Ramalan / Bola Sepak / Sweden. Ettan - Södra / Tvååker vs Jonkopings Sodra

Tvååker vs Jonkopings Sodra Ramalan, Odds & Tip Pertaruhan AI

Jun 13, 2026 - 11:00
1.20
1.40
31% 29% 40%

Penilaian Ramalan

Berhati-hatilah

Kegemaran
Jonkopings Sodra Perlawanan seimbang
Kebarangkalian model
39.9%
Kebarangkalian pasaran
50.4%
Perjanjian pasaran
Lemah
Pengesahan
Amaran

Ringkasan:

Kedua-dua {pasukan} kurus, tetapi harga pasaran mereka lebih tinggi (50.4% vs model 39.9%). Kelebihan kekal sederhana dan perlawanan kekal terbuka.

Audit Pasaran

Perjanjian pasaran
Lemah
Pengesahan
Amaran
Jurang terbesar
Jonkopings Sodra -10.4 pp
Keluasan
9/9
Aktiviti pasaran semasa
Belum ada pergerakan arah yang bermakna.

Anggaran saksama berbeza dengan ketara daripada harga pasaran semasa. Ini mungkin mencerminkan ketidaksetujuan yang tulen atau input penilaian yang tidak lengkap.

Penilaian Pasaran

Pasaran secara material lebih optimistik tentang {pasukan} daripada anggaran saksama semasa.

Walau bagaimanapun, Tvååker telah menyaksikan hanyut — kemungkinan dipanjangkan dengan 0.0%, mencadangkan sokongan yang lemah.

Aktiviti pasaran kini tertumpu pada Tvååker.

  • Pelabur mungkin memasukkan maklumat yang tidak dicerminkan sepenuhnya dalam model garis dasar.
  • Konteks khusus kejohanan boleh mengalihkan harga pasaran.
Hasil Adil Pasaran Tepi
Tvååker 30.58% 23.14% +7.4 pp
Seri 29.48% 26.49% +3.0 pp
Jonkopings Sodra 39.94% 50.37% -10.4 pp

Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.

Keputusan pertaruhan akhir

Kecekapan harga pasaran berbeza secara berbeza — 1X2 boleh menjadi hantaran sementara pasaran matlamat masih menunjukkan kelebihan.

  • Tiada nilai pada 1X2 (Jonkopings Sodra lwn. odds semasa)
  • Model kurus (bukan pertaruhan lalai): Lebih 2.5
  • Nilai yang mungkin: BTTS Ya (+3.7% EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
  • Significant line move — see market context below.
Sabitan rendah (4/10) — lebih suka taruhan yang lebih kecil atau langkau.
Laman pertaruhan premium 1xBet: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo 1x_3342271. Daftar sekarang
+EV terbaik (pasaran dijejak)
BTTS Ya — Nilai
EV +3.7% Model 54.3%
+EV terkuat antara pasaran yang dijejak di sini; peraturan Primary yang lebih ketat (cth. EV minimum) tidak dipenuhi.
1X2 Nilai lemah
Jonkopings Sodra · Kebarangkalian model 40.0%
Konsensus pasaran (3 hala) 50.4%
EV garisan konsensus: -19.7%
Garis pembuat taruhan terbaik yang tersedia: -2.7% EV
Sesetengah odds outlier pembuat taruhan mungkin masih menunjukkan nilai teori kecil berbanding garisan konsensus di atas.
Lebih / Kurang 2.5 Nilai lemah
Lebih 2.5 48.2% · Kurang 2.5 51.8%
EV Selesai -3.6% · EV Di Bawah -4.2%
Condong nilai: Lebih 2.5
Cerapan skor tepat Kecua / hiburan
Paling berkemungkinan
1-1
Kebarangkalian 12.5%
Skor tepat berisiko tinggi — pertaruhan kecil untuk hiburan sahaja.
Keputusan pertaruhan (model lwn. EV pasaran)
Pelaksanaan: tiada Primary/alternatif saiz standard — pasaran lain mungkin +EV pada kad di bawah.
Pasaran: mungkin ada jurang kecil model–harga pada garis marginal/bervarians tinggi — bukan pertaruhan lalai; kurangkan saiz jika mencuba. (Teknikal: sekurang-kurangnya satu baris dijejak melepasi ambang +EV pada ≥2.0% pada odds terbaik — bukan pertaruhan lalai.)
Kekuatan keputusan: 4.0 / 10
  • Kebarangkalian maksimum 1X2 di bawah 50% (tiada 1X2 dominan) (−1.0)
O/U 2.5: EV Selesai -3.6% · EV Di Bawah -4.2% (8 pasangan buku)
BTTS: EV Ya +3.7% · EV No -12.3%
Should you bet on this match? Bacaan budi bicara: +EV mungkin pada garis nipis atau longshot — bandingkan dengan had anda.

Tvååker market context before kickoff

⚠️ Pasaran tidak stabil on Tvååker

Odds move
4.50 → 4.50 (+0.0%)
Market breadth
9/9
Steam score
30 (C)
Current status
1X2 repriced at consensus; goals markets may still show +EV.

Steam detected. Model value still remains — 1X2 looks repriced; compare Over/Under and BTTS EV cards above.

Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.

Kitaran Hayat Keputusan

Peringkat semasa: Amaran pengesahan model

  1. Ramalan Dijana
  2. Pasaran Berbanding
  3. Pengesahan Lulus
  4. Penutupan Dirakam
  5. CLV Dinilai
Kemasukan
1.78
Penutup
Belum selesai
CLV
Belum selesai

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "a7b41846282b1cb73a07e6cfcb0567e1939aa93e4c00606be0d2819231c73549",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.2.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.4,
      "away_win_prob": 0.3994,
      "away_win_prob_posterior": null,
      "bayes_applied": 0,
      "btts_no_prob": 0.457,
      "btts_yes_prob": 0.543,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.2948,
      "draw_prob_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_away": 2.5,
      "fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.39,
      "fair_odds_draw_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_home": 3.27,
      "fair_odds_home_posterior": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.2,
      "home_win_prob": 0.3058,
      "home_win_prob_posterior": null,
      "over_25_prob": 0.482,
      "prediction_confidence": "very_low",
      "under_25_prob": 0.518
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : Tv\u00e5\u00e5ker or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "30%",
      "percent_draw": "35%",
      "percent_home": "35%",
      "winner_name": "Tv\u00e5\u00e5ker"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.4,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Jonkopings Sodra",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.106,
        "edge_gap": 0.0941,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.5057,
        "model_prob": 0.3997,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 40.0,
          "draw": 29.5,
          "home": 30.6
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Betano",
          "odd": 1.93
        },
        {
          "affi_link": "https://banners.dfbanners.com/redirect.aspx?pid=79572\u0026bid=19634\u0026redirectURL=http://www.dafabet.com/",
          "bookmaker_name": "Dafabet",
          "odd": 1.92
        },
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Superbet",
          "odd": 1.92
        },
        {
          "affi_link": null,
          "bookmaker_name": "Unibet",
          "odd": 1.87
        },
        {
          "affi_link": "https://refpa14435.com/L?tag=d_4682699m_1599c_\u0026site=4682699\u0026ad=1599",
          "bookmaker_name": "1xBet",
          "odd": 1.79
        },
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Marathonbet",
          "odd": 1.77
        },
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "10Bet",
          "odd": 1.7
        },
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Betfair",
          "odd": 1.7
        }
      ],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 1.93,
        "bookmaker_id": 32,
        "bookmaker_name": "Betano",
        "display_market": "Jonkopings Sodra Win",
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Away",
        "market_fair_odds": 1.98,
        "market_odds": 1.81,
        "model_odds": 2.5,
        "overround": 9.5,
        "prob_edge": -11.8,
        "value_pct": -22.8,
        "value_rating": "no_value"
      }
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 3,
        "away_failed_to_score": 2,
        "away_played": 11,
        "away_score_rate": 75.3,
        "home_clean_sheet": 5,
        "home_failed_to_score": 2,
        "home_played": 11,
        "home_score_rate": 69.9,
        "no_prob": 45.7,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 54.3,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 54.3
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.4,
        "home_expected": 1.2,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 12.5
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 10.4
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 8.9
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 8.7
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 7.5
          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Tv\u00e5\u00e5ker or Draw",
            "prob": 60.1
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Tv\u00e5\u00e5ker or Jonkopings Sodra",
            "prob": 70.5
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Jonkopings Sodra",
            "prob": 69.4
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "12",
        "pick_label": "Tv\u00e5\u00e5ker or Jonkopings Sodra",
        "pick_prob": 70.5
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 39.9,
        "draw_pct": 29.5,
        "home_pct": 30.6,
        "lean_key": "away",
        "lean_label": "Jonkopings Sodra"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.6,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.7,
        "confidence": "low",
        "home_avg_scored": 0.9,
        "over_prob": 48.2,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 51.8,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "total_expected": 2.6,
        "under_prob": 51.8
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
        "bookmaker_id": 3,
        "bookmaker_name": "Betfair",
        "edge": 40.8,
        "implied_prob": 21.7,
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Home",
        "market": "Tv\u00e5\u00e5ker Win",
        "model_prob": 30.6,
        "odds": 4.6
      }
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "has_data": false
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 12.5
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.2,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": -0.1226,
        "ev_no_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -12.3,
          "text": "-12.3%"
        },
        "ev_yes": 0.0371,
        "ev_yes_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": 3.7,
          "text": "+3.7%"
        },
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.0371,
        "no_prob": 45.7,
        "sort_key": 10033.39,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "yes",
        "yes_prob": 54.3
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.1971,
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -19.7,
          "text": "-19.7%"
        },
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.5037,
        "max_ev": -0.0267,
        "max_ev_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -2.7,
          "text": "-2.7%"
        },
        "model_prob": 0.3997,
        "side_label": "Jonkopings Sodra",
        "sort_key": 1793.325,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
      },
      {
        "decision": "lean",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.036,
        "ev_over_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -3.6,
          "text": "-3.6%"
        },
        "ev_under": -0.0417,
        "ev_under_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -4.2,
          "text": "-4.2%"
        },
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": -0.036,
        "over_prob": 48.2,
        "sort_key": 1791.0,
        "tier": "bad_ev",
        "under_prob": 51.8,
        "value_side": "over"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 817.5,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 12.5
      }
    ],
    "market_intelligence": {
      "betting_signal": {
        "alert_breadth": "",
        "alert_breadth_note": "",
        "alert_move": "",
        "alert_team": "",
        "alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
        "divergence_pp": 10.5,
        "has_alert": false,
        "hero_edge_pp": -10.43,
        "hero_label": "Jonkopings Sodra",
        "market_prob_pct": 50.4,
        "market_team": "Jonkopings Sodra",
        "model_prob_pct": 39.9,
        "model_team": "Jonkopings Sodra",
        "show": true,
        "status_icon": "!",
        "status_key": "caution",
        "status_label": "Use caution",
        "status_line": "Use caution \u2014 signals are mixed",
        "steam_score": null,
        "steam_subtitle": "",
        "steam_tier": "",
        "title": "Betting Signal"
      },
      "edge_rows": [
        {
          "edge_pp": 7.44,
          "fair_prob": 30.58,
          "label": "Tv\u00e5\u00e5ker",
          "market_prob": 23.14,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "home"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": 2.99,
          "fair_prob": 29.48,
          "label": "Draw",
          "market_prob": 26.49,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "draw"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -10.43,
          "fair_prob": 39.94,
          "label": "Jonkopings Sodra",
          "market_prob": 50.37,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "away"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": 0.47,
          "fair_prob": 48.2,
          "label": "Over 2.5",
          "market_prob": 47.73,
          "market_type": "ou25",
          "outcome": "over"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -0.47,
          "fair_prob": 51.8,
          "label": "Under 2.5",
          "market_prob": 52.27,
          "market_type": "ou25",
          "outcome": "under"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": 3.96,
          "fair_prob": 54.3,
          "label": "BTTS Yes",
          "market_prob": 50.34,
          "market_type": "btts",
          "outcome": "yes"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -3.96,
          "fair_prob": 45.7,
          "label": "BTTS No",
          "market_prob": 49.66,
          "market_type": "btts",
          "outcome": "no"
        }
      ],
      "edge_snapshot": {
        "edge_label": "strong_disagreement",
        "edge_pp": -10.43,
        "fair_prob_pct": 39.94,
        "hero_side": "away",
        "hero_team_name": "Jonkopings Sodra",
        "market_prob_pct": 50.37,
        "status": "market_ahead",
        "steam_team_name": "Tv\u00e5\u00e5ker"
      },
      "fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
      "fair_vs_market": {
        "comparison_available": true,
        "comparison_disabled": false,
        "degraded_note": "",
        "divergence_guard": {
          "divergence_level": "strong",
          "edge_status": "market_ahead",
          "max_gap_pp": 10.43,
          "suppress_hero": false,
          "suppress_value_language": false
        },
        "divergence_label": "Strong model-market divergence",
        "divergence_level": "strong",
        "divergence_level_label": "Strong divergence",
        "divergence_note": "The fair estimate differs noticeably from current market pricing. This may reflect genuine disagreement or incomplete rating inputs.",
        "divergence_tier": "strong",
        "edge_label": "Strong disagreement",
        "edge_label_key": "strong_disagreement",
        "fair_confidence": "medium",
        "fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
        "fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
        "forecast_assessment": {
          "favourite_class": "Balanced match",
          "favourite_label": "Jonkopings Sodra",
          "forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
          "headline": "Balanced match",
          "market_agreement_label": "Weak",
          "market_prob_pct": 50.4,
          "model_prob_pct": 39.9,
          "outcome_separation_tier": "medium",
          "paragraphs": [],
          "reliability_headline": "Use caution",
          "reliability_icon": "!",
          "reliability_tier": "caution",
          "summary": "Both lean Jonkopings Sodra, but the market prices them higher (50.4% vs model 39.9%). The edge remains modest and the match stays relatively open.",
          "tier": "balanced",
          "title": "Forecast Assessment",
          "validation_label": "Warning"
        },
        "forecast_certainty": {
          "note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
          "tier": "low",
          "tier_label": "Low"
        },
        "forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
        "has_market_probs": true,
        "hero_edge_pp": -10.43,
        "hero_label": "Jonkopings Sodra",
        "hero_side": "away",
        "market_activity": "No meaningful directional movement yet.",
        "market_agreement": "weak",
        "market_agreement_label": "Weak",
        "market_interpretation": {
          "bullets": [
            "Investors may be incorporating information not fully reflected in the baseline model.",
            "Tournament-specific context can shift market pricing."
          ],
          "follow_up": "However, Tv\u00e5\u00e5ker has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 0.0%, suggesting weakening support.",
          "gap_tier": "strong",
          "lead": "The market is materially more optimistic about Jonkopings Sodra than the current fair estimate.",
          "note": "Market activity is currently concentrated on Tv\u00e5\u00e5ker.",
          "paragraphs": [
            "The market is materially more optimistic about Jonkopings Sodra than the current fair estimate.",
            "However, Tv\u00e5\u00e5ker has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 0.0%, suggesting weakening support.",
            "Market activity is currently concentrated on Tv\u00e5\u00e5ker."
          ],
          "quiet_market": false,
          "title": "Market Assessment"
        },
        "market_narrative": {
          "paragraphs": [
            "The market favors Jonkopings Sodra more strongly than the current fair estimate.",
            "At the same time, Tv\u00e5\u00e5ker has drifted \u2014 odds lengthened by 0.0%, suggesting weakening support.",
            "Broad sportsbook alignment (9/9) supports the current market view on Tv\u00e5\u00e5ker."
          ],
          "title": "Current Market Narrative"
        },
        "max_gap_pp": 10.43,
        "model_validation": {
          "score_label_key": "mi_mv_warning",
          "status": "warning"
        },
        "model_validation_label": "Warning",
        "outcome_separation": {
          "breakdown": [
            "No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
            "Favourite exceeds second outcome by 9.4 pp (at 39.9%)."
          ],
          "lead_gap_pp": 9.4,
          "max_prob_pct": 39.9,
          "note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
          "tier": "medium",
          "tier_label": "Medium"
        },
        "outcome_separation_label": "Medium",
        "rows": [
          {
            "edge_pp": 7.44,
            "fair_prob_pct": 30.58,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "Tv\u00e5\u00e5ker",
            "market_prob_pct": 23.14,
            "side": "home"
          },
          {
            "edge_pp": 2.99,
            "fair_prob_pct": 29.48,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "Draw",
            "market_prob_pct": 26.49,
            "side": "draw"
          },
          {
            "edge_pp": -10.43,
            "fair_prob_pct": 39.94,
            "is_hero": true,
            "label": "Jonkopings Sodra",
            "market_prob_pct": 50.37,
            "side": "away"
          }
        ],
        "status": "market_ahead",
        "status_label": "Market Ahead",
        "steam_note": "Market activity is currently concentrated on Tv\u00e5\u00e5ker.",
        "unavailable_note": ""
      },
      "interpretation": {
        "has_conflict": true,
        "paragraphs": [
          "The betting market strongly prefers Jonkopings Sodra (50.4%).",
          "This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Jonkopings Sodra, Market \u2192 Jonkopings Sodra, Recent sharp money \u2192 recent line movement.",
          "Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
        ],
        "show": true,
        "title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
      },
      "lifecycle": {
        "closing_implied_pct": null,
        "closing_odds": null,
        "clv_pending": true,
        "clv_pp": null,
        "clv_status": "pending",
        "context": "match",
        "current_stage": "model_validation_warning",
        "current_stage_detail": "",
        "current_stage_label": "Model validation warning",
        "entry_implied_pct": 56.18,
        "entry_odds": 1.78,
        "model_validation_label": "Warning",
        "model_validation_status": "warning",
        "stages": [
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "forecast_generated",
            "label": "Forecast Generated",
            "status": "done"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "market_detected",
            "label": "Market Compared",
            "status": "active"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "model_validated",
            "label": "Validation Passed",
            "status": "active"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "closing_recorded",
            "label": "Closing Recorded",
            "status": "pending"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "clv_evaluated",
            "label": "CLV Evaluated",
            "status": "pending"
          }
        ]
      },
      "market_move_intelligence": {
        "show": false
      },
      "market_overview": {
        "breadth_display": "9/9",
        "current_odds": 4.5,
        "move_display": "+0.0%",
        "open_odds": 4.5,
        "pick_team": "Tv\u00e5\u00e5ker",
        "steam_score": 30,
        "steam_team_name": "Tv\u00e5\u00e5ker",
        "steam_tier": "C"
      },
      "premium_teaser": {
        "current_divergence_pp": 10.4,
        "divergence_label": "Current divergence",
        "title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
        "unlock_items": [
          "Historical similar matches",
          "Closing odds analysis",
          "CLV tracking",
          "Sharp money signals",
          "Market efficiency rating",
          "Historical model vs market results"
        ],
        "unlock_label": "Unlock"
      },
      "show": true
    },
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 764,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/764.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Jonkopings Sodra",
      "country_code": "SE",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/se.svg",
      "country_name": "Sweden",
      "fixture_id": 1504466,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_country": "Sweden",
      "home_team_id": 6703,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/6703.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Tv\u00e5\u00e5ker",
      "league_country": "Sweden",
      "league_id": 564,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/564.webp",
      "league_name": "Ettan - S\u00f6dra",
      "league_season": 2026,
      "match_date": "2026-06-13 11:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS",
      "venue_city": null,
      "venue_name": null
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.5064,
            "best_odd": 1.78,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0527,
            "ev": -0.1971,
            "implied_prob": 0.5037,
            "model_prob": 0.3997,
            "p_final": 0.451
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2866,
            "best_odd": 3.385,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0086,
            "ev": -0.0744,
            "implied_prob": 0.2649,
            "model_prob": 0.2948,
            "p_final": 0.2734
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.2666,
            "best_odd": 3.875,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0198,
            "ev": -0.0267,
            "implied_prob": 0.2314,
            "model_prob": 0.3056,
            "p_final": 0.2512
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 1.92,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.91,
          "edge_no": -0.0396,
          "edge_yes": 0.0396,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": -0.1226,
          "ev_yes": 0.0371,
          "implied_no": 0.4966,
          "implied_yes": 0.5034,
          "n_bookmakers": 8,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 2.0,
          "best_under_odd": 1.85,
          "edge_over": 0.0047,
          "edge_under": -0.0047,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.036,
          "ev_under": -0.0417,
          "implied_over": 0.4773,
          "implied_under": 0.5227,
          "n_bookmakers": 8,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.6,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.2.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.0371,
      "confidence": 4.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
        ],
        "score": 4.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "C",
        "stake_factor": 0.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "balanced",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.543,
          "draw_prob": 0.2948,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.3997,
          "over_prob": 0.482,
          "total_xg": 2.6,
          "under_prob": 0.518,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "balanced",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0371,
        "hero_display_only": true,
        "implied_prob": 0.5034,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.543,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "hero_display",
        "side": "yes",
        "slot": "hero_display"
      },
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.0527,
          "ev": -0.1971,
          "implied_prob": 0.5037,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.3997,
          "side": "away",
          "side_label": "Jonkopings Sodra"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0396,
          "ev": 0.0371,
          "implied_prob": 0.5034,
          "model_prob": 0.543,
          "side": "yes",
          "value_side": "yes"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "lean",
          "edge": 0.0047,
          "ev": -0.036,
          "implied_prob": 0.4773,
          "model_prob": 0.482,
          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1504466,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "optional",
        "actionable": false,
        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
        "execution_line_key": "pred_regime_exec_no_actionable",
        "insight_line_key": "pred_regime_insight_minor_inefficiency",
        "max_valid_ev": 0.0371,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": true
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3997,
        "draw": 0.2948,
        "home": 0.3056
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Jonkopings Sodra",
        "home": "Tv\u00e5\u00e5ker"
      },
      "top_pick": null,
      "valid_markets_count": 1
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1504466,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T07:55:49.702086+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
  • Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
  • Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
  • Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.

Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Tvååker & Jonkopings Sodra!

Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.

Langgan Sekarang
Kembali ke Ramalan