AI correctly predicted the Petržalka win.
The match finished 2–1, validating the model's directional assessment.
Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa
Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.
- Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
- Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 matlamat) ✔ Betul
- Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Ya Ya ✔ Betul
- 1X2 Petržalka Petržalka ✔ Betul
- Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-1 2-1 ✔ Betul
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.70) — 3 goals materialised
- Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
- Over 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile
Market lesson
The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Petržalka win 2–1).
Garis Masa Ramalan
Cara ramalan ini beralih daripada ramalan kepada semakan sepenuh masa.
-
May 15, 2026 · 14:59 UTC Forecast generated
- xG · Petržalka 1.45 — Liptovský Mikuláš 1.25
-
May 15, 2026 · 15:00 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Petržalka win · 2–1
-
FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Gambar Sejarah
Dibekukan pada sepak mula — keluaran model seperti sebelum perlawanan bermula.
Metrik pra-padanan (konteks sejarah)
- Validation: Pending
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Validation Report
Immutable SnapshotModel Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Semakan Soalan Lazim
- Sejauh manakah ramalan itu tepat?
- Halaman ini menilai pasaran berarah (1X2, Lebih/Bawah 2.5, BTTS) berbanding keputusan sepenuh masa. Gred ramalan menggambarkan bilangan pasaran yang dijejaki itu sepadan dengan realiti.
- Apakah ukuran Ketepatan xG?
- Ketepatan xG membandingkan profil matlamat jangkaan pra-perlawanan model dengan garis skor sebenar — bukan sama ada setiap pasaran mencecah. Semakan arah yang kukuh boleh wujud bersama dengan skor ketepatan xG yang sederhana.
- Mengapakah skor tepat tidak diramalkan?
- Hasil skor betul ialah ekor berkemungkinan rendah walaupun model membaca profil padanan dengan baik. Kami menyerlahkan tong skor tertinggi untuk konteks; kehilangan baris tepat tidak membatalkan semakan arah.
- Adakah ini meningkatkan rekod AI?
- Setiap perlawanan selesai dilog masuk dalam saluran paip pengesahan kami. Kadar hit teragregat dan kajian CLV diterbitkan secara berasingan — halaman ini ialah jejak audit setiap perlawanan.
Ramalan adalah untuk tujuan maklumat sahaja. Sentiasa berjudi dengan penuh tanggungjawab dan dalam had anda. Prestasi masa lalu tidak menjamin hasil masa depan.
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "a9d4cd4843ccd29301e8dc13585a1d3d671864eb3fc1ded8f8299b019c28fa59",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
"away_win_prob": null,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"prediction_confidence": "none"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or Liptovsk\u00fd Mikul\u00e1\u0161",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "Liptovsk\u00fd Mikul\u00e1\u0161"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Petr\u017ealka",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.1269,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.2908,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 32.6,
"draw": 25.7,
"home": 41.8
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 5,
"away_failed_to_score": 5,
"away_played": 30,
"away_score_rate": 83.3,
"home_clean_sheet": 10,
"home_failed_to_score": 7,
"home_played": 29,
"home_score_rate": 75.9,
"no_prob": 36.8,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 63.2,
"source": "stats",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 63.2
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.5,
"home_expected": 1.55,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 11.0
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.5
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 8.3
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 7.3
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 7.1
}
],
"source": "avg"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Petr\u017ealka or Draw",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Petr\u017ealka or Liptovsk\u00fd Mikul\u00e1\u0161",
"prob": 55.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Liptovsk\u00fd Mikul\u00e1\u0161",
"prob": 90.0
}
],
"pick_key": "X2",
"pick_label": "Draw or Liptovsk\u00fd Mikul\u00e1\u0161",
"pick_prob": 90.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 45.0,
"draw_pct": 45.0,
"home_pct": 10.0,
"lean_key": "draw",
"lean_label": "Draw"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 3.05,
"away_avg_scored": 2.0,
"confidence": "medium",
"home_avg_scored": 1.5,
"over_prob": 58.8,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 58.8,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 3.05,
"under_prob": 41.2
},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Liptovsk\u00fd Mikul\u00e1\u0161",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Petr\u017ealka",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 29.08,
"gap_pp": 12.69,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 41.77
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 22.3,
"gap_pp": 3.37,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 25.67
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 48.62,
"gap_pp": -16.06,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 32.57
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 57.67,
"gap_pp": 1.13,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 58.8
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 42.33,
"gap_pp": -1.13,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 41.2
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 3.06,
"early": 3.06,
"implied_closing_pct": 29.08,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 29.08,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.99,
"early": 3.99,
"implied_closing_pct": 22.3,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 22.3,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 1.83,
"early": 1.83,
"implied_closing_pct": 48.62,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 48.62,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.6,
"early": 1.6,
"implied_closing_pct": 57.67,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 57.67,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 2.18,
"early": 2.18,
"implied_closing_pct": 42.33,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 42.33,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 12.7,
"kind": "1x2_h"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 11.0
}
},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2088,
"ev_yes": 0.0428,
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.0428,
"no_prob": 36.8,
"sort_key": 10038.52,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 63.2
},
{
"decision": "small_edge",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.029,
"ev_under": -0.1554,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.029,
"over_prob": 58.8,
"sort_key": 5223.2,
"tier": "lean",
"under_prob": 41.2,
"value_side": "over"
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.0159,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.2908,
"max_ev": -0.0159,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side_label": "Petr\u017ealka",
"sort_key": 1796.025,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 813.0,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 11.0
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 10536,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/10536.webp",
"away_team_name": "Liptovsk\u00fd Mikul\u00e1\u0161",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/sk.svg",
"country_name": "Slovakia",
"fixture_id": 1394974,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 10538,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/10538.webp",
"home_team_name": "Petr\u017ealka",
"league_country": "Slovakia",
"league_id": 506,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/506.webp",
"league_name": "2. Liga Slovakia",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-15 15:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.4555,
"best_odd": 1.83,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0731,
"ev": -0.2441,
"implied_prob": 0.4862,
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"p_final": 0.4131
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2848,
"best_odd": 3.99,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0096,
"ev": -0.0719,
"implied_prob": 0.223,
"model_prob": 0.2567,
"p_final": 0.2326
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.2429,
"best_odd": 3.06,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0308,
"ev": -0.0159,
"implied_prob": 0.2908,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"p_final": 0.3216
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.15,
"best_yes_odd": 1.65,
"edge_no": -0.0691,
"edge_yes": 0.0691,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2088,
"ev_yes": 0.0428,
"implied_no": 0.4371,
"implied_yes": 0.5629,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.75,
"best_under_odd": 2.05,
"edge_over": 0.052,
"edge_under": -0.052,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.029,
"ev_under": -0.1554,
"implied_over": 0.536,
"implied_under": 0.464,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.0428,
"confidence": 4.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 4.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "C",
"stake_factor": 0.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.632,
"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.588,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.412,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0428,
"hero_display_only": true,
"implied_prob": 0.5629,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.632,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "hero_display",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "hero_display"
},
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": 0.0308,
"ev": -0.0159,
"implied_prob": 0.2908,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Petr\u017ealka"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0691,
"ev": 0.0428,
"implied_prob": 0.5629,
"model_prob": 0.632,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.052,
"ev": 0.029,
"implied_prob": 0.536,
"model_prob": 0.588,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1394974,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": false,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": "pred_regime_exec_no_actionable",
"insight_line_key": "pred_regime_insight_minor_inefficiency",
"max_valid_ev": 0.0428,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": true
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3257,
"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Liptovsk\u00fd Mikul\u00e1\u0161",
"home": "Petr\u017ealka"
},
"top_pick": null,
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1394974,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-15T14:59:08.903544+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Terokai Kandungan Ramalan Lain
Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Petržalka & Liptovský Mikuláš!
Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.
Langgan Sekarang
2. Liga Slovakia — Kedudukan
| # | PASUKAN | P | M | S | K | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dukla Banská Bystrica | 30 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 66 |
| 2 | Lokomotíva Zvolen | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 49 |
| 3 | Liptovský Mikuláš | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 48 |
| 4 | Petržalka | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 48 |
| 5 | Malženice | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 47 |
| 6 | Pohronie | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 44 |
| 7 | Zlaté Moravce | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 44 |
| 8 | Inter Bratislava | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 42 |
| 9 | Slovan Bratislava II | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 40 |
| 10 | Šamorín | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 38 |
| 11 | Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35 |
| 12 | Považská Bystrica | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 33 |
| 13 | Žilina II | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 33 |
| 14 | Slávia TU Košice | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32 |
| 15 | Púchov | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 29 |
| 16 | Stará Ľubovňa | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 26 |
| # | PASUKAN | P | J | B | +/- | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dukla Banská Bystrica | 30 | 61 | 25 | +36 | 66 |
| 2 | Zlaté Moravce | 30 | 57 | 49 | +8 | 44 |
| 3 | Liptovský Mikuláš | 30 | 55 | 47 | +8 | 48 |
| 4 | Pohronie | 30 | 47 | 35 | +12 | 44 |
| 5 | Lokomotíva Zvolen | 30 | 46 | 36 | +10 | 49 |
| 6 | Petržalka | 30 | 45 | 31 | +14 | 48 |
| 7 | Slovan Bratislava II | 30 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 40 |
| 8 | Malženice | 30 | 44 | 38 | +6 | 47 |
| 9 | Šamorín | 30 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 38 |
| 10 | Žilina II | 30 | 43 | 59 | -16 | 33 |
| 11 | Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom | 30 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 35 |
| 12 | Považská Bystrica | 30 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 33 |
| 13 | Slávia TU Košice | 30 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 32 |
| 14 | Inter Bratislava | 30 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 42 |
| 15 | Stará Ľubovňa | 30 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 26 |
| 16 | Púchov | 30 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 29 |