AI correctly predicted the Alemannia Aachen win.
The match finished 1–0, validating the model's directional assessment.
Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa
Gred ramalan
A
Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.
- Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 matlamat) ✔ Betul
- Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Tidak ✔ Betul
- 1X2 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen ✔ Betul
- Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 1-0 ✔ Betul
Model lwn Pasaran Penutup
| Hasil | Model | Menutup Pasaran | Perbezaan | isyarat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alemannia Aachen | 47.9% | 41.6% | +6.3 pp | Model Higher |
| Draw | 28.0% | 25.4% | +2.6 pp | Aligned |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | 24.1% | 33.0% | -8.9 pp | Market Higher |
The closing market estimates Fortuna Düsseldorf's win probability at 33.0%, compared with the model's estimate of 24.1%, a difference of 8.9 percentage points. This highlights a disagreement between the model and market consensus, without indicating which view is ultimately correct.
Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE5.
Selepas sepenuh masa, lean arah model sepadan dengan keputusan (Alemannia Aachen win 1–0).
Market Assessment
The market and model broadly agree on Fortuna Düsseldorf. The remaining divergence may reflect differences in team-strength assumptions rather than a directional disagreement.
- Monitor line movement before kickoff — not a betting recommendation.
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Alemannia Aachen attacking xG significantly stronger (1.60 vs 1.08)
- Both Teams To Score (No) matched the full-time result
- Under 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile
Market lesson
Large model–market gaps do not automatically mean the market is right. Here the closing market priced Alemannia Aachen higher (56.8% vs model 47.9%, 8.9 pp), but the model's lean was validated (Alemannia Aachen win 1–0).
Laman pertaruhan premium stake: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo FHn2uDc1. Daftar sekarang
Garis Masa Ramalan
Cara ramalan ini beralih daripada ramalan kepada semakan sepenuh masa.
-
Sep 19, 2026 · 11:57 UTC Forecast generated
- Model 1X2 · Alemannia Aachen 47.9% · Draw 28.0% · Fortuna Düsseldorf 24.1%
- xG · Alemannia Aachen 1.60 — Fortuna Düsseldorf 1.08
-
Sep 19, 2026 · 11:34 UTC Opening odds snapshot PRE30
- 1X2 odds · Alemannia Aachen 2.29 · Draw 3.75 · Fortuna Düsseldorf 2.88
- Implied 1X2 · Alemannia Aachen 41.6% · Draw 25.4% · Fortuna Düsseldorf 33.0%
- Bookmaker · Pinnacle
-
Sep 19, 2026 · 11:57 UTC Closing snapshot recorded PRE5
- 1X2 odds · Alemannia Aachen 2.29 · Draw 3.75 · Fortuna Düsseldorf 2.88
- Implied 1X2 · Alemannia Aachen 41.6% · Draw 25.4% · Fortuna Düsseldorf 33.0%
- Bookmaker · Pinnacle
-
Sep 19, 2026 · 12:00 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Alemannia Aachen win · 1–0
-
FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Gambar Sejarah
Dibekukan pada sepak mula — keluaran model seperti sebelum perlawanan bermula.
Keputusan sejarah:
Observe
Keputusan Sejarah
No Primary Bet
Hasil
Validated
Metrik pra-padanan (konteks sejarah)
Kebolehpercayaan Ramalan
75/100
· High
- Validation: Pass
Bukti
★★★★★
- No strong statistical edge
- Direction agrees with model lean
- Validation passed
Pricing proximity (inverse gap)
55/100
Betting Confidence
78/100
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
2.88
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Alemannia Aachen win · Alemannia Aachen 1–0 Fortuna Düsseldorf
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
A
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Semakan Soalan Lazim
- Sejauh manakah ramalan itu tepat?
- Halaman ini menilai pasaran berarah (1X2, Lebih/Bawah 2.5, BTTS) berbanding keputusan sepenuh masa. Gred ramalan menggambarkan bilangan pasaran yang dijejaki itu sepadan dengan realiti.
- Apakah ukuran Ketepatan xG?
- Ketepatan xG membandingkan profil matlamat jangkaan pra-perlawanan model dengan garis skor sebenar — bukan sama ada setiap pasaran mencecah. Semakan arah yang kukuh boleh wujud bersama dengan skor ketepatan xG yang sederhana.
- Mengapakah skor tepat tidak diramalkan?
- Hasil skor betul ialah ekor berkemungkinan rendah walaupun model membaca profil padanan dengan baik. Kami menyerlahkan tong skor tertinggi untuk konteks; kehilangan baris tepat tidak membatalkan semakan arah.
- Adakah ini meningkatkan rekod AI?
- Setiap perlawanan selesai dilog masuk dalam saluran paip pengesahan kami. Kadar hit teragregat dan kajian CLV diterbitkan secara berasingan — halaman ini ialah jejak audit setiap perlawanan.
Ramalan adalah untuk tujuan maklumat sahaja. Sentiasa berjudi dengan penuh tanggungjawab dan dalam had anda. Prestasi masa lalu tidak menjamin hasil masa depan.
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Alemannia Aachen at 47.9%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 41.6%.",
"why": [
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"tone": "ok"
},
{
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},
{
"text": "Consensus EV, reliability/execution, and calibration cleared Primary gates",
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],
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"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +16.8% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: Clear \u2192 Primary eligible \u00b7 Decision Strength 8.1/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
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"label": "Rel",
"ok": true,
"value": "77 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": true,
"value": "80 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": true,
"value": "agree"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+16.8% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 8,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": "market_confirmed",
"reasons": [
"Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Alemannia Aachen).",
"Decision strength: 8.1/10"
],
"reliability_score": 77,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Clear xG separation"
],
"subline": "Market-confirmed consensus value \u2014 steam supports the model lean. Size carefully.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "actionable",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": 0.0107,
"consensus_ev_display": "+1.1%",
"consensus_odds": 2.29,
"disagreement_label": "Moderate",
"disagreement_level": "moderate",
"implied_prob": 0.4157,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.4787,
"raw_edge_display": "+6.3 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": 6.3,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.4366812227074236,
"raw_signal_ev": 0.0962,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "+9.6%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": false,
"calibration_status": "ok",
"deviation_pct": 18.5,
"reasons": [
"Clear xG separation gap=0.52"
],
"recommended_action": "ok",
"strength_delta": 0.5,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "clear",
"block_value_alert": false,
"separation_score": 5,
"strength_delta": 0.5,
"xg_gap": 0.52
}
}
},
"bet_status": "primary",
"books_breadth_display": "2/9",
"breadth_ratio": 0.2222222222222222,
"evidence": {
"score": 75,
"signals": [
{
"icon": "\u25cb",
"key": "statistical_edge",
"label": "No strong statistical edge",
"status": "neutral"
},
{
"icon": "!",
"key": "market_agreement",
"label": "Direction agrees; pricing still diverges",
"status": "caution"
},
{
"icon": "\u25cb",
"key": "steam",
"label": "Sharp steam detected",
"status": "neutral"
},
{
"icon": "\u2713",
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation passed",
"status": "pass"
}
],
"stars": 4,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"forecast_reliability": {
"breakdown": [
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation: Pass",
"tone": "ok"
}
],
"parts": {
"alignment": 20.5,
"data_quality": 12.0,
"market_coverage": 2.2,
"steam_coherence": 7.0,
"validation": 30.0
},
"score": 77,
"stars": 4,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"lean_gap_pp": 8.94,
"market_agreement": "moderate",
"max_gap_pp": 8.94,
"model_calibration": {
"away_xg": 1.08,
"calibration_status": "ok",
"deviation_pct": 19.0,
"elevated": false,
"home_xg": 1.6,
"impact_note": "",
"league_avg_xg": 1.35,
"peak_xg": 1.6,
"status_label": "Within typical league range",
"summary": "Home xG 1.60 \u00b7 Away xG 1.08 \u00b7 League avg 1.35 \u00b7 Peak deviation +19%",
"title": "Model Calibration Check"
},
"move_is_drift": false,
"mv_status": "pass",
"odds_delta_pct": 0.0,
"steam_conflicts": null,
"steam_move_display": "+0.0%",
"steam_team": "Alemannia Aachen",
"suppress_execution": false,
"value_split": {
"execution_confidence": {
"label": "Betting Confidence",
"score": 80,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"market_compatibility": {
"label": "Pricing proximity (inverse gap)",
"note": "This score falls as the probability gap (pp) rises \u2014 it is NOT a bet green light. Direction may still agree (see Alignment above). Formula: proximity = max(0, 100 \u2212 5\u00d7pp). Example: 16 pp \u2192 20/100 (diverged).",
"score": 68,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"model_edge_strength": {
"label": "Model Signal Strength",
"score": 47,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"model_value": {
"label": "Pricing proximity (inverse gap)",
"note": "This score falls as the probability gap (pp) rises \u2014 it is NOT a bet green light. Direction may still agree (see Alignment above). Formula: proximity = max(0, 100 \u2212 5\u00d7pp). Example: 16 pp \u2192 20/100 (diverged).",
"score": 68,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"recommendation": {
"action": "primary",
"label": "Primary Bet"
}
},
"verdict": {
"agree_note": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Alemannia Aachen).",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 8.9,
"key": "agree",
"label": "Agree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "moderate",
"probability_gap_pp": 8.9,
"summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Alemannia Aachen)."
},
"authority": {
"action": "primary",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 8.9,
"key": "agree",
"label": "Agree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "moderate",
"probability_gap_pp": 8.9,
"summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Alemannia Aachen)."
},
"alignment_key": "agree",
"best_consensus_ev": 0.1677,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.1677,
"confidence_band": "High",
"decision_strength": 8.1,
"decision_strength_v1": 6.5,
"decision_strength_v2": 7.6,
"decision_type": "PRIMARY",
"execution_confidence": 80,
"extreme_disagreement": false,
"final_verdict_audit": {
"action": "Compare best available odds before sizing.",
"action_label": "Action",
"decision": "Primary Bet",
"is_primary": true,
"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Alemannia Aachen at 47.9%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 41.6%.",
"why": [
{
"text": "Decision Model identifies Alemannia Aachen as the value side (47.9%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Market broadly agrees with the direction",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Consensus EV, reliability/execution, and calibration cleared Primary gates",
"tone": "ok"
}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
"gap_pp": 6.3,
"gates_failed": [],
"has_top_pick": true,
"headline": "Primary Bet",
"hero_mode": "default",
"icon": "\u2713",
"label": "Primary Bet \u2014 Market-confirmed value",
"market_signal": "Market aligns with model lean",
"model_conflict_detail": null,
"model_lean": "Alemannia Aachen",
"no_primary_reasons": null,
"outlier_detected": false,
"outlier_excluded_panel": "",
"primary_allowed": true,
"primary_block_explain": null,
"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +16.8% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration Clear \u2705 \u2192 Primary eligible. Decision Strength 8.1/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +16.8% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: Clear \u2192 Primary eligible \u00b7 Decision Strength 8.1/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
"items": [
{
"key": "extreme_gap",
"label": "Extreme gap",
"ok": true,
"value": "no"
},
{
"key": "xg_calibration",
"label": "xG calibration",
"ok": true,
"value": "ok"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": true,
"value": "77 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": true,
"value": "80 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": true,
"value": "agree"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+16.8% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 8,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": "market_confirmed",
"reasons": [
"Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Alemannia Aachen).",
"Decision strength: 8.1/10"
],
"reliability_score": 77,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Clear xG separation"
],
"subline": "Market-confirmed consensus value \u2014 steam supports the model lean. Size carefully.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "actionable",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": 0.0107,
"consensus_ev_display": "+1.1%",
"consensus_odds": 2.29,
"disagreement_label": "Moderate",
"disagreement_level": "moderate",
"implied_prob": 0.4157,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.4787,
"raw_edge_display": "+6.3 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": 6.3,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.4366812227074236,
"raw_signal_ev": 0.0962,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "+9.6%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": false,
"calibration_status": "ok",
"deviation_pct": 18.5,
"reasons": [
"Clear xG separation gap=0.52"
],
"recommended_action": "ok",
"strength_delta": 0.5,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "clear",
"block_value_alert": false,
"separation_score": 5,
"strength_delta": 0.5,
"xg_gap": 0.52
}
}
},
"headline": "Primary Bet",
"icon": "\u2713",
"label": "Primary Bet \u2014 Market-confirmed value",
"subline": "Market-confirmed consensus value \u2014 steam supports the model lean. Size carefully.",
"tier": "actionable"
},
"why": {
"action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
"bullets": [
"Model: Alemannia Aachen 1.60 xG vs Fortuna D\u00fcsseldorf 1.08 \u2192 Alemannia Aachen 47.9%",
"Market: Alemannia Aachen ~41.6% implied",
"Market Steam: Alemannia Aachen +0.0%"
],
"one_liner": "Alemannia Aachen projects stronger on expected goals (+0.52 xG edge).",
"title": "Why?"
}
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 6.32,
"fair_prob": 47.89,
"label": "Alemannia Aachen",
"market_prob": 41.57,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 2.62,
"fair_prob": 28.0,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 25.38,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -8.94,
"fair_prob": 24.11,
"label": "Fortuna D\u00fcsseldorf",
"market_prob": 33.05,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": -8.62,
"fair_prob": 50.1,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 58.72,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": 8.62,
"fair_prob": 49.9,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 41.28,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": -7.77,
"fair_prob": 54.2,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 61.97,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": 7.77,
"fair_prob": 45.8,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 38.03,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "mild_disagreement",
"edge_pp": -8.94,
"fair_prob_pct": 24.11,
"hero_side": "away",
"hero_team_name": "Fortuna D\u00fcsseldorf",
"market_prob_pct": 33.05,
"status": "market_ahead",
"steam_team_name": "Alemannia Aachen"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"closing_capture": "PRE5",
"closing_footnote": "Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE5.",
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"comparison_summary": "The closing market estimates Fortuna D\u00fcsseldorf\u0027s win probability at 33.0%, compared with the model\u0027s estimate of 24.1%, a difference of 8.9 percentage points. This highlights a disagreement between the model and market consensus, without indicating which view is ultimately correct.",
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "moderate",
"edge_status": "market_ahead",
"max_gap_pp": 8.94,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "Moderate model-market divergence",
"divergence_level": "moderate",
"divergence_level_label": "Moderate divergence",
"divergence_note": "Fair estimate and market pricing differ modestly. Monitor before kickoff.",
"divergence_tier": "moderate",
"edge_label": "Mild disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "mild_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE5.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Slight favourite",
"favourite_label": "Alemannia Aachen",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "medium",
"headline": "Slight edge match",
"market_agreement_label": "Moderate",
"market_direction": {
"label": "Supports model direction",
"positive": true
},
"market_prob_pct": 41.6,
"model_prob_gap_display": "+6.3 percentage points",
"model_prob_gap_pp": 6.3,
"model_prob_pct": 47.9,
"outcome_separation_tier": "medium",
"paragraphs": [],
"pricing_convergence": {
"gap_display": "+6.3 percentage points",
"gap_pp": 6.3,
"label": "Moderate",
"label_key": "mi_fa_pricing_moderate"
},
"reliability_headline": "Moderate reliability",
"reliability_icon": "\u2713",
"reliability_score": 77,
"reliability_tier": "moderate",
"summary": "Alemannia Aachen \u2014 market direction supports the model lean.",
"tier": "slight_edge",
"title": "Prediction Assessment",
"validation_label": "Pass",
"value_split": {
"execution_confidence": {
"label": "Betting Confidence",
"score": 80,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"market_compatibility": {
"label": "Pricing proximity (inverse gap)",
"note": "This score falls as the probability gap (pp) rises \u2014 it is NOT a bet green light. Direction may still agree (see Alignment above). Formula: proximity = max(0, 100 \u2212 5\u00d7pp). Example: 16 pp \u2192 20/100 (diverged).",
"score": 68,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"model_edge_strength": {
"label": "Model Signal Strength",
"score": 47,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"model_value": {
"label": "Pricing proximity (inverse gap)",
"note": "This score falls as the probability gap (pp) rises \u2014 it is NOT a bet green light. Direction may still agree (see Alignment above). Formula: proximity = max(0, 100 \u2212 5\u00d7pp). Example: 16 pp \u2192 20/100 (diverged).",
"score": 68,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"recommendation": {
"action": "primary",
"label": "Primary Bet"
}
},
"why": {
"action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
"bullets": [
"Model: Alemannia Aachen 1.60 xG vs Fortuna D\u00fcsseldorf 1.08 \u2192 Alemannia Aachen 47.9%",
"Market: Alemannia Aachen ~41.6% implied",
"Market Steam: Alemannia Aachen +0.0%"
],
"one_liner": "Alemannia Aachen projects stronger on expected goals (+0.52 xG edge).",
"title": "Why?"
}
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "A lead outcome exists, but the match is not one-sided in the model.",
"tier": "medium",
"tier_label": "Medium"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Medium",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -8.94,
"hero_label": "Fortuna D\u00fcsseldorf",
"hero_side": "away",
"market_activity": "No meaningful directional movement yet.",
"market_agreement": "moderate",
"market_agreement_label": "Moderate",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"Monitor line movement before kickoff \u2014 not a betting recommendation."
],
"follow_up": "",
"gap_tier": "mild",
"lead": "The market and model broadly agree on Fortuna D\u00fcsseldorf. The remaining divergence may reflect differences in team-strength assumptions rather than a directional disagreement.",
"note": "The market shows a modest preference for Fortuna D\u00fcsseldorf relative to the current fair estimate.",
"paragraphs": [
"The market and model broadly agree on Fortuna D\u00fcsseldorf. The remaining divergence may reflect differences in team-strength assumptions rather than a directional disagreement."
],
"quiet_market": true,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"The market still prices Fortuna D\u00fcsseldorf above the current fair estimate.",
"No meaningful directional movement has emerged, and pricing remains stable across tracked sportsbooks."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"market_source": "closing_1x2",
"max_gap_pp": 8.94,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_pass",
"status": "pass"
},
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 19.9 pp (at 47.9%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 19.9,
"max_prob_pct": 47.9,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "medium",
"tier_label": "Medium"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Medium",
"overall_assessment": {
"badge_class": "moderate",
"largest_gap_label": "Fortuna D\u00fcsseldorf",
"largest_gap_pp": -8.9,
"lead": "The closing market prices Fortuna D\u00fcsseldorf higher than the statistical model.",
"level": "moderate",
"max_gap_pp": 8.9,
"title": "Moderate Disagreement"
},
"rows": [
{
"difference_pp": 6.32,
"edge_pp": 6.32,
"fair_prob_pct": 47.89,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Alemannia Aachen",
"market_prob_pct": 41.57,
"side": "home",
"signal_key": "model_higher",
"signal_label": "Model Higher"
},
{
"difference_pp": 2.62,
"edge_pp": 2.62,
"fair_prob_pct": 28.0,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 25.38,
"side": "draw",
"signal_key": "aligned",
"signal_label": "Aligned"
},
{
"difference_pp": -8.94,
"edge_pp": -8.94,
"fair_prob_pct": 24.11,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Fortuna D\u00fcsseldorf",
"market_prob_pct": 33.05,
"side": "away",
"signal_key": "market_higher",
"signal_label": "Market Higher"
}
],
"status": "market_ahead",
"status_label": "Market Ahead",
"steam_note": "The market shows a modest preference for Fortuna D\u00fcsseldorf relative to the current fair estimate.",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": false,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Alemannia Aachen (41.6%).",
"Alemannia Aachen \u2014 market direction supports the model lean."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 34.72,
"closing_odds": 2.88,
"closing_reason": "",
"closing_status": "recorded",
"closing_status_label": "Recorded",
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_reason": "",
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 34.72,
"entry_odds": 2.88,
"match_phase": "upcoming",
"match_phase_detail": "",
"match_phase_display": "Upcoming",
"match_phase_label": "Upcoming",
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"model_validation_status": "pass",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Prediction Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "PRE5",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"show": false
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "2/9",
"current_odds": 2.25,
"move_display": "+0.0%",
"open_odds": 2.25,
"pick_team": "Alemannia Aachen",
"steam_score": 3,
"steam_team_name": "Alemannia Aachen",
"steam_tier": "C"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 8.9,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"at2.away_team_slug": "fortuna-dusseldorf",
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_goal_display": null,
"away_team_display_name": "Fortuna D\u00fcsseldorf",
"away_team_id": 158,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/158.webp",
"away_team_name": "Fortuna D\u00fcsseldorf",
"away_team_public_id": "2urBe8OsvYybJX",
"away_team_slug": "fortuna-dusseldorf",
"country_code": "DE",
"country_display_name": "Germany",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/de.svg",
"country_id": 60,
"country_name": "Germany",
"fixture_id": 1584004,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_goal_display": null,
"home_team_country": "Germany",
"home_team_display_name": "Alemannia Aachen",
"home_team_id": 4259,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/4259.webp",
"home_team_name": "Alemannia Aachen",
"home_team_public_id": "3M3VXhNE31hWIK",
"home_team_slug": "alemannia-aachen",
"ht.home_team_slug": "alemannia-aachen",
"league_country": "Germany",
"league_country_display": "Germany",
"league_display_name": "3. Liga",
"league_id": 80,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/80.webp",
"league_name": "3. Liga",
"league_public_id": "0akjle0QoiBkC3",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-09-19 12:00:00",
"public_id": "03odXsb4Tj3c7H",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"score_penalty_away": null,
"score_penalty_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": "Aachen",
"venue_name": "Tivoli"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.3896,
"best_odd": 2.88,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0348,
"ev": -0.1485,
"implied_prob": 0.3305,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.3305,
"draw": 0.2538,
"home": 0.4157
},
"model_prob": 0.2411,
"p_final": 0.2957
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2881,
"best_odd": 3.75,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0076,
"ev": -0.0196,
"implied_prob": 0.2538,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.3305,
"draw": 0.2538,
"home": 0.4157
},
"model_prob": 0.2802,
"p_final": 0.2614
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4075,
"best_odd": 2.29,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0257,
"ev": 0.0107,
"implied_prob": 0.4157,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.3305,
"draw": 0.2538,
"home": 0.4157
},
"model_prob": 0.4787,
"p_final": 0.4413
}
},
"1x2_outlier": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "legacy_max_odd",
"away": {
"best_odd": 2.88,
"edge": -0.1061,
"ev": -0.3057,
"implied_prob": 0.3472,
"model_prob": 0.2411
},
"draw": {
"best_odd": 3.75,
"edge": 0.0136,
"ev": 0.0509,
"implied_prob": 0.2667,
"model_prob": 0.2802
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"best_odd": 2.29,
"edge": 0.042,
"ev": 0.0962,
"implied_prob": 0.4367,
"model_prob": 0.4787
}
},
"btts": {
"alpha_no": 0.2481,
"alpha_yes": 0.3411,
"best_no_odd": 2.5,
"best_yes_odd": 1.5,
"btts_ev_mode": "market_first_available",
"edge_no": 0.0777,
"edge_yes": -0.0777,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.145,
"ev_no_risk_adj": -0.0338,
"ev_yes": -0.187,
"ev_yes_risk_adj": -0.1179,
"implied_no": 0.3803,
"implied_yes": 0.6197,
"market_first": {
"available": true,
"mode": "market_first_btts",
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"no": {
"alpha": 0.2481,
"best_odd": 2.41,
"edge": 0.0188,
"ev": -0.0338,
"implied_prob": 0.3821,
"model_prob": 0.458,
"p_final": 0.4009
},
"prediction_confidence": "low",
"yes": {
"alpha": 0.3411,
"best_odd": 1.49,
"edge": -0.0259,
"ev": -0.1179,
"implied_prob": 0.6179,
"model_prob": 0.542,
"p_final": 0.592
}
},
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"p_final_no": 0.4009,
"p_final_yes": 0.592,
"prediction_confidence": "low",
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"alpha_over": 0.3347,
"alpha_under": 0.2434,
"best_over_odd": 1.61,
"best_under_odd": 2.34,
"consensus_over_odd": 1.565,
"consensus_under_odd": 2.235,
"edge_over": -0.0862,
"edge_under": 0.0862,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.1934,
"ev_over_risk_adj": -0.1252,
"ev_under": 0.1677,
"ev_under_risk_adj": -0.0321,
"implied_over": 0.5872,
"implied_over_mf": 0.5882,
"implied_under": 0.4128,
"implied_under_mf": 0.4118,
"market_first": {
"available": true,
"mode": "market_first_ou",
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"over": {
"alpha": 0.3347,
"best_odd": 1.565,
"edge": -0.0292,
"ev": -0.1252,
"implied_prob": 0.5882,
"model_prob": 0.501,
"p_final": 0.559
},
"prediction_confidence": "low",
"under": {
"alpha": 0.2434,
"best_odd": 2.235,
"edge": 0.0212,
"ev": -0.0321,
"implied_prob": 0.4118,
"model_prob": 0.499,
"p_final": 0.4331
}
},
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"ou_ev_mode": "market_first_available",
"p_final_over": 0.559,
"p_final_under": 0.4331,
"prediction_confidence": "low",
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.68,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.5.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_consensus_ev": 0.1677,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.1677,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.1677,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"breakdown_v2": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Clear xG separation"
],
"score": 8.1,
"score_v1_legacy": 6.5,
"score_v2_pre_penalty": 7.6,
"strength_v2": true
},
"decision_strength_v2": {
"breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Clear xG separation"
],
"score": 8.1,
"score_pre_penalty": 7.6
},
"decision_type": "PRIMARY",
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"final_action": "primary",
"final_decision": {
"action": "primary",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 8.9,
"key": "agree",
"label": "Agree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "moderate",
"probability_gap_pp": 8.9,
"summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Alemannia Aachen)."
},
"alignment_key": "agree",
"best_consensus_ev": 0.1677,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.1677,
"confidence_band": "High",
"decision_strength": 8.1,
"decision_strength_v1": 6.5,
"decision_strength_v2": 7.6,
"decision_type": "PRIMARY",
"execution_confidence": 80,
"extreme_disagreement": false,
"final_verdict_audit": {
"action": "Compare best available odds before sizing.",
"action_label": "Action",
"decision": "Primary Bet",
"is_primary": true,
"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Alemannia Aachen at 47.9%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 41.6%.",
"why": [
{
"text": "Decision Model identifies Alemannia Aachen as the value side (47.9%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Market broadly agrees with the direction",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Consensus EV, reliability/execution, and calibration cleared Primary gates",
"tone": "ok"
}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
"gap_pp": 6.3,
"gates_failed": [],
"has_top_pick": true,
"headline": "Primary Bet",
"hero_mode": "default",
"icon": "\u2713",
"label": "Primary Bet \u2014 Market-confirmed value",
"market_signal": "Market aligns with model lean",
"model_conflict_detail": null,
"model_lean": "Alemannia Aachen",
"no_primary_reasons": null,
"outlier_detected": false,
"outlier_excluded_panel": "",
"primary_allowed": true,
"primary_block_explain": null,
"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +16.8% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration Clear \u2705 \u2192 Primary eligible. Decision Strength 8.1/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +16.8% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: Clear \u2192 Primary eligible \u00b7 Decision Strength 8.1/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
"items": [
{
"key": "extreme_gap",
"label": "Extreme gap",
"ok": true,
"value": "no"
},
{
"key": "xg_calibration",
"label": "xG calibration",
"ok": true,
"value": "ok"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": true,
"value": "77 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": true,
"value": "80 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": true,
"value": "agree"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+16.8% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 8,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": "market_confirmed",
"reasons": [
"Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Alemannia Aachen).",
"Decision strength: 8.1/10"
],
"reliability_score": 77,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Clear xG separation"
],
"subline": "Market-confirmed consensus value \u2014 steam supports the model lean. Size carefully.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "actionable",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": 0.0107,
"consensus_ev_display": "+1.1%",
"consensus_odds": 2.29,
"disagreement_label": "Moderate",
"disagreement_level": "moderate",
"implied_prob": 0.4157,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.4787,
"raw_edge_display": "+6.3 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": 6.3,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.4366812227074236,
"raw_signal_ev": 0.0962,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "+9.6%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": false,
"calibration_status": "ok",
"deviation_pct": 18.5,
"reasons": [
"Clear xG separation gap=0.52"
],
"recommended_action": "ok",
"strength_delta": 0.5,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "clear",
"block_value_alert": false,
"separation_score": 5,
"strength_delta": 0.5,
"xg_gap": 0.52
}
}
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.542,
"draw_prob": 0.2802,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4787,
"over_prob": 0.501,
"total_xg": 2.68,
"under_prob": 0.499,
"xg_diff": 0.52
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"hero_mode": "default",
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"consensus_odds": 2.29,
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.0257,
"ev": 0.0107,
"implied_prob": 0.4157,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.4787,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Alemannia Aachen"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.2481,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 2.41,
"edge": 0.0188,
"market_prob": 0.3821,
"mode": "market_first_btts",
"model_prob": 0.458,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"no": {
"alpha": 0.2481,
"best_odd": 2.41,
"edge": 0.0188,
"ev": -0.0338,
"implied_prob": 0.3821,
"model_prob": 0.458,
"p_final": 0.4009
},
"p_final": 0.4009,
"prediction_confidence": "low",
"risk_adj_ev": -0.0338,
"value_side": "no",
"yes": {
"alpha": 0.3411,
"best_odd": 1.49,
"edge": -0.0259,
"ev": -0.1179,
"implied_prob": 0.6179,
"model_prob": 0.542,
"p_final": 0.592
}
},
"edge": 0.0777,
"ev": 0.145,
"implied_prob": 0.3803,
"model_prob": 0.458,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.2434,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 2.235,
"edge": 0.0212,
"market_prob": 0.4118,
"mode": "market_first_ou",
"model_prob": 0.499,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"over": {
"alpha": 0.3347,
"best_odd": 1.565,
"edge": -0.0292,
"ev": -0.1252,
"implied_prob": 0.5882,
"model_prob": 0.501,
"p_final": 0.559
},
"p_final": 0.4331,
"prediction_confidence": "low",
"risk_adj_ev": -0.0321,
"under": {
"alpha": 0.2434,
"best_odd": 2.235,
"edge": 0.0212,
"ev": -0.0321,
"implied_prob": 0.4118,
"model_prob": 0.499,
"p_final": 0.4331
},
"value_side": "under"
},
"edge": 0.0862,
"ev": 0.1677,
"implied_prob": 0.4128,
"model_prob": 0.499,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1584004,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.1677,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.2411,
"draw": 0.2802,
"home": 0.4787
},
"reason_codes": [
"model_summary"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.145,
"implied_prob": 0.3803,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.458,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.145,
"implied_prob": 0.3803,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.458,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"show_betting_primary_label": true,
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Fortuna D\u00fcsseldorf",
"home": "Alemannia Aachen"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.083682,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1677,
"implied_prob": 0.4128,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.499,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2,
"value_context_1x2": {
"consensus_ev": 0.0107,
"consensus_ev_display": "+1.1%",
"consensus_odds": 2.29,
"disagreement_label": "Moderate",
"disagreement_level": "moderate",
"implied_prob": 0.4157,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.4787,
"raw_edge_display": "+6.3 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": 6.3,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.4366812227074236,
"raw_signal_ev": 0.0962,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "+9.6%"
}
}
},
"fixture_id": 1584004,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-09-19T11:57:17.895827+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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Langgan Sekarang
3. Liga — Kedudukan
| # | PASUKAN | P | M | S | K | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 18 |
| 2 | FC Viktoria Köln | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15 |
| 3 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 |
| 4 | FC Saarbrücken | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim II | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 |
| 7 | Alemannia Aachen | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
| 8 | Preußen Münster | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
| 9 | Waldhof Mannheim | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 | Verl | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 12 | Fortuna Köln | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 13 | SG Sonnenhof Großaspach | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 14 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
| 15 | Stuttgart II | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 |
| 16 | Würzburger Kickers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 |
| 17 | SV Meppen | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 |
| 18 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
| 19 | SV Wehen | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
| 20 | Havelse | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| # | PASUKAN | P | J | B | +/- | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSV Duisburg | 7 | 19 | 7 | +12 | 18 |
| 2 | FC Viktoria Köln | 7 | 19 | 9 | +10 | 15 |
| 3 | FC Saarbrücken | 7 | 19 | 12 | +7 | 13 |
| 4 | Hansa Rostock | 7 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 12 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim II | 7 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 13 |
| 6 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 7 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 7 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 5 |
| 8 | Preußen Münster | 7 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Stuttgart II | 7 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 7 |
| 10 | Alemannia Aachen | 7 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 11 |
| 11 | Waldhof Mannheim | 7 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 10 |
| 12 | Würzburger Kickers | 7 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 7 |
| 13 | Verl | 7 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Havelse | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 4 |
| 15 | Fortuna Köln | 7 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 16 | SV Meppen | 7 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 6 |
| 17 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 7 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 7 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 10 |
| 19 | SG Sonnenhof Großaspach | 7 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
| 20 | SV Wehen | 7 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 5 |
