Audit Ramalan: Karlshamn vs Sölvesborg Ramalan, Odds & Tip Pertaruhan AI

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        "alert_breadth_note": "9/13 sportsbooks confirmed",
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        "steam_tier": "A",
        "title": "Betting Signal"
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          "outcome": "home"
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        {
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          "outcome": "draw"
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        {
          "edge_pp": -1.8,
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          "outcome": "away"
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        {
          "edge_pp": -13.58,
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          "outcome": "over"
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          "edge_pp": 13.58,
          "fair_prob": 51.8,
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          "market_type": "ou25",
          "outcome": "under"
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        {
          "edge_pp": -9.33,
          "fair_prob": 54.5,
          "label": "BTTS Yes",
          "market_prob": 63.83,
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          "outcome": "yes"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": 9.33,
          "fair_prob": 45.5,
          "label": "BTTS No",
          "market_prob": 36.17,
          "market_type": "btts",
          "outcome": "no"
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      "edge_snapshot": {
        "edge_label": "mild_disagreement",
        "edge_pp": 5.25,
        "fair_prob_pct": 29.61,
        "hero_side": "draw",
        "hero_team_name": "Draw",
        "market_prob_pct": 24.36,
        "status": "strong_disagreement",
        "steam_team_name": "S\u00f6lvesborg"
      },
      "fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
      "fair_vs_market": {
        "comparison_available": true,
        "comparison_disabled": false,
        "degraded_note": "",
        "divergence_guard": {
          "divergence_level": "moderate",
          "edge_status": "strong_disagreement",
          "max_gap_pp": 5.25,
          "suppress_hero": false,
          "suppress_value_language": false
        },
        "divergence_label": "Moderate model-market divergence",
        "divergence_level": "moderate",
        "divergence_level_label": "Moderate divergence",
        "divergence_note": "Fair estimate and market pricing differ modestly. Monitor before kickoff.",
        "divergence_tier": "moderate",
        "edge_label": "Mild disagreement",
        "edge_label_key": "mild_disagreement",
        "fair_confidence": "medium",
        "fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
        "fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
        "forecast_assessment": {
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          "favourite_label": "S\u00f6lvesborg",
          "forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
          "headline": "Balanced match",
          "market_agreement_label": "Strong",
          "market_prob_pct": 39.3,
          "model_prob_pct": 37.5,
          "outcome_separation_tier": "low",
          "paragraphs": [],
          "reliability_headline": "Reliable forecast",
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          "reliability_tier": "reliable",
          "summary": "The model and market both lean S\u00f6lvesborg, but neither indicates a dominant favourite. Draw and Karlshamn remain plausible \u2014 this is a relatively open match.",
          "tier": "balanced",
          "title": "Forecast Assessment",
          "validation_label": "Pass"
        },
        "forecast_certainty": {
          "note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
          "tier": "low",
          "tier_label": "Low"
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        "forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
        "has_market_probs": true,
        "hero_edge_pp": 5.25,
        "hero_label": "Draw",
        "hero_side": "draw",
        "market_activity": "S\u00f6lvesborg odds lengthened \u2191 +15.8%.",
        "market_agreement": "strong",
        "market_agreement_label": "Strong",
        "market_interpretation": {
          "bullets": [
            "Monitor line movement before kickoff \u2014 not a betting recommendation."
          ],
          "follow_up": "However, S\u00f6lvesborg has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 15.8%, suggesting weakening support.",
          "gap_tier": "mild",
          "lead": "The fair estimate shows a modest edge over current market pricing on Draw.",
          "note": "Drift away from S\u00f6lvesborg \u2014 odds lengthened by 15.8% (weakening support).",
          "paragraphs": [
            "The fair estimate shows a modest edge over current market pricing on Draw.",
            "However, S\u00f6lvesborg has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 15.8%, suggesting weakening support.",
            "Drift away from S\u00f6lvesborg \u2014 odds lengthened by 15.8% (weakening support)."
          ],
          "quiet_market": false,
          "title": "Market Assessment"
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        "market_narrative": {
          "paragraphs": [
            "The fair estimate still sits above current market pricing on Draw.",
            "At the same time, S\u00f6lvesborg has drifted \u2014 odds lengthened by 15.8%, suggesting weakening support."
          ],
          "title": "Current Market Narrative"
        },
        "max_gap_pp": 5.25,
        "model_validation": {
          "score_label_key": "mi_mv_pass",
          "status": "pass"
        },
        "model_validation_label": "Pass",
        "outcome_separation": {
          "breakdown": [
            "No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
            "Favourite exceeds second outcome by 4.7 pp (at 37.5%)."
          ],
          "lead_gap_pp": 4.7,
          "max_prob_pct": 37.5,
          "note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
          "tier": "low",
          "tier_label": "Low"
        },
        "outcome_separation_label": "Low",
        "rows": [
          {
            "edge_pp": -3.44,
            "fair_prob_pct": 32.85,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "Karlshamn",
            "market_prob_pct": 36.29,
            "side": "home"
          },
          {
            "edge_pp": 5.25,
            "fair_prob_pct": 29.61,
            "is_hero": true,
            "label": "Draw",
            "market_prob_pct": 24.36,
            "side": "draw"
          },
          {
            "edge_pp": -1.8,
            "fair_prob_pct": 37.54,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "S\u00f6lvesborg",
            "market_prob_pct": 39.34,
            "side": "away"
          }
        ],
        "status": "strong_disagreement",
        "status_label": "Strong Disagreement",
        "steam_note": "Drift away from S\u00f6lvesborg \u2014 odds lengthened by 15.8% (weakening support).",
        "unavailable_note": ""
      },
      "interpretation": {
        "has_conflict": false,
        "paragraphs": [
          "The betting market strongly prefers S\u00f6lvesborg (39.3%).",
          "However, S\u00f6lvesborg has attracted one of the strongest multi-book steam moves of the day (\u2191 +15.8%, 9/13).",
          "The model and market both lean S\u00f6lvesborg, but neither indicates a dominant favourite. Draw and Karlshamn remain plausible \u2014 this is a relatively open match."
        ],
        "show": true,
        "title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
      },
      "lifecycle": {
        "closing_implied_pct": 27.4,
        "closing_odds": 3.65,
        "clv_pending": true,
        "clv_pp": 0.0,
        "clv_status": "pending",
        "context": "match",
        "current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
        "current_stage_detail": "",
        "current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
        "entry_implied_pct": 27.4,
        "entry_odds": 3.65,
        "model_validation_label": "Pass",
        "model_validation_status": "pass",
        "stages": [
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "forecast_generated",
            "label": "Forecast Generated",
            "status": "done"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "market_detected",
            "label": "Market Compared",
            "status": "active"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "model_validated",
            "label": "Validation Passed",
            "status": "done"
          },
          {
            "detail": "PRE1",
            "id": "closing_recorded",
            "label": "Closing Recorded",
            "status": "done"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "clv_evaluated",
            "label": "CLV Evaluated",
            "status": "pending"
          }
        ]
      },
      "market_move_intelligence": {
        "books_reacting": 9,
        "books_total": 13,
        "breadth_display": "9/13",
        "clv_label": "+0.00 pp",
        "clv_status": "evaluated",
        "current_odds": 2.2,
        "move_context": "Largest move today",
        "move_display": "\u2191 +15.8%",
        "move_pct_abs": 15.8,
        "move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
        "move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 15h 59m",
        "narrative_paragraphs": [
          "Multi-book steam on S\u00f6lvesborg (15.8%, 9/13) \u2014 aligned shortening, not a single-book blip.",
          "Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation."
        ],
        "narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
        "odds_path": {
          "display": "2.30 \u2192 1.90 \u2192 2.20",
          "move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
          "move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 15h 59m",
          "pick_team": "S\u00f6lvesborg",
          "points": [
            {
              "label_key": "open",
              "value": "2.30"
            },
            {
              "label_key": "extreme",
              "value": "1.90"
            },
            {
              "label_key": "current",
              "value": "2.20"
            }
          ],
          "sparkline_polyline": "0.0,18.0 28.0,0.0 56.0,3.0",
          "sparkline_trend": "up",
          "sparkline_trend_label": "One-way rise"
        },
        "open_odds": 1.9,
        "page_alert_line": "Sharp money alert: S\u00f6lvesborg \u2191 +15.8% market move detected",
        "phase_label": "Sharp repricing",
        "phase_tip": "Aggressive adjustment \u2014 often sharp-led or high consensus.",
        "pick_team": "S\u00f6lvesborg",
        "ref_book": "Bet365",
        "seo_title_alert": "Sharp money alert: S\u00f6lvesborg \u2191 +15.8% market move detected",
        "sharp_leader": "Bet365",
        "show": true,
        "signal_badge_class": "confirm",
        "signal_icon": "\ud83d\udcc8",
        "signal_key": "market_steam",
        "signal_label": "Steam",
        "steam_score": 72,
        "steam_subtitle": "Strong sharp signal",
        "steam_tier": "A",
        "title": "Market Move Intelligence"
      },
      "market_overview": {
        "breadth_display": "9/13",
        "current_odds": 2.2,
        "move_display": "\u2191 +15.8%",
        "open_odds": 1.9,
        "pick_team": "S\u00f6lvesborg",
        "steam_score": 72,
        "steam_team_name": "S\u00f6lvesborg",
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        "title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
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          "CLV tracking",
          "Sharp money signals",
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      "home_team_id": 12615,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/12615.webp",
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      "league_name": "Divisyen 2 - S\u00f6dra G\u00f6taland",
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      "status_long": "Not Started",
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      "venue_city": null,
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          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
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          "Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
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        "side": null
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          "xg_diff": 0.1
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        "typing_weights_enabled": true
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      "longshot_picks": [],
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          "model_prob": 0.3757,
          "side": "away",
          "side_label": "S\u00f6lvesborg"
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          "value_side": "no"
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        "ou_2_5": {
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          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
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        "clear_edge": true,
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        "insight_line_key": null,
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        "use_split_strip": false
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  "generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T16:59:20.216722+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}