The model missed the final outcome (Celtic II win 3–5).
The model had projected Renfrew at 36.1%, but the full-time result went the other way.
Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa
Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.
- Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (8 matlamat) ✖ tak betul
- Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Ya Ya ✔ Betul
- 1X2 Renfrew Celtic II ✖ tak betul
- Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-5 ✖ tak betul
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.60) — 8 goals materialised
- Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
What failed
- Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Under 2.5; match finished Over 2.5 (8 goals)
- 1X2: model leaned Renfrew; match finished Celtic II
Market lesson
The full-time result was Celtic II win 3–5, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.
Garis Masa Ramalan
Cara ramalan ini beralih daripada ramalan kepada semakan sepenuh masa.
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Aug 02, 2026 · 01:57 UTC Forecast generated
- xG · Renfrew 1.32 — Celtic II 1.28
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Aug 08, 2026 · 14:00 UTC Kickoff
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FT Full-time result Celtic II win · 3–5
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FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
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Archived Prediction review
Gambar Sejarah
Dibekukan pada sepak mula — keluaran model seperti sebelum perlawanan bermula.
Metrik pra-padanan (konteks sejarah)
- Validation: Pending
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Validation Report
Immutable SnapshotModel Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Semakan Soalan Lazim
- Sejauh manakah ramalan itu tepat?
- Halaman ini menilai pasaran berarah (1X2, Lebih/Bawah 2.5, BTTS) berbanding keputusan sepenuh masa. Gred ramalan menggambarkan bilangan pasaran yang dijejaki itu sepadan dengan realiti.
- Apakah ukuran Ketepatan xG?
- Ketepatan xG membandingkan profil matlamat jangkaan pra-perlawanan model dengan garis skor sebenar — bukan sama ada setiap pasaran mencecah. Semakan arah yang kukuh boleh wujud bersama dengan skor ketepatan xG yang sederhana.
- Mengapakah skor tepat tidak diramalkan?
- Hasil skor betul ialah ekor berkemungkinan rendah walaupun model membaca profil padanan dengan baik. Kami menyerlahkan tong skor tertinggi untuk konteks; kehilangan baris tepat tidak membatalkan semakan arah.
- Adakah ini meningkatkan rekod AI?
- Setiap perlawanan selesai dilog masuk dalam saluran paip pengesahan kami. Kadar hit teragregat dan kajian CLV diterbitkan secara berasingan — halaman ini ialah jejak audit setiap perlawanan.
Ramalan adalah untuk tujuan maklumat sahaja. Sentiasa berjudi dengan penuh tanggungjawab dan dalam had anda. Prestasi masa lalu tidak menjamin hasil masa depan.
Terokai Kandungan Ramalan Lain
Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Renfrew & Celtic II!
Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.
Langgan Sekarang
Liga Lowland Scotland — Kedudukan
| # | PASUKAN | P | M | S | K | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kilwinning Rangers | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21 |
| 2 | Tranent Juniors | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 21 |
| 3 | Auchinleck Talbot | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19 |
| 4 | Clydebank | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 |
| 5 | Broxburn Athletic | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19 |
| 6 | Pollok | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | Brechin | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19 |
| 8 | Largs Thistle | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19 |
| 9 | Hill Of Beath Hawthorn | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 18 |
| 10 | Celtic II | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 |
| 11 | Linlithgow Rose | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 |
| 12 | Lochee United | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 |
| 13 | Caledonian Braves | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 |
| 14 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15 |
| 15 | Johnstone Burgh | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 |
| 16 | Cumnock Juniors | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 17 | Civil Service Strollers | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 |
| 18 | Troon FC | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 |
| 19 | Cumbernauld Colts | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 20 | Bo'ness United | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 |
| 21 | East Stirlingshire | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 |
| 22 | Beith | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| 23 | Musselburgh Athletic | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 |
| 24 | Cowdenbeath | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
| 25 | Albion Rovers | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 |
| 26 | Berwick Rangers | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 |
| 27 | Renfrew | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 |
| 28 | Gretna 2008 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 |
| 29 | Stirling University | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 |
| 30 | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 |
| 31 | Dunipace | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| 32 | Newton Stewart | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| 33 | Dalbeattie Star | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| # | PASUKAN | P | J | B | +/- | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auchinleck Talbot | 9 | 31 | 9 | +22 | 19 |
| 2 | Clydebank | 8 | 30 | 16 | +14 | 19 |
| 3 | Kilwinning Rangers | 9 | 28 | 13 | +15 | 21 |
| 4 | Celtic II | 9 | 27 | 16 | +11 | 17 |
| 5 | Caledonian Braves | 9 | 26 | 21 | +5 | 16 |
| 6 | Linlithgow Rose | 8 | 21 | 11 | +10 | 16 |
| 7 | Cumnock Juniors | 8 | 21 | 14 | +7 | 14 |
| 8 | Pollok | 8 | 19 | 10 | +9 | 19 |
| 9 | Lochee United | 8 | 19 | 12 | +7 | 16 |
| 10 | Johnstone Burgh | 8 | 19 | 13 | +6 | 15 |
| 11 | Cumbernauld Colts | 9 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Troon FC | 9 | 18 | 15 | +3 | 12 |
| 13 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 8 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 15 |
| 14 | Brechin | 7 | 17 | 9 | +8 | 19 |
| 15 | Gretna 2008 | 9 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 4 |
| 16 | Tranent Juniors | 7 | 15 | 3 | +12 | 21 |
| 17 | Bo'ness United | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 10 |
| 18 | Broxburn Athletic | 7 | 13 | 3 | +10 | 19 |
| 19 | Largs Thistle | 9 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 19 |
| 20 | Hill Of Beath Hawthorn | 8 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 18 |
| 21 | East Stirlingshire | 8 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 10 |
| 22 | Beith | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 8 |
| 23 | Renfrew | 8 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 4 |
| 24 | Civil Service Strollers | 8 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 25 | Cowdenbeath | 8 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 |
| 26 | Musselburgh Athletic | 8 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
| 27 | Berwick Rangers | 8 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 4 |
| 28 | Stirling University | 8 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 3 |
| 29 | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 8 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 3 |
| 30 | Albion Rovers | 8 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 5 |
| 31 | Newton Stewart | 7 | 7 | 31 | -24 | 1 |
| 32 | Dunipace | 7 | 4 | 16 | -12 | 1 |
| 33 | Dalbeattie Star | 8 | 4 | 28 | -24 | 1 |