Ya 54.5% · Tidak 45.5%
EV Ya -23.7% · EV No +25%+
Condong nilai: BTTS Tidak
Penilaian Ramalan
Ramalan yang boleh dipercayai
- Kegemaran
- Campbelltown City Perlawanan seimbang
- Kebarangkalian model
- 35.2%
- Kebarangkalian pasaran
- 32.8%
- Perjanjian pasaran
- Sederhana
- Pengesahan
- lulus
Ringkasan:
Model dan pasaran kedua-dua lean {pasukan}, tetapi kedua-duanya tidak menunjukkan kegemaran yang dominan. Seri dan West Torrens Birkalla kekal munasabah — ini perlawanan yang agak terbuka.
Log masuk untuk melihat keputusan pertaruhan penuh
Daftar percuma untuk membuka kunci keputusan pertaruhan akhir — pasaran mana lulus, di mana +EV mungkin wujud, dan amaran steam.
Perisikan Pergerakan Pasaran
- Pergerakan semasa
- Campbelltown City ↑ +9.9% 2.62 → 2.88
- Jenis bergerak
- ⚡ Gerakan dipimpin sharp
- Skor Stim
- 40B
Moderate sharp signal - Keluasan pasaran
- 4/13
- fasa
- Penetapan harga semula tajam
- Buku rujuk
- Bet365
- Pengesahan CLV
- +0.00 pp
Pergerakan terbesar hari ini
Laluan Odds — Campbelltown City
↔ Gerakan beransur-ansur selama 7j 59m
Buka
2.88
Rendah / Tinggi
2.35
semasa
2.88
Naratif Pasaran
Bet365 memimpin penetapan harga pada Campbelltown City (9.9%) — buku tajam bergerak sebelum pasaran lebih luas mengikuti.
Sharper sportsbooks initiated the move, but wider market participation remains limited.
Audit Pasaran
- Perjanjian pasaran
- Sederhana
- Pengesahan
- lulus
- Jurang terbesar
- West Torrens Birkalla -7.0 pp
- Keluasan
- 4/13
- Aktiviti pasaran semasa
- Campbelltown City odds dipanjangkan ↑ +9.9%.
Anggaran saksama dan harga pasaran berbeza secara sederhana. Pantau sebelum sepak mula.
Penilaian Pasaran
Pasaran dan model secara umum bersetuju dengan West Torrens Birkalla. Perbezaan yang selebihnya mungkin mencerminkan perbezaan dalam andaian kekuatan pasukan dan bukannya perselisihan arah.
Walau bagaimanapun, Campbelltown City telah menyaksikan hanyut — kemungkinan dipanjangkan dengan 9.9%, mencadangkan sokongan yang lemah. Pengesahan kekal terhad (4/13 buku), mencadangkan minat awal dan bukannya pergerakan pasaran yang luas.
Hanyut dari Campbelltown City — kemungkinan dipanjangkan dengan 9.9% (mengurangkan sokongan).
- Pantau pergerakan barisan sebelum sepak mula — bukan cadangan pertaruhan.
| Hasil | Adil | Pasaran | Tepi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Campbelltown City | 35.17% | 32.83% | +2.3 pp |
| Seri | 29.65% | 24.96% | +4.7 pp |
| West Torrens Birkalla | 35.17% | 42.21% | -7.0 pp |
Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.
Keputusan pertaruhan akhir
Kecekapan harga pasaran berbeza secara berbeza — 1X2 boleh menjadi hantaran sementara pasaran matlamat masih menunjukkan kelebihan.
- Tiada nilai pada 1X2 (Campbelltown City lwn. odds semasa)
- Nilai yang mungkin: Kurang 2.5 (+25%+ EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
- Nilai yang mungkin: BTTS Tidak (+25%+ EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
Sabitan sederhana (6.5/10) — satu baris terpilih, bukan parlay berbilang pasaran.
Laman pertaruhan premium 1xBet: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo 1x_3342271. Daftar sekarang
Pilihan utama (+EV tertinggi)
Kurang 2.5
— Nilai
Campbelltown City · Kebarangkalian model 35.2%
Konsensus pasaran (3 hala) 32.8%
EV garisan konsensus: -5.6%
Garis pembuat taruhan terbaik yang tersedia: -3.6% EV
Sesetengah odds outlier pembuat taruhan mungkin masih menunjukkan nilai teori kecil berbanding garisan konsensus di atas.
Paling berkemungkinan
1-1
Kebarangkalian 12.6%
Skor tepat berisiko tinggi — pertaruhan kecil untuk hiburan sahaja.
Keputusan pertaruhan (model lwn. EV pasaran)
Nilai peluang — Sekurang-kurangnya satu pasaran menunjukkan anggaran +EV pada kemungkinan perpuluhan terbaik semasa (ambang: 2.0%).
Kekuatan keputusan: 6.5 / 10
- Barisan utama dikenal pasti (+1.0)
- EV utama melebihi 10% (+1.0)
- Kebarangkalian maksimum 1X2 di bawah 50% (tiada 1X2 dominan) (−1.0)
- Dua atau lebih baris +EV yang sah pada ambang (+0.5)
O/U 2.5:
EV Selesai -32.5% ·
EV Di Bawah +25%+
(7 pasangan buku)
BTTS: EV Ya -23.7% · EV No +25%+
BTTS: EV Ya -23.7% · EV No +25%+
Kitaran Hayat Keputusan
Peringkat semasa: Menunggu sepak mula
- Ramalan Dijana
- Pasaran Berbanding
- Pengesahan Lulus
- Penutupan Dirakam
- CLV Dinilai
- Kemasukan
- 2.17
- Penutup
- 2.17
- CLV
- +0.0 pp
Enjin Keputusan OddsGPT v2.2.0
Sentiasa diperhalusi menggunakan prestasi model, data pasaran dan keputusan sejarah.
Semak Odds di 1xBet
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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"headline": "Balanced match",
"market_agreement_label": "Moderate",
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"tier": "balanced",
"title": "Forecast Assessment",
"validation_label": "Pass"
},
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"tier": "low",
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"market_agreement": "moderate",
"market_agreement_label": "Moderate",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
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],
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"gap_tier": "mild",
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"However, Campbelltown City has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 9.9%, suggesting weakening support. Confirmation remains limited (4/13 books), suggesting early interest rather than a broad market move.",
"Drift away from Campbelltown City \u2014 odds lengthened by 9.9% (weakening support)."
],
"quiet_market": false,
"title": "Market Assessment"
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"Market confirmation remains limited (4/13), suggesting an early move rather than a broad consensus."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
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"max_gap_pp": 7.04,
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"status": "pass"
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"outcome_separation": {
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],
"lead_gap_pp": 0.0,
"max_prob_pct": 35.2,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
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"rows": [
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"side": "home"
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{
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"is_hero": false,
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"side": "draw"
},
{
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],
"status": "market_ahead",
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"steam_note": "Drift away from Campbelltown City \u2014 odds lengthened by 9.9% (weakening support).",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
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"paragraphs": [
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"Campbelltown City has attracted notable multi-book line movement (\u2191 +9.9%, 4/13).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Campbelltown City, Market \u2192 West Torrens Birkalla, Recent sharp money \u2192 Campbelltown City.",
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],
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"closing_odds": 2.17,
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 46.08,
"entry_odds": 2.17,
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"model_validation_status": "pass",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Forecast Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"books_reacting": 4,
"books_total": 13,
"breadth_display": "4/13",
"clv_label": "+0.00 pp",
"clv_status": "evaluated",
"current_odds": 2.88,
"move_context": "Largest move today",
"move_display": "\u2191 +9.9%",
"move_pct_abs": 9.9,
"move_speed_icon": "\u2194",
"move_speed_label": "Gradual move over 7h 59m",
"narrative_paragraphs": [
"Bet365 led repricing on Campbelltown City (9.9%) \u2014 sharp book moved before wider follow-through.",
"Sharper sportsbooks initiated the move, but wider market participation remains limited."
],
"narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
"odds_path": {
"display": "2.88 \u2192 2.35 \u2192 2.88",
"move_speed_icon": "\u2194",
"move_speed_label": "Gradual move over 7h 59m",
"pick_team": "Campbelltown City",
"points": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "2.88"
},
{
"label_key": "extreme",
"value": "2.35"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "2.88"
}
],
"sparkline_polyline": "0.0,18.0 28.0,6.2 56.0,0.0",
"sparkline_trend": "up",
"sparkline_trend_label": "One-way rise"
},
"open_odds": 2.62,
"page_alert_line": "",
"phase_label": "Sharp repricing",
"phase_tip": "Aggressive adjustment \u2014 often sharp-led or high consensus.",
"pick_team": "Campbelltown City",
"ref_book": "Bet365",
"seo_title_alert": "",
"sharp_leader": "Bet365",
"show": true,
"signal_badge_class": "confirm",
"signal_icon": "\u26a1",
"signal_key": "sharp_led",
"signal_label": "Sharp-led move",
"steam_score": 40,
"steam_subtitle": "Moderate sharp signal",
"steam_tier": "B",
"title": "Market Move Intelligence"
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "4/13",
"current_odds": 2.88,
"move_display": "\u2191 +9.9%",
"open_odds": 2.62,
"pick_team": "Campbelltown City",
"steam_score": 40,
"steam_team_name": "Campbelltown City",
"steam_tier": "B"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 7.0,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 16769,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/16769.webp",
"away_team_name": "West Torrens Birkalla",
"country_code": "AU",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/au.svg",
"country_name": "Australia",
"fixture_id": 1527078,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "Australia",
"home_team_id": 3791,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/3791.webp",
"home_team_name": "Campbelltown City",
"league_country": "Australia",
"league_id": 194,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/194.webp",
"league_name": "South Australia NPL",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-12 10:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": "Adelaide",
"venue_name": "Steve Woodcock Sports Centre"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.4025,
"best_odd": 2.17,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0283,
"ev": -0.1455,
"implied_prob": 0.4221,
"model_prob": 0.3518,
"p_final": 0.3938
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2789,
"best_odd": 3.67,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0131,
"ev": -0.0361,
"implied_prob": 0.2496,
"model_prob": 0.2965,
"p_final": 0.2627
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4342,
"best_odd": 2.79,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0102,
"ev": -0.0556,
"implied_prob": 0.3283,
"model_prob": 0.3518,
"p_final": 0.3385
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 3.0,
"best_yes_odd": 1.4,
"edge_no": 0.1329,
"edge_yes": -0.1329,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.365,
"ev_yes": -0.237,
"implied_no": 0.3221,
"implied_yes": 0.6779,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.4,
"best_under_odd": 2.85,
"edge_over": -0.1833,
"edge_under": 0.1833,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.3252,
"ev_under": 0.4763,
"implied_over": 0.6653,
"implied_under": 0.3347,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.4763,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
"draw_prob": 0.2965,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3518,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.0
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": 0.0102,
"ev": -0.0556,
"implied_prob": 0.3283,
"max_ev_side": "draw",
"model_prob": 0.3518,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Campbelltown City"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1329,
"ev": 0.365,
"implied_prob": 0.3221,
"model_prob": 0.455,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1833,
"ev": 0.4763,
"implied_prob": 0.3347,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1527078,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.4763,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3518,
"draw": 0.2965,
"home": 0.3518
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.365,
"implied_prob": 0.3221,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.455,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.365,
"implied_prob": 0.3221,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.455,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "West Torrens Birkalla",
"home": "Campbelltown City"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.172706,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.4763,
"implied_prob": 0.3347,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1527078,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T09:59:07.095933+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
- Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
- Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
- Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.
Terokai Kandungan Ramalan Lain
Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Campbelltown City & West Torrens Birkalla!
Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.
Langgan Sekarang
South Australia NPL — Kedudukan
| # | PASUKAN | P | M | S | K | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Playford City Patriots | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 |
| 2 | West Torrens Birkalla | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 |
| 3 | MetroStars | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 |
| 4 | Adelaide City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Sturt Lions | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 |
| 6 | Adelaide United II | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Campbelltown City | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 | FK Beograd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 |
| 9 | Croydon Kings | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 |
| 10 | West Adelaide | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 11 | Adelaide Comets | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| 12 | Para Hills Knights | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
| # | PASUKAN | P | J | B | +/- | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Playford City Patriots | 8 | 24 | 10 | +14 | 19 |
| 2 | MetroStars | 8 | 20 | 10 | +10 | 15 |
| 3 | West Torrens Birkalla | 8 | 18 | 9 | +9 | 19 |
| 4 | Sturt Lions | 8 | 18 | 14 | +4 | 12 |
| 5 | Campbelltown City | 8 | 18 | 14 | +4 | 11 |
| 6 | Adelaide City | 8 | 17 | 9 | +8 | 14 |
| 7 | West Adelaide | 8 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 9 |
| 8 | Adelaide United II | 8 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 12 |
| 9 | FK Beograd | 8 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 | Croydon Kings | 8 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
| 11 | Adelaide Comets | 8 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 1 |
| 12 | Para Hills Knights | 8 | 4 | 39 | -35 | 0 |
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