Audit Ramalan: Vrchovina vs Slovácko II Ramalan, Odds & Tip Pertaruhan AI

May 16, 2026 - 15:00
3 1.45
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 61%

AI correctly predicted the Vrchovina win.

The match finished 3–1, validating the model's directional assessment.

Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa

Gred ramalan B-

Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.

  • Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 matlamat) ✔ Betul
  • Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Ya ✖ tak betul
  • 1X2 Vrchovina Vrchovina ✔ Betul
  • Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 1-0, 2-2 3-1 ✖ tak betul

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.70) — 4 goals materialised
  • Over 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile

What failed

  • Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS No; match finished BTTS Yes
  • Exact score: outside the model's top score bins

Market lesson

The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Vrchovina win 3–1).

Laman pertaruhan premium stake: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo FHn2uDc1. Daftar sekarang

Garis Masa Ramalan

Cara ramalan ini beralih daripada ramalan kepada semakan sepenuh masa.

  1. May 17, 2026 · 14:59 UTC Forecast generated
    • xG · Vrchovina 1.45 — Slovácko II 1.25
  2. May 16, 2026 · 15:00 UTC Kickoff
  3. FT Full-time result Vrchovina win · 3–1
  4. FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
  5. Archived Prediction review

Gambar Sejarah

Dibekukan pada sepak mula — keluaran model seperti sebelum perlawanan bermula.

Keputusan sejarah: Observe
Keputusan Sejarah No Primary Bet
Hasil Validated
Metrik pra-padanan (konteks sejarah)
Kebolehpercayaan Ramalan 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Bukti ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 03, 2026 · 13:06 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2929090

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Vrchovina win · Vrchovina 3–1 Slovácko II
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Semakan Soalan Lazim

Sejauh manakah ramalan itu tepat?
Halaman ini menilai pasaran berarah (1X2, Lebih/Bawah 2.5, BTTS) berbanding keputusan sepenuh masa. Gred ramalan menggambarkan bilangan pasaran yang dijejaki itu sepadan dengan realiti.
Apakah ukuran Ketepatan xG?
Ketepatan xG membandingkan profil matlamat jangkaan pra-perlawanan model dengan garis skor sebenar — bukan sama ada setiap pasaran mencecah. Semakan arah yang kukuh boleh wujud bersama dengan skor ketepatan xG yang sederhana.
Mengapakah skor tepat tidak diramalkan?
Hasil skor betul ialah ekor berkemungkinan rendah walaupun model membaca profil padanan dengan baik. Kami menyerlahkan tong skor tertinggi untuk konteks; kehilangan baris tepat tidak membatalkan semakan arah.
Adakah ini meningkatkan rekod AI?
Setiap perlawanan selesai dilog masuk dalam saluran paip pengesahan kami. Kadar hit teragregat dan kajian CLV diterbitkan secara berasingan — halaman ini ialah jejak audit setiap perlawanan.

Ramalan adalah untuk tujuan maklumat sahaja. Sentiasa berjudi dengan penuh tanggungjawab dan dalam had anda. Prestasi masa lalu tidak menjamin hasil masa depan.

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "366c60be213b9fc580fcb3be6d470006871d79dd326570740a5b2d35d1130f86",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
      "away_win_prob": null,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "prediction_confidence": "none"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : Vrchovina or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "30%",
      "percent_draw": "35%",
      "percent_home": "35%",
      "winner_name": "Vrchovina"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Vrchovina",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.0104,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.4281,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 7,
        "away_failed_to_score": 7,
        "away_played": 28,
        "away_score_rate": 75.0,
        "home_clean_sheet": 6,
        "home_failed_to_score": 9,
        "home_played": 28,
        "home_score_rate": 67.9,
        "no_prob": 49.1,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 50.9,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 50.9
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.5,
        "home_expected": 1.65,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 10.6
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 8.7
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 8.0
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 7.1
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-2",
            "prob": 6.6
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Vrchovina or Draw",
            "prob": 70.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Vrchovina or Slov\u00e1cko II",
            "prob": 65.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Slov\u00e1cko II",
            "prob": 65.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Vrchovina or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 70.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 30.0,
        "draw_pct": 35.0,
        "home_pct": 35.0,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Vrchovina"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 3.15,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.4,
        "confidence": "medium",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.7,
        "over_prob": 61.0,
        "pick": "Over 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 61.0,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "total_expected": 3.15,
        "under_prob": 39.0
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Slov\u00e1cko II",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Marathonbet",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Marathonbet",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Vrchovina",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 42.81,
          "gap_pp": -1.04,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 41.77
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 25.54,
          "gap_pp": 0.13,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 25.67
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 31.65,
          "gap_pp": 0.91,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 32.57
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 57.94,
          "gap_pp": 3.06,
          "kind": "ou_o",
          "model_pct": 61.0
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 42.06,
          "gap_pp": -3.06,
          "kind": "ou_u",
          "model_pct": 39.0
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 60.63,
          "gap_pp": -9.73,
          "kind": "btts_y",
          "model_pct": 50.9
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 39.37,
          "gap_pp": 9.73,
          "kind": "btts_n",
          "model_pct": 49.1
        }
      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 2.1,
          "early": 2.1,
          "implied_closing_pct": 42.81,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 42.81,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.52,
          "early": 3.52,
          "implied_closing_pct": 25.54,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 25.54,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.84,
          "early": 2.84,
          "implied_closing_pct": 31.65,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 31.65,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.59,
          "early": 1.59,
          "implied_closing_pct": 57.94,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 57.94,
          "kind": "ou_o"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.19,
          "early": 2.19,
          "implied_closing_pct": 42.06,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 42.06,
          "kind": "ou_u"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.5,
          "early": 1.5,
          "implied_closing_pct": 60.63,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 60.63,
          "kind": "btts_y"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.31,
          "early": 2.31,
          "implied_closing_pct": 39.37,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 39.37,
          "kind": "btts_n"
        }
      ],
      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 9.7,
        "kind": "btts_n"
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 10.6
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.1784,
        "ev_yes": -0.2365,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.1784,
        "no_prob": 49.1,
        "sort_key": 10310.56,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 50.9
      },
      {
        "decision": "lean",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.0301,
        "ev_under": -0.1459,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": -0.0301,
        "over_prob": 61.0,
        "sort_key": 1792.475,
        "tier": "bad_ev",
        "under_prob": 39.0,
        "value_side": "over"
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.1107,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.4281,
        "max_ev": -0.0895,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "side_label": "Vrchovina",
        "sort_key": 1777.625,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 811.8,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 10.6
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 8623,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/8623.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Slov\u00e1cko II",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/cz.svg",
      "country_name": "Czech-Republic",
      "fixture_id": 1487430,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 7376,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/7376.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Vrchovina",
      "league_country": "Czech-Republic",
      "league_id": 349,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/349.webp",
      "league_name": "3. Liga - MSFL Republik Czech",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-17 15:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.4438,
            "best_odd": 2.84,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.004,
            "ev": -0.0895,
            "implied_prob": 0.3165,
            "model_prob": 0.3257,
            "p_final": 0.3206
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2994,
            "best_odd": 3.52,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0004,
            "ev": -0.0997,
            "implied_prob": 0.2554,
            "model_prob": 0.2567,
            "p_final": 0.2558
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.443,
            "best_odd": 2.1,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0046,
            "ev": -0.1107,
            "implied_prob": 0.4281,
            "model_prob": 0.4177,
            "p_final": 0.4235
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.4,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.5,
          "edge_no": 0.1026,
          "edge_yes": -0.1026,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.1784,
          "ev_yes": -0.2365,
          "implied_no": 0.3884,
          "implied_yes": 0.6116,
          "n_bookmakers": 3,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.59,
          "best_under_odd": 2.19,
          "edge_over": 0.0323,
          "edge_under": -0.0323,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.0301,
          "ev_under": -0.1459,
          "implied_over": 0.5777,
          "implied_under": 0.4223,
          "n_bookmakers": 5,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.1.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.1784,
      "confidence": 6.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.509,
          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.61,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.39,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.0046,
          "ev": -0.1107,
          "implied_prob": 0.4281,
          "max_ev_side": "away",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Vrchovina"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1026,
          "ev": 0.1784,
          "implied_prob": 0.3884,
          "model_prob": 0.491,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "lean",
          "edge": 0.0323,
          "ev": -0.0301,
          "implied_prob": 0.5777,
          "model_prob": 0.61,
          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1487430,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.1784,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Slov\u00e1cko II",
        "home": "Vrchovina"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.087594,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1784,
        "implied_prob": 0.3884,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.491,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 1
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1487430,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T14:59:28.347049+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Vrchovina & Slovácko II!

Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.

Langgan Sekarang
Kembali ke Ramalan
3. Liga - MSFL Republik Czech 3. Liga - MSFL Republik Czech — Kedudukan
# PASUKAN P M S K Mata
1 Třinec 34 23 7 4 76
2 Hodonín 33 21 7 5 70
3 Sigma Olomouc II 34 19 6 10 62
4 Zbrojovka Brno II 33 19 4 10 61
5 Uničov 33 17 11 6 61
6 Frýdek-Místek 33 16 10 7 58
7 Vrchovina 33 16 7 10 55
8 Unie Hlubina 33 13 8 12 47
9 Vsetín 33 13 6 14 45
10 Zlín II 34 11 10 13 43
11 Vítkovice 33 11 7 15 40
12 Slovácko II 33 9 11 13 38
13 Polanka nad Odrou 34 9 8 17 35
14 Hranice 33 7 9 17 30
15 Blansko 33 9 3 21 30
16 Karviná II 33 7 8 18 29
17 Hlučín 33 6 7 20 25
18 Start Brno 33 4 12 18 24
# PASUKAN P J B +/- Mata
1 Třinec 34 75 27 +48 76
2 Hodonín 33 75 36 +39 70
3 Sigma Olomouc II 34 71 33 +38 62
4 Zbrojovka Brno II 33 67 46 +21 61
5 Vrchovina 33 63 49 +14 55
6 Zlín II 34 57 64 -7 43
7 Frýdek-Místek 33 52 37 +15 58
8 Uničov 33 52 41 +11 61
9 Unie Hlubina 33 51 47 +4 47
10 Vsetín 33 51 52 -1 45
11 Slovácko II 33 48 54 -6 38
12 Vítkovice 33 46 55 -9 40
13 Blansko 33 44 77 -33 30
14 Hlučín 33 39 72 -33 25
15 Karviná II 33 38 59 -21 29
16 Hranice 33 37 58 -21 30
17 Polanka nad Odrou 34 37 62 -25 35
18 Start Brno 33 32 66 -34 24