Keputusan pertaruhan akhir
Kecekapan harga pasaran berbeza secara berbeza — 1X2 boleh menjadi hantaran sementara pasaran matlamat masih menunjukkan kelebihan.
- Tiada nilai pada 1X2 (Bełchatów lwn. odds semasa)
- Model kurus (bukan pertaruhan lalai): Lebih 2.5
- Nilai yang mungkin: BTTS Tidak (+11.7% EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
- Harga semula wap pada perlawanan ini — wang lewat mungkin telah memakan kelebihan yang tinggal di bahagian kukus.
Sabitan sederhana (6/10) — satu baris terpilih, bukan parlay berbilang pasaran.
Pilihan utama (+EV tertinggi)
BTTS Tidak
— Nilai
Steam vs. nilai
🔥 Steam kuat · Jagiellonia II ↑ +22.7% · 7/10 · 90 A+
| Steam pasaran | Kuat |
|---|---|
| EV semasa | Negatif |
| Tekanan garisan penutupan | Tinggi |
| Nilai berbaki | Terhad |
Mengapa
Model menilai Lukis (1X2) kira-kira 2.8 mata peratus melebihi implied penutupan — bacaan struktur utama vs garisan.
Lebih 2.5 61.0% · Kurang 2.5 39.0%
EV Selesai -2.4% · EV Di Bawah -8.3%
Condong nilai:
Lebih 2.5
Bełchatów · Model 41.8%
tersirat 40.2%
Pasaran konsensus utama · EV: -9.6%
Garis pembuat taruhan terbaik yang tersedia: -8.0% EV
Sesetengah odds outlier pembuat taruhan mungkin masih menunjukkan nilai teori kecil berbanding garisan konsensus di atas.
Paling berkemungkinan
1-1
Kebarangkalian 10.6%
Skor tepat berisiko tinggi — pertaruhan kecil untuk hiburan sahaja.
Keputusan pertaruhan (model lwn. EV pasaran)
Nilai peluang — Sekurang-kurangnya satu pasaran menunjukkan anggaran +EV pada kemungkinan perpuluhan terbaik semasa (ambang: 2.0%).
Kekuatan keputusan: 6.0 / 10
- Barisan utama dikenal pasti (+1.0)
- EV utama melebihi 10% (+1.0)
- Kebarangkalian maksimum 1X2 di bawah 50% (tiada 1X2 dominan) (−1.0)
O/U 2.5:
EV Selesai -2.4% ·
EV Di Bawah -8.3%
(8 pasangan buku)
BTTS: EV Ya -15.7% · EV No +11.7%
BTTS: EV Ya -15.7% · EV No +11.7%
Enjin Keputusan OddsGPT v2.1.0(EV + Struktur Pasaran + Pelarasan Risiko)
Semak Odds di 1xBet
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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"facts": {
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"fair_odds_draw": null,
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"home_win_prob": null,
"over_25_prob": 0.506,
"prediction_confidence": "none",
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"api_prediction": {
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"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "10%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "45%",
"winner_name": "Be\u0142chat\u00f3w"
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"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
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"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
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"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
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"home_failed_to_score": 8,
"home_played": 32,
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"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 56.2,
"source": "stats",
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"correct_score": {
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"home_expected": 1.45,
"scores": [
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{
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"prob": 9.0
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{
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{
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{
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"label": "2-2",
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"source": "avg"
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"double_chance": {
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{
"key": "12",
"label": "Be\u0142chat\u00f3w or Jagiellonia II",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
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"confidence": "medium",
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"pick_prob": 61.0,
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"under_prob": 39.0
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"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
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"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Be\u0142chat\u00f3w",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
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"gap_pp": 1.55,
"kind": "1x2_h",
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{
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"gap_pp": 2.76,
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{
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"gap_pp": -4.31,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 32.57
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{
"closing_implied_pct": 59.74,
"gap_pp": 1.26,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 61.0
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{
"closing_implied_pct": 40.26,
"gap_pp": -1.26,
"kind": "ou_u",
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"movement": [
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"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
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{
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"implied_closing_pct": 59.74,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
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{
"closing": 2.27,
"early": 2.27,
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"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
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"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
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"kind": "1x2_d"
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"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 10.6
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},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
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"ev_yes": -0.157,
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"no_prob": 43.8,
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"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 56.2
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{
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"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.024,
"ev_under": -0.0835,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
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"over_prob": 61.0,
"sort_key": 1794.0,
"tier": "bad_ev",
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{
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{
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"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 811.8,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 10.6
}
],
"match": {
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"away_team_id": 16236,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/16236.webp",
"away_team_name": "Jagiellonia II",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/pl.svg",
"country_name": "Poland",
"fixture_id": 1410452,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 4246,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/4246.webp",
"home_team_name": "Be\u0142chat\u00f3w",
"league_country": "Poland",
"league_id": 780,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/780.webp",
"league_name": "III Liga - Group 1",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-23 16:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
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"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.4209,
"best_odd": 2.41,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0182,
"ev": -0.155,
"implied_prob": 0.3688,
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"p_final": 0.3506
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2876,
"best_odd": 3.88,
"calibration": {
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0079,
"ev": -0.0804,
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"ev_available": true,
"home": {
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"best_odd": 2.21,
"calibration": {
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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"edge": 0.0068,
"ev": -0.0962,
"implied_prob": 0.4022,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"p_final": 0.409
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},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.55,
"best_yes_odd": 1.5,
"edge_no": 0.0625,
"edge_yes": -0.0625,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.1169,
"ev_yes": -0.157,
"implied_no": 0.3755,
"implied_yes": 0.6245,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.6,
"best_under_odd": 2.35,
"edge_over": 0.0164,
"edge_under": -0.0164,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.024,
"ev_under": -0.0835,
"implied_over": 0.5936,
"implied_under": 0.4064,
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.1169,
"confidence": 6.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.562,
"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.61,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.39,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": 0.0068,
"ev": -0.0962,
"implied_prob": 0.4022,
"max_ev_side": "draw",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Be\u0142chat\u00f3w"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0625,
"ev": 0.1169,
"implied_prob": 0.3755,
"model_prob": 0.438,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "lean",
"edge": 0.0164,
"ev": -0.024,
"implied_prob": 0.5936,
"model_prob": 0.61,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1410452,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.1169,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3257,
"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Jagiellonia II",
"home": "Be\u0142chat\u00f3w"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.051202,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1169,
"implied_prob": 0.3755,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.438,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 1
}
},
"fixture_id": 1410452,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-23T20:30:29.415732+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
- Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
- Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
- Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.
Terokai Kandungan Ramalan Lain
Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Bełchatów & Jagiellonia II!
Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.
Langgan Sekarang
III Liga - Group 1 — Kedudukan
| # | PASUKAN | MP | M | S | K | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia Warszawa II | 33 | 26 | 3 | 4 | 81 |
| 2 | Łomża | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 68 |
| 3 | Warta Sieradz | 33 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 68 |
| 4 | Wigry Suwałki | 33 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 62 |
| 5 | Troszyn | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 57 |
| 6 | Wisła Płock II | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 53 |
| 7 | Widzew II | 33 | 16 | 3 | 14 | 51 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 48 |
| 9 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 46 |
| 10 | Ząbkovia Ząbki | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 44 |
| 11 | Swit | 33 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 41 |
| 12 | Mławianka Mława | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 37 |
| 13 | Olimpia Elbląg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 37 |
| 14 | Broń Radom | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 36 |
| 15 | Bełchatów | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 34 |
| 16 | Wikielec | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Wasilków | 33 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 24 |
| 18 | Znicz Biała Piska | 33 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 15 |
| # | PASUKAN | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia Warszawa II | 33 | 79 | 29 | +50 | 81 |
| 2 | Łomża | 33 | 75 | 30 | +45 | 68 |
| 3 | Troszyn | 33 | 74 | 45 | +29 | 57 |
| 4 | Ząbkovia Ząbki | 33 | 71 | 62 | +9 | 44 |
| 5 | Widzew II | 33 | 68 | 63 | +5 | 51 |
| 6 | Warta Sieradz | 33 | 63 | 34 | +29 | 68 |
| 7 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 32 | 63 | 52 | +11 | 46 |
| 8 | Wigry Suwałki | 33 | 61 | 41 | +20 | 62 |
| 9 | Wisła Płock II | 33 | 52 | 50 | +2 | 53 |
| 10 | Mławianka Mława | 32 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 37 |
| 11 | Swit | 33 | 49 | 63 | -14 | 41 |
| 12 | Bełchatów | 33 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 34 |
| 13 | Jagiellonia II | 33 | 45 | 44 | +1 | 48 |
| 14 | Olimpia Elbląg | 33 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 37 |
| 15 | Broń Radom | 33 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 36 |
| 16 | Wasilków | 33 | 39 | 78 | -39 | 24 |
| 17 | Wikielec | 33 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 34 |
| 18 | Znicz Biała Piska | 33 | 27 | 100 | -73 | 15 |