AI correctly predicted the Umeå FC win.
The match finished 2–0, validating the model's directional assessment.
Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa
Gred ramalan
A
Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.
- Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 matlamat) ✔ Betul
- Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Tidak ✔ Betul
- 1X2 Umeå FC Umeå FC ✔ Betul
- Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 2-0 ✔ Betul
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Umeå FC attacking xG significantly stronger (1.53 vs 1.07)
- Both Teams To Score (No) matched the full-time result
- Under 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile
Market lesson
The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Umeå FC win 2–0).
Laman pertaruhan premium stake: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo FHn2uDc1. Daftar sekarang
Garis Masa Ramalan
Cara ramalan ini beralih daripada ramalan kepada semakan sepenuh masa.
-
Jun 12, 2026 · 16:59 UTC Forecast generated
- xG · Umeå FC 1.53 — Piteå 1.07
-
Jun 12, 2026 · 17:00 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Umeå FC win · 2–0
-
FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Gambar Sejarah
Dibekukan pada sepak mula — keluaran model seperti sebelum perlawanan bermula.
Keputusan sejarah:
Observe
Keputusan Sejarah
No Primary Bet
Hasil
Validated
Metrik pra-padanan (konteks sejarah)
Kebolehpercayaan Ramalan
57/100
· Moderate
- Validation: Pending
Bukti
★★★★★
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Market Compatibility
100/100
Betting Confidence
59/100
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Umeå FC win · Umeå FC 2–0 Piteå
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
A
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Semakan Soalan Lazim
- Sejauh manakah ramalan itu tepat?
- Halaman ini menilai pasaran berarah (1X2, Lebih/Bawah 2.5, BTTS) berbanding keputusan sepenuh masa. Gred ramalan menggambarkan bilangan pasaran yang dijejaki itu sepadan dengan realiti.
- Apakah ukuran Ketepatan xG?
- Ketepatan xG membandingkan profil matlamat jangkaan pra-perlawanan model dengan garis skor sebenar — bukan sama ada setiap pasaran mencecah. Semakan arah yang kukuh boleh wujud bersama dengan skor ketepatan xG yang sederhana.
- Mengapakah skor tepat tidak diramalkan?
- Hasil skor betul ialah ekor berkemungkinan rendah walaupun model membaca profil padanan dengan baik. Kami menyerlahkan tong skor tertinggi untuk konteks; kehilangan baris tepat tidak membatalkan semakan arah.
- Adakah ini meningkatkan rekod AI?
- Setiap perlawanan selesai dilog masuk dalam saluran paip pengesahan kami. Kadar hit teragregat dan kajian CLV diterbitkan secara berasingan — halaman ini ialah jejak audit setiap perlawanan.
Ramalan adalah untuk tujuan maklumat sahaja. Sentiasa berjudi dengan penuh tanggungjawab dan dalam had anda. Prestasi masa lalu tidak menjamin hasil masa depan.
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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},
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"has_data": true,
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"largest_move_kind": null,
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{
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},
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{
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"alert_breadth_note": "7/13 sportsbooks confirmed",
"alert_move": "\u2191 +13.1%",
"alert_team": "Pite\u00e5",
"alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
"divergence_pp": 13.1,
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"model_prob_pct": 46.3,
"model_team": "Ume\u00e5 FC",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "!",
"status_key": "caution",
"status_label": "Use caution",
"status_line": "Use caution \u2014 signals are mixed",
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"steam_subtitle": "Strong sharp signal",
"steam_tier": "A",
"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"edge_rows": [
{
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},
{
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},
{
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"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": -14.33,
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},
{
"edge_pp": 14.33,
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},
{
"edge_pp": -5.6,
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"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 58.6,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": 5.5,
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"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 41.4,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "strong_disagreement",
"edge_pp": -13.04,
"fair_prob_pct": 46.32,
"hero_side": "home",
"hero_team_name": "Ume\u00e5 FC",
"market_prob_pct": 59.36,
"status": "market_ahead",
"steam_team_name": "Pite\u00e5"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "strong",
"edge_status": "market_ahead",
"max_gap_pp": 13.04,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "Strong model-market divergence",
"divergence_level": "strong",
"divergence_level_label": "Strong divergence",
"divergence_note": "The fair estimate differs noticeably from current market pricing. This may reflect genuine disagreement or incomplete rating inputs.",
"divergence_tier": "strong",
"edge_label": "Strong disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "strong_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Slight favourite",
"favourite_label": "Ume\u00e5 FC",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "medium",
"headline": "Slight edge match",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_prob_pct": 59.4,
"model_prob_pct": 46.3,
"outcome_separation_tier": "medium",
"paragraphs": [],
"reliability_headline": "Use caution",
"reliability_icon": "!",
"reliability_tier": "caution",
"summary": "Model and market lean the same side on Ume\u00e5 FC, but pricing gaps warrant caution.",
"tier": "slight_edge",
"title": "Forecast Assessment",
"validation_label": "Warning"
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "A lead outcome exists, but the match is not one-sided in the model.",
"tier": "medium",
"tier_label": "Medium"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Medium",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -13.04,
"hero_label": "Ume\u00e5 FC",
"hero_side": "home",
"market_activity": "Pite\u00e5 odds lengthened \u2191 +13.1%.",
"market_agreement": "weak",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"Investors may be incorporating information not fully reflected in the baseline model.",
"Tournament-specific context can shift market pricing."
],
"follow_up": "However, Pite\u00e5 has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 13.1%, suggesting weakening support.",
"gap_tier": "strong",
"lead": "The market is materially more optimistic about Ume\u00e5 FC than the current fair estimate.",
"note": "Drift away from Pite\u00e5 \u2014 odds lengthened by 13.1% (weakening support).",
"paragraphs": [
"The market is materially more optimistic about Ume\u00e5 FC than the current fair estimate.",
"However, Pite\u00e5 has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 13.1%, suggesting weakening support.",
"Drift away from Pite\u00e5 \u2014 odds lengthened by 13.1% (weakening support)."
],
"quiet_market": false,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"The market favors Ume\u00e5 FC more strongly than the current fair estimate.",
"At the same time, Pite\u00e5 has drifted \u2014 odds lengthened by 13.1%, suggesting weakening support."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"max_gap_pp": 13.04,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_warning",
"status": "warning"
},
"model_validation_label": "Warning",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 17.6 pp (at 46.3%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 17.6,
"max_prob_pct": 46.3,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "medium",
"tier_label": "Medium"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Medium",
"rows": [
{
"edge_pp": -13.04,
"fair_prob_pct": 46.32,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Ume\u00e5 FC",
"market_prob_pct": 59.36,
"side": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 7.62,
"fair_prob_pct": 28.73,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 21.11,
"side": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": 5.43,
"fair_prob_pct": 24.96,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Pite\u00e5",
"market_prob_pct": 19.53,
"side": "away"
}
],
"status": "market_ahead",
"status_label": "Market Ahead",
"steam_note": "Drift away from Pite\u00e5 \u2014 odds lengthened by 13.1% (weakening support).",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Ume\u00e5 FC (59.4%).",
"However, Pite\u00e5 has attracted one of the strongest multi-book steam moves of the day (\u2191 +13.1%, 7/13).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Ume\u00e5 FC, Market \u2192 Ume\u00e5 FC, Recent sharp money \u2192 Pite\u00e5.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 64.94,
"closing_odds": 1.54,
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 64.94,
"entry_odds": 1.54,
"model_validation_label": "Warning",
"model_validation_status": "warning",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Forecast Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"books_reacting": 7,
"books_total": 13,
"breadth_display": "7/13",
"clv_label": "+0.00 pp",
"clv_status": "evaluated",
"current_odds": 4.75,
"move_context": "Largest move today",
"move_display": "\u2191 +13.1%",
"move_pct_abs": 13.1,
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 15h 59m",
"narrative_paragraphs": [
"Multi-book steam on Pite\u00e5 (13.1%, 7/13) \u2014 aligned shortening, not a single-book blip.",
"Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation."
],
"narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
"odds_path": {
"display": "5.60 \u2192 4.20 \u2192 4.75",
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 15h 59m",
"pick_team": "Pite\u00e5",
"points": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "5.60"
},
{
"label_key": "extreme",
"value": "4.20"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "4.75"
}
],
"sparkline_polyline": "0.0,18.0 28.0,2.3 56.0,0.0",
"sparkline_trend": "up",
"sparkline_trend_label": "One-way rise"
},
"open_odds": 4.2,
"page_alert_line": "Sharp money alert: Pite\u00e5 \u2191 +13.1% market move detected",
"phase_label": "Sharp repricing",
"phase_tip": "Aggressive adjustment \u2014 often sharp-led or high consensus.",
"pick_team": "Pite\u00e5",
"ref_book": "Bet365",
"seo_title_alert": "Sharp money alert: Pite\u00e5 \u2191 +13.1% market move detected",
"sharp_leader": "Bet365",
"show": true,
"signal_badge_class": "confirm",
"signal_icon": "\ud83d\udcc8",
"signal_key": "market_steam",
"signal_label": "Steam",
"steam_score": 61,
"steam_subtitle": "Strong sharp signal",
"steam_tier": "A",
"title": "Market Move Intelligence"
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "7/13",
"current_odds": 4.75,
"move_display": "\u2191 +13.1%",
"open_odds": 4.2,
"pick_team": "Pite\u00e5",
"steam_score": 61,
"steam_team_name": "Pite\u00e5",
"steam_tier": "A"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 13.0,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 11671,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/11671.webp",
"away_team_name": "Pite\u00e5",
"country_code": "SE",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/se.svg",
"country_name": "Sweden",
"fixture_id": 1505186,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "Sweden",
"home_team_id": 6705,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/6705.webp",
"home_team_name": "Ume\u00e5 FC",
"league_country": "Sweden",
"league_id": 563,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/563.webp",
"league_name": "Ettan - Norra",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-12 17:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": "Umea",
"venue_name": "Umea Energi Arena"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.1838,
"best_odd": 4.68,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0099,
"ev": -0.0393,
"implied_prob": 0.1953,
"model_prob": 0.2495,
"p_final": 0.2053
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.1771,
"best_odd": 4.33,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0135,
"ev": -0.0274,
"implied_prob": 0.2111,
"model_prob": 0.2874,
"p_final": 0.2246
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4826,
"best_odd": 1.54,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.063,
"ev": -0.1829,
"implied_prob": 0.5936,
"model_prob": 0.4631,
"p_final": 0.5306
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.3,
"best_yes_odd": 1.62,
"edge_no": 0.055,
"edge_yes": -0.056,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.0787,
"ev_yes": -0.1414,
"implied_no": 0.414,
"implied_yes": 0.586,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.5,
"best_under_odd": 2.55,
"edge_over": -0.1433,
"edge_under": 0.1433,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.277,
"ev_under": 0.3209,
"implied_over": 0.6253,
"implied_under": 0.3747,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.3209,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.53,
"draw_prob": 0.2874,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4631,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.46
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.063,
"ev": -0.1829,
"implied_prob": 0.5936,
"max_ev_side": "draw",
"model_prob": 0.4631,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Ume\u00e5 FC"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.055,
"ev": 0.0787,
"implied_prob": 0.414,
"model_prob": 0.469,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1433,
"ev": 0.3209,
"implied_prob": 0.3747,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1505186,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.3209,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.2495,
"draw": 0.2874,
"home": 0.4631
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Pite\u00e5",
"home": "Ume\u00e5 FC"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.116358,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.3209,
"implied_prob": 0.3747,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1505186,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T16:59:14.458519+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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Langgan Sekarang
Ettan - Norra — Kedudukan
| # | PASUKAN | P | M | S | K | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stockholm Internazionale | 25 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 57 |
| 2 | Arlanda | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 48 |
| 3 | AFC Eskilstuna | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 47 |
| 4 | Hammarby Talang | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 45 |
| 5 | FBK Karlstad | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 43 |
| 6 | Enköping | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 42 |
| 7 | IF Karlstad | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 41 |
| 8 | Assyriska FF | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 32 |
| 9 | Umeå FC | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 32 |
| 10 | Karlberg | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 32 |
| 11 | Gefle IF | 25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 30 |
| 12 | Vasalund | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
| 13 | Sollentuna | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 24 |
| 14 | Piteå | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 22 |
| 15 | Järfälla | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 19 |
| 16 | Stocksund | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 15 |
| # | PASUKAN | P | J | B | +/- | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stockholm Internazionale | 25 | 60 | 20 | +40 | 57 |
| 2 | Hammarby Talang | 25 | 51 | 25 | +26 | 45 |
| 3 | AFC Eskilstuna | 25 | 47 | 34 | +13 | 47 |
| 4 | Arlanda | 25 | 46 | 28 | +18 | 48 |
| 5 | Stocksund | 25 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 15 |
| 6 | Assyriska FF | 25 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 32 |
| 7 | FBK Karlstad | 25 | 41 | 35 | +6 | 43 |
| 8 | Enköping | 25 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 42 |
| 9 | IF Karlstad | 25 | 37 | 25 | +12 | 41 |
| 10 | Vasalund | 25 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 27 |
| 11 | Umeå FC | 25 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 32 |
| 12 | Karlberg | 25 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 32 |
| 13 | Järfälla | 25 | 33 | 55 | -22 | 19 |
| 14 | Piteå | 25 | 30 | 46 | -16 | 22 |
| 15 | Gefle IF | 25 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 30 |
| 16 | Sollentuna | 25 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 24 |
