Ramalan yang boleh dipercayai
Ringkasan:
Model dan pasaran kedua-duanya mengenal pasti {pasukan} sebagai pemenang yang mungkin. Perbezaan semasa kekal dalam had biasa.
Log masuk untuk melihat keputusan pertaruhan penuh
Daftar percuma untuk membuka kunci keputusan pertaruhan akhir — pasaran mana lulus, di mana +EV mungkin wujud, dan amaran steam.
Pasaran dan model adalah sejajar secara meluas. Sebarang jurang harga yang kecil mungkin menggambarkan margin penggenapan atau pembuat taruhan, bukan percanggahan struktur.
Walau bagaimanapun, Claypole telah menyaksikan hanyut — kemungkinan dipanjangkan dengan 0.0%, mencadangkan sokongan yang lemah.
Aktiviti pasaran kini tertumpu pada Claypole.
| Hasil | Adil | Pasaran | Tepi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Claypole | 45.82% | 44.32% | +1.5 pp |
| Seri | 28.81% | 30.93% | -2.1 pp |
| Deportivo Muñiz | 25.37% | 24.75% | +0.6 pp |
Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.
Kecekapan harga pasaran berbeza secara berbeza — 1X2 boleh menjadi hantaran sementara pasaran matlamat masih menunjukkan kelebihan.
Claypole market context before kickoff
⚠️ Pasaran tidak stabil on Claypole
Steam detected. Model value still remains — 1X2 looks repriced; compare Over/Under and BTTS EV cards above.
Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.
Peringkat semasa: Pemantauan pasaran
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
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],
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"title": "Current Market Narrative"
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},
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"max_1x2_prob": 0.4584,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.44
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": 0.0067,
"ev": -0.0957,
"implied_prob": 0.4432,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.4584,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Claypole"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1219,
"ev": 0.2662,
"implied_prob": 0.4101,
"model_prob": 0.532,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1298,
"ev": 0.3255,
"implied_prob": 0.3522,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1499943,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.3255,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.2536,
"draw": 0.288,
"home": 0.4584
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.3255,
"implied_prob": 0.3522,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.482,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.3255,
"implied_prob": 0.3522,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.482,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Deportivo Mu\u00f1iz",
"home": "Claypole"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.141618,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2662,
"implied_prob": 0.4101,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.532,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1499943,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T05:34:11.848007+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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