The model missed the final outcome (Draw 1–1).
The model had projected Eintracht Frankfurt Wanita at 36.8%, but the full-time result went the other way.
Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa
Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.
- Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 matlamat) ✔ Betul
- Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Ya ✖ tak betul
- 1X2 Eintracht Frankfurt Wanita Lukis ✖ tak betul
- Cerapan skor tepat 0-0, 1-0, 0-1, 1-1, 2-0 1-1 ✔ Betul
Model lwn Pasaran Penutup
| Hasil | Model | Menutup Pasaran | Perbezaan | isyarat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt Wanita | 36.8% | 83.3% | -46.5 pp | Market Higher |
| Draw | 36.1% | 9.9% | +26.2 pp | Model Edge |
| Nürnberg | 27.0% | 6.7% | +20.3 pp | Model Edge |
The closing market estimates Eintracht Frankfurt Wanita's win probability at 83.3%, compared with the model's estimate of 36.8%, a difference of 46.5 percentage points. This highlights a disagreement between the model and market consensus, without indicating which view is ultimately correct.
Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.
Selepas sepenuh masa, hasilnya ialah Draw 1–1.
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Low-scoring profile materialised (ΣxG 1.80, 2 goals)
- Under 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile
- Exact score 1–1 fell within the model's highlighted bins
What failed
- Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS No; match finished BTTS Yes
- 1X2: model leaned Eintracht Frankfurt Wanita; match finished Draw
Market lesson
The closing market differed from the model on Eintracht Frankfurt Wanita by 46.5 percentage points (83.3% vs model 36.8%) — in this case the market view proved closer.
Garis Masa Ramalan
Cara ramalan ini beralih daripada ramalan kepada semakan sepenuh masa.
-
Aug 30, 2026 · 19:19 UTC Forecast generated
- Model 1X2 · Eintracht Frankfurt Wanita 36.9% · Draw 36.1% · Nürnberg 27.0%
- xG · Eintracht Frankfurt Wanita 0.99 — Nürnberg 0.81
-
Aug 30, 2026 · 11:32 UTC Opening odds snapshot PRE30
- 1X2 odds · Eintracht Frankfurt Wanita 1.11 · Draw 9.01 · Nürnberg 13.05
- Implied 1X2 · Eintracht Frankfurt Wanita 82.8% · Draw 10.2% · Nürnberg 7.0%
- Bookmaker · Pinnacle
-
Aug 30, 2026 · 12:01 UTC Closing snapshot recorded PRE1
- 1X2 odds · Eintracht Frankfurt Wanita 1.12 · Draw 9.41 · Nürnberg 13.85
- Implied 1X2 · Eintracht Frankfurt Wanita 83.3% · Draw 9.9% · Nürnberg 6.7%
- Bookmaker · Pinnacle
-
Aug 30, 2026 · 12:00 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Draw · 1–1
-
FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Gambar Sejarah
Dibekukan pada sepak mula — keluaran model seperti sebelum perlawanan bermula.
Label sejarah: Originally displayed as "Wait for validation".
Metrik pra-padanan (konteks sejarah)
- Validation: Fail
- Large market gap (46 pp)
- No strong statistical edge
- Market strongly disagrees on price
- Validation failed
Validation Report
Immutable SnapshotModel Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Semakan Soalan Lazim
- Sejauh manakah ramalan itu tepat?
- Halaman ini menilai pasaran berarah (1X2, Lebih/Bawah 2.5, BTTS) berbanding keputusan sepenuh masa. Gred ramalan menggambarkan bilangan pasaran yang dijejaki itu sepadan dengan realiti.
- Apakah ukuran Ketepatan xG?
- Ketepatan xG membandingkan profil matlamat jangkaan pra-perlawanan model dengan garis skor sebenar — bukan sama ada setiap pasaran mencecah. Semakan arah yang kukuh boleh wujud bersama dengan skor ketepatan xG yang sederhana.
- Mengapakah skor tepat tidak diramalkan?
- Hasil skor betul ialah ekor berkemungkinan rendah walaupun model membaca profil padanan dengan baik. Kami menyerlahkan tong skor tertinggi untuk konteks; kehilangan baris tepat tidak membatalkan semakan arah.
- Adakah ini meningkatkan rekod AI?
- Setiap perlawanan selesai dilog masuk dalam saluran paip pengesahan kami. Kadar hit teragregat dan kajian CLV diterbitkan secara berasingan — halaman ini ialah jejak audit setiap perlawanan.
Ramalan adalah untuk tujuan maklumat sahaja. Sentiasa berjudi dengan penuh tanggungjawab dan dalam had anda. Prestasi masa lalu tidak menjamin hasil masa depan.
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Langgan Sekarang
Bundesliga Wanita — Kedudukan
| # | PASUKAN | P | M | S | K | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich W | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
| 2 | Eintracht Frankfurt Wanita | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 |
| 3 | VfL Wolfsburg Wanita | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 | Werder Bremen Wanita | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | FC Koln W | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | SC Freiburg Wanita | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Hamburger SV W | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 10 | RB Leipzig Wanita | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | 1899 Hoffenheim W | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | Union Berlin W | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Nürnberg | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 14 | Mainz 05 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| # | PASUKAN | P | J | B | +/- | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich W | 5 | 18 | 6 | +12 | 15 |
| 2 | VfL Wolfsburg Wanita | 5 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 12 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt Wanita | 5 | 11 | 5 | +6 | 13 |
| 4 | FC Koln W | 5 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 9 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 5 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 9 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen Wanita | 5 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 7 | Hamburger SV W | 5 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 5 |
| 8 | Stuttgart | 5 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Nürnberg | 5 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 2 |
| 10 | SC Freiburg Wanita | 5 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | 1899 Hoffenheim W | 5 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 3 |
| 12 | RB Leipzig Wanita | 5 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 |
| 13 | Union Berlin W | 5 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
| 14 | Mainz 05 | 5 | 3 | 14 | -11 | 0 |
| # | PASUKAN | P | xG | xGC | +/- | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich W | 5 | 3.8 | 0.9 | +2.9 | 15 |
| 2 | Union Berlin W | 5 | 0.8 | 1.0 | -0.2 | 3 |
| 3 | Mainz 05 | 5 | 0.2 | 2.7 | -2.5 | 0 |
| 4 | Eintracht Frankfurt Wanita | 5 | — | — | — | 13 |
| 5 | VfL Wolfsburg Wanita | 5 | — | — | — | 12 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen Wanita | 5 | — | — | — | 10 |
| 7 | FC Koln W | 5 | — | — | — | 9 |
| 8 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 5 | — | — | — | 9 |
| 9 | Stuttgart | 5 | — | — | — | 8 |
| 10 | SC Freiburg Wanita | 5 | — | — | — | 7 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV W | 5 | — | — | — | 5 |
| 12 | RB Leipzig Wanita | 5 | — | — | — | 4 |
| 13 | 1899 Hoffenheim W | 5 | — | — | — | 3 |
| 14 | Nürnberg | 5 | — | — | — | 2 |
