Ramalan / Bola Sepak / Netherlands. Derde Divisie - Saturday / Harkemase Boys vs Sportlust '46

Harkemase Boys vs Sportlust '46 Ramalan, Odds & Tip Pertaruhan AI

May 23, 2026 - 13:30
4 1.45
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 46%
Laman pertaruhan premium 1xBet: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo 1x_3342271. Daftar sekarang

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Lebih / Kurang 2.5 Kurang 2.5 Lebih 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Ya ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Harkemase Boys Harkemase Boys ✔ Correct
  • Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-1 4-1 ✖ Incorrect

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "f61db8cc5f33d86bd853b9d0a84e1ca31c1f8bd5437bf9ded94173ce691c0cd9",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
      "away_win_prob": null,
      "btts_no_prob": 0.438,
      "btts_yes_prob": 0.562,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "over_25_prob": 0.506,
      "prediction_confidence": "none",
      "under_25_prob": 0.494
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : Harkemase Boys or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "Harkemase Boys"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Harkemase Boys",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.0052,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.4125,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 8,
        "away_failed_to_score": 9,
        "away_played": 33,
        "away_score_rate": 72.7,
        "home_clean_sheet": 10,
        "home_failed_to_score": 5,
        "home_played": 33,
        "home_score_rate": 84.8,
        "no_prob": 38.3,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 61.7,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "yes_prob": 61.7
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.45,
        "home_expected": 1.5,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 11.4
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 8.5
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 8.3
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 7.9
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 7.6
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Harkemase Boys or Draw",
            "prob": 90.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Harkemase Boys or Sportlust \u002746",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Sportlust \u002746",
            "prob": 55.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Harkemase Boys or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 90.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 10.0,
        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 45.0,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Harkemase Boys"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.95,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.6,
        "confidence": "medium",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.5,
        "over_prob": 56.6,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 56.6,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.95,
        "under_prob": 43.4
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Sportlust \u002746",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE5",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Harkemase Boys",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 41.25,
          "gap_pp": 0.52,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 41.77
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 26.52,
          "gap_pp": -0.86,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 25.67
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 32.23,
          "gap_pp": 0.34,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 32.57
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 59.74,
          "gap_pp": -3.14,
          "kind": "ou_o",
          "model_pct": 56.6
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 40.26,
          "gap_pp": 3.14,
          "kind": "ou_u",
          "model_pct": 43.4
        }
      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 2.18,
          "early": 2.18,
          "implied_closing_pct": 41.25,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 41.25,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.39,
          "early": 3.39,
          "implied_closing_pct": 26.52,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 26.52,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.79,
          "early": 2.79,
          "implied_closing_pct": 32.23,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 32.23,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.53,
          "early": 1.53,
          "implied_closing_pct": 59.74,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 59.74,
          "kind": "ou_o"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.27,
          "early": 2.27,
          "implied_closing_pct": 40.26,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 40.26,
          "kind": "ou_u"
        }
      ],
      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 3.1,
        "kind": "ou_u"
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 11.4
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.134,
        "ev_under": 0.1371,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.1371,
        "over_prob": 56.6,
        "sort_key": 10273.39,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 43.4,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "lean",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": -0.0195,
        "ev_yes": -0.0868,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": -0.0195,
        "no_prob": 38.3,
        "sort_key": 1795.125,
        "tier": "bad_ev",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 61.7
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.0958,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.4125,
        "max_ev": -0.0958,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "side_label": "Harkemase Boys",
        "sort_key": 1776.05,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 814.2,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 11.4
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 3904,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/3904.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Sportlust \u002746",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/nl.svg",
      "country_name": "Netherlands",
      "fixture_id": 1438148,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 1258,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/1258.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Harkemase Boys",
      "league_country": "Netherlands",
      "league_id": 92,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/92.webp",
      "league_name": "Derde Divisie - Saturday",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-23 15:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.4477,
            "best_odd": 2.79,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0015,
            "ev": -0.0966,
            "implied_prob": 0.3223,
            "model_prob": 0.3257,
            "p_final": 0.3238
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2961,
            "best_odd": 3.39,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0025,
            "ev": -0.1094,
            "implied_prob": 0.2652,
            "model_prob": 0.2567,
            "p_final": 0.2627
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.4465,
            "best_odd": 2.18,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0023,
            "ev": -0.0958,
            "implied_prob": 0.4125,
            "model_prob": 0.4177,
            "p_final": 0.4148
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.56,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.48,
          "edge_no": 0.0162,
          "edge_yes": -0.0162,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": -0.0195,
          "ev_yes": -0.0868,
          "implied_no": 0.3668,
          "implied_yes": 0.6332,
          "n_bookmakers": 4,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.53,
          "best_under_odd": 2.62,
          "edge_over": -0.0485,
          "edge_under": 0.0485,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.134,
          "ev_under": 0.1371,
          "implied_over": 0.6145,
          "implied_under": 0.3855,
          "n_bookmakers": 5,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.1.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.1371,
      "confidence": 6.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.617,
          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.566,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.434,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": 0.0023,
          "ev": -0.0958,
          "implied_prob": 0.4125,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Harkemase Boys"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "lean",
          "edge": 0.0162,
          "ev": -0.0195,
          "implied_prob": 0.3668,
          "model_prob": 0.383,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0485,
          "ev": 0.1371,
          "implied_prob": 0.3855,
          "model_prob": 0.434,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1438148,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "optional",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.1371,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Sportlust \u002746",
        "home": "Harkemase Boys"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.059501,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1371,
        "implied_prob": 0.3855,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.434,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 1
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1438148,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-23T19:21:36.370241+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

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Derde Divisie - Saturday Derde Divisie - SaturdayKedudukan
# PASUKAN P M S K Mata
1 ROHDA Raalte 33 20 7 6 67
2 ADO '20 33 17 9 7 60
3 DVS 33 Ermelo 33 16 11 6 59
4 Sparta Nijkerk 33 18 4 11 58
5 SC Genemuiden 33 17 5 11 56
6 Staphorst 33 16 3 14 51
7 Eemdijk 33 14 8 11 50
8 Dovo 33 14 7 12 49
9 Harkemase Boys 33 13 10 10 49
10 VV Scherpenzeel 33 14 6 13 48
11 Sportlust '46 33 14 5 14 47
12 Hoogeveen 33 13 6 14 45
13 Hercules 33 13 4 16 43
14 Huizen 33 11 7 15 40
15 TEC 33 12 3 18 39
16 Excelsior '31 33 11 4 18 37
17 URK 33 9 6 18 33
18 Hsc 21 33 1 3 29 6
# PASUKAN P J B +/- Mata
1 Sparta Nijkerk 33 81 42 +39 58
2 Eemdijk 33 67 56 +11 50
3 ROHDA Raalte 33 62 34 +28 67
4 Staphorst 33 61 52 +9 51
5 SC Genemuiden 33 60 50 +10 56
6 URK 33 60 94 -34 33
7 DVS 33 Ermelo 33 58 39 +19 59
8 VV Scherpenzeel 33 55 45 +10 48
9 Sportlust '46 33 53 48 +5 47
10 Hercules 33 53 57 -4 43
11 Dovo 33 52 43 +9 49
12 Harkemase Boys 33 52 43 +9 49
13 Hoogeveen 33 52 63 -11 45
14 Huizen 33 51 62 -11 40
15 TEC 33 48 64 -16 39
16 Excelsior '31 33 47 56 -9 37
17 ADO '20 33 46 35 +11 60
18 Hsc 21 33 30 105 -75 6