AI correctly predicted the Union Omaha win.
The match finished 1–3, validating the model's directional assessment.
Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa
Gred ramalan
F
Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.
- Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 matlamat) ✖ tak betul
- Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Ya ✖ tak betul
- 1X2 Union Omaha Union Omaha ✔ Betul
- Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-3 ✖ tak betul
Model lwn Pasaran Penutup
| Hasil | Model | Menutup Pasaran | Perbezaan | isyarat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greenville Triumph | 31.0% | 26.0% | +5.0 pp | Model Higher |
| Draw | 29.5% | 25.1% | +4.4 pp | Aligned |
| Union Omaha | 39.5% | 48.9% | -9.5 pp | Market Higher |
The closing market estimates Union Omaha's win probability at 48.9%, compared with the model's estimate of 39.5%, a difference of 9.5 percentage points. This highlights a disagreement between the model and market consensus, without indicating which view is ultimately correct.
Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.
Selepas sepenuh masa, lean arah model sepadan dengan keputusan (Union Omaha win 1–3).
Market Assessment
The market and model broadly agree on Union Omaha. The remaining divergence may reflect differences in team-strength assumptions rather than a directional disagreement.
- Monitor line movement before kickoff — not a betting recommendation.
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.60) — 4 goals materialised
What failed
- Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS No; match finished BTTS Yes
- Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Under 2.5; match finished Over 2.5 (4 goals)
Market lesson
Large model–market gaps do not automatically mean the market is right. Here the closing market priced Union Omaha higher (49.0% vs model 39.5%, 9.5 pp), but the model's lean was validated (Union Omaha win 1–3).
Laman pertaruhan premium stake: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo FHn2uDc1. Daftar sekarang
Garis Masa Ramalan
Cara ramalan ini beralih daripada ramalan kepada semakan sepenuh masa.
-
Sep 26, 2026 · 22:59 UTC Forecast generated
- Model 1X2 · Greenville Triumph 31.0% · Draw 29.5% · Union Omaha 39.5%
- xG · Greenville Triumph 1.21 — Union Omaha 1.39
-
Sep 26, 2026 · 22:29 UTC Opening odds snapshot PRE30
- 1X2 odds · Greenville Triumph 3.52 · Draw 3.65 · Union Omaha 1.87
- Implied 1X2 · Greenville Triumph 26.0% · Draw 25.1% · Union Omaha 48.9%
- Bookmaker · Pinnacle
-
Sep 26, 2026 · 22:59 UTC Closing snapshot recorded PRE1
- 1X2 odds · Greenville Triumph 3.52 · Draw 3.65 · Union Omaha 1.87
- Implied 1X2 · Greenville Triumph 26.0% · Draw 25.1% · Union Omaha 48.9%
- Bookmaker · Pinnacle
-
Sep 26, 2026 · 23:00 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Union Omaha win · 1–3
-
FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Gambar Sejarah
Dibekukan pada sepak mula — keluaran model seperti sebelum perlawanan bermula.
Keputusan sejarah:
Observe
Keputusan Sejarah
No Primary Bet
Hasil
Validated
Metrik pra-padanan (konteks sejarah)
Kebolehpercayaan Ramalan
74/100
· High
- Validation: Pass
Bukti
★★★★★
- No strong statistical edge
- Direction agrees with model lean
- Validation passed
Pricing proximity (inverse gap)
52/100
Betting Confidence
77/100
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
1.87
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Union Omaha win · Greenville Triumph 1–3 Union Omaha
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
F
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Semakan Soalan Lazim
- Sejauh manakah ramalan itu tepat?
- Halaman ini menilai pasaran berarah (1X2, Lebih/Bawah 2.5, BTTS) berbanding keputusan sepenuh masa. Gred ramalan menggambarkan bilangan pasaran yang dijejaki itu sepadan dengan realiti.
- Apakah ukuran Ketepatan xG?
- Ketepatan xG membandingkan profil matlamat jangkaan pra-perlawanan model dengan garis skor sebenar — bukan sama ada setiap pasaran mencecah. Semakan arah yang kukuh boleh wujud bersama dengan skor ketepatan xG yang sederhana.
- Mengapakah skor tepat tidak diramalkan?
- Hasil skor betul ialah ekor berkemungkinan rendah walaupun model membaca profil padanan dengan baik. Kami menyerlahkan tong skor tertinggi untuk konteks; kehilangan baris tepat tidak membatalkan semakan arah.
- Adakah ini meningkatkan rekod AI?
- Setiap perlawanan selesai dilog masuk dalam saluran paip pengesahan kami. Kadar hit teragregat dan kajian CLV diterbitkan secara berasingan — halaman ini ialah jejak audit setiap perlawanan.
Ramalan adalah untuk tujuan maklumat sahaja. Sentiasa berjudi dengan penuh tanggungjawab dan dalam had anda. Prestasi masa lalu tidak menjamin hasil masa depan.
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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"ev": -0.1759,
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},
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{
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}
],
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"steam_score": null,
"steam_subtitle": "",
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"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"decision_chain": {
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{
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},
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},
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"confidence_band": "Moderate",
"decision_strength": 6.5,
"decision_strength_v1": 6.0,
"decision_strength_v2": 7.5,
"decision_type": "PRIMARY",
"execution_confidence": 85,
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"final_verdict_audit": {
"action": "Compare best available odds before sizing.",
"action_label": "Action",
"decision": "Primary Bet",
"is_primary": true,
"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Union Omaha at 39.5%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 48.9%.",
"why": [
{
"text": "Decision Model identifies Union Omaha as the value side (39.5%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Market broadly agrees with the direction",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Consensus EV, reliability/execution, and calibration cleared Primary gates",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Model confidence reduced due to calibration uncertainty",
"tone": "bad"
}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
"gap_pp": 9.4,
"gates_failed": [],
"has_top_pick": true,
"headline": "Primary Bet",
"hero_mode": "default",
"icon": "\u2713",
"label": "Primary Bet \u2014 Market-confirmed value",
"market_signal": "Market aligns with model lean",
"model_conflict_detail": null,
"model_lean": "Union Omaha",
"no_primary_reasons": null,
"outlier_detected": false,
"outlier_excluded_panel": "",
"primary_allowed": true,
"primary_block_explain": null,
"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +10.3% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration See checklist \u2705 \u2192 Primary eligible. Decision Strength 6.5/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +10.3% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: See checklist \u2192 Primary eligible \u00b7 Decision Strength 6.5/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
"items": [
{
"key": "extreme_gap",
"label": "Extreme gap",
"ok": true,
"value": "no"
},
{
"key": "xg_calibration",
"label": "xG calibration",
"ok": true,
"value": "warning"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": true,
"value": "81 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": true,
"value": "85 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
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},
{
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"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+10.3% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 8,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": "market_confirmed",
"reasons": [
"Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Union Omaha).",
"Decision strength: 6.5/10"
],
"reliability_score": 81,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Low xG separation (league-average noise)"
],
"subline": "Market-confirmed consensus value \u2014 steam supports the model lean. Size carefully.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "actionable",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.1759,
"consensus_ev_display": "-17.6%",
"consensus_odds": 1.87,
"disagreement_label": "Moderate",
"disagreement_level": "moderate",
"implied_prob": 0.4893,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.3949,
"raw_edge_display": "-9.4 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": -9.4,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.53475935828877,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.2615,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-26.2%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": false,
"calibration_status": "warning",
"deviation_pct": 3.0,
"reasons": [
"Thin xG separation gap=0.18"
],
"recommended_action": "monitor",
"strength_delta": -1.0,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "low",
"block_value_alert": false,
"separation_score": -10,
"strength_delta": -1.0,
"xg_gap": 0.18
}
}
},
"bet_status": "primary",
"books_breadth_display": "7/8",
"breadth_ratio": 0.875,
"evidence": {
"score": 75,
"signals": [
{
"icon": "\u25cb",
"key": "statistical_edge",
"label": "No strong statistical edge",
"status": "neutral"
},
{
"icon": "!",
"key": "market_agreement",
"label": "Direction agrees; pricing still diverges",
"status": "caution"
},
{
"icon": "\u25cb",
"key": "steam",
"label": "Sharp steam detected",
"status": "neutral"
},
{
"icon": "\u2713",
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation passed",
"status": "pass"
}
],
"stars": 4,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"forecast_reliability": {
"breakdown": [
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation: Pass",
"tone": "ok"
}
],
"parts": {
"alignment": 20.3,
"data_quality": 12.0,
"market_coverage": 8.8,
"steam_coherence": 5.0,
"validation": 30.0
},
"score": 81,
"stars": 4,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"lean_gap_pp": 9.47,
"market_agreement": "moderate",
"max_gap_pp": 9.47,
"model_calibration": {
"away_xg": 1.39,
"calibration_status": "ok",
"deviation_pct": 3.0,
"elevated": false,
"home_xg": 1.21,
"impact_note": "",
"league_avg_xg": 1.35,
"peak_xg": 1.39,
"status_label": "Within typical league range",
"summary": "Home xG 1.21 \u00b7 Away xG 1.39 \u00b7 League avg 1.35 \u00b7 Peak deviation +3%",
"title": "Model Calibration Check"
},
"move_is_drift": false,
"mv_status": "pass",
"odds_delta_pct": 0.0,
"steam_conflicts": null,
"steam_move_display": "+0.0%",
"steam_team": "Greenville Triumph",
"suppress_execution": false,
"value_split": {
"execution_confidence": {
"label": "Betting Confidence",
"score": 85,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"market_compatibility": {
"label": "Pricing proximity (inverse gap)",
"note": "This score falls as the probability gap (pp) rises \u2014 it is NOT a bet green light. Direction may still agree (see Alignment above). Formula: proximity = max(0, 100 \u2212 5\u00d7pp). Example: 16 pp \u2192 20/100 (diverged).",
"score": 53,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"model_edge_strength": {
"label": "Model Signal Strength",
"score": 39,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"model_value": {
"label": "Pricing proximity (inverse gap)",
"note": "This score falls as the probability gap (pp) rises \u2014 it is NOT a bet green light. Direction may still agree (see Alignment above). Formula: proximity = max(0, 100 \u2212 5\u00d7pp). Example: 16 pp \u2192 20/100 (diverged).",
"score": 53,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"recommendation": {
"action": "primary",
"label": "Primary Bet"
}
},
"verdict": {
"agree_note": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Union Omaha).",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 9.5,
"key": "agree",
"label": "Agree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "moderate",
"probability_gap_pp": 9.5,
"summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Union Omaha)."
},
"authority": {
"action": "primary",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 9.5,
"key": "agree",
"label": "Agree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "moderate",
"probability_gap_pp": 9.5,
"summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Union Omaha)."
},
"alignment_key": "agree",
"best_consensus_ev": 0.1033,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.1033,
"confidence_band": "Moderate",
"decision_strength": 6.5,
"decision_strength_v1": 6.0,
"decision_strength_v2": 7.5,
"decision_type": "PRIMARY",
"execution_confidence": 85,
"extreme_disagreement": false,
"final_verdict_audit": {
"action": "Compare best available odds before sizing.",
"action_label": "Action",
"decision": "Primary Bet",
"is_primary": true,
"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Union Omaha at 39.5%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 48.9%.",
"why": [
{
"text": "Decision Model identifies Union Omaha as the value side (39.5%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Market broadly agrees with the direction",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Consensus EV, reliability/execution, and calibration cleared Primary gates",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Model confidence reduced due to calibration uncertainty",
"tone": "bad"
}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
"gap_pp": 9.4,
"gates_failed": [],
"has_top_pick": true,
"headline": "Primary Bet",
"hero_mode": "default",
"icon": "\u2713",
"label": "Primary Bet \u2014 Market-confirmed value",
"market_signal": "Market aligns with model lean",
"model_conflict_detail": null,
"model_lean": "Union Omaha",
"no_primary_reasons": null,
"outlier_detected": false,
"outlier_excluded_panel": "",
"primary_allowed": true,
"primary_block_explain": null,
"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +10.3% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration See checklist \u2705 \u2192 Primary eligible. Decision Strength 6.5/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +10.3% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: See checklist \u2192 Primary eligible \u00b7 Decision Strength 6.5/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
"items": [
{
"key": "extreme_gap",
"label": "Extreme gap",
"ok": true,
"value": "no"
},
{
"key": "xg_calibration",
"label": "xG calibration",
"ok": true,
"value": "warning"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": true,
"value": "81 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": true,
"value": "85 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": true,
"value": "agree"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+10.3% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 8,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": "market_confirmed",
"reasons": [
"Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Union Omaha).",
"Decision strength: 6.5/10"
],
"reliability_score": 81,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Low xG separation (league-average noise)"
],
"subline": "Market-confirmed consensus value \u2014 steam supports the model lean. Size carefully.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "actionable",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.1759,
"consensus_ev_display": "-17.6%",
"consensus_odds": 1.87,
"disagreement_label": "Moderate",
"disagreement_level": "moderate",
"implied_prob": 0.4893,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.3949,
"raw_edge_display": "-9.4 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": -9.4,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.53475935828877,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.2615,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-26.2%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": false,
"calibration_status": "warning",
"deviation_pct": 3.0,
"reasons": [
"Thin xG separation gap=0.18"
],
"recommended_action": "monitor",
"strength_delta": -1.0,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "low",
"block_value_alert": false,
"separation_score": -10,
"strength_delta": -1.0,
"xg_gap": 0.18
}
}
},
"headline": "Primary Bet",
"icon": "\u2713",
"label": "Primary Bet \u2014 Market-confirmed value",
"subline": "Market-confirmed consensus value \u2014 steam supports the model lean. Size carefully.",
"tier": "actionable"
},
"why": {
"action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
"bullets": [
"Model: Greenville Triumph 1.21 xG vs Union Omaha 1.39 \u2192 Union Omaha 39.5%",
"Market: Union Omaha ~48.9% implied",
"Market Steam: Greenville Triumph +0.0%"
],
"one_liner": "Model and market both lean Union Omaha with no major conflict.",
"title": "Why?"
}
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 5.03,
"fair_prob": 31.03,
"label": "Greenville Triumph",
"market_prob": 26.0,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 4.44,
"fair_prob": 29.51,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 25.07,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -9.47,
"fair_prob": 39.46,
"label": "Union Omaha",
"market_prob": 48.93,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": -6.52,
"fair_prob": 48.2,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 54.72,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": 6.52,
"fair_prob": 51.8,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 45.28,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": -3.39,
"fair_prob": 54.3,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 57.69,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": 3.39,
"fair_prob": 45.7,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 42.31,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "mild_disagreement",
"edge_pp": -9.47,
"fair_prob_pct": 39.46,
"hero_side": "away",
"hero_team_name": "Union Omaha",
"market_prob_pct": 48.93,
"status": "market_ahead",
"steam_team_name": "Greenville Triumph"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"closing_footnote": "Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.",
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"comparison_summary": "The closing market estimates Union Omaha\u0027s win probability at 48.9%, compared with the model\u0027s estimate of 39.5%, a difference of 9.5 percentage points. This highlights a disagreement between the model and market consensus, without indicating which view is ultimately correct.",
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "moderate",
"edge_status": "market_ahead",
"max_gap_pp": 9.47,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "Moderate model-market divergence",
"divergence_level": "moderate",
"divergence_level_label": "Moderate divergence",
"divergence_note": "Fair estimate and market pricing differ modestly. Monitor before kickoff.",
"divergence_tier": "moderate",
"edge_label": "Mild disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "mild_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Balanced match",
"favourite_label": "Union Omaha",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
"headline": "Balanced match",
"market_agreement_label": "Moderate",
"market_direction": {
"label": "Supports model direction",
"positive": true
},
"market_prob_pct": 48.9,
"model_prob_gap_display": "-9.4 percentage points",
"model_prob_gap_pp": -9.4,
"model_prob_pct": 39.5,
"outcome_separation_tier": "medium",
"paragraphs": [],
"pricing_convergence": {
"gap_display": "-9.4 percentage points",
"gap_pp": -9.4,
"label": "Moderate",
"label_key": "mi_fa_pricing_moderate"
},
"reliability_headline": "High reliability",
"reliability_icon": "\u2713",
"reliability_score": 81,
"reliability_tier": "high",
"summary": "Union Omaha \u2014 market direction supports the model lean.",
"tier": "balanced",
"title": "Prediction Assessment",
"validation_label": "Pass",
"value_split": {
"execution_confidence": {
"label": "Betting Confidence",
"score": 85,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"market_compatibility": {
"label": "Pricing proximity (inverse gap)",
"note": "This score falls as the probability gap (pp) rises \u2014 it is NOT a bet green light. Direction may still agree (see Alignment above). Formula: proximity = max(0, 100 \u2212 5\u00d7pp). Example: 16 pp \u2192 20/100 (diverged).",
"score": 53,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"model_edge_strength": {
"label": "Model Signal Strength",
"score": 39,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"model_value": {
"label": "Pricing proximity (inverse gap)",
"note": "This score falls as the probability gap (pp) rises \u2014 it is NOT a bet green light. Direction may still agree (see Alignment above). Formula: proximity = max(0, 100 \u2212 5\u00d7pp). Example: 16 pp \u2192 20/100 (diverged).",
"score": 53,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"recommendation": {
"action": "primary",
"label": "Primary Bet"
}
},
"why": {
"action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
"bullets": [
"Model: Greenville Triumph 1.21 xG vs Union Omaha 1.39 \u2192 Union Omaha 39.5%",
"Market: Union Omaha ~48.9% implied",
"Market Steam: Greenville Triumph +0.0%"
],
"one_liner": "Model and market both lean Union Omaha with no major conflict.",
"title": "Why?"
}
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -9.47,
"hero_label": "Union Omaha",
"hero_side": "away",
"market_activity": "No meaningful directional movement yet.",
"market_agreement": "moderate",
"market_agreement_label": "Moderate",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"Monitor line movement before kickoff \u2014 not a betting recommendation."
],
"follow_up": "",
"gap_tier": "mild",
"lead": "The market and model broadly agree on Union Omaha. The remaining divergence may reflect differences in team-strength assumptions rather than a directional disagreement.",
"note": "The market shows a modest preference for Union Omaha relative to the current fair estimate.",
"paragraphs": [
"The market and model broadly agree on Union Omaha. The remaining divergence may reflect differences in team-strength assumptions rather than a directional disagreement."
],
"quiet_market": true,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"The market still prices Union Omaha above the current fair estimate.",
"Pricing has been stable with broad sportsbook participation, suggesting settled consensus."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"market_source": "closing_1x2",
"max_gap_pp": 9.47,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_pass",
"status": "pass"
},
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 8.4 pp (at 39.5%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 8.4,
"max_prob_pct": 39.5,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "medium",
"tier_label": "Medium"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Medium",
"overall_assessment": {
"badge_class": "moderate",
"largest_gap_label": "Union Omaha",
"largest_gap_pp": -9.5,
"lead": "The closing market prices Union Omaha higher than the statistical model.",
"level": "moderate",
"max_gap_pp": 9.5,
"title": "Moderate Disagreement"
},
"rows": [
{
"difference_pp": 5.03,
"edge_pp": 5.03,
"fair_prob_pct": 31.03,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Greenville Triumph",
"market_prob_pct": 26.0,
"side": "home",
"signal_key": "model_higher",
"signal_label": "Model Higher"
},
{
"difference_pp": 4.44,
"edge_pp": 4.44,
"fair_prob_pct": 29.51,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 25.07,
"side": "draw",
"signal_key": "aligned",
"signal_label": "Aligned"
},
{
"difference_pp": -9.47,
"edge_pp": -9.47,
"fair_prob_pct": 39.46,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Union Omaha",
"market_prob_pct": 48.93,
"side": "away",
"signal_key": "market_higher",
"signal_label": "Market Higher"
}
],
"status": "market_ahead",
"status_label": "Market Ahead",
"steam_note": "The market shows a modest preference for Union Omaha relative to the current fair estimate.",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Union Omaha (48.9%).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Union Omaha, Market \u2192 Union Omaha, Recent sharp money \u2192 recent line movement.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 53.48,
"closing_odds": 1.87,
"closing_reason": "",
"closing_status": "recorded",
"closing_status_label": "Recorded",
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_reason": "",
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 53.48,
"entry_odds": 1.87,
"match_phase": "upcoming",
"match_phase_detail": "",
"match_phase_display": "Upcoming",
"match_phase_label": "Upcoming",
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"model_validation_status": "pass",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Prediction Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"show": false
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "7/8",
"current_odds": 3.2,
"move_display": "+0.0%",
"open_odds": 3.2,
"pick_team": "Greenville Triumph",
"steam_score": 26,
"steam_team_name": "Greenville Triumph",
"steam_tier": "C"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 9.5,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"at2.away_team_slug": "union-omaha",
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_goal_display": null,
"away_team_display_name": "Union Omaha",
"away_team_id": 10283,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/10283.webp",
"away_team_name": "Union Omaha",
"away_team_public_id": "0tn3dTwLSqbtzv",
"away_team_slug": "union-omaha",
"country_code": "US",
"country_display_name": "USA",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/us.svg",
"country_id": 163,
"country_name": "USA",
"fixture_id": 1494013,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_goal_display": null,
"home_team_country": "USA",
"home_team_display_name": "Greenville Triumph",
"home_team_id": 9026,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/9026.webp",
"home_team_name": "Greenville Triumph",
"home_team_public_id": "2DNzWP1B2hqXHF",
"home_team_slug": "greenville-triumph",
"ht.home_team_slug": "greenville-triumph",
"league_country": "USA",
"league_country_display": "USA",
"league_display_name": "USL League One",
"league_id": 489,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/489.webp",
"league_name": "USL League One",
"league_public_id": "4MBWLKxzdtvygS",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-09-26 23:00:00",
"public_id": "0PJe3u0fxJVpaO",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"score_penalty_away": null,
"score_penalty_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": null,
"venue_name": "Paladin Stadium"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.515,
"best_odd": 1.87,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0486,
"ev": -0.1759,
"implied_prob": 0.4893,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.4893,
"draw": 0.2507,
"home": 0.26
},
"model_prob": 0.3949,
"p_final": 0.4407
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2802,
"best_odd": 3.65,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0123,
"ev": -0.0399,
"implied_prob": 0.2507,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.4893,
"draw": 0.2507,
"home": 0.26
},
"model_prob": 0.2947,
"p_final": 0.263
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.2773,
"best_odd": 3.52,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.014,
"ev": -0.0358,
"implied_prob": 0.26,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.4893,
"draw": 0.2507,
"home": 0.26
},
"model_prob": 0.3103,
"p_final": 0.2739
}
},
"1x2_outlier": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "legacy_max_odd",
"away": {
"best_odd": 1.87,
"edge": -0.1398,
"ev": -0.2615,
"implied_prob": 0.5348,
"model_prob": 0.3949
},
"draw": {
"best_odd": 3.65,
"edge": 0.0208,
"ev": 0.0758,
"implied_prob": 0.274,
"model_prob": 0.2947
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"best_odd": 3.52,
"edge": 0.0262,
"ev": 0.0923,
"implied_prob": 0.2841,
"model_prob": 0.3103
}
},
"btts": {
"alpha_no": 0.2146,
"alpha_yes": 0.236,
"best_no_odd": 2.2,
"best_yes_odd": 1.6,
"btts_ev_mode": "market_first_available",
"edge_no": 0.0339,
"edge_yes": -0.0339,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.0054,
"ev_no_risk_adj": -0.0849,
"ev_yes": -0.1312,
"ev_yes_risk_adj": -0.1104,
"implied_no": 0.4231,
"implied_yes": 0.5769,
"market_first": {
"available": true,
"mode": "market_first_btts",
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"no": {
"alpha": 0.2146,
"best_odd": 2.115,
"edge": 0.0066,
"ev": -0.0849,
"implied_prob": 0.4261,
"model_prob": 0.457,
"p_final": 0.4327
},
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"yes": {
"alpha": 0.236,
"best_odd": 1.57,
"edge": -0.0073,
"ev": -0.1104,
"implied_prob": 0.5739,
"model_prob": 0.543,
"p_final": 0.5666
}
},
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"p_final_no": 0.4327,
"p_final_yes": 0.5666,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"alpha_over": 0.223,
"alpha_under": 0.2027,
"best_over_odd": 1.8,
"best_under_odd": 2.13,
"consensus_over_odd": 1.65,
"consensus_under_odd": 2.0,
"edge_over": -0.0652,
"edge_under": 0.0652,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.1324,
"ev_over_risk_adj": -0.1202,
"ev_under": 0.1033,
"ev_under_risk_adj": -0.0692,
"implied_over": 0.5472,
"implied_over_mf": 0.5479,
"implied_under": 0.4528,
"implied_under_mf": 0.4521,
"market_first": {
"available": true,
"mode": "market_first_ou",
"n_bookmakers": 6,
"over": {
"alpha": 0.223,
"best_odd": 1.65,
"edge": -0.0147,
"ev": -0.1202,
"implied_prob": 0.5479,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"p_final": 0.5332
},
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"under": {
"alpha": 0.2027,
"best_odd": 2.0,
"edge": 0.0134,
"ev": -0.0692,
"implied_prob": 0.4521,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"p_final": 0.4654
}
},
"n_bookmakers": 6,
"ou_ev_mode": "market_first_available",
"p_final_over": 0.5332,
"p_final_under": 0.4654,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.5.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_consensus_ev": 0.1033,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.1033,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.1033,
"confidence": 6.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
],
"breakdown_v2": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Low xG separation (league-average noise)"
],
"score": 6.5,
"score_v1_legacy": 6.0,
"score_v2_pre_penalty": 7.5,
"strength_v2": true
},
"decision_strength_v2": {
"breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Low xG separation (league-average noise)"
],
"score": 6.5,
"score_pre_penalty": 7.5
},
"decision_type": "PRIMARY",
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"final_action": "primary",
"final_decision": {
"action": "primary",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 9.5,
"key": "agree",
"label": "Agree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "moderate",
"probability_gap_pp": 9.5,
"summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Union Omaha)."
},
"alignment_key": "agree",
"best_consensus_ev": 0.1033,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.1033,
"confidence_band": "Moderate",
"decision_strength": 6.5,
"decision_strength_v1": 6.0,
"decision_strength_v2": 7.5,
"decision_type": "PRIMARY",
"execution_confidence": 85,
"extreme_disagreement": false,
"final_verdict_audit": {
"action": "Compare best available odds before sizing.",
"action_label": "Action",
"decision": "Primary Bet",
"is_primary": true,
"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Union Omaha at 39.5%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 48.9%.",
"why": [
{
"text": "Decision Model identifies Union Omaha as the value side (39.5%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Market broadly agrees with the direction",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Consensus EV, reliability/execution, and calibration cleared Primary gates",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Model confidence reduced due to calibration uncertainty",
"tone": "bad"
}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
"gap_pp": 9.4,
"gates_failed": [],
"has_top_pick": true,
"headline": "Primary Bet",
"hero_mode": "default",
"icon": "\u2713",
"label": "Primary Bet \u2014 Market-confirmed value",
"market_signal": "Market aligns with model lean",
"model_conflict_detail": null,
"model_lean": "Union Omaha",
"no_primary_reasons": null,
"outlier_detected": false,
"outlier_excluded_panel": "",
"primary_allowed": true,
"primary_block_explain": null,
"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +10.3% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration See checklist \u2705 \u2192 Primary eligible. Decision Strength 6.5/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +10.3% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: See checklist \u2192 Primary eligible \u00b7 Decision Strength 6.5/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
"items": [
{
"key": "extreme_gap",
"label": "Extreme gap",
"ok": true,
"value": "no"
},
{
"key": "xg_calibration",
"label": "xG calibration",
"ok": true,
"value": "warning"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": true,
"value": "81 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": true,
"value": "85 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": true,
"value": "agree"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+10.3% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 8,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": "market_confirmed",
"reasons": [
"Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Union Omaha).",
"Decision strength: 6.5/10"
],
"reliability_score": 81,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Low xG separation (league-average noise)"
],
"subline": "Market-confirmed consensus value \u2014 steam supports the model lean. Size carefully.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "actionable",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.1759,
"consensus_ev_display": "-17.6%",
"consensus_odds": 1.87,
"disagreement_label": "Moderate",
"disagreement_level": "moderate",
"implied_prob": 0.4893,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.3949,
"raw_edge_display": "-9.4 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": -9.4,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.53475935828877,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.2615,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-26.2%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": false,
"calibration_status": "warning",
"deviation_pct": 3.0,
"reasons": [
"Thin xG separation gap=0.18"
],
"recommended_action": "monitor",
"strength_delta": -1.0,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "low",
"block_value_alert": false,
"separation_score": -10,
"strength_delta": -1.0,
"xg_gap": 0.18
}
}
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.543,
"draw_prob": 0.2947,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3949,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.18
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"hero_mode": "default",
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"consensus_odds": 1.87,
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0486,
"ev": -0.1759,
"implied_prob": 0.4893,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.3949,
"side": "away",
"side_label": "Union Omaha"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.2146,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 2.115,
"edge": 0.0066,
"market_prob": 0.4261,
"mode": "market_first_btts",
"model_prob": 0.457,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"no": {
"alpha": 0.2146,
"best_odd": 2.115,
"edge": 0.0066,
"ev": -0.0849,
"implied_prob": 0.4261,
"model_prob": 0.457,
"p_final": 0.4327
},
"p_final": 0.4327,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"risk_adj_ev": -0.0849,
"value_side": "no",
"yes": {
"alpha": 0.236,
"best_odd": 1.57,
"edge": -0.0073,
"ev": -0.1104,
"implied_prob": 0.5739,
"model_prob": 0.543,
"p_final": 0.5666
}
},
"edge": 0.0339,
"ev": 0.0054,
"implied_prob": 0.4231,
"model_prob": 0.457,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.2027,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 2.0,
"edge": 0.0134,
"market_prob": 0.4521,
"mode": "market_first_ou",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"n_bookmakers": 6,
"over": {
"alpha": 0.223,
"best_odd": 1.65,
"edge": -0.0147,
"ev": -0.1202,
"implied_prob": 0.5479,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"p_final": 0.5332
},
"p_final": 0.4654,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"risk_adj_ev": -0.0692,
"under": {
"alpha": 0.2027,
"best_odd": 2.0,
"edge": 0.0134,
"ev": -0.0692,
"implied_prob": 0.4521,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"p_final": 0.4654
},
"value_side": "under"
},
"edge": 0.0652,
"ev": 0.1033,
"implied_prob": 0.4528,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1494013,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.1033,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3949,
"draw": 0.2947,
"home": 0.3103
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"show_betting_primary_label": true,
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Union Omaha",
"home": "Greenville Triumph"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.037457,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1033,
"implied_prob": 0.4528,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 1,
"value_context_1x2": {
"consensus_ev": -0.1759,
"consensus_ev_display": "-17.6%",
"consensus_odds": 1.87,
"disagreement_label": "Moderate",
"disagreement_level": "moderate",
"implied_prob": 0.4893,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.3949,
"raw_edge_display": "-9.4 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": -9.4,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.53475935828877,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.2615,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-26.2%"
}
}
},
"fixture_id": 1494013,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-09-26T22:59:44.410582+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Terokai Kandungan Ramalan Lain
Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Greenville Triumph & Union Omaha!
Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.
Langgan Sekarang
USL League One — Kedudukan
| # | PASUKAN | P | M | S | K | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 28 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 58 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 57 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 51 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 47 |
| 5 | Boise | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 46 |
| 6 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 43 |
| 7 | Spokane Velocity | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 43 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 38 |
| 9 | Sarasota Paradise | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 33 |
| 10 | Corpus Christi | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33 |
| 11 | Alta | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 32 |
| 12 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 30 |
| 13 | Westchester SC | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 29 |
| 14 | Naples | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 28 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 23 |
| 16 | NY Cosmos | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 22 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 20 |
| 18 | Tormenta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # | PASUKAN | P | J | B | +/- | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 28 | 64 | 40 | +24 | 57 |
| 2 | Forward Madison | 28 | 50 | 27 | +23 | 51 |
| 3 | Union Omaha | 28 | 50 | 30 | +20 | 58 |
| 4 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 26 | 47 | 38 | +9 | 43 |
| 5 | Westchester SC | 27 | 46 | 45 | +1 | 29 |
| 6 | One Knoxville | 27 | 44 | 31 | +13 | 47 |
| 7 | Boise | 27 | 43 | 37 | +6 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 27 | 42 | 36 | +6 | 38 |
| 9 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 28 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 30 |
| 10 | Spokane Velocity | 25 | 37 | 33 | +4 | 43 |
| 11 | Sarasota Paradise | 27 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 33 |
| 12 | Alta | 28 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 32 |
| 13 | NY Cosmos | 26 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 22 |
| 14 | Corpus Christi | 26 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 33 |
| 15 | Naples | 26 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 28 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 26 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 26 | 25 | 53 | -28 | 20 |
| 18 | Tormenta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
