Ramalan yang boleh dipercayai
Ringkasan:
Kedua-dua {pasukan} kurus, tetapi harga pasaran mereka lebih tinggi (46.4% vs model 36.6%). Kelebihan kekal sederhana dan perlawanan kekal terbuka.
Log masuk untuk melihat keputusan pertaruhan penuh
Daftar percuma untuk membuka kunci keputusan pertaruhan akhir — pasaran mana lulus, di mana +EV mungkin wujud, dan amaran steam.
Anggaran saksama dan harga pasaran berbeza secara sederhana. Pantau sebelum sepak mula.
Pasaran dan model secara umum bersetuju dengan EC São Bernardo U20. Perbezaan yang selebihnya mungkin mencerminkan perbezaan dalam andaian kekuatan pasukan dan bukannya perselisihan arah.
Walau bagaimanapun, XV de Piracicaba U20 telah menyaksikan hanyut — kemungkinan dipanjangkan dengan 0.0%, mencadangkan sokongan yang lemah.
Aktiviti pasaran kini tertumpu pada XV de Piracicaba U20.
| Hasil | Adil | Pasaran | Tepi |
|---|---|---|---|
| XV de Piracicaba U20 | 33.77% | 27.06% | +6.7 pp |
| Seri | 29.64% | 26.58% | +3.1 pp |
| EC São Bernardo U20 | 36.59% | 46.35% | -9.8 pp |
Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.
Kecekapan harga pasaran berbeza secara berbeza — 1X2 boleh menjadi hantaran sementara pasaran matlamat masih menunjukkan kelebihan.
Peringkat semasa: Pemantauan pasaran
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
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"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
],
"score": 4.0
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "C",
"stake_factor": 0.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
"draw_prob": 0.2965,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.366,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.06
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.036,
"hero_display_only": true,
"implied_prob": 0.4749,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "hero_display",
"side": "under",
"slot": "hero_display"
},
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.05,
"ev": -0.1936,
"implied_prob": 0.4635,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.366,
"side": "away",
"side_label": "EC S\u00e3o Bernardo U20"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "lean",
"edge": 0.0082,
"ev": -0.0536,
"implied_prob": 0.4468,
"model_prob": 0.455,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0431,
"ev": 0.036,
"implied_prob": 0.4749,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1547257,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": false,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": "pred_regime_exec_no_actionable",
"insight_line_key": "pred_regime_insight_minor_inefficiency",
"max_valid_ev": 0.036,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": true
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.366,
"draw": 0.2965,
"home": 0.3375
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "EC S\u00e3o Bernardo U20",
"home": "XV de Piracicaba U20"
},
"top_pick": null,
"valid_markets_count": 1
}
},
"fixture_id": 1547257,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T12:49:23.815479+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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