Ramalan / Bola Sepak / Romania. Liga I Romania / Oţelul vs CFR 1907 Cluj

Audit Ramalan: Oţelul vs CFR 1907 Cluj Ramalan, Odds & Tip Pertaruhan AI

Oţelul Oţelul
Jul 18, 2026 - 15:30
2 2.52
1 1.28
xG Accuracy: 80%
CFR 1907 Cluj CFR 1907 Cluj

AI correctly predicted the Oţelul win.

The match finished 2–1, validating the model's directional assessment.

Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa

Gred ramalan A

Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.

  • Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 matlamat) ✔ Betul
  • Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Ya Ya ✔ Betul
  • 1X2 Oţelul Oţelul ✔ Betul
  • Cerapan skor tepat 2-1, 3-1, 1-1, 2-0, 3-0 2-1 ✔ Betul

Model lwn Pasaran Penutup

Strong Disagreement

The model rates Oţelul considerably stronger than the closing betting market.

Jurang kebarangkalian terbesar: Oţelul +33.9 pp

Hasil Model Menutup Pasaran Perbezaan isyarat
Oţelul 63.4% 29.5% +33.9 pp Model Edge
Draw 19.7% 29.5% -9.8 pp Market Higher
CFR 1907 Cluj 16.9% 40.9% -24.1 pp Market Higher

The statistical model estimates Oţelul's win probability at 63.4%, compared with the closing market's implied probability of 29.5%, a difference of 33.9 percentage points. This highlights a substantial disagreement between the model's assessment and the market consensus, rather than indicating which view is ultimately correct.

Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.

Selepas sepenuh masa, lean arah model sepadan dengan keputusan (Oţelul win 2–1).

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 3.80) — 3 goals materialised
  • Oţelul attacking xG significantly stronger (2.52 vs 1.28)
  • Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result

Market lesson

Large model–market gaps do not automatically mean the market is right. Here the closing market priced Oţelul more conservatively (29.5% vs model 63.4%, 33.9 pp), but the model's lean was validated (Oţelul win 2–1).

Laman pertaruhan premium stake: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo FHn2uDc1. Daftar sekarang

Garis Masa Ramalan

Cara ramalan ini beralih daripada ramalan kepada semakan sepenuh masa.

  1. Jul 18, 2026 · 20:46 UTC Forecast generated
    • Model 1X2 · Oţelul 63.4% · Draw 19.8% · CFR 1907 Cluj 16.9%
    • xG · Oţelul 2.52 — CFR 1907 Cluj 1.28
  2. Jul 18, 2026 · 15:04 UTC Opening odds snapshot PRE30
    • 1X2 odds · Oţelul 3.23 · Draw 3.23 · CFR 1907 Cluj 2.33
    • Implied 1X2 · Oţelul 29.5% · Draw 29.5% · CFR 1907 Cluj 40.9%
    • Bookmaker · Pinnacle
  3. Jul 18, 2026 · 15:29 UTC Closing snapshot recorded PRE1
    • 1X2 odds · Oţelul 3.23 · Draw 3.23 · CFR 1907 Cluj 2.33
    • Implied 1X2 · Oţelul 29.5% · Draw 29.5% · CFR 1907 Cluj 40.9%
    • Bookmaker · Pinnacle
  4. Jul 18, 2026 · 15:30 UTC Kickoff
  5. FT Full-time result Oţelul win · 2–1
  6. FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
  7. Archived Prediction review

Gambar Sejarah

Dibekukan pada sepak mula — keluaran model seperti sebelum perlawanan bermula.

Keputusan sejarah: Cautious / Wait

Label sejarah: Originally displayed as "Wait for validation".

Keputusan Sejarah Wait
Hasil Validated
Metrik pra-padanan (konteks sejarah)
Kebolehpercayaan Ramalan 20/100 · Not reliable
  • Validation: Fail
  • Large market gap (34 pp)
  • High xG deviation from league baseline (87%+)
Bukti ★★★★★
  • Strong model lean
  • Market strongly disagrees on price
  • Validation failed
Pricing proximity (inverse gap) 0/100
Monitoring Confidence 5/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 18:46 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1486293

Closing Odds 3.23
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Oţelul win · Oţelul 2–1 CFR 1907 Cluj
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Semakan Soalan Lazim

Sejauh manakah ramalan itu tepat?
Halaman ini menilai pasaran berarah (1X2, Lebih/Bawah 2.5, BTTS) berbanding keputusan sepenuh masa. Gred ramalan menggambarkan bilangan pasaran yang dijejaki itu sepadan dengan realiti.
Apakah ukuran Ketepatan xG?
Ketepatan xG membandingkan profil matlamat jangkaan pra-perlawanan model dengan garis skor sebenar — bukan sama ada setiap pasaran mencecah. Semakan arah yang kukuh boleh wujud bersama dengan skor ketepatan xG yang sederhana.
Mengapakah skor tepat tidak diramalkan?
Hasil skor betul ialah ekor berkemungkinan rendah walaupun model membaca profil padanan dengan baik. Kami menyerlahkan tong skor tertinggi untuk konteks; kehilangan baris tepat tidak membatalkan semakan arah.
Adakah ini meningkatkan rekod AI?
Setiap perlawanan selesai dilog masuk dalam saluran paip pengesahan kami. Kadar hit teragregat dan kajian CLV diterbitkan secara berasingan — halaman ini ialah jejak audit setiap perlawanan.

Ramalan adalah untuk tujuan maklumat sahaja. Sentiasa berjudi dengan penuh tanggungjawab dan dalam had anda. Prestasi masa lalu tidak menjamin hasil masa depan.

Taklimat perlawanan AI

Ringkasan perlawanan AI

Model favours Oţelul; market prices CFR 1907 Cluj instead — inputs may be missing or stale.

  • Model: Oţelul 2.52 xG vs CFR 1907 Cluj 1.28 → Oţelul 63.4%
  • Market: CFR 1907 Cluj ~29.5% implied
  • Validation failed — do not treat 1X2 EV as actionable.

Do not act on 1X2 value until validation passes. Structural leans (O/U, BTTS) need separate odds review.

Syor Sejarah

Keputusan Sejarah: Wait

Hasil: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Faktor Risiko Dipertimbangkan Sebelum Sepak Mula

  • Pergerakan harga: kebarangkalian tersirat dan pergerakan EV dengan kemungkinan.
  • Jurang sampel / data: liga bermaklumat rendah meluaskan jalur ramalan.
  • Keadaan dalam permainan: gol dan kad merah tidak dimodelkan di sini.
  • Varians garis skor: garis markah yang paling berkemungkinan masih merupakan hasil kebarangkalian mutlak rendah (selalunya di bawah 20%).

Terakhir dikemas kini

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

Ramalan Berkaitan

Lihat Perlawanan Akan Datang Liga I Romania Perlawanan Jejak Oţelul Ramalan Perlawanan Seterusnya Jejak CFR 1907 Cluj Ramalan Perlawanan Seterusnya Lihat Ramalan Bola Sepak Hari Ini

Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Oţelul & CFR 1907 Cluj!

Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.

Langgan Sekarang
Kembali ke Ramalan
Liga I Romania Liga I Romania — Kedudukan
# PASUKAN P M S K Mata
1 Dinamo Bucuresti 10 7 2 1 23
2 Rapid 10 6 3 1 21
3 Universitatea Craiova 10 6 2 2 20
4 Petrolul Ploieşti 10 6 1 3 19
5 Universitatea Cluj 9 5 0 4 15
6 Farul Constanța 10 3 5 2 14
7 Corvinul Hunedoara 10 3 4 3 13
8 CFR 1907 Cluj 9 4 1 4 13
9 Sepsi OSK Sfântu Gheorghe 10 3 4 3 13
10 UTA Arad 10 3 3 4 12
11 FCSB 10 3 3 4 12
12 FC Botoșani 10 2 5 3 11
13 Arges Pitesti 10 3 2 5 11
14 Oţelul 10 2 4 4 10
15 FC Voluntari 10 2 2 6 8
16 Csikszereda 10 0 1 9 1
# PASUKAN P J B +/- Mata
1 Universitatea Craiova 10 24 9 +15 20
2 Dinamo Bucuresti 10 23 7 +16 23
3 CFR 1907 Cluj 9 15 14 +1 13
4 Rapid 10 14 6 +8 21
5 FC Botoșani 10 14 12 +2 11
6 Universitatea Cluj 9 14 13 +1 15
7 Farul Constanța 10 14 14 0 14
8 UTA Arad 10 14 15 -1 12
9 Petrolul Ploieşti 10 13 12 +1 19
10 FCSB 10 13 17 -4 12
11 Corvinul Hunedoara 10 11 9 +2 13
12 Oţelul 10 11 15 -4 10
13 FC Voluntari 10 9 22 -13 8
14 Sepsi OSK Sfântu Gheorghe 10 7 10 -3 13
15 Arges Pitesti 10 6 10 -4 11
16 Csikszereda 10 6 23 -17 1
# PASUKAN P xG xGC +/- Mata
1 Rapid 10 4.0 1.6 +2.4 21
2 Farul Constanța 10 1.7 1.0 +0.7 14
3 Dinamo Bucuresti 10 3.6 3.0 +0.6 23
4 FCSB 10 1.9 1.4 +0.5 12
5 FC Voluntari 10 2.9 2.6 +0.3 8
6 Csikszereda 10 1.3 1.3 0.0 1
7 FC Botoșani 10 2.6 2.9 -0.3 11
8 Arges Pitesti 10 1.4 1.9 -0.5 11
9 Universitatea Cluj 9 1.0 1.7 -0.7 15
10 Petrolul Ploieşti 10 1.4 2.2 -0.8 19
11 Sepsi OSK Sfântu Gheorghe 10 1.4 3.6 -2.2 13
12 Universitatea Craiova 10 — — — 20
13 Corvinul Hunedoara 10 — — — 13
14 CFR 1907 Cluj 9 — — — 13
15 UTA Arad 10 — — — 12
16 Oţelul 10 — — — 10
Liga I Romania Romania. Liga I Romania Ramalan