The model missed the final outcome (Iskra Smolensk win 2–3).
The model had projected Dinamo Vologda at 38.5%, but the full-time result went the other way.
Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa
Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.
- Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 matlamat) ✖ tak betul
- Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Ya Ya ✔ Betul
- 1X2 Dinamo Vologda Iskra Smolensk ✖ tak betul
- Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-3 ✖ tak betul
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.60) — 5 goals materialised
- Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
What failed
- Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Under 2.5; match finished Over 2.5 (5 goals)
- 1X2: model leaned Dinamo Vologda; match finished Iskra Smolensk
Market lesson
The full-time result was Iskra Smolensk win 2–3, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.
Garis Masa Ramalan
Cara ramalan ini beralih daripada ramalan kepada semakan sepenuh masa.
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Aug 31, 2026 · 07:24 UTC Forecast generated
- xG · Dinamo Vologda 1.37 — Iskra Smolensk 1.23
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Sep 06, 2026 · 14:00 UTC Kickoff
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FT Full-time result Iskra Smolensk win · 2–3
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FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
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Archived Prediction review
Gambar Sejarah
Dibekukan pada sepak mula — keluaran model seperti sebelum perlawanan bermula.
Metrik pra-padanan (konteks sejarah)
- Validation: Pending
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Validation Report
Immutable SnapshotModel Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Semakan Soalan Lazim
- Sejauh manakah ramalan itu tepat?
- Halaman ini menilai pasaran berarah (1X2, Lebih/Bawah 2.5, BTTS) berbanding keputusan sepenuh masa. Gred ramalan menggambarkan bilangan pasaran yang dijejaki itu sepadan dengan realiti.
- Apakah ukuran Ketepatan xG?
- Ketepatan xG membandingkan profil matlamat jangkaan pra-perlawanan model dengan garis skor sebenar — bukan sama ada setiap pasaran mencecah. Semakan arah yang kukuh boleh wujud bersama dengan skor ketepatan xG yang sederhana.
- Mengapakah skor tepat tidak diramalkan?
- Hasil skor betul ialah ekor berkemungkinan rendah walaupun model membaca profil padanan dengan baik. Kami menyerlahkan tong skor tertinggi untuk konteks; kehilangan baris tepat tidak membatalkan semakan arah.
- Adakah ini meningkatkan rekod AI?
- Setiap perlawanan selesai dilog masuk dalam saluran paip pengesahan kami. Kadar hit teragregat dan kajian CLV diterbitkan secara berasingan — halaman ini ialah jejak audit setiap perlawanan.
Ramalan adalah untuk tujuan maklumat sahaja. Sentiasa berjudi dengan penuh tanggungjawab dan dalam had anda. Prestasi masa lalu tidak menjamin hasil masa depan.
Terokai Kandungan Ramalan Lain
Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Dinamo Vologda & Iskra Smolensk!
Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.
Langgan Sekarang
Liga Kedua Rusia - Kumpulan 2 — Kedudukan
| # | PASUKAN | P | M | S | K | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Murom | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 44 |
| 1 | Sevastopol | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 |
| 2 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 42 |
| 2 | Shahter Taganrog | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 30 |
| 3 | Luki-Energiya | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 42 |
| 3 | Rostov II | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 29 |
| 4 | Baltika II | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 40 |
| 4 | Nart Cherkessk | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24 |
| 5 | Chertanovo Moscow | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 39 |
| 5 | Kyzyltash | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 |
| 6 | Torpedo Vladimir | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32 |
| 6 | Spartak Nalchik | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 23 |
| 7 | Kosmos Dolgoprudny | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 28 |
| 7 | Druzhba Maykop | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Tver | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 24 |
| 8 | Pobeda | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 |
| 9 | Cherepovets | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 24 |
| 9 | Rubin Yalta | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20 |
| 10 | Zvezda St. Petersburg | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 24 |
| 10 | Lugansk | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 |
| 11 | Dinamo Vologda | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 |
| 11 | Izberbash | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 15 |
| 12 | Spartak Moscow 2 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 23 |
| 12 | Angust Nazran | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 13 |
| 13 | Yenisey II | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 19 |
| 13 | Astrakhan | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 |
| 14 | Iskra Smolensk | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 |
| 14 | Dynamo Makhachkala II | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | Irkutsk | 21 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 11 |
| 15 | FK Chayka 2 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 |
| 16 | PSK Dinskaya | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # | PASUKAN | P | J | B | +/- | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baltika II | 21 | 42 | 23 | +19 | 40 |
| 2 | Chertanovo Moscow | 21 | 39 | 18 | +21 | 39 |
| 3 | Luki-Energiya | 21 | 36 | 18 | +18 | 42 |
| 4 | Murom | 21 | 35 | 17 | +18 | 44 |
| 5 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 20 | 32 | 10 | +22 | 42 |
| 6 | Tver | 21 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 24 |
| 7 | Zvezda St. Petersburg | 20 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 24 |
| 8 | Rostov II | 14 | 28 | 14 | +14 | 29 |
| 9 | Dinamo Vologda | 20 | 28 | 25 | +3 | 23 |
| 10 | Pobeda | 14 | 26 | 16 | +10 | 21 |
| 11 | Torpedo Vladimir | 20 | 25 | 20 | +5 | 32 |
| 12 | Shahter Taganrog | 14 | 24 | 9 | +15 | 30 |
| 13 | Kosmos Dolgoprudny | 21 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 28 |
| 14 | Sevastopol | 14 | 23 | 9 | +14 | 32 |
| 15 | Yenisey II | 21 | 23 | 40 | -17 | 19 |
| 16 | Kyzyltash | 14 | 22 | 17 | +5 | 23 |
| 17 | Spartak Nalchik | 14 | 21 | 10 | +11 | 23 |
| 18 | Spartak Moscow 2 | 21 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
| 19 | Cherepovets | 20 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 24 |
| 20 | Nart Cherkessk | 14 | 19 | 10 | +9 | 24 |
| 21 | Iskra Smolensk | 21 | 19 | 44 | -25 | 15 |
| 22 | Rubin Yalta | 14 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 20 |
| 23 | Druzhba Maykop | 14 | 17 | 14 | +3 | 22 |
| 24 | Lugansk | 14 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 15 |
| 25 | Izberbash | 14 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 15 |
| 26 | Astrakhan | 14 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 12 |
| 27 | Irkutsk | 21 | 11 | 46 | -35 | 11 |
| 28 | Dynamo Makhachkala II | 14 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 9 |
| 29 | FK Chayka 2 | 14 | 10 | 32 | -22 | 7 |
| 30 | Angust Nazran | 14 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 13 |
| 31 | PSK Dinskaya | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |