Audit Ramalan: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs SK Poltava Ramalan, Odds & Tip Pertaruhan AI

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

May 23, 2026 - 12:30

0 2.27

0 1.16

xG Accuracy: 39%

SK Poltava

The model missed the final outcome (Draw 0–0).

The model had projected Epitsentr Dunayivtsi at 61.2%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa

Gred ramalan F

Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.

Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 matlamat) ✖ tak betul
Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Ya Tidak ✖ tak betul
1X2 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Lukis ✖ tak betul
Cerapan skor tepat 2-1, 1-1, 2-0, 1-0, 3-1 0-0 ✖ tak betul

Post Match Insights

What failed

Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Over 2.5; match finished Under 2.5 (0 goals)

Market lesson

The full-time result was Draw 0–0, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

Laman pertaruhan premium stake: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo FHn2uDc1. Daftar sekarang

Garis Masa Ramalan

Cara ramalan ini beralih daripada ramalan kepada semakan sepenuh masa.

May 28, 2026 · 00:25 UTC Forecast generated
- xG · Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 2.27 — SK Poltava 1.16
May 23, 2026 · 12:30 UTC Kickoff
FT Full-time result Draw · 0–0
FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
Archived Prediction review

Gambar Sejarah

Dibekukan pada sepak mula — keluaran model seperti sebelum perlawanan bermula.

Keputusan sejarah: Observe

Keputusan Sejarah No Primary Bet

Hasil Missed

Metrik pra-padanan (konteks sejarah)

Kebolehpercayaan Ramalan 51/100 · Moderate

Validation: Pending
High xG deviation from league baseline (68%+)

Bukti ★★★★★

Strong model lean
Market has already priced much of the edge
Validation pending

Market Compatibility 100/100

Betting Confidence 53/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 20:17 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1636004

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0–0 SK Poltava

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Semakan Soalan Lazim

Sejauh manakah ramalan itu tepat?: Halaman ini menilai pasaran berarah (1X2, Lebih/Bawah 2.5, BTTS) berbanding keputusan sepenuh masa. Gred ramalan menggambarkan bilangan pasaran yang dijejaki itu sepadan dengan realiti.
Apakah ukuran Ketepatan xG?: Ketepatan xG membandingkan profil matlamat jangkaan pra-perlawanan model dengan garis skor sebenar — bukan sama ada setiap pasaran mencecah. Semakan arah yang kukuh boleh wujud bersama dengan skor ketepatan xG yang sederhana.
Mengapakah skor tepat tidak diramalkan?: Hasil skor betul ialah ekor berkemungkinan rendah walaupun model membaca profil padanan dengan baik. Kami menyerlahkan tong skor tertinggi untuk konteks; kehilangan baris tepat tidak membatalkan semakan arah.
Adakah ini meningkatkan rekod AI?: Setiap perlawanan selesai dilog masuk dalam saluran paip pengesahan kami. Kadar hit teragregat dan kajian CLV diterbitkan secara berasingan — halaman ini ialah jejak audit setiap perlawanan.

Ramalan adalah untuk tujuan maklumat sahaja. Sentiasa berjudi dengan penuh tanggungjawab dan dalam had anda. Prestasi masa lalu tidak menjamin hasil masa depan.

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

View technical JSON

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      "away_win_prob": 0.1723,
      "away_win_prob_posterior": null,
      "bayes_applied": 0,
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      "btts_yes_prob": 0.627,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
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      "fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
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      "fair_odds_draw_posterior": null,
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      "fair_odds_home_posterior": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 2.27,
      "home_win_prob": 0.6122,
      "home_win_prob_posterior": null,
      "over_25_prob": 0.666,
      "prediction_confidence": "high",
      "under_25_prob": 0.334
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    "api_prediction": {
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      "main_pick_display": "No Value Bet in 1X2",
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      "percent_draw": "50%",
      "percent_home": "50%",
      "winner_name": "Epitsentr Dunayivtsi"
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    "away_xg": 1.16,
    "betting_insight": {
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        },
        "reason": "Model probability is not above market implied probability",
        "selection": null,
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          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
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        "overround": 10.0,
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    },
    "betting_markets": {
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        "away_failed_to_score": 14,
        "away_played": 29,
        "away_score_rate": 68.7,
        "home_clean_sheet": 9,
        "home_failed_to_score": 10,
        "home_played": 29,
        "home_score_rate": 89.7,
        "no_prob": 37.3,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 62.7,
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      },
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            "label": "2-0",
            "prob": 8.3
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          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 7.4
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 3,
            "label": "3-1",
            "prob": 7.3
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        ],
        "source": "xG"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
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          },
          {
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            "prob": 78.4
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          {
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        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
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      "match_winner": {
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        "lean_label": "Epitsentr Dunayivtsi"
      },
      "over_under": {
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        "away_avg_scored": 0.8,
        "confidence": "high",
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        "pick_prob": 66.6,
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      },
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    "closing_line_bundle": {
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    },
    "home_xg": 2.27,
    "homepage_pick": null,
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        },
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        "ev_over_display": {
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        "ev_under": -0.1082,
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        "tier": "risk",
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      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/17165.webp",
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      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/ua.svg",
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      "league_country": "Ukraine",
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      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/333.webp",
      "league_name": "Liga Perdana Ukraine",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-29 15:00:00",
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      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
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          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
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        "score": 9.0
      },
      "markets": {
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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          "home": {
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            "best_odd": 1.315,
            "calibration": {
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
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        },
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          "edge_no": -0.0989,
          "edge_yes": 0.0989,
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          "ev_yes": 0.1349,
          "implied_no": 0.4719,
          "implied_yes": 0.5281,
          "n_bookmakers": 7,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.5,
          "best_under_odd": 2.67,
          "edge_over": 0.033,
          "edge_under": -0.033,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.001,
          "ev_under": -0.1082,
          "implied_over": 0.633,
          "implied_under": 0.367,
          "n_bookmakers": 8,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 3.43,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.2.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.1349,
      "confidence": 7.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
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          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10"
        ],
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          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)"
        ],
        "score": 7.0
      },
      "execution": {
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        "1x2_open_contest": false,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5f3a\u4fe1\u53f7\uff08\u4f4e\u65b9\u5dee\uff09",
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          "under_prob": 0.334,
          "xg_diff": 1.11
        },
        "type": "strong_signal",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
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          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.0432,
          "ev": -0.1433,
          "implied_prob": 0.6947,
          "max_ev_side": "away",
          "model_prob": 0.6126,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Epitsentr Dunayivtsi"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0989,
          "ev": 0.1349,
          "implied_prob": 0.5281,
          "model_prob": 0.627,
          "side": "yes",
          "value_side": "yes"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
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          "edge": 0.033,
          "ev": -0.001,
          "implied_prob": 0.633,
          "model_prob": 0.666,
          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1391623,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.1349,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.1722,
        "draw": 0.2152,
        "home": 0.6126
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "SK Poltava",
        "home": "Epitsentr Dunayivtsi"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.084582,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1349,
        "implied_prob": 0.5281,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.627,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "yes",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 1
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1391623,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-28T00:25:49.287459+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

Ramalan Berkaitan

Lihat Perlawanan Akan Datang Liga Perdana Ukraine Perlawanan Jejak Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Ramalan Perlawanan Seterusnya Jejak SK Poltava Ramalan Perlawanan Seterusnya Lihat Ramalan Bola Sepak Hari Ini

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Liga Perdana Ukraine — Kedudukan

#	PASUKAN	P	M	S	K	Mata
1	Shakhtar Donetsk	30	22	6	2	72
2	LNZ Cherkasy	30	18	6	6	60
3	Polessya	30	18	5	7	59
4	Dynamo Kyiv	30	17	6	7	57
5	Metalist 1925 Kharkiv	30	13	12	5	51
6	Kolos Kovalivka	30	13	10	7	49
7	Kryvbas KR	30	13	9	8	48
8	Zorya Luhansk	30	12	10	8	46
9	Karpaty	30	10	11	9	41
10	Epitsentr Dunayivtsi	30	8	8	14	32
11	Veres Rivne	30	7	10	13	31
12	Obolon'-Brovar	30	7	10	13	31
13	Kudrivka	30	7	7	16	28
14	Ruh Lviv	30	6	3	21	21
15	Oleksandria	30	3	8	19	17
16	SK Poltava	30	2	7	21	13

#	PASUKAN	P	J	B	+/-	Mata
1	Shakhtar Donetsk	30	71	21	+50	72
2	Dynamo Kyiv	30	66	36	+30	57
3	Kryvbas KR	30	53	46	+7	48
4	Polessya	30	51	21	+30	59
5	Zorya Luhansk	30	42	36	+6	46
6	Karpaty	30	40	31	+9	41
7	LNZ Cherkasy	30	39	17	+22	60
8	Metalist 1925 Kharkiv	30	36	19	+17	51
9	Epitsentr Dunayivtsi	30	36	45	-9	32
10	Kudrivka	30	32	48	-16	28
11	Kolos Kovalivka	30	30	25	+5	49
12	Obolon'-Brovar	30	28	49	-21	31
13	Veres Rivne	30	26	40	-14	31
14	Oleksandria	30	24	58	-34	17
15	SK Poltava	30	23	74	-51	13
16	Ruh Lviv	30	20	51	-31	21

#	PASUKAN	P	xG	xGC	+/-	Mata
1	Dynamo Kyiv	30	30.7	10.1	+20.6	57
2	Shakhtar Donetsk	30	29.8	9.8	+20.0	72
3	Polessya	30	36.9	18.0	+18.9	59
4	LNZ Cherkasy	30	28.4	12.4	+16.0	60
5	Metalist 1925 Kharkiv	30	22.0	12.7	+9.3	51
6	Karpaty	30	24.4	20.0	+4.4	41
7	Kolos Kovalivka	30	22.6	22.2	+0.4	49
8	Zorya Luhansk	30	22.1	22.9	-0.8	46
9	Veres Rivne	30	12.6	16.5	-3.9	31
10	Obolon'-Brovar	30	17.2	23.2	-6.0	31
11	Kryvbas KR	30	21.4	27.8	-6.4	48
12	Ruh Lviv	30	16.6	23.8	-7.2	21
13	Kudrivka	30	17.4	29.0	-11.6	28
14	Epitsentr Dunayivtsi	30	18.9	32.2	-13.3	32
15	Oleksandria	30	10.5	25.0	-14.5	17
16	SK Poltava	30	10.1	36.0	-25.9	13