Ya 61.3% · Tidak 38.7%
EV Ya -14.2% · EV No +16.1%
Condong nilai: BTTS Tidak
Penilaian Ramalan
Berhati-hatilah
- Kegemaran
- Hørsholm-Usserød Perlawanan seimbang
- Kebarangkalian model
- 40.4%
- Kebarangkalian pasaran
- 30.0%
- Perjanjian pasaran
- Lemah
- Pengesahan
- Amaran
Ringkasan:
Model dan pasaran kedua-dua lean {pasukan}, tetapi kedua-duanya tidak menunjukkan kegemaran yang dominan. Seri dan Næsby kekal munasabah — ini perlawanan yang agak terbuka.
Log masuk untuk melihat keputusan pertaruhan penuh
Daftar percuma untuk membuka kunci keputusan pertaruhan akhir — pasaran mana lulus, di mana +EV mungkin wujud, dan amaran steam.
Audit Pasaran
- Perjanjian pasaran
- Lemah
- Pengesahan
- Amaran
- Jurang terbesar
- Næsby -14.5 pp
- Keluasan
- 7/7
- Aktiviti pasaran semasa
- Belum ada pergerakan arah yang bermakna.
Anggaran saksama berbeza dengan ketara daripada harga pasaran semasa. Ini mungkin mencerminkan ketidaksetujuan yang tulen atau input penilaian yang tidak lengkap.
Penilaian Pasaran
Pasaran secara material lebih optimistik tentang {pasukan} daripada anggaran saksama semasa.
Walau bagaimanapun, Hørsholm-Usserød telah menyaksikan hanyut — kemungkinan dipanjangkan dengan 0.0%, mencadangkan sokongan yang lemah.
Aktiviti pasaran kini tertumpu pada Hørsholm-Usserød.
- Pelabur mungkin memasukkan maklumat yang tidak dicerminkan sepenuhnya dalam model garis dasar.
- Konteks khusus kejohanan boleh mengalihkan harga pasaran.
| Hasil | Adil | Pasaran | Tepi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hørsholm-Usserød | 40.36% | 29.98% | +10.4 pp |
| Seri | 27.21% | 23.1% | +4.1 pp |
| Næsby | 32.43% | 46.92% | -14.5 pp |
Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.
Keputusan pertaruhan akhir
Kecekapan harga pasaran berbeza secara berbeza — 1X2 boleh menjadi hantaran sementara pasaran matlamat masih menunjukkan kelebihan.
- Nilai yang mungkin pada 1X2: Hørsholm-Usserød (+1.4% EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
- Nilai yang mungkin: Kurang 2.5 (+25%+ EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
- Nilai yang mungkin: BTTS Tidak (+16.1% EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
- Significant line move — see market context below.
Sabitan sederhana (6.5/10) — satu baris terpilih, bukan parlay berbilang pasaran.
Laman pertaruhan premium 1xBet: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo 1x_3342271. Daftar sekarang
Pilihan utama (+EV tertinggi)
Kurang 2.5
— Nilai
Hørsholm-Usserød · Kebarangkalian model 40.3%
Konsensus pasaran (3 hala) 30.0%
EV garisan konsensus: +1.4%
Paling berkemungkinan
1-1
Kebarangkalian 11.2%
Skor tepat berisiko tinggi — pertaruhan kecil untuk hiburan sahaja.
Keputusan pertaruhan (model lwn. EV pasaran)
Nilai peluang — Sekurang-kurangnya satu pasaran menunjukkan anggaran +EV pada kemungkinan perpuluhan terbaik semasa (ambang: 2.0%).
Kekuatan keputusan: 6.5 / 10
- Barisan utama dikenal pasti (+1.0)
- EV utama melebihi 10% (+1.0)
- Kebarangkalian maksimum 1X2 di bawah 50% (tiada 1X2 dominan) (−1.0)
- Dua atau lebih baris +EV yang sah pada ambang (+0.5)
O/U 2.5:
EV Selesai -19.9% ·
EV Di Bawah +25%+
(6 pasangan buku)
BTTS: EV Ya -14.2% · EV No +16.1%
BTTS: EV Ya -14.2% · EV No +16.1%
Hørsholm-Usserød market context before kickoff
⚠️ Pasaran tidak stabil on Hørsholm-Usserød
- Odds move
- 3.00 → 3.00 (+0.0%)
- Market breadth
- 7/7
- Steam score
- 30 (C)
- Current status
- Tracked markets may still show +EV at best odds.
Steam detected. Model value still remains on tracked markets — compare EV cards above.
Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.
Kitaran Hayat Keputusan
Peringkat semasa: Amaran pengesahan model
- Ramalan Dijana
- Pasaran Berbanding
- Pengesahan Lulus
- Penutupan Dirakam
- CLV Dinilai
- Kemasukan
- 1.91
- Penutup
- Belum selesai
- CLV
- Belum selesai
Enjin Keputusan OddsGPT v2.2.0
Sentiasa diperhalusi menggunakan prestasi model, data pasaran dan keputusan sejarah.
Semak Odds di 1xBet
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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{
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"label": "BTTS Yes",
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{
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"fair_prob_pct": 32.43,
"hero_side": "away",
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"status": "market_ahead",
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},
"divergence_label": "Strong model-market divergence",
"divergence_level": "strong",
"divergence_level_label": "Strong divergence",
"divergence_note": "The fair estimate differs noticeably from current market pricing. This may reflect genuine disagreement or incomplete rating inputs.",
"divergence_tier": "strong",
"edge_label": "Strong disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "strong_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Balanced match",
"favourite_label": "H\u00f8rsholm-Usser\u00f8d",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
"headline": "Balanced match",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_prob_pct": 30.0,
"model_prob_pct": 40.4,
"outcome_separation_tier": "medium",
"paragraphs": [],
"reliability_headline": "Use caution",
"reliability_icon": "!",
"reliability_tier": "caution",
"summary": "The model and market both lean H\u00f8rsholm-Usser\u00f8d, but neither indicates a dominant favourite. Draw and N\u00e6sby remain plausible \u2014 this is a relatively open match.",
"tier": "balanced",
"title": "Forecast Assessment",
"validation_label": "Warning"
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
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},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -14.49,
"hero_label": "N\u00e6sby",
"hero_side": "away",
"market_activity": "No meaningful directional movement yet.",
"market_agreement": "weak",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"Investors may be incorporating information not fully reflected in the baseline model.",
"Tournament-specific context can shift market pricing."
],
"follow_up": "However, H\u00f8rsholm-Usser\u00f8d has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 0.0%, suggesting weakening support.",
"gap_tier": "strong",
"lead": "The market is materially more optimistic about N\u00e6sby than the current fair estimate.",
"note": "Market activity is currently concentrated on H\u00f8rsholm-Usser\u00f8d.",
"paragraphs": [
"The market is materially more optimistic about N\u00e6sby than the current fair estimate.",
"However, H\u00f8rsholm-Usser\u00f8d has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 0.0%, suggesting weakening support.",
"Market activity is currently concentrated on H\u00f8rsholm-Usser\u00f8d."
],
"quiet_market": false,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
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"Broad sportsbook alignment (7/7) supports the current market view on H\u00f8rsholm-Usser\u00f8d."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"max_gap_pp": 14.49,
"model_validation": {
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"status": "warning"
},
"model_validation_label": "Warning",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
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"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 7.9 pp (at 40.4%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 7.9,
"max_prob_pct": 40.4,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "medium",
"tier_label": "Medium"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Medium",
"rows": [
{
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"fair_prob_pct": 40.36,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "H\u00f8rsholm-Usser\u00f8d",
"market_prob_pct": 29.98,
"side": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 4.11,
"fair_prob_pct": 27.21,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 23.1,
"side": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -14.49,
"fair_prob_pct": 32.43,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "N\u00e6sby",
"market_prob_pct": 46.92,
"side": "away"
}
],
"status": "market_ahead",
"status_label": "Market Ahead",
"steam_note": "Market activity is currently concentrated on H\u00f8rsholm-Usser\u00f8d.",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers N\u00e6sby (30.0%).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 H\u00f8rsholm-Usser\u00f8d, Market \u2192 N\u00e6sby, Recent sharp money \u2192 recent line movement.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
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"closing_odds": null,
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"context": "match",
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"entry_implied_pct": 52.36,
"entry_odds": 1.91,
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{
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"id": "forecast_generated",
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"status": "done"
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{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
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},
{
"detail": "",
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{
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"id": "closing_recorded",
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{
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"id": "clv_evaluated",
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},
"market_move_intelligence": {
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},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "7/7",
"current_odds": 3.0,
"move_display": "+0.0%",
"open_odds": 3.0,
"pick_team": "H\u00f8rsholm-Usser\u00f8d",
"steam_score": 30,
"steam_team_name": "H\u00f8rsholm-Usser\u00f8d",
"steam_tier": "C"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 14.5,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 8635,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/8635.webp",
"away_team_name": "N\u00e6sby",
"country_code": "DK",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/dk.svg",
"country_name": "Denmark",
"fixture_id": 1540538,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "Denmark",
"home_team_id": 11507,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/11507.webp",
"home_team_name": "H\u00f8rsholm-Usser\u00f8d",
"league_country": "Denmark",
"league_id": 862,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/862.webp",
"league_name": "3. Division",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-06-13 12:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": "Rungsted Kyst",
"venue_name": null
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.47,
"best_odd": 1.91,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0679,
"ev": -0.2334,
"implied_prob": 0.4692,
"model_prob": 0.3248,
"p_final": 0.4014
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2816,
"best_odd": 3.88,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0115,
"ev": -0.0591,
"implied_prob": 0.231,
"model_prob": 0.2718,
"p_final": 0.2425
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.3801,
"best_odd": 2.99,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0394,
"ev": 0.014,
"implied_prob": 0.2998,
"model_prob": 0.4034,
"p_final": 0.3391
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 3.0,
"best_yes_odd": 1.4,
"edge_no": 0.0707,
"edge_yes": -0.0707,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.161,
"ev_yes": -0.1418,
"implied_no": 0.3163,
"implied_yes": 0.6837,
"n_bookmakers": 4,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.4,
"best_under_odd": 3.2,
"edge_over": -0.1135,
"edge_under": 0.1135,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.1992,
"ev_under": 0.3696,
"implied_over": 0.6855,
"implied_under": 0.3145,
"n_bookmakers": 6,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.98,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.3696,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5927\u5f00\u5927\u5408\uff08\u8fdb\u7403\u578b\uff09",
"scoring_type": "high_scoring",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.613,
"draw_prob": 0.2718,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4034,
"over_prob": 0.572,
"total_xg": 2.98,
"under_prob": 0.428,
"xg_diff": 0.18
},
"type": "high_scoring",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.0394,
"ev": 0.014,
"implied_prob": 0.2998,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.4034,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "H\u00f8rsholm-Usser\u00f8d"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0707,
"ev": 0.161,
"implied_prob": 0.3163,
"model_prob": 0.387,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1135,
"ev": 0.3696,
"implied_prob": 0.3145,
"model_prob": 0.428,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1540538,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.3696,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3248,
"draw": 0.2718,
"home": 0.4034
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "N\u00e6sby",
"home": "H\u00f8rsholm-Usser\u00f8d"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.150279,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.3696,
"implied_prob": 0.3145,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.428,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1540538,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T08:18:57.178354+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
- Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
- Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
- Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.
Terokai Kandungan Ramalan Lain
Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Hørsholm-Usserød & Næsby!
Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.
Langgan Sekarang
3. Division — Kedudukan
| # | PASUKAN | P | M | S | K | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nykobing FC | 22 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 55 |
| 2 | FA 2000 | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 42 |
| 3 | Næsby | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 36 |
| 4 | Brønshøj | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 32 |
| 5 | Vanløse | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 31 |
| 6 | Hørsholm-Usserød | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 29 |
| 7 | Frem | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 28 |
| 8 | Holbæk B&I | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 26 |
| 9 | Vejgaard B | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 26 |
| 10 | Sundby | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 24 |
| 11 | Odder | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 21 |
| 12 | Lyseng | 22 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 17 |
| # | PASUKAN | P | J | B | +/- | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nykobing FC | 22 | 53 | 17 | +36 | 55 |
| 2 | Holbæk B&I | 22 | 43 | 33 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 | Næsby | 22 | 42 | 39 | +3 | 36 |
| 4 | Hørsholm-Usserød | 22 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 29 |
| 5 | Brønshøj | 22 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 32 |
| 6 | FA 2000 | 22 | 33 | 23 | +10 | 42 |
| 7 | Sundby | 22 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 24 |
| 8 | Vanløse | 22 | 30 | 27 | +3 | 31 |
| 9 | Vejgaard B | 22 | 30 | 46 | -16 | 26 |
| 10 | Odder | 22 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 21 |
| 11 | Frem | 22 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 28 |
| 12 | Lyseng | 22 | 14 | 38 | -24 | 17 |
UEFA Champions League
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