Ramalan / Bola Sepak / Poland. III Liga - Group 1 / Bełchatów vs Jagiellonia II

Bełchatów vs Jagiellonia II Ramalan, Odds & Tip Pertaruhan AI

May 23, 2026 - 16:00
1.45
1.25
42% 26% 33%

Keputusan pertaruhan akhir

Kecekapan harga pasaran berbeza secara berbeza — 1X2 boleh menjadi hantaran sementara pasaran matlamat masih menunjukkan kelebihan.

  • Tiada nilai pada 1X2 (Bełchatów lwn. odds semasa)
  • Model kurus (bukan pertaruhan lalai): Lebih 2.5
  • Nilai yang mungkin: BTTS Tidak (+11.7% EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
  • Harga semula wap pada perlawanan ini — wang lewat mungkin telah memakan kelebihan yang tinggal di bahagian kukus.
Sabitan sederhana (6/10) — satu baris terpilih, bukan parlay berbilang pasaran.
Pilihan utama (+EV tertinggi)
BTTS Tidak — Nilai
EV +11.7% Model 43.8%
Bukan hasil yang dominan (kebarangkalian model adalah di bawah 50% pada kaki ini).
Steam vs. nilai
Momentum pasaran kuat, tetapi odds semasa mungkin sudah over-adjusted. Steam dikesan — nilai model pada baris ini mungkin sudah habis.
Perlawanan ini muncul di papan pergerakan kerana penilaian semula agresif — bukan kerana 1X2 ialah pertaruhan +EV sekarang.
🔥 Steam kuat · Jagiellonia II ↑ +22.7% · 7/10 · 90 A+
Steam pasaran Kuat
EV semasa Negatif
Tekanan garisan penutupan Tinggi
Nilai berbaki Terhad
Mengapa Model menilai Lukis (1X2) kira-kira 2.8 mata peratus melebihi implied penutupan — bacaan struktur utama vs garisan.

Intelijen pasaran

Bacaan selepas pilihan utama: bagaimana suapan penutup berprioriti bergerak berbanding model.

Ringkasan pasaran

Pasaran kekal stabil menjelang sepakan. Tiada anjakan implied ketara antara PRE30 dan PRE1 pada snapshot berprioriti.

Walaupun pergerakan lewat kecil, model masih menilai Bełchatów (1X2),Lukis (1X2),Lebih 2.5 gol jauh melebihi implied snapshot penutupan — bacaan statik "model vs harga", bukan kejaran steam.

Model masih melebihi implied penutupan pada Lukis (1X2) kira-kira 2.8 mata peratus — isyarat salah harga paling jelas pada halaman ini.

Model vs implied penutup

Pasaran Model % Implied penutup % Jurang (pp)
Bełchatów (1X2) 41.8 40.2 +1.6
Lukis (1X2) 25.7 22.9 +2.8
Jagiellonia II (1X2) 32.6 36.9 -4.3
Lebih 2.5 gol 61.0 59.7 +1.3
Bawah 2.5 gol 39.0 40.3 -1.3
Apa maksudnya

Secara ringkas: model kira-kira 25.7% pada Lukis (1X2), manakala snapshot penutup menunjukkan kira-kira 22.9%. Bezanya — kira-kira 2.8 mata peratus — ialah jurang model-vs-pasaran terbesar yang ditonjolkan di halaman ini.

Ringkas: "implied penutup" ialah kebarangkalian terbit daripada odds akhir yang ditangkap (selepas de-vig ringkas). "Jurang (pp)" = peratus model tolak implied tersebut, dalam mata peratus (pp).

Pergerakan garisan menjelang sepakan mula

Satu buku prioriti setiap snapshot (bukan semua). Laluan tangkapan: PRE30 → PRE1 · Buku: Pinnacle

Dalam kurungan pada lajur: Penutup = snapshot pertama tersedia ikut PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Awal = pertama dalam PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 yang berbeza daripada Penutup.

Odds terperinci dilipat di bawah — pergerakan implied (de-vig) boleh diabaikan.

Lihat jadual penuh baris demi baris
Pasaran Awal (PRE30) Penutup (PRE1) Δ tersirat (pp)
Bełchatów (1X2) 2.21 2.21 0.0
Lukis (1X2) 3.88 3.88 0.0
Jagiellonia II (1X2) 2.41 2.41 0.0
Lebih 2.5 gol 1.53 1.53 0.0
Bawah 2.5 gol 2.27 2.27 0.0
Lebih / Kurang 2.5 Nilai lemah
Lebih 2.5 61.0% · Kurang 2.5 39.0%
EV Selesai -2.4% · EV Di Bawah -8.3%
Condong nilai: Lebih 2.5
1X2 Nilai lemah
Bełchatów · Model 41.8%
tersirat 40.2%
Pasaran konsensus utama · EV: -9.6%
Garis pembuat taruhan terbaik yang tersedia: -8.0% EV
Sesetengah odds outlier pembuat taruhan mungkin masih menunjukkan nilai teori kecil berbanding garisan konsensus di atas.
Cerapan skor tepat Kecua / hiburan
Paling berkemungkinan
1-1
Kebarangkalian 10.6%
Skor tepat berisiko tinggi — pertaruhan kecil untuk hiburan sahaja.
Keputusan pertaruhan (model lwn. EV pasaran)
Nilai peluang — Sekurang-kurangnya satu pasaran menunjukkan anggaran +EV pada kemungkinan perpuluhan terbaik semasa (ambang: 2.0%).
Kekuatan keputusan: 6.0 / 10
  • Barisan utama dikenal pasti (+1.0)
  • EV utama melebihi 10% (+1.0)
  • Kebarangkalian maksimum 1X2 di bawah 50% (tiada 1X2 dominan) (−1.0)
O/U 2.5: EV Selesai -2.4% · EV Di Bawah -8.3% (8 pasangan buku)
BTTS: EV Ya -15.7% · EV No +11.7%
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

View technical JSON
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Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
  • Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
  • Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
  • Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.

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1 Legia Warszawa II 33 26 3 4 81
2 Łomża 33 21 5 7 68
3 Warta Sieradz 33 20 8 5 68
4 Wigry Suwałki 33 19 5 9 62
5 Troszyn 33 17 6 10 57
6 Wisła Płock II 33 15 8 10 53
7 Widzew II 33 16 3 14 51
8 Jagiellonia II 33 14 6 13 48
9 Lechia T. Mazowiecki 32 13 7 12 46
10 Ząbkovia Ząbki 33 13 5 15 44
11 Swit 33 12 5 16 41
12 Mławianka Mława 32 10 7 15 37
13 Olimpia Elbląg 33 10 7 16 37
14 Broń Radom 33 9 9 15 36
15 Bełchatów 33 9 7 17 34
16 Wikielec 33 9 7 17 34
17 Wasilków 33 7 3 23 24
18 Znicz Biała Piska 33 4 3 26 15
# PASUKAN MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Legia Warszawa II 33 79 29 +50 81
2 Łomża 33 75 30 +45 68
3 Troszyn 33 74 45 +29 57
4 Ząbkovia Ząbki 33 71 62 +9 44
5 Widzew II 33 68 63 +5 51
6 Warta Sieradz 33 63 34 +29 68
7 Lechia T. Mazowiecki 32 63 52 +11 46
8 Wigry Suwałki 33 61 41 +20 62
9 Wisła Płock II 33 52 50 +2 53
10 Mławianka Mława 32 51 56 -5 37
11 Swit 33 49 63 -14 41
12 Bełchatów 33 49 72 -23 34
13 Jagiellonia II 33 45 44 +1 48
14 Olimpia Elbląg 33 45 61 -16 37
15 Broń Radom 33 40 56 -16 36
16 Wasilków 33 39 78 -39 24
17 Wikielec 33 38 53 -15 34
18 Znicz Biała Piska 33 27 100 -73 15