AI correctly predicted the Vrchovina win.
The match finished 3–1, validating the model's directional assessment.
Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa
Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.
- Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
- Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 matlamat) ✔ Betul
- Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Ya ✖ tak betul
- 1X2 Vrchovina Vrchovina ✔ Betul
- Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 1-0, 2-2 3-1 ✖ tak betul
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.70) — 4 goals materialised
- Over 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile
What failed
- Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS No; match finished BTTS Yes
- Exact score: outside the model's top score bins
Market lesson
The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Vrchovina win 3–1).
Garis Masa Ramalan
Cara ramalan ini beralih daripada ramalan kepada semakan sepenuh masa.
-
May 17, 2026 · 14:59 UTC Forecast generated
- xG · Vrchovina 1.45 — Slovácko II 1.25
-
May 16, 2026 · 15:00 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Vrchovina win · 3–1
-
FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Gambar Sejarah
Dibekukan pada sepak mula — keluaran model seperti sebelum perlawanan bermula.
Metrik pra-padanan (konteks sejarah)
- Validation: Pending
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Validation Report
Immutable SnapshotSemakan Soalan Lazim
- Sejauh manakah ramalan itu tepat?
- Halaman ini menilai pasaran berarah (1X2, Lebih/Bawah 2.5, BTTS) berbanding keputusan sepenuh masa. Gred ramalan menggambarkan bilangan pasaran yang dijejaki itu sepadan dengan realiti.
- Apakah ukuran Ketepatan xG?
- Ketepatan xG membandingkan profil matlamat jangkaan pra-perlawanan model dengan garis skor sebenar — bukan sama ada setiap pasaran mencecah. Semakan arah yang kukuh boleh wujud bersama dengan skor ketepatan xG yang sederhana.
- Mengapakah skor tepat tidak diramalkan?
- Hasil skor betul ialah ekor berkemungkinan rendah walaupun model membaca profil padanan dengan baik. Kami menyerlahkan tong skor tertinggi untuk konteks; kehilangan baris tepat tidak membatalkan semakan arah.
- Adakah ini meningkatkan rekod AI?
- Setiap perlawanan selesai dilog masuk dalam saluran paip pengesahan kami. Kadar hit teragregat dan kajian CLV diterbitkan secara berasingan — halaman ini ialah jejak audit setiap perlawanan.
Ramalan adalah untuk tujuan maklumat sahaja. Sentiasa berjudi dengan penuh tanggungjawab dan dalam had anda. Prestasi masa lalu tidak menjamin hasil masa depan.
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "366c60be213b9fc580fcb3be6d470006871d79dd326570740a5b2d35d1130f86",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
"away_win_prob": null,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"prediction_confidence": "none"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : Vrchovina or draw",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "30%",
"percent_draw": "35%",
"percent_home": "35%",
"winner_name": "Vrchovina"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Vrchovina",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": -0.0104,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.4281,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 32.6,
"draw": 25.7,
"home": 41.8
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 7,
"away_failed_to_score": 7,
"away_played": 28,
"away_score_rate": 75.0,
"home_clean_sheet": 6,
"home_failed_to_score": 9,
"home_played": 28,
"home_score_rate": 67.9,
"no_prob": 49.1,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 50.9,
"source": "stats",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 50.9
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.5,
"home_expected": 1.65,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 10.6
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.7
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 8.0
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 7.1
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-2",
"prob": 6.6
}
],
"source": "avg"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Vrchovina or Draw",
"prob": 70.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Vrchovina or Slov\u00e1cko II",
"prob": 65.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Slov\u00e1cko II",
"prob": 65.0
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Vrchovina or Draw",
"pick_prob": 70.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 30.0,
"draw_pct": 35.0,
"home_pct": 35.0,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Vrchovina"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 3.15,
"away_avg_scored": 1.4,
"confidence": "medium",
"home_avg_scored": 1.7,
"over_prob": 61.0,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 61.0,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": false,
"total_expected": 3.15,
"under_prob": 39.0
},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Slov\u00e1cko II",
"closing_bookmaker": "Marathonbet",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Marathonbet",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Vrchovina",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 42.81,
"gap_pp": -1.04,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 41.77
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 25.54,
"gap_pp": 0.13,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 25.67
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 31.65,
"gap_pp": 0.91,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 32.57
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 57.94,
"gap_pp": 3.06,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 61.0
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 42.06,
"gap_pp": -3.06,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 39.0
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 60.63,
"gap_pp": -9.73,
"kind": "btts_y",
"model_pct": 50.9
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 39.37,
"gap_pp": 9.73,
"kind": "btts_n",
"model_pct": 49.1
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 2.1,
"early": 2.1,
"implied_closing_pct": 42.81,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 42.81,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.52,
"early": 3.52,
"implied_closing_pct": 25.54,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 25.54,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 2.84,
"early": 2.84,
"implied_closing_pct": 31.65,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 31.65,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.59,
"early": 1.59,
"implied_closing_pct": 57.94,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 57.94,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 2.19,
"early": 2.19,
"implied_closing_pct": 42.06,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 42.06,
"kind": "ou_u"
},
{
"closing": 1.5,
"early": 1.5,
"implied_closing_pct": 60.63,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 60.63,
"kind": "btts_y"
},
{
"closing": 2.31,
"early": 2.31,
"implied_closing_pct": 39.37,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 39.37,
"kind": "btts_n"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 9.7,
"kind": "btts_n"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 10.6
}
},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.1784,
"ev_yes": -0.2365,
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.1784,
"no_prob": 49.1,
"sort_key": 10310.56,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 50.9
},
{
"decision": "lean",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.0301,
"ev_under": -0.1459,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": -0.0301,
"over_prob": 61.0,
"sort_key": 1792.475,
"tier": "bad_ev",
"under_prob": 39.0,
"value_side": "over"
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.1107,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.4281,
"max_ev": -0.0895,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side_label": "Vrchovina",
"sort_key": 1777.625,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 811.8,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 10.6
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 8623,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/8623.webp",
"away_team_name": "Slov\u00e1cko II",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/cz.svg",
"country_name": "Czech-Republic",
"fixture_id": 1487430,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 7376,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/7376.webp",
"home_team_name": "Vrchovina",
"league_country": "Czech-Republic",
"league_id": 349,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/349.webp",
"league_name": "3. Liga - MSFL Republik Czech",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-17 15:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.4438,
"best_odd": 2.84,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.004,
"ev": -0.0895,
"implied_prob": 0.3165,
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"p_final": 0.3206
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2994,
"best_odd": 3.52,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0004,
"ev": -0.0997,
"implied_prob": 0.2554,
"model_prob": 0.2567,
"p_final": 0.2558
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.443,
"best_odd": 2.1,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0046,
"ev": -0.1107,
"implied_prob": 0.4281,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"p_final": 0.4235
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.4,
"best_yes_odd": 1.5,
"edge_no": 0.1026,
"edge_yes": -0.1026,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.1784,
"ev_yes": -0.2365,
"implied_no": 0.3884,
"implied_yes": 0.6116,
"n_bookmakers": 3,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.59,
"best_under_odd": 2.19,
"edge_over": 0.0323,
"edge_under": -0.0323,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.0301,
"ev_under": -0.1459,
"implied_over": 0.5777,
"implied_under": 0.4223,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.1784,
"confidence": 6.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.509,
"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.61,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.39,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0046,
"ev": -0.1107,
"implied_prob": 0.4281,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Vrchovina"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1026,
"ev": 0.1784,
"implied_prob": 0.3884,
"model_prob": 0.491,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "lean",
"edge": 0.0323,
"ev": -0.0301,
"implied_prob": 0.5777,
"model_prob": 0.61,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1487430,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.1784,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3257,
"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Slov\u00e1cko II",
"home": "Vrchovina"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.087594,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1784,
"implied_prob": 0.3884,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.491,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 1
}
},
"fixture_id": 1487430,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T14:59:28.347049+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Terokai Kandungan Ramalan Lain
Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Vrchovina & Slovácko II!
Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.
Langgan Sekarang
3. Liga - MSFL Republik Czech — Kedudukan
| # | PASUKAN | P | M | S | K | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Třinec | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 76 |
| 2 | Hodonín | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 70 |
| 3 | Sigma Olomouc II | 34 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 62 |
| 4 | Zbrojovka Brno II | 33 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 61 |
| 5 | Uničov | 33 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 61 |
| 6 | Frýdek-Místek | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 58 |
| 7 | Vrchovina | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 55 |
| 8 | Unie Hlubina | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 47 |
| 9 | Vsetín | 33 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 45 |
| 10 | Zlín II | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 43 |
| 11 | Vítkovice | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 40 |
| 12 | Slovácko II | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 38 |
| 13 | Polanka nad Odrou | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 35 |
| 14 | Hranice | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 30 |
| 15 | Blansko | 33 | 9 | 3 | 21 | 30 |
| 16 | Karviná II | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 |
| 17 | Hlučín | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 25 |
| 18 | Start Brno | 33 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 24 |
| # | PASUKAN | P | J | B | +/- | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Třinec | 34 | 75 | 27 | +48 | 76 |
| 2 | Hodonín | 33 | 75 | 36 | +39 | 70 |
| 3 | Sigma Olomouc II | 34 | 71 | 33 | +38 | 62 |
| 4 | Zbrojovka Brno II | 33 | 67 | 46 | +21 | 61 |
| 5 | Vrchovina | 33 | 63 | 49 | +14 | 55 |
| 6 | Zlín II | 34 | 57 | 64 | -7 | 43 |
| 7 | Frýdek-Místek | 33 | 52 | 37 | +15 | 58 |
| 8 | Uničov | 33 | 52 | 41 | +11 | 61 |
| 9 | Unie Hlubina | 33 | 51 | 47 | +4 | 47 |
| 10 | Vsetín | 33 | 51 | 52 | -1 | 45 |
| 11 | Slovácko II | 33 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 38 |
| 12 | Vítkovice | 33 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 40 |
| 13 | Blansko | 33 | 44 | 77 | -33 | 30 |
| 14 | Hlučín | 33 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 25 |
| 15 | Karviná II | 33 | 38 | 59 | -21 | 29 |
| 16 | Hranice | 33 | 37 | 58 | -21 | 30 |
| 17 | Polanka nad Odrou | 34 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 35 |
| 18 | Start Brno | 33 | 32 | 66 | -34 | 24 |