AI correctly predicted the Hluboka nad Vltavou win.
The match finished 2–3, validating the model's directional assessment.
Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa
Gred ramalan
F
Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.
- Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 matlamat) ✖ tak betul
- Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Ya ✖ tak betul
- 1X2 Hluboka nad Vltavou Hluboka nad Vltavou ✔ Betul
- Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 0-0 2-3 ✖ tak betul
Model lwn Pasaran Penutup
| Hasil | Model | Menutup Pasaran | Perbezaan | isyarat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doubravka | 30.1% | 27.1% | +3.1 pp | Aligned |
| Draw | 29.4% | 24.4% | +5.0 pp | Aligned |
| Hluboka nad Vltavou | 40.4% | 48.5% | -8.1 pp | Market Higher |
The closing market estimates Hluboka nad Vltavou's win probability at 48.5%, compared with the model's estimate of 40.4%, a difference of 8.1 percentage points. This highlights a disagreement between the model and market consensus, without indicating which view is ultimately correct.
Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.
Selepas sepenuh masa, lean arah model sepadan dengan keputusan (Hluboka nad Vltavou win 2–3).
Market Assessment
The market and model broadly agree on Hluboka nad Vltavou. The remaining divergence may reflect differences in team-strength assumptions rather than a directional disagreement.
- Monitor line movement before kickoff — not a betting recommendation.
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.60) — 5 goals materialised
What failed
- Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS No; match finished BTTS Yes
- Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Under 2.5; match finished Over 2.5 (5 goals)
Market lesson
Large model–market gaps do not automatically mean the market is right. Here the closing market priced Hluboka nad Vltavou higher (48.5% vs model 40.4%, 8.1 pp), but the model's lean was validated (Hluboka nad Vltavou win 2–3).
Laman pertaruhan premium stake: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo FHn2uDc1. Daftar sekarang
Garis Masa Ramalan
Cara ramalan ini beralih daripada ramalan kepada semakan sepenuh masa.
-
Sep 26, 2026 · 14:29 UTC Forecast generated
- Model 1X2 · Doubravka 30.1% · Draw 29.4% · Hluboka nad Vltavou 40.5%
- xG · Doubravka 1.19 — Hluboka nad Vltavou 1.41
-
Sep 26, 2026 · 14:20 UTC Opening odds snapshot PRE10
- 1X2 odds · Doubravka 3.28 · Draw 3.63 · Hluboka nad Vltavou 1.83
- Implied 1X2 · Doubravka 27.1% · Draw 24.4% · Hluboka nad Vltavou 48.5%
- Bookmaker · Pinnacle
-
Sep 26, 2026 · 14:29 UTC Closing snapshot recorded PRE1
- 1X2 odds · Doubravka 3.28 · Draw 3.63 · Hluboka nad Vltavou 1.83
- Implied 1X2 · Doubravka 27.1% · Draw 24.4% · Hluboka nad Vltavou 48.5%
- Bookmaker · Pinnacle
-
Sep 26, 2026 · 14:30 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Hluboka nad Vltavou win · 2–3
-
FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Gambar Sejarah
Dibekukan pada sepak mula — keluaran model seperti sebelum perlawanan bermula.
Keputusan sejarah:
Observe
Keputusan Sejarah
No Primary Bet
Hasil
Validated
Metrik pra-padanan (konteks sejarah)
Kebolehpercayaan Ramalan
75/100
· High
- Validation: Pass
Bukti
★★★★★
- No strong statistical edge
- Direction agrees with model lean
- Validation passed
Pricing proximity (inverse gap)
59/100
Betting Confidence
78/100
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
1.83
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Hluboka nad Vltavou win · Doubravka 2–3 Hluboka nad Vltavou
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
F
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Semakan Soalan Lazim
- Sejauh manakah ramalan itu tepat?
- Halaman ini menilai pasaran berarah (1X2, Lebih/Bawah 2.5, BTTS) berbanding keputusan sepenuh masa. Gred ramalan menggambarkan bilangan pasaran yang dijejaki itu sepadan dengan realiti.
- Apakah ukuran Ketepatan xG?
- Ketepatan xG membandingkan profil matlamat jangkaan pra-perlawanan model dengan garis skor sebenar — bukan sama ada setiap pasaran mencecah. Semakan arah yang kukuh boleh wujud bersama dengan skor ketepatan xG yang sederhana.
- Mengapakah skor tepat tidak diramalkan?
- Hasil skor betul ialah ekor berkemungkinan rendah walaupun model membaca profil padanan dengan baik. Kami menyerlahkan tong skor tertinggi untuk konteks; kehilangan baris tepat tidak membatalkan semakan arah.
- Adakah ini meningkatkan rekod AI?
- Setiap perlawanan selesai dilog masuk dalam saluran paip pengesahan kami. Kadar hit teragregat dan kajian CLV diterbitkan secara berasingan — halaman ini ialah jejak audit setiap perlawanan.
Ramalan adalah untuk tujuan maklumat sahaja. Sentiasa berjudi dengan penuh tanggungjawab dan dalam had anda. Prestasi masa lalu tidak menjamin hasil masa depan.
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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],
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"decision_chain": {
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},
"authority": {
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},
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"confidence_band": "High",
"decision_strength": 7.8,
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"decision_type": "PRIMARY",
"execution_confidence": 87,
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"final_verdict_audit": {
"action": "Compare best available odds before sizing.",
"action_label": "Action",
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"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Hluboka nad Vltavou at 40.5%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 48.5%.",
"why": [
{
"text": "Decision Model identifies Hluboka nad Vltavou as the value side (40.5%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Market broadly agrees with the direction",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Consensus EV, reliability/execution, and calibration cleared Primary gates",
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}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
"gap_pp": 8.0,
"gates_failed": [],
"has_top_pick": true,
"headline": "Primary Bet",
"hero_mode": "default",
"icon": "\u2713",
"label": "Primary Bet \u2014 Market-confirmed value",
"market_signal": "Market aligns with model lean",
"model_conflict_detail": null,
"model_lean": "Hluboka nad Vltavou",
"no_primary_reasons": null,
"outlier_detected": false,
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"primary_allowed": true,
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"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +34.2% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration Clear \u2705 \u2192 Primary eligible. Decision Strength 7.8/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +34.2% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: Clear \u2192 Primary eligible \u00b7 Decision Strength 7.8/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
"items": [
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"ok": true,
"value": "no"
},
{
"key": "xg_calibration",
"label": "xG calibration",
"ok": true,
"value": "ok"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": true,
"value": "83 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": true,
"value": "87 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": true,
"value": "agree"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+34.2% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 8,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": "market_confirmed",
"reasons": [
"Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Hluboka nad Vltavou).",
"Decision strength: 7.8/10"
],
"reliability_score": 83,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV"
],
"subline": "Market-confirmed consensus value \u2014 steam supports the model lean. Size carefully.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "actionable",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.19,
"consensus_ev_display": "-19.0%",
"consensus_odds": 1.83,
"disagreement_label": "Moderate",
"disagreement_level": "moderate",
"implied_prob": 0.485,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.4048,
"raw_edge_display": "-8.0 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": -8.0,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.5464480874316939,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.2592,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-25.9%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": false,
"calibration_status": "ok",
"deviation_pct": 4.4,
"reasons": [],
"recommended_action": "ok",
"strength_delta": 0.0,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "ok",
"block_value_alert": false,
"separation_score": 0,
"strength_delta": 0.0,
"xg_gap": 0.22
}
}
},
"bet_status": "primary",
"books_breadth_display": "3/3",
"breadth_ratio": 1.0,
"evidence": {
"score": 75,
"signals": [
{
"icon": "\u25cb",
"key": "statistical_edge",
"label": "No strong statistical edge",
"status": "neutral"
},
{
"icon": "!",
"key": "market_agreement",
"label": "Direction agrees; pricing still diverges",
"status": "caution"
},
{
"icon": "\u25cb",
"key": "steam",
"label": "Sharp steam detected",
"status": "neutral"
},
{
"icon": "\u2713",
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation passed",
"status": "pass"
}
],
"stars": 4,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"forecast_reliability": {
"breakdown": [
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation: Pass",
"tone": "ok"
}
],
"parts": {
"alignment": 21.0,
"data_quality": 12.0,
"market_coverage": 10.0,
"steam_coherence": 5.0,
"validation": 30.0
},
"score": 83,
"stars": 4,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"lean_gap_pp": 8.08,
"market_agreement": "moderate",
"max_gap_pp": 8.08,
"model_calibration": {
"away_xg": 1.41,
"calibration_status": "ok",
"deviation_pct": 4.0,
"elevated": false,
"home_xg": 1.19,
"impact_note": "",
"league_avg_xg": 1.35,
"peak_xg": 1.41,
"status_label": "Within typical league range",
"summary": "Home xG 1.19 \u00b7 Away xG 1.41 \u00b7 League avg 1.35 \u00b7 Peak deviation +4%",
"title": "Model Calibration Check"
},
"move_is_drift": false,
"mv_status": "pass",
"odds_delta_pct": 0.0,
"steam_conflicts": null,
"steam_move_display": "+0.0%",
"steam_team": "Doubravka",
"suppress_execution": false,
"value_split": {
"execution_confidence": {
"label": "Betting Confidence",
"score": 87,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"market_compatibility": {
"label": "Pricing proximity (inverse gap)",
"note": "This score falls as the probability gap (pp) rises \u2014 it is NOT a bet green light. Direction may still agree (see Alignment above). Formula: proximity = max(0, 100 \u2212 5\u00d7pp). Example: 16 pp \u2192 20/100 (diverged).",
"score": 60,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"model_edge_strength": {
"label": "Model Signal Strength",
"score": 40,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"model_value": {
"label": "Pricing proximity (inverse gap)",
"note": "This score falls as the probability gap (pp) rises \u2014 it is NOT a bet green light. Direction may still agree (see Alignment above). Formula: proximity = max(0, 100 \u2212 5\u00d7pp). Example: 16 pp \u2192 20/100 (diverged).",
"score": 60,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"recommendation": {
"action": "primary",
"label": "Primary Bet"
}
},
"verdict": {
"agree_note": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Hluboka nad Vltavou).",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 8.1,
"key": "agree",
"label": "Agree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "moderate",
"probability_gap_pp": 8.1,
"summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Hluboka nad Vltavou)."
},
"authority": {
"action": "primary",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 8.1,
"key": "agree",
"label": "Agree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "moderate",
"probability_gap_pp": 8.1,
"summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Hluboka nad Vltavou)."
},
"alignment_key": "agree",
"best_consensus_ev": 0.3416,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.3416,
"confidence_band": "High",
"decision_strength": 7.8,
"decision_strength_v1": 6.5,
"decision_strength_v2": 7.8,
"decision_type": "PRIMARY",
"execution_confidence": 87,
"extreme_disagreement": false,
"final_verdict_audit": {
"action": "Compare best available odds before sizing.",
"action_label": "Action",
"decision": "Primary Bet",
"is_primary": true,
"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Hluboka nad Vltavou at 40.5%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 48.5%.",
"why": [
{
"text": "Decision Model identifies Hluboka nad Vltavou as the value side (40.5%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Market broadly agrees with the direction",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Consensus EV, reliability/execution, and calibration cleared Primary gates",
"tone": "ok"
}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
"gap_pp": 8.0,
"gates_failed": [],
"has_top_pick": true,
"headline": "Primary Bet",
"hero_mode": "default",
"icon": "\u2713",
"label": "Primary Bet \u2014 Market-confirmed value",
"market_signal": "Market aligns with model lean",
"model_conflict_detail": null,
"model_lean": "Hluboka nad Vltavou",
"no_primary_reasons": null,
"outlier_detected": false,
"outlier_excluded_panel": "",
"primary_allowed": true,
"primary_block_explain": null,
"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +34.2% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration Clear \u2705 \u2192 Primary eligible. Decision Strength 7.8/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +34.2% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: Clear \u2192 Primary eligible \u00b7 Decision Strength 7.8/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
"items": [
{
"key": "extreme_gap",
"label": "Extreme gap",
"ok": true,
"value": "no"
},
{
"key": "xg_calibration",
"label": "xG calibration",
"ok": true,
"value": "ok"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": true,
"value": "83 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": true,
"value": "87 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": true,
"value": "agree"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+34.2% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 8,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": "market_confirmed",
"reasons": [
"Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Hluboka nad Vltavou).",
"Decision strength: 7.8/10"
],
"reliability_score": 83,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV"
],
"subline": "Market-confirmed consensus value \u2014 steam supports the model lean. Size carefully.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "actionable",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.19,
"consensus_ev_display": "-19.0%",
"consensus_odds": 1.83,
"disagreement_label": "Moderate",
"disagreement_level": "moderate",
"implied_prob": 0.485,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.4048,
"raw_edge_display": "-8.0 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": -8.0,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.5464480874316939,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.2592,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-25.9%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": false,
"calibration_status": "ok",
"deviation_pct": 4.4,
"reasons": [],
"recommended_action": "ok",
"strength_delta": 0.0,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "ok",
"block_value_alert": false,
"separation_score": 0,
"strength_delta": 0.0,
"xg_gap": 0.22
}
}
},
"headline": "Primary Bet",
"icon": "\u2713",
"label": "Primary Bet \u2014 Market-confirmed value",
"subline": "Market-confirmed consensus value \u2014 steam supports the model lean. Size carefully.",
"tier": "actionable"
},
"why": {
"action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
"bullets": [
"Model: Doubravka 1.19 xG vs Hluboka nad Vltavou 1.41 \u2192 Hluboka nad Vltavou 40.4%",
"Market: Hluboka nad Vltavou ~48.5% implied",
"Market Steam: Doubravka +0.0%"
],
"one_liner": "Model and market both lean Hluboka nad Vltavou with no major conflict.",
"title": "Why?"
}
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 3.08,
"fair_prob": 30.14,
"label": "Doubravka",
"market_prob": 27.06,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 4.99,
"fair_prob": 29.44,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 24.45,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -8.08,
"fair_prob": 40.42,
"label": "Hluboka nad Vltavou",
"market_prob": 48.5,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": -16.23,
"fair_prob": 48.2,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 64.43,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": 16.23,
"fair_prob": 51.8,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 35.57,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": -12.86,
"fair_prob": 54.2,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 67.06,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": 12.86,
"fair_prob": 45.8,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 32.94,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "mild_disagreement",
"edge_pp": -8.08,
"fair_prob_pct": 40.42,
"hero_side": "away",
"hero_team_name": "Hluboka nad Vltavou",
"market_prob_pct": 48.5,
"status": "market_ahead",
"steam_team_name": "Doubravka"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"closing_footnote": "Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.",
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"comparison_summary": "The closing market estimates Hluboka nad Vltavou\u0027s win probability at 48.5%, compared with the model\u0027s estimate of 40.4%, a difference of 8.1 percentage points. This highlights a disagreement between the model and market consensus, without indicating which view is ultimately correct.",
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "moderate",
"edge_status": "market_ahead",
"max_gap_pp": 8.08,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "Moderate model-market divergence",
"divergence_level": "moderate",
"divergence_level_label": "Moderate divergence",
"divergence_note": "Fair estimate and market pricing differ modestly. Monitor before kickoff.",
"divergence_tier": "moderate",
"edge_label": "Mild disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "mild_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Balanced match",
"favourite_label": "Hluboka nad Vltavou",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
"headline": "Balanced match",
"market_agreement_label": "Moderate",
"market_direction": {
"label": "Supports model direction",
"positive": true
},
"market_prob_pct": 48.5,
"model_prob_gap_display": "-8.1 percentage points",
"model_prob_gap_pp": -8.1,
"model_prob_pct": 40.4,
"outcome_separation_tier": "medium",
"paragraphs": [],
"pricing_convergence": {
"gap_display": "-8.1 percentage points",
"gap_pp": -8.1,
"label": "Moderate",
"label_key": "mi_fa_pricing_moderate"
},
"reliability_headline": "High reliability",
"reliability_icon": "\u2713",
"reliability_score": 83,
"reliability_tier": "high",
"summary": "Hluboka nad Vltavou \u2014 market direction supports the model lean.",
"tier": "balanced",
"title": "Prediction Assessment",
"validation_label": "Pass",
"value_split": {
"execution_confidence": {
"label": "Betting Confidence",
"score": 87,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"market_compatibility": {
"label": "Pricing proximity (inverse gap)",
"note": "This score falls as the probability gap (pp) rises \u2014 it is NOT a bet green light. Direction may still agree (see Alignment above). Formula: proximity = max(0, 100 \u2212 5\u00d7pp). Example: 16 pp \u2192 20/100 (diverged).",
"score": 60,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"model_edge_strength": {
"label": "Model Signal Strength",
"score": 40,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"model_value": {
"label": "Pricing proximity (inverse gap)",
"note": "This score falls as the probability gap (pp) rises \u2014 it is NOT a bet green light. Direction may still agree (see Alignment above). Formula: proximity = max(0, 100 \u2212 5\u00d7pp). Example: 16 pp \u2192 20/100 (diverged).",
"score": 60,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"recommendation": {
"action": "primary",
"label": "Primary Bet"
}
},
"why": {
"action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
"bullets": [
"Model: Doubravka 1.19 xG vs Hluboka nad Vltavou 1.41 \u2192 Hluboka nad Vltavou 40.4%",
"Market: Hluboka nad Vltavou ~48.5% implied",
"Market Steam: Doubravka +0.0%"
],
"one_liner": "Model and market both lean Hluboka nad Vltavou with no major conflict.",
"title": "Why?"
}
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -8.08,
"hero_label": "Hluboka nad Vltavou",
"hero_side": "away",
"market_activity": "No meaningful directional movement yet.",
"market_agreement": "moderate",
"market_agreement_label": "Moderate",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"Monitor line movement before kickoff \u2014 not a betting recommendation."
],
"follow_up": "However, Doubravka has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 0.0%, suggesting weakening support.",
"gap_tier": "mild",
"lead": "The market and model broadly agree on Hluboka nad Vltavou. The remaining divergence may reflect differences in team-strength assumptions rather than a directional disagreement.",
"note": "Market activity is currently concentrated on Doubravka.",
"paragraphs": [
"The market and model broadly agree on Hluboka nad Vltavou. The remaining divergence may reflect differences in team-strength assumptions rather than a directional disagreement.",
"However, Doubravka has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 0.0%, suggesting weakening support.",
"Market activity is currently concentrated on Doubravka."
],
"quiet_market": false,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"The market still prices Hluboka nad Vltavou above the current fair estimate.",
"At the same time, Doubravka has drifted \u2014 odds lengthened by 0.0%, suggesting weakening support.",
"Broad sportsbook alignment (3/3) supports the current market view on Doubravka."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"market_source": "closing_1x2",
"max_gap_pp": 8.08,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_pass",
"status": "pass"
},
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 10.3 pp (at 40.4%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 10.3,
"max_prob_pct": 40.4,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "medium",
"tier_label": "Medium"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Medium",
"overall_assessment": {
"badge_class": "moderate",
"largest_gap_label": "Hluboka nad Vltavou",
"largest_gap_pp": -8.1,
"lead": "The closing market prices Hluboka nad Vltavou higher than the statistical model.",
"level": "moderate",
"max_gap_pp": 8.1,
"title": "Moderate Disagreement"
},
"rows": [
{
"difference_pp": 3.08,
"edge_pp": 3.08,
"fair_prob_pct": 30.14,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Doubravka",
"market_prob_pct": 27.06,
"side": "home",
"signal_key": "aligned",
"signal_label": "Aligned"
},
{
"difference_pp": 4.99,
"edge_pp": 4.99,
"fair_prob_pct": 29.44,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 24.45,
"side": "draw",
"signal_key": "aligned",
"signal_label": "Aligned"
},
{
"difference_pp": -8.08,
"edge_pp": -8.08,
"fair_prob_pct": 40.42,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Hluboka nad Vltavou",
"market_prob_pct": 48.5,
"side": "away",
"signal_key": "market_higher",
"signal_label": "Market Higher"
}
],
"status": "market_ahead",
"status_label": "Market Ahead",
"steam_note": "Market activity is currently concentrated on Doubravka.",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Hluboka nad Vltavou (48.5%).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Hluboka nad Vltavou, Market \u2192 Hluboka nad Vltavou, Recent sharp money \u2192 recent line movement.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 54.64,
"closing_odds": 1.83,
"closing_reason": "",
"closing_status": "recorded",
"closing_status_label": "Recorded",
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_reason": "",
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 54.64,
"entry_odds": 1.83,
"match_phase": "upcoming",
"match_phase_detail": "",
"match_phase_display": "Upcoming",
"match_phase_label": "Upcoming",
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"model_validation_status": "pass",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Prediction Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"show": false
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "3/3",
"current_odds": 3.28,
"move_display": "+0.0%",
"open_odds": 3.28,
"pick_team": "Doubravka",
"steam_score": 36,
"steam_team_name": "Doubravka",
"steam_tier": "C"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 8.1,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"at2.away_team_slug": "hluboka-nad-vltavou",
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_goal_display": null,
"away_team_display_name": "Hluboka nad Vltavou",
"away_team_id": 21982,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/21982.webp",
"away_team_name": "Hluboka nad Vltavou",
"away_team_public_id": "5JiCrC0TNboIZF",
"away_team_slug": "hluboka-nad-vltavou",
"country_code": "CZ",
"country_display_name": "Czech-Republic",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/cz.svg",
"country_id": 43,
"country_name": "Czech-Republic",
"fixture_id": 1562281,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_goal_display": null,
"home_team_country": "Czech-Republic",
"home_team_display_name": "Doubravka",
"home_team_id": 7285,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/7285.webp",
"home_team_name": "Doubravka",
"home_team_public_id": "4eswqQ9CcKgOAk",
"home_team_slug": "doubravka",
"ht.home_team_slug": "doubravka",
"league_country": "Czech-Republic",
"league_country_display": "Czech-Republic",
"league_display_name": "4. Liga - Divizie A Republik Czech",
"league_id": 350,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/350.webp",
"league_name": "4. Liga - Divizie A Republik Czech",
"league_public_id": "60uzpt8N1W7FlN",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-09-26 14:30:00",
"public_id": "4wgID4T1v3MJ6f",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"score_penalty_away": null,
"score_penalty_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": null,
"venue_name": null
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
"pred_conf_md_few_books_ou",
"pred_conf_md_few_books_btts"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
"Few bookmakers for O/U odds (edge less reliable) (\u22120.5)",
"Few bookmakers for BTTS odds (edge less reliable) (\u22120.5)"
],
"score": 5.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.5278,
"best_odd": 1.83,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0423,
"ev": -0.19,
"implied_prob": 0.485,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.485,
"draw": 0.2445,
"home": 0.2706
},
"model_prob": 0.4048,
"p_final": 0.4426
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2777,
"best_odd": 3.63,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0138,
"ev": -0.0626,
"implied_prob": 0.2445,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.485,
"draw": 0.2445,
"home": 0.2706
},
"model_prob": 0.2941,
"p_final": 0.2582
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.2862,
"best_odd": 3.28,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0088,
"ev": -0.0838,
"implied_prob": 0.2706,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.485,
"draw": 0.2445,
"home": 0.2706
},
"model_prob": 0.3012,
"p_final": 0.2793
}
},
"1x2_outlier": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "legacy_max_odd",
"away": {
"best_odd": 1.83,
"edge": -0.1417,
"ev": -0.2592,
"implied_prob": 0.5464,
"model_prob": 0.4048
},
"draw": {
"best_odd": 3.63,
"edge": 0.0186,
"ev": 0.0675,
"implied_prob": 0.2755,
"model_prob": 0.2941
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"best_odd": 3.28,
"edge": -0.0037,
"ev": -0.0122,
"implied_prob": 0.3049,
"model_prob": 0.3012
}
},
"btts": {
"alpha_no": 0.1017,
"alpha_yes": 0.1398,
"best_no_odd": 2.85,
"best_yes_odd": 1.4,
"btts_ev_mode": "market_first_available",
"edge_no": 0.1286,
"edge_yes": -0.1286,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.3053,
"ev_no_risk_adj": -0.0239,
"ev_yes": -0.2412,
"ev_yes_risk_adj": -0.0863,
"implied_no": 0.3294,
"implied_yes": 0.6706,
"market_first": {
"available": true,
"mode": "market_first_btts",
"n_bookmakers": 1,
"no": {
"alpha": 0.1017,
"best_odd": 2.85,
"edge": 0.0131,
"ev": -0.0239,
"implied_prob": 0.3294,
"model_prob": 0.458,
"p_final": 0.3425
},
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"yes": {
"alpha": 0.1398,
"best_odd": 1.4,
"edge": -0.018,
"ev": -0.0863,
"implied_prob": 0.6706,
"model_prob": 0.542,
"p_final": 0.6526
}
},
"n_bookmakers": 1,
"p_final_no": 0.3425,
"p_final_yes": 0.6526,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"reliability": "low"
},
"ou25": {
"alpha_over": 0.1311,
"alpha_under": 0.0953,
"best_over_odd": 1.41,
"best_under_odd": 2.59,
"consensus_over_odd": 1.405,
"consensus_under_odd": 2.545,
"edge_over": -0.1623,
"edge_under": 0.1623,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.3204,
"ev_over_risk_adj": -0.1246,
"ev_under": 0.3416,
"ev_under_risk_adj": -0.0554,
"implied_over": 0.6443,
"implied_over_mf": 0.6443,
"implied_under": 0.3557,
"implied_under_mf": 0.3557,
"market_first": {
"available": true,
"mode": "market_first_ou",
"n_bookmakers": 2,
"over": {
"alpha": 0.1311,
"best_odd": 1.405,
"edge": -0.0213,
"ev": -0.1246,
"implied_prob": 0.6443,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"p_final": 0.623
},
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"under": {
"alpha": 0.0953,
"best_odd": 2.545,
"edge": 0.0155,
"ev": -0.0554,
"implied_prob": 0.3557,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"p_final": 0.3712
}
},
"n_bookmakers": 2,
"ou_ev_mode": "market_first_available",
"p_final_over": 0.623,
"p_final_under": 0.3712,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"reliability": "low"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.5.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_consensus_ev": 0.3416,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.3416,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.3416,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"breakdown_v2": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV"
],
"score": 7.8,
"score_v1_legacy": 6.5,
"score_v2_pre_penalty": 7.8,
"strength_v2": true
},
"decision_strength_v2": {
"breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV"
],
"score": 7.8,
"score_pre_penalty": 7.8
},
"decision_type": "PRIMARY",
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"final_action": "primary",
"final_decision": {
"action": "primary",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 8.1,
"key": "agree",
"label": "Agree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "moderate",
"probability_gap_pp": 8.1,
"summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Hluboka nad Vltavou)."
},
"alignment_key": "agree",
"best_consensus_ev": 0.3416,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.3416,
"confidence_band": "High",
"decision_strength": 7.8,
"decision_strength_v1": 6.5,
"decision_strength_v2": 7.8,
"decision_type": "PRIMARY",
"execution_confidence": 87,
"extreme_disagreement": false,
"final_verdict_audit": {
"action": "Compare best available odds before sizing.",
"action_label": "Action",
"decision": "Primary Bet",
"is_primary": true,
"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Hluboka nad Vltavou at 40.5%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 48.5%.",
"why": [
{
"text": "Decision Model identifies Hluboka nad Vltavou as the value side (40.5%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Market broadly agrees with the direction",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Consensus EV, reliability/execution, and calibration cleared Primary gates",
"tone": "ok"
}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
"gap_pp": 8.0,
"gates_failed": [],
"has_top_pick": true,
"headline": "Primary Bet",
"hero_mode": "default",
"icon": "\u2713",
"label": "Primary Bet \u2014 Market-confirmed value",
"market_signal": "Market aligns with model lean",
"model_conflict_detail": null,
"model_lean": "Hluboka nad Vltavou",
"no_primary_reasons": null,
"outlier_detected": false,
"outlier_excluded_panel": "",
"primary_allowed": true,
"primary_block_explain": null,
"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +34.2% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration Clear \u2705 \u2192 Primary eligible. Decision Strength 7.8/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +34.2% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: Clear \u2192 Primary eligible \u00b7 Decision Strength 7.8/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
"items": [
{
"key": "extreme_gap",
"label": "Extreme gap",
"ok": true,
"value": "no"
},
{
"key": "xg_calibration",
"label": "xG calibration",
"ok": true,
"value": "ok"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": true,
"value": "83 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": true,
"value": "87 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": true,
"value": "agree"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+34.2% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 8,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": "market_confirmed",
"reasons": [
"Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Hluboka nad Vltavou).",
"Decision strength: 7.8/10"
],
"reliability_score": 83,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV"
],
"subline": "Market-confirmed consensus value \u2014 steam supports the model lean. Size carefully.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "actionable",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.19,
"consensus_ev_display": "-19.0%",
"consensus_odds": 1.83,
"disagreement_label": "Moderate",
"disagreement_level": "moderate",
"implied_prob": 0.485,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.4048,
"raw_edge_display": "-8.0 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": -8.0,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.5464480874316939,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.2592,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-25.9%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": false,
"calibration_status": "ok",
"deviation_pct": 4.4,
"reasons": [],
"recommended_action": "ok",
"strength_delta": 0.0,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "ok",
"block_value_alert": false,
"separation_score": 0,
"strength_delta": 0.0,
"xg_gap": 0.22
}
}
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.542,
"draw_prob": 0.2941,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4048,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.22
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"hero_mode": "default",
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"consensus_odds": 1.83,
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0423,
"ev": -0.19,
"implied_prob": 0.485,
"max_ev_side": "draw",
"model_prob": 0.4048,
"side": "away",
"side_label": "Hluboka nad Vltavou"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.1017,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 2.85,
"edge": 0.0131,
"market_prob": 0.3294,
"mode": "market_first_btts",
"model_prob": 0.458,
"n_bookmakers": 1,
"no": {
"alpha": 0.1017,
"best_odd": 2.85,
"edge": 0.0131,
"ev": -0.0239,
"implied_prob": 0.3294,
"model_prob": 0.458,
"p_final": 0.3425
},
"p_final": 0.3425,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"risk_adj_ev": -0.0239,
"value_side": "no",
"yes": {
"alpha": 0.1398,
"best_odd": 1.4,
"edge": -0.018,
"ev": -0.0863,
"implied_prob": 0.6706,
"model_prob": 0.542,
"p_final": 0.6526
}
},
"edge": 0.1286,
"ev": 0.3053,
"implied_prob": 0.3294,
"model_prob": 0.458,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.0953,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 2.545,
"edge": 0.0155,
"market_prob": 0.3557,
"mode": "market_first_ou",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"n_bookmakers": 2,
"over": {
"alpha": 0.1311,
"best_odd": 1.405,
"edge": -0.0213,
"ev": -0.1246,
"implied_prob": 0.6443,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"p_final": 0.623
},
"p_final": 0.3712,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"risk_adj_ev": -0.0554,
"under": {
"alpha": 0.0953,
"best_odd": 2.545,
"edge": 0.0155,
"ev": -0.0554,
"implied_prob": 0.3557,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"p_final": 0.3712
},
"value_side": "under"
},
"edge": 0.1623,
"ev": 0.3416,
"implied_prob": 0.3557,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1562281,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.3416,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.4048,
"draw": 0.2941,
"home": 0.3012
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.3053,
"implied_prob": 0.3294,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.458,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.3053,
"implied_prob": 0.3294,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.458,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"show_betting_primary_label": true,
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Hluboka nad Vltavou",
"home": "Doubravka"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.109,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.3416,
"implied_prob": 0.3557,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2,
"value_context_1x2": {
"consensus_ev": -0.19,
"consensus_ev_display": "-19.0%",
"consensus_odds": 1.83,
"disagreement_label": "Moderate",
"disagreement_level": "moderate",
"implied_prob": 0.485,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.4048,
"raw_edge_display": "-8.0 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": -8.0,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.5464480874316939,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.2592,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-25.9%"
}
}
},
"fixture_id": 1562281,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-09-26T14:29:17.468669+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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Langgan Sekarang
4. Liga - Divizie A Republik Czech — Kedudukan
| # | PASUKAN | P | M | S | K | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Křimice | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 18 |
| 2 | Spartak Příbram | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 |
| 3 | Petřín Plzeň | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 |
| 4 | Komárov | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 5 | Hluboka nad Vltavou | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 6 | Hořovicko | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 7 | Táborsko II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
| 8 | Spartak Soběslav | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 | Doubravka | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 |
| 10 | Strakonice | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 11 | Rokycany | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 |
| 12 | Slavoj Český Krumlov | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 |
| 13 | Jiskra Domažlice II | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 |
| 14 | Milevsko | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
| 15 | Nyrsko | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| # | PASUKAN | P | J | B | +/- | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Příbram | 7 | 20 | 7 | +13 | 17 |
| 2 | Křimice | 8 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 18 |
| 3 | Petřín Plzeň | 8 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 16 |
| 4 | Spartak Soběslav | 6 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 10 |
| 5 | Hluboka nad Vltavou | 7 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 15 |
| 6 | Strakonice | 6 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 7 |
| 7 | Hořovicko | 8 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 14 |
| 8 | Táborsko II | 7 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 11 |
| 9 | Doubravka | 8 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Komárov | 8 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 16 |
| 11 | Slavoj Český Krumlov | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 6 |
| 12 | Nyrsko | 7 | 6 | 23 | -17 | 0 |
| 13 | Rokycany | 7 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Jiskra Domažlice II | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 3 |
| 15 | Milevsko | 7 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 2 |
