AI correctly predicted the Cigand SE win.
The match finished 1–5, validating the model's directional assessment.
Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa
Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.
- Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 matlamat) ✖ tak betul
- Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Ya Ya ✔ Betul
- 1X2 Cigand SE Cigand SE ✔ Betul
- Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-5 ✖ tak betul
Model lwn Pasaran Penutup
| Hasil | Model | Menutup Pasaran | Perbezaan | isyarat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nyiregyhaza II | 33.3% | 16.0% | +17.3 pp | Model Edge |
| Draw | 29.6% | 19.6% | +10.1 pp | Model Edge |
| Cigand SE | 37.1% | 64.4% | -27.4 pp | Market Higher |
The closing market estimates Cigand SE's win probability at 64.4%, compared with the model's estimate of 37.1%, a difference of 27.4 percentage points. This highlights a disagreement between the model and market consensus, without indicating which view is ultimately correct.
Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.
Selepas sepenuh masa, lean arah model sepadan dengan keputusan (Cigand SE win 1–5).
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.60) — 6 goals materialised
- Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
What failed
- Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Under 2.5; match finished Over 2.5 (6 goals)
- Exact score: outside the model's top score bins
Market lesson
Large model–market gaps do not automatically mean the market is right. Here the closing market priced Cigand SE higher (64.5% vs model 37.1%, 27.4 pp), but the model's lean was validated (Cigand SE win 1–5).
Garis Masa Ramalan
Cara ramalan ini beralih daripada ramalan kepada semakan sepenuh masa.
-
Sep 06, 2026 · 09:00 UTC Forecast generated
- Model 1X2 · Nyiregyhaza II 33.4% · Draw 29.6% · Cigand SE 37.0%
- xG · Nyiregyhaza II 1.26 — Cigand SE 1.34
-
Sep 06, 2026 · 08:30 UTC Opening odds snapshot PRE30
- 1X2 odds · Nyiregyhaza II 5.56 · Draw 4.54 · Cigand SE 1.38
- Implied 1X2 · Nyiregyhaza II 16.0% · Draw 19.6% · Cigand SE 64.4%
- Bookmaker · Pinnacle
-
Sep 06, 2026 · 09:00 UTC Closing snapshot recorded PRE1
- 1X2 odds · Nyiregyhaza II 5.56 · Draw 4.54 · Cigand SE 1.38
- Implied 1X2 · Nyiregyhaza II 16.0% · Draw 19.6% · Cigand SE 64.4%
- Bookmaker · Pinnacle
-
Sep 06, 2026 · 09:00 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Cigand SE win · 1–5
-
FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Gambar Sejarah
Dibekukan pada sepak mula — keluaran model seperti sebelum perlawanan bermula.
Label sejarah: Originally displayed as "Wait for validation".
Metrik pra-padanan (konteks sejarah)
- Validation: Warning
- Large market gap (27 pp)
- No strong statistical edge
- Market strongly disagrees on price
- Validation warning
Validation Report
Immutable SnapshotModel Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Semakan Soalan Lazim
- Sejauh manakah ramalan itu tepat?
- Halaman ini menilai pasaran berarah (1X2, Lebih/Bawah 2.5, BTTS) berbanding keputusan sepenuh masa. Gred ramalan menggambarkan bilangan pasaran yang dijejaki itu sepadan dengan realiti.
- Apakah ukuran Ketepatan xG?
- Ketepatan xG membandingkan profil matlamat jangkaan pra-perlawanan model dengan garis skor sebenar — bukan sama ada setiap pasaran mencecah. Semakan arah yang kukuh boleh wujud bersama dengan skor ketepatan xG yang sederhana.
- Mengapakah skor tepat tidak diramalkan?
- Hasil skor betul ialah ekor berkemungkinan rendah walaupun model membaca profil padanan dengan baik. Kami menyerlahkan tong skor tertinggi untuk konteks; kehilangan baris tepat tidak membatalkan semakan arah.
- Adakah ini meningkatkan rekod AI?
- Setiap perlawanan selesai dilog masuk dalam saluran paip pengesahan kami. Kadar hit teragregat dan kajian CLV diterbitkan secara berasingan — halaman ini ialah jejak audit setiap perlawanan.
Ramalan adalah untuk tujuan maklumat sahaja. Sentiasa berjudi dengan penuh tanggungjawab dan dalam had anda. Prestasi masa lalu tidak menjamin hasil masa depan.
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Langgan Sekarang
NB III - Northeast — Kedudukan
| # | PASUKAN | P | M | S | K | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ózd Sajóvölgye | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21 |
| 2 | Cigand SE | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 21 |
| 3 | DEAC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 |
| 4 | Diósgyőr II | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 |
| 5 | Mátészalka | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Gödöllő | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 | Füzesabony | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 | Debrecen II | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 |
| 9 | Kisvárda II | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13 |
| 10 | Eger | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 |
| 11 | Tiszaújváros | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 |
| 12 | Tiszafuredi VSE | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
| 13 | Hajdúnánás | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 |
| 14 | Salgótarjáni BTC | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 |
| 15 | Tarpa | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 |
| 16 | Nyiregyhaza II | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 |
| # | PASUKAN | P | J | B | +/- | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ózd Sajóvölgye | 9 | 23 | 8 | +15 | 21 |
| 2 | Debrecen II | 9 | 23 | 20 | +3 | 13 |
| 3 | DEAC | 9 | 22 | 13 | +9 | 17 |
| 4 | Cigand SE | 8 | 21 | 6 | +15 | 21 |
| 5 | Diósgyőr II | 9 | 17 | 12 | +5 | 16 |
| 6 | Mátészalka | 9 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 15 |
| 7 | Gödöllő | 9 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 | Kisvárda II | 8 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 | Hajdúnánás | 8 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 7 |
| 10 | Füzesabony | 9 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 15 |
| 11 | Tiszaújváros | 9 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Nyiregyhaza II | 9 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 3 |
| 13 | Eger | 8 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 13 |
| 14 | Tarpa | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 6 |
| 15 | Tiszafuredi VSE | 9 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 9 |
| 16 | Salgótarjáni BTC | 9 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 6 |
