Ramalan / Bola Sepak / Turkey. 2. Lig Turki / Çorluspor 1947 vs Isparta 32 Spor

Audit Ramalan: Çorluspor 1947 vs Isparta 32 Spor Ramalan, Odds & Tip Pertaruhan AI

Sep 27, 2026 - 13:00
1 1.21
3 1.39
xG Accuracy: 61%

AI correctly predicted the Isparta 32 Spor win.

The match finished 1–3, validating the model's directional assessment.

Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa

Gred ramalan B-

Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.

  • Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 matlamat) ✖ tak betul
  • Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Ya Ya ✔ Betul
  • 1X2 Isparta 32 Spor Isparta 32 Spor ✔ Betul
  • Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-3 ✖ tak betul

Model lwn Pasaran Penutup

Strong Disagreement

The closing market prices Çorluspor 1947 higher than the statistical model.

Jurang kebarangkalian terbesar: Çorluspor 1947 -30.9 pp

Hasil Model Menutup Pasaran Perbezaan isyarat
Çorluspor 1947 31.0% 62.0% -30.9 pp Market Higher
Draw 29.5% 19.6% +9.9 pp Model Higher
Isparta 32 Spor 39.5% 18.4% +21.1 pp Model Edge

The closing market estimates Çorluspor 1947's win probability at 62.0%, compared with the model's estimate of 31.0%, a difference of 30.9 percentage points. This highlights a disagreement between the model and market consensus, without indicating which view is ultimately correct.

Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE10.

Selepas sepenuh masa, lean arah model sepadan dengan keputusan (Isparta 32 Spor win 1–3).

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.60) — 4 goals materialised
  • Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result

What failed

  • Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Under 2.5; match finished Over 2.5 (4 goals)
  • Exact score: outside the model's top score bins

Market lesson

Large model–market gaps do not automatically mean the market is right. Here the closing market priced Isparta 32 Spor higher (70.5% vs model 39.5%, 30.9 pp), but the model's lean was validated (Isparta 32 Spor win 1–3).

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Garis Masa Ramalan

Cara ramalan ini beralih daripada ramalan kepada semakan sepenuh masa.

  1. Sep 27, 2026 · 12:52 UTC Forecast generated
    • Model 1X2 · Çorluspor 1947 31.0% · Draw 29.5% · Isparta 32 Spor 39.5%
    • xG · Çorluspor 1947 1.21 — Isparta 32 Spor 1.39
  2. Sep 27, 2026 · 12:33 UTC Opening odds snapshot PRE30
    • 1X2 odds · Çorluspor 1947 1.46 · Draw 4.61 · Isparta 32 Spor 4.92
    • Implied 1X2 · Çorluspor 1947 62.0% · Draw 19.6% · Isparta 32 Spor 18.4%
    • Bookmaker · Pinnacle
  3. Sep 27, 2026 · 12:52 UTC Closing snapshot recorded PRE10
    • 1X2 odds · Çorluspor 1947 1.46 · Draw 4.61 · Isparta 32 Spor 4.92
    • Implied 1X2 · Çorluspor 1947 62.0% · Draw 19.6% · Isparta 32 Spor 18.4%
    • Bookmaker · Pinnacle
  4. Sep 27, 2026 · 13:00 UTC Kickoff
  5. FT Full-time result Isparta 32 Spor win · 1–3
  6. FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
  7. Archived Prediction review

Gambar Sejarah

Dibekukan pada sepak mula — keluaran model seperti sebelum perlawanan bermula.

Keputusan sejarah: Cautious / Wait

Label sejarah: Originally displayed as "Wait for validation".

Keputusan Sejarah Wait
Hasil Validated
Metrik pra-padanan (konteks sejarah)
Kebolehpercayaan Ramalan 34/100 · Low
  • Validation: Fail
  • Large market gap (31 pp)
Bukti ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market strongly disagrees on price
  • Validation failed
Pricing proximity (inverse gap) 0/100
Monitoring Confidence 9/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 01:24 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10090905

Closing Odds 1.46
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Isparta 32 Spor win · Çorluspor 1947 1–3 Isparta 32 Spor
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Semakan Soalan Lazim

Sejauh manakah ramalan itu tepat?
Halaman ini menilai pasaran berarah (1X2, Lebih/Bawah 2.5, BTTS) berbanding keputusan sepenuh masa. Gred ramalan menggambarkan bilangan pasaran yang dijejaki itu sepadan dengan realiti.
Apakah ukuran Ketepatan xG?
Ketepatan xG membandingkan profil matlamat jangkaan pra-perlawanan model dengan garis skor sebenar — bukan sama ada setiap pasaran mencecah. Semakan arah yang kukuh boleh wujud bersama dengan skor ketepatan xG yang sederhana.
Mengapakah skor tepat tidak diramalkan?
Hasil skor betul ialah ekor berkemungkinan rendah walaupun model membaca profil padanan dengan baik. Kami menyerlahkan tong skor tertinggi untuk konteks; kehilangan baris tepat tidak membatalkan semakan arah.
Adakah ini meningkatkan rekod AI?
Setiap perlawanan selesai dilog masuk dalam saluran paip pengesahan kami. Kadar hit teragregat dan kajian CLV diterbitkan secara berasingan — halaman ini ialah jejak audit setiap perlawanan.

Ramalan adalah untuk tujuan maklumat sahaja. Sentiasa berjudi dengan penuh tanggungjawab dan dalam had anda. Prestasi masa lalu tidak menjamin hasil masa depan.

Taklimat perlawanan AI

Ringkasan perlawanan AI

Model favours Isparta 32 Spor; market prices Çorluspor 1947 instead — inputs may be missing or stale.

  • Model: Çorluspor 1947 1.21 xG vs Isparta 32 Spor 1.39 → Isparta 32 Spor 39.5%
  • Market: Çorluspor 1947 ~18.4% implied
  • Validation failed — do not treat 1X2 EV as actionable.

Do not act on 1X2 value until validation passes. Structural leans (O/U, BTTS) need separate odds review.

Lean struktur (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Bawah 2.5 51.8% · Lebih 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (ya 54.3% · Tidak 45.7%) Nilai kurus (harga): O/U 2.5 Bawah 2.5; BTTS ya

Syor Sejarah

Keputusan Sejarah: Wait

Hasil: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Faktor Risiko Dipertimbangkan Sebelum Sepak Mula

  • Pergerakan harga: kebarangkalian tersirat dan pergerakan EV dengan kemungkinan.
  • Jurang sampel / data: liga bermaklumat rendah meluaskan jalur ramalan.
  • Keadaan dalam permainan: gol dan kad merah tidak dimodelkan di sini.
  • Varians garis skor: garis markah yang paling berkemungkinan masih merupakan hasil kebarangkalian mutlak rendah (selalunya di bawah 20%).

Terakhir dikemas kini

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Çorluspor 1947 & Isparta 32 Spor!

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Langgan Sekarang
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2. Lig Turki 2. Lig Turki — Kedudukan
# PASUKAN P M S K Mata
1 Elazığspor 3 3 0 0 9
2 Çorluspor 1947 3 2 1 0 7
3 Muş Menderesspor 3 2 1 0 7
4 İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik 4 2 1 1 7
5 Belediye Derincespor 3 2 1 0 7
6 Somaspor 4 2 1 1 7
7 Aliağa FAŞ 3 2 0 1 6
8 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 3 1 2 0 5
9 Şanlıurfaspor 3 1 2 0 5
10 Erbaaspor 3 1 1 1 4
11 Menemen Belediyespor 3 1 0 2 3
12 Ankaraspor 4 1 0 3 3
13 Sebat Gençlikspor 3 0 1 2 1
14 Isparta 32 Spor 3 0 1 2 1
15 Arnavutköy Belediyespor 3 0 0 3 0
16 Kastamonuspor 1966 4 1 0 3 0
17 Hatayspor 3 0 1 2
18 Adana Demirspor 3 1 1 1
# PASUKAN P J B +/- Mata
1 Muş Menderesspor 3 11 5 +6 7
2 Elazığspor 3 10 1 +9 9
3 İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik 4 9 6 +3 7
4 Somaspor 4 8 7 +1 7
5 Erbaaspor 3 8 8 0 4
6 Çorluspor 1947 3 7 0 +7 7
7 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 3 7 4 +3 5
8 Belediye Derincespor 3 6 3 +3 7
9 Aliağa FAŞ 3 6 6 0 6
10 Sebat Gençlikspor 3 6 9 -3 1
11 Şanlıurfaspor 3 5 4 +1 5
12 Menemen Belediyespor 3 4 7 -3 3
13 Isparta 32 Spor 3 4 7 -3 1
14 Adana Demirspor 3 3 4 -1
15 Ankaraspor 4 2 6 -4 3
16 Kastamonuspor 1966 4 2 12 -10 0
17 Arnavutköy Belediyespor 3 1 7 -6 0
18 Hatayspor 3 0 3 -3