Ya 54.4% · Tidak 45.6%
EV Ya +25%+ · EV No -35.2%
Condong nilai: BTTS Ya
Penilaian Ramalan
Ramalan yang boleh dipercayai
- Kegemaran
- Deportivo Moron Perlawanan seimbang
- Kebarangkalian model
- 38.5%
- Kebarangkalian pasaran
- 29.5%
- Perjanjian pasaran
- Sederhana
- Pengesahan
- lulus
Ringkasan:
Model dan pasaran kedua-dua lean {pasukan}, tetapi kedua-duanya tidak menunjukkan kegemaran yang dominan. Seri dan Ciudad de Bolívar kekal munasabah — ini perlawanan yang agak terbuka.
Log masuk untuk melihat keputusan pertaruhan penuh
Daftar percuma untuk membuka kunci keputusan pertaruhan akhir — pasaran mana lulus, di mana +EV mungkin wujud, dan amaran steam.
Audit Pasaran
- Perjanjian pasaran
- Sederhana
- Pengesahan
- lulus
- Jurang terbesar
- Deportivo Moron +9.0 pp
- Keluasan
- 12/12
- Aktiviti pasaran semasa
- Belum ada pergerakan arah yang bermakna.
Anggaran saksama dan harga pasaran berbeza secara sederhana. Pantau sebelum sepak mula.
Penilaian Pasaran
Anggaran saksama menunjukkan kelebihan sederhana berbanding harga pasaran semasa pada Deportivo Moron.
Walau bagaimanapun, Ciudad de Bolívar telah menyaksikan hanyut — kemungkinan dipanjangkan dengan 0.0%, mencadangkan sokongan yang lemah.
Aktiviti pasaran kini tertumpu pada Ciudad de Bolívar.
- Pantau pergerakan barisan sebelum sepak mula — bukan cadangan pertaruhan.
| Hasil | Adil | Pasaran | Tepi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ciudad de Bolívar | 31.94% | 32.68% | -0.7 pp |
| Seri | 29.57% | 37.81% | -8.2 pp |
| Deportivo Moron | 38.49% | 29.51% | +9.0 pp |
Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.
Keputusan pertaruhan akhir
Kecekapan harga pasaran berbeza secara berbeza — 1X2 boleh menjadi hantaran sementara pasaran matlamat masih menunjukkan kelebihan.
- Tiada nilai pada 1X2 (Deportivo Moron lwn. odds semasa)
- Nilai yang mungkin: Lebih 2.5 (+25%+ EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
- Nilai yang mungkin: BTTS Ya (+25%+ EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
- Significant line move — see market context below.
Sabitan sederhana (6.5/10) — satu baris terpilih, bukan parlay berbilang pasaran.
Laman pertaruhan premium 1xBet: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo 1x_3342271. Daftar sekarang
Pilihan utama (+EV tertinggi)
Lebih 2.5
— Nilai
Deportivo Moron · Kebarangkalian model 38.5%
Konsensus pasaran (3 hala) 29.5%
EV garisan konsensus: -1.3%
Paling berkemungkinan
1-1
Kebarangkalian 12.5%
Skor tepat berisiko tinggi — pertaruhan kecil untuk hiburan sahaja.
Keputusan pertaruhan (model lwn. EV pasaran)
Nilai peluang — Sekurang-kurangnya satu pasaran menunjukkan anggaran +EV pada kemungkinan perpuluhan terbaik semasa (ambang: 2.0%).
Kekuatan keputusan: 6.5 / 10
- Barisan utama dikenal pasti (+1.0)
- EV utama melebihi 10% (+1.0)
- Kebarangkalian maksimum 1X2 di bawah 50% (tiada 1X2 dominan) (−1.0)
- Dua atau lebih baris +EV yang sah pada ambang (+0.5)
O/U 2.5:
EV Selesai +25%+ ·
EV Di Bawah -35.2%
(10 pasangan buku)
BTTS: EV Ya +25%+ · EV No -35.2%
BTTS: EV Ya +25%+ · EV No -35.2%
Ciudad de Bolívar market context before kickoff
⚠️ Pasaran tidak stabil on Ciudad de Bolívar
- Odds move
- 2.80 → 2.80 (+0.0%)
- Market breadth
- 12/12
- Steam score
- 30 (C)
- Current status
- 1X2 repriced at consensus; goals markets may still show +EV.
Steam detected. Model value still remains — 1X2 looks repriced; compare Over/Under and BTTS EV cards above.
Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.
Kitaran Hayat Keputusan
Peringkat semasa: Pemantauan pasaran
- Ramalan Dijana
- Pasaran Berbanding
- Pengesahan Lulus
- Penutupan Dirakam
- CLV Dinilai
- Kemasukan
- 3.1
- Penutup
- Belum selesai
- CLV
- Belum selesai
Enjin Keputusan OddsGPT v2.2.0
Sentiasa diperhalusi menggunakan prestasi model, data pasaran dan keputusan sejarah.
Semak Odds di 1xBet
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "d640ac9b5e6073d279046b13f411c876c05acde776cae870d7aa9be2f1a481b4",
"decision_algo_version": "2.2.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.37,
"away_win_prob": 0.3849,
"away_win_prob_posterior": null,
"bayes_applied": 0,
"btts_no_prob": 0.456,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.544,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.2957,
"draw_prob_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_away": 2.6,
"fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.38,
"fair_odds_draw_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_home": 3.13,
"fair_odds_home_posterior": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.23,
"home_win_prob": 0.3194,
"home_win_prob_posterior": null,
"over_25_prob": 0.482,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"under_25_prob": 0.518
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Combo Double chance : draw or Deportivo Moron and -3.5 goals",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "Deportivo Moron"
},
"away_xg": 1.37,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Deportivo Moron",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.0868,
"edge_gap": 0.0651,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.2978,
"model_prob": 0.3846,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 38.5,
"draw": 29.6,
"home": 32.0
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 3.2
},
{
"affi_link": "https://banners.dfbanners.com/redirect.aspx?pid=79572\u0026bid=19634\u0026redirectURL=http://www.dafabet.com/",
"bookmaker_name": "Dafabet",
"odd": 3.15
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Betano",
"odd": 3.15
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Superbet",
"odd": 3.15
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "10Bet",
"odd": 3.1
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "William Hill",
"odd": 3.1
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Bet365",
"odd": 3.1
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "BetVictor",
"odd": 3.1
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 3.2,
"bookmaker_id": 4,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "Deportivo Moron Win",
"is_value": true,
"label": "Away",
"market_fair_odds": 3.36,
"market_odds": 3.1,
"model_odds": 2.6,
"overround": 8.4,
"prob_edge": 7.2,
"value_pct": 23.1,
"value_rating": "strong_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 7,
"away_failed_to_score": 3,
"away_played": 16,
"away_score_rate": 74.6,
"home_clean_sheet": 11,
"home_failed_to_score": 5,
"home_played": 16,
"home_score_rate": 70.8,
"no_prob": 45.6,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 54.4,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 54.4
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.37,
"home_expected": 1.23,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.5
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 10.2
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 9.1
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 8.6
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 7.7
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Ciudad de Bol\u00edvar or Draw",
"prob": 61.5
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Ciudad de Bol\u00edvar or Deportivo Moron",
"prob": 70.4
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Deportivo Moron",
"prob": 68.1
}
],
"pick_key": "12",
"pick_label": "Ciudad de Bol\u00edvar or Deportivo Moron",
"pick_prob": 70.4
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 38.5,
"draw_pct": 29.6,
"home_pct": 31.9,
"lean_key": "away",
"lean_label": "Deportivo Moron"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": "-3.5",
"avg_total": 2.6,
"away_avg_scored": 1.5,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 0.8,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 51.8,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.6,
"under_prob": 51.8
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 4,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 23.2,
"implied_prob": 31.2,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Away",
"market": "Deportivo Moron Win",
"model_prob": 38.5,
"odds": 3.2
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"has_data": false
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.5
}
},
"home_xg": 1.23,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 1.0967,
"ev_over_display": {
"capped": true,
"raw_pct": 109.7,
"text": "+25%+"
},
"ev_under": -0.3525,
"ev_under_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -35.2,
"text": "-35.2%"
},
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 1.0967,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"sort_key": 11137.03,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 51.8,
"value_side": "over"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.3525,
"ev_no_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -35.2,
"text": "-35.2%"
},
"ev_yes": 0.632,
"ev_yes_display": {
"capped": true,
"raw_pct": 63.2,
"text": "+25%+"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.632,
"no_prob": 45.6,
"sort_key": 10568.8,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 54.4
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.013,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -1.3,
"text": "-1.3%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.2951,
"max_ev": -0.013,
"max_ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -1.3,
"text": "-1.3%"
},
"model_prob": 0.3846,
"side_label": "Deportivo Moron",
"sort_key": 1796.75,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 817.5,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 12.5
}
],
"market_intelligence": {
"betting_signal": {
"alert_breadth": "",
"alert_breadth_note": "",
"alert_move": "",
"alert_team": "",
"alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
"divergence_pp": 9.0,
"has_alert": false,
"hero_edge_pp": 8.98,
"hero_label": "Deportivo Moron",
"market_prob_pct": 29.5,
"market_team": "Draw",
"model_prob_pct": 38.5,
"model_team": "Deportivo Moron",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "\u2713",
"status_key": "aligned",
"status_label": "Reliable forecast",
"status_line": "Model and market broadly aligned",
"steam_score": null,
"steam_subtitle": "",
"steam_tier": "",
"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": -0.74,
"fair_prob": 31.94,
"label": "Ciudad de Bol\u00edvar",
"market_prob": 32.68,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": -8.24,
"fair_prob": 29.57,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 37.81,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": 8.98,
"fair_prob": 38.49,
"label": "Deportivo Moron",
"market_prob": 29.51,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": 24.75,
"fair_prob": 48.2,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 23.45,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": -24.75,
"fair_prob": 51.8,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 76.55,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": 21.19,
"fair_prob": 54.4,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 33.21,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": -21.19,
"fair_prob": 45.6,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 66.79,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "mild_disagreement",
"edge_pp": 8.98,
"fair_prob_pct": 38.49,
"hero_side": "away",
"hero_team_name": "Deportivo Moron",
"market_prob_pct": 29.51,
"status": "strong_disagreement",
"steam_team_name": "Ciudad de Bol\u00edvar"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "moderate",
"edge_status": "strong_disagreement",
"max_gap_pp": 8.98,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "Moderate model-market divergence",
"divergence_level": "moderate",
"divergence_level_label": "Moderate divergence",
"divergence_note": "Fair estimate and market pricing differ modestly. Monitor before kickoff.",
"divergence_tier": "moderate",
"edge_label": "Mild disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "mild_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Balanced match",
"favourite_label": "Deportivo Moron",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
"headline": "Balanced match",
"market_agreement_label": "Moderate",
"market_prob_pct": 29.5,
"model_prob_pct": 38.5,
"outcome_separation_tier": "medium",
"paragraphs": [],
"reliability_headline": "Reliable forecast",
"reliability_icon": "\u2713",
"reliability_tier": "reliable",
"summary": "The model and market both lean Deportivo Moron, but neither indicates a dominant favourite. Draw and Ciudad de Bol\u00edvar remain plausible \u2014 this is a relatively open match.",
"tier": "balanced",
"title": "Forecast Assessment",
"validation_label": "Pass"
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": 8.98,
"hero_label": "Deportivo Moron",
"hero_side": "away",
"market_activity": "No meaningful directional movement yet.",
"market_agreement": "moderate",
"market_agreement_label": "Moderate",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"Monitor line movement before kickoff \u2014 not a betting recommendation."
],
"follow_up": "However, Ciudad de Bol\u00edvar has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 0.0%, suggesting weakening support.",
"gap_tier": "mild",
"lead": "The fair estimate shows a modest edge over current market pricing on Deportivo Moron.",
"note": "Market activity is currently concentrated on Ciudad de Bol\u00edvar.",
"paragraphs": [
"The fair estimate shows a modest edge over current market pricing on Deportivo Moron.",
"However, Ciudad de Bol\u00edvar has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 0.0%, suggesting weakening support.",
"Market activity is currently concentrated on Ciudad de Bol\u00edvar."
],
"quiet_market": false,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"The fair estimate still sits above current market pricing on Deportivo Moron.",
"At the same time, Ciudad de Bol\u00edvar has drifted \u2014 odds lengthened by 0.0%, suggesting weakening support.",
"Broad sportsbook alignment (12/12) supports the current market view on Ciudad de Bol\u00edvar."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"max_gap_pp": 8.98,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_pass",
"status": "pass"
},
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 6.6 pp (at 38.5%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 6.6,
"max_prob_pct": 38.5,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "medium",
"tier_label": "Medium"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Medium",
"rows": [
{
"edge_pp": -0.74,
"fair_prob_pct": 31.94,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Ciudad de Bol\u00edvar",
"market_prob_pct": 32.68,
"side": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": -8.24,
"fair_prob_pct": 29.57,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 37.81,
"side": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": 8.98,
"fair_prob_pct": 38.49,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Deportivo Moron",
"market_prob_pct": 29.51,
"side": "away"
}
],
"status": "strong_disagreement",
"status_label": "Strong Disagreement",
"steam_note": "Market activity is currently concentrated on Ciudad de Bol\u00edvar.",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Draw (29.5%).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Deportivo Moron, Market \u2192 Draw, Recent sharp money \u2192 recent line movement.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": null,
"closing_odds": null,
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": null,
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "market_monitoring",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Market monitoring",
"entry_implied_pct": 32.26,
"entry_odds": 3.1,
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"model_validation_status": "pass",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Forecast Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "pending"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"show": false
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "12/12",
"current_odds": 2.8,
"move_display": "+0.0%",
"open_odds": 2.8,
"pick_team": "Ciudad de Bol\u00edvar",
"steam_score": 30,
"steam_team_name": "Ciudad de Bol\u00edvar",
"steam_tier": "C"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 9.0,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 469,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/469.webp",
"away_team_name": "Deportivo Moron",
"country_code": "AR",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/ar.svg",
"country_name": "Argentina",
"fixture_id": 1498600,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "Argentina",
"home_team_id": 16612,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/16612.webp",
"home_team_name": "Ciudad de Bol\u00edvar",
"league_country": "Argentina",
"league_id": 129,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/129.webp",
"league_name": "Primera Nacional",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-13 19:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": "Bolivar",
"venue_name": "Estadio Municipal Eva Peron"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.2597,
"best_odd": 3.1,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0232,
"ev": -0.013,
"implied_prob": 0.2951,
"model_prob": 0.3846,
"p_final": 0.3184
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.3945,
"best_odd": 2.42,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0324,
"ev": -0.1635,
"implied_prob": 0.3781,
"model_prob": 0.2959,
"p_final": 0.3456
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4451,
"best_odd": 2.8,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0032,
"ev": -0.0941,
"implied_prob": 0.3268,
"model_prob": 0.3195,
"p_final": 0.3235
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.42,
"best_yes_odd": 3.0,
"edge_no": -0.2119,
"edge_yes": 0.2119,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.3525,
"ev_yes": 0.632,
"implied_no": 0.6679,
"implied_yes": 0.3321,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 4.35,
"best_under_odd": 1.25,
"edge_over": 0.2475,
"edge_under": -0.2475,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 1.0967,
"ev_under": -0.3525,
"implied_over": 0.2345,
"implied_under": 0.7655,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 1.0967,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.544,
"draw_prob": 0.2959,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3846,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.14
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": 0.0232,
"ev": -0.013,
"implied_prob": 0.2951,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.3846,
"side": "away",
"side_label": "Deportivo Moron"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.2119,
"ev": 0.632,
"implied_prob": 0.3321,
"model_prob": 0.544,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.2475,
"ev": 1.0967,
"implied_prob": 0.2345,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1498600,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 1.0967,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3846,
"draw": 0.2959,
"home": 0.3195
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.632,
"implied_prob": 0.3321,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.544,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.632,
"implied_prob": 0.3321,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.544,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Deportivo Moron",
"home": "Ciudad de Bol\u00edvar"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.370027,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 1.0967,
"implied_prob": 0.2345,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.482,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1498600,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T15:32:56.153294+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
- Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
- Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
- Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.
Terokai Kandungan Ramalan Lain
Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Ciudad de Bolívar & Deportivo Moron!
Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.
Langgan Sekarang
Argentina. Primera Nacional Ramalan
UEFA Champions League
Premier League
La Liga
Serie A
Ligue 1
Eredivisie
Bundesliga
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa Conference League
Primeira Liga
Superliga
Eliteserien
Allsvenskan
World Cup
