AI correctly predicted the Eintracht Frankfurt Wanita win.
The match finished 2–3, validating the model's directional assessment.
Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa
Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.
- Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 matlamat) ✖ tak betul
- Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Ya ✖ tak betul
- 1X2 Eintracht Frankfurt Wanita Eintracht Frankfurt Wanita ✔ Betul
- Cerapan skor tepat 0-0, 0-1, 1-0, 1-1, 0-2 2-3 ✖ tak betul
Model lwn Pasaran Penutup
| Hasil | Model | Menutup Pasaran | Perbezaan | isyarat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz 05 | 19.6% | 6.7% | +12.9 pp | Model Edge |
| Draw | 28.1% | 9.8% | +18.3 pp | Model Edge |
| Eintracht Frankfurt Wanita | 52.4% | 83.6% | -31.2 pp | Market Higher |
The closing market estimates Eintracht Frankfurt Wanita's win probability at 83.6%, compared with the model's estimate of 52.4%, a difference of 31.2 percentage points. This highlights a disagreement between the model and market consensus, without indicating which view is ultimately correct.
Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.
Selepas sepenuh masa, lean arah model sepadan dengan keputusan (Eintracht Frankfurt Wanita win 2–3).
Post Match Insights
What failed
- Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS No; match finished BTTS Yes
- Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Under 2.5; match finished Over 2.5 (5 goals)
Market lesson
Large model–market gaps do not automatically mean the market is right. Here the closing market priced Eintracht Frankfurt Wanita higher (83.6% vs model 52.4%, 31.2 pp), but the model's lean was validated (Eintracht Frankfurt Wanita win 2–3).
Garis Masa Ramalan
Cara ramalan ini beralih daripada ramalan kepada semakan sepenuh masa.
-
Sep 18, 2026 · 19:20 UTC Forecast generated
- Model 1X2 · Mainz 05 19.6% · Draw 28.1% · Eintracht Frankfurt Wanita 52.4%
- xG · Mainz 05 0.81 — Eintracht Frankfurt Wanita 0.99
-
Sep 18, 2026 · 16:02 UTC Opening odds snapshot PRE30
- 1X2 odds · Mainz 05 13.82 · Draw 9.43 · Eintracht Frankfurt Wanita 1.10
- Implied 1X2 · Mainz 05 6.7% · Draw 9.8% · Eintracht Frankfurt Wanita 83.6%
- Bookmaker · Pinnacle
-
Sep 18, 2026 · 16:29 UTC Closing snapshot recorded PRE1
- 1X2 odds · Mainz 05 13.82 · Draw 9.43 · Eintracht Frankfurt Wanita 1.10
- Implied 1X2 · Mainz 05 6.7% · Draw 9.8% · Eintracht Frankfurt Wanita 83.6%
- Bookmaker · Pinnacle
-
Sep 18, 2026 · 16:30 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Eintracht Frankfurt Wanita win · 2–3
-
FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Gambar Sejarah
Dibekukan pada sepak mula — keluaran model seperti sebelum perlawanan bermula.
Label sejarah: Originally displayed as "Wait for validation".
Metrik pra-padanan (konteks sejarah)
- Validation: Fail
- Large market gap (31 pp)
- No strong statistical edge
- Market strongly disagrees on price
- Validation failed
Validation Report
Immutable SnapshotModel Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Semakan Soalan Lazim
- Sejauh manakah ramalan itu tepat?
- Halaman ini menilai pasaran berarah (1X2, Lebih/Bawah 2.5, BTTS) berbanding keputusan sepenuh masa. Gred ramalan menggambarkan bilangan pasaran yang dijejaki itu sepadan dengan realiti.
- Apakah ukuran Ketepatan xG?
- Ketepatan xG membandingkan profil matlamat jangkaan pra-perlawanan model dengan garis skor sebenar — bukan sama ada setiap pasaran mencecah. Semakan arah yang kukuh boleh wujud bersama dengan skor ketepatan xG yang sederhana.
- Mengapakah skor tepat tidak diramalkan?
- Hasil skor betul ialah ekor berkemungkinan rendah walaupun model membaca profil padanan dengan baik. Kami menyerlahkan tong skor tertinggi untuk konteks; kehilangan baris tepat tidak membatalkan semakan arah.
- Adakah ini meningkatkan rekod AI?
- Setiap perlawanan selesai dilog masuk dalam saluran paip pengesahan kami. Kadar hit teragregat dan kajian CLV diterbitkan secara berasingan — halaman ini ialah jejak audit setiap perlawanan.
Ramalan adalah untuk tujuan maklumat sahaja. Sentiasa berjudi dengan penuh tanggungjawab dan dalam had anda. Prestasi masa lalu tidak menjamin hasil masa depan.
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Langgan Sekarang
Bundesliga Wanita — Kedudukan
| # | PASUKAN | P | M | S | K | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich W | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
| 2 | Eintracht Frankfurt Wanita | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 |
| 3 | VfL Wolfsburg Wanita | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 | Werder Bremen Wanita | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | FC Koln W | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | SC Freiburg Wanita | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Hamburger SV W | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | RB Leipzig Wanita | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | 1899 Hoffenheim W | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | Union Berlin W | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Nürnberg | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 14 | Mainz 05 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| # | PASUKAN | P | J | B | +/- | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich W | 5 | 18 | 6 | +12 | 15 |
| 2 | VfL Wolfsburg Wanita | 5 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 12 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt Wanita | 5 | 11 | 5 | +6 | 13 |
| 4 | FC Koln W | 5 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 9 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 5 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 9 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen Wanita | 5 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 7 | Hamburger SV W | 5 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 5 |
| 8 | Stuttgart | 5 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Nürnberg | 5 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 2 |
| 10 | SC Freiburg Wanita | 5 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | 1899 Hoffenheim W | 5 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 3 |
| 12 | RB Leipzig Wanita | 5 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 |
| 13 | Union Berlin W | 5 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
| 14 | Mainz 05 | 5 | 3 | 14 | -11 | 0 |
| # | PASUKAN | P | xG | xGC | +/- | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich W | 5 | 3.8 | 0.9 | +2.9 | 15 |
| 2 | Union Berlin W | 5 | 0.8 | 1.0 | -0.2 | 3 |
| 3 | Mainz 05 | 5 | 0.2 | 2.7 | -2.5 | 0 |
| 4 | Eintracht Frankfurt Wanita | 5 | — | — | — | 13 |
| 5 | VfL Wolfsburg Wanita | 5 | — | — | — | 12 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen Wanita | 5 | — | — | — | 10 |
| 7 | FC Koln W | 5 | — | — | — | 9 |
| 8 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 5 | — | — | — | 9 |
| 9 | Stuttgart | 5 | — | — | — | 8 |
| 10 | SC Freiburg Wanita | 5 | — | — | — | 7 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV W | 5 | — | — | — | 5 |
| 12 | RB Leipzig Wanita | 5 | — | — | — | 4 |
| 13 | 1899 Hoffenheim W | 5 | — | — | — | 3 |
| 14 | Nürnberg | 5 | — | — | — | 2 |
