
{
"text": "Decision Model identifies Portugal Bawah 20 as the value side (41.4%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Market broadly agrees with the direction",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Consensus EV, reliability/execution, and calibration cleared Primary gates",
"tone": "ok"
}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
"gap_pp": 1.7,
"gates_failed": [],
"has_top_pick": true,
"headline": "Primary Bet",
"hero_mode": "default",
"icon": "\u2713",
"label": "Primary Bet \u2014 Market-confirmed value",
"market_signal": "Market aligns with model lean",
"model_conflict_detail": null,
"model_lean": "Portugal Bawah 20",
"no_primary_reasons": null,
"outlier_detected": false,
"outlier_excluded_panel": "",
"primary_allowed": true,
"primary_block_explain": null,
"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +19.1% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration Clear \u2705 \u2192 Primary eligible. Decision Strength 8.1/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +19.1% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: Clear \u2192 Primary eligible \u00b7 Decision Strength 8.1/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
"items": [
{
"key": "extreme_gap",
"label": "Extreme gap",
"ok": true,
"value": "no"
},
{
"key": "xg_calibration",
"label": "xG calibration",
"ok": true,
"value": "ok"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": true,
"value": "90 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": true,
"value": "94 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": true,
"value": "agree"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+19.1% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 8,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": "market_confirmed",
"reasons": [
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"Decision strength: 8.1/10"
],
"reliability_score": 90,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
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"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV"
],
"subline": "Market-confirmed consensus value \u2014 steam supports the model lean. Size carefully.",
"thresholds": {
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"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
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"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
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"tier": "actionable",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.0668,
"consensus_ev_display": "-6.7%",
"consensus_odds": 2.31,
"disagreement_label": "Normal",
"disagreement_level": "normal",
"implied_prob": 0.3964,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.4137,
"raw_edge_display": "+1.7 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": 1.7,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.4329004329004329,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.0444,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-4.4%"
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"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
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"calibration_status": "ok",
"deviation_pct": 5.9,
"reasons": [],
"recommended_action": "ok",
"strength_delta": 0.0,
"uplift_away": null,
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"xg_separation": {
"band": "ok",
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"separation_score": 0,
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"xg_gap": 0.26
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}
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
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"max_1x2_prob": 0.4137,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.26
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"type": "balanced",
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},
"hero_display_pick": null,
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"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
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"consensus_odds": 2.31,
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": 0.0076,
"ev": -0.0668,
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"max_ev_side": "draw",
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"side": "home",
"side_label": "Portugal Bawah 20"
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"edge": 0.0084,
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"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
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"value_side": "no",
"yes": {
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"edge": -0.0116,
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"implied_prob": 0.5916,
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},
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"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
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"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 2.12,
"edge": 0.0167,
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"n_bookmakers": 6,
"over": {
"alpha": 0.216,
"best_odd": 1.62,
"edge": -0.0183,
"ev": -0.1114,
"implied_prob": 0.5668,
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"p_final": 0.4498,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"risk_adj_ev": -0.0464,
"under": {
"alpha": 0.1964,
"best_odd": 2.12,
"edge": 0.0167,
"ev": -0.0464,
"implied_prob": 0.4332,
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"value_side": "under"
},
"edge": 0.0862,
"ev": 0.1914,
"implied_prob": 0.4318,
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"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1632088,
"match_regime": {
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"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
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"max_valid_ev": 0.1914,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
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"draw": 0.2936,
"home": 0.4137
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"show_betting_primary_label": true,
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Republik Czech Bawah 20",
"home": "Portugal Bawah 20"
},
"top_pick": {
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"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1914,
"implied_prob": 0.4318,
"market": "ou_2_5",
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"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2,
"value_context_1x2": {
"consensus_ev": -0.0668,
"consensus_ev_display": "-6.7%",
"consensus_odds": 2.31,
"disagreement_label": "Normal",
"disagreement_level": "normal",
"implied_prob": 0.3964,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.4137,
"raw_edge_display": "+1.7 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": 1.7,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.4329004329004329,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.0444,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-4.4%"
}
}
},
"fixture_id": 1632088,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-10-02T13:59:20.845549+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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