Penilaian Ramalan
Ramalan yang boleh dipercayai
- Kegemaran
- Deportivo Español Perlawanan seimbang
- Kebarangkalian model
- 35.6%
- Kebarangkalian pasaran
- 27.8%
- Perjanjian pasaran
- Sederhana
- Pengesahan
- lulus
Ringkasan:
Model dan pasaran kedua-dua lean {pasukan}, tetapi kedua-duanya tidak menunjukkan kegemaran yang dominan. Seri dan Central Cordoba kekal munasabah — ini perlawanan yang agak terbuka.
Log masuk untuk melihat keputusan pertaruhan penuh
Daftar percuma untuk membuka kunci keputusan pertaruhan akhir — pasaran mana lulus, di mana +EV mungkin wujud, dan amaran steam.
Audit Pasaran
- Perjanjian pasaran
- Sederhana
- Pengesahan
- lulus
- Jurang terbesar
- Deportivo Español +7.8 pp
- Keluasan
- 10/10
- Aktiviti pasaran semasa
- Belum ada pergerakan arah yang bermakna.
Anggaran saksama dan harga pasaran berbeza secara sederhana. Pantau sebelum sepak mula.
Penilaian Pasaran
Anggaran saksama menunjukkan kelebihan sederhana berbanding harga pasaran semasa pada Deportivo Español.
Walau bagaimanapun, Central Cordoba telah menyaksikan hanyut — kemungkinan dipanjangkan dengan 0.0%, mencadangkan sokongan yang lemah.
Aktiviti pasaran kini tertumpu pada Central Cordoba.
- Pantau pergerakan barisan sebelum sepak mula — bukan cadangan pertaruhan.
| Hasil | Adil | Pasaran | Tepi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Cordoba | 34.7% | 38.9% | -4.2 pp |
| Seri | 29.65% | 33.27% | -3.6 pp |
| Deportivo Español | 35.64% | 27.82% | +7.8 pp |
Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.
Keputusan pertaruhan akhir
Kecekapan harga pasaran berbeza secara berbeza — 1X2 boleh menjadi hantaran sementara pasaran matlamat masih menunjukkan kelebihan.
- Tiada nilai pada 1X2 (Deportivo Español lwn. odds semasa)
- Nilai yang mungkin: Lebih 2.5 (+25%+ EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
- Nilai yang mungkin: BTTS Ya (+25%+ EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
- Significant line move — see market context below.
- Barisan utama dikenal pasti (+1.0)
- EV utama melebihi 10% (+1.0)
- Kebarangkalian maksimum 1X2 di bawah 50% (tiada 1X2 dominan) (−1.0)
- Dua atau lebih baris +EV yang sah pada ambang (+0.5)
BTTS: EV Ya +25%+ · EV No -28.1%
Central Cordoba market context before kickoff
⚠️ Pasaran tidak stabil on Central Cordoba
- Odds move
- 2.35 → 2.35 (+0.0%)
- Market breadth
- 10/10
- Steam score
- 30 (C)
- Current status
- 1X2 repriced at consensus; goals markets may still show +EV.
Steam detected. Model value still remains — 1X2 looks repriced; compare Over/Under and BTTS EV cards above.
Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.
Kitaran Hayat Keputusan
Peringkat semasa: Pemantauan pasaran
- Ramalan Dijana
- Pasaran Berbanding
- Pengesahan Lulus
- Penutupan Dirakam
- CLV Dinilai
- Kemasukan
- 3.27
- Penutup
- Belum selesai
- CLV
- Belum selesai
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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"match": {
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"league_country": "Argentina",
"league_id": 132,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/132.webp",
"league_name": "Primera C",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-13 18:30:00",
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"status_long": "Not Started",
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"draw": {
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0153,
"ev": -0.135,
"implied_prob": 0.3327,
"model_prob": 0.2968,
"p_final": 0.3174
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4223,
"best_odd": 2.335,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0173,
"ev": -0.1338,
"implied_prob": 0.3883,
"model_prob": 0.3473,
"p_final": 0.371
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.58,
"best_yes_odd": 2.38,
"edge_no": -0.138,
"edge_yes": 0.138,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2811,
"ev_yes": 0.2971,
"implied_no": 0.593,
"implied_yes": 0.407,
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 3.0,
"best_under_odd": 1.4,
"edge_over": 0.1583,
"edge_under": -0.1583,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.446,
"ev_under": -0.2748,
"implied_over": 0.3237,
"implied_under": 0.6763,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.446,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
"draw_prob": 0.2968,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3559,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.02
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": 0.0204,
"ev": -0.027,
"implied_prob": 0.279,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.3559,
"side": "away",
"side_label": "Deportivo Espa\u00f1ol"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.138,
"ev": 0.2971,
"implied_prob": 0.407,
"model_prob": 0.545,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1583,
"ev": 0.446,
"implied_prob": 0.3237,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1499942,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.446,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3559,
"draw": 0.2968,
"home": 0.3473
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.446,
"implied_prob": 0.3237,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.482,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.446,
"implied_prob": 0.3237,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.482,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Deportivo Espa\u00f1ol",
"home": "Central Cordoba"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.161919,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2971,
"implied_prob": 0.407,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.545,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1499942,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T09:43:37.509147+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
- Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
- Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
- Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.
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