Ramalan / Bola Sepak / Spain. La Liga / Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo

Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo Ramalan, Odds & Tip Pertaruhan AI

May 09, 2026 - 16:30
0 1.46
1 1.39
xG Accuracy: 60%
Laman pertaruhan premium 1xBet: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo 1x_3342271. Daftar sekarang

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Lebih / Kurang 2.5 Kurang 2.5 Kurang 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Tidak ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Atletico Madrid Celta Vigo ✖ Incorrect
  • Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 1-2, 0-1 0-1 ✔ Correct

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "5de0986f301170bc8902592b495a5edb1774bbef75e422bff887c0c4e3cafb91",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.39,
      "away_win_prob": 0.344,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.2806,
      "fair_odds_away": 2.91,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.56,
      "fair_odds_home": 2.66,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.46,
      "home_win_prob": 0.3755,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : Atletico Madrid or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "Atletico Madrid"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.39,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Atletico Madrid",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.0789,
        "edge_gap": 0.0323,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.4546,
        "model_prob": 0.3758,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 34.3,
          "draw": 28.1,
          "home": 37.6
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 2.14
        }
      ],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 2.14,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "Atletico Madrid Win",
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Home",
        "market_fair_odds": 2.2,
        "market_odds": 2.14,
        "model_odds": 2.66,
        "overround": 2.8,
        "prob_edge": -9.1,
        "value_pct": -19.5,
        "value_rating": "no_value"
      }
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 8,
        "away_failed_to_score": 6,
        "away_played": 34,
        "away_score_rate": 75.1,
        "home_clean_sheet": 13,
        "home_failed_to_score": 4,
        "home_played": 34,
        "home_score_rate": 76.8,
        "no_prob": 40.8,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 59.2,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "yes_prob": 59.2
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.39,
        "home_expected": 1.46,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 11.7
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 8.6
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 8.4
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 8.2
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 8.0
          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Atletico Madrid or Draw",
            "prob": 65.6
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Atletico Madrid or Celta Vigo",
            "prob": 71.9
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Celta Vigo",
            "prob": 62.5
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "12",
        "pick_label": "Atletico Madrid or Celta Vigo",
        "pick_prob": 71.9
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 34.4,
        "draw_pct": 28.1,
        "home_pct": 37.5,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Atletico Madrid"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.85,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.4,
        "confidence": "low",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.7,
        "over_prob": 54.2,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 54.2,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.85,
        "under_prob": 45.8
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "edge": 19.7,
        "implied_prob": 28.7,
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Away",
        "market": "Celta Vigo Win",
        "model_prob": 34.4,
        "odds": 3.48
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 11.7
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.46,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.0515,
        "ev_under": 0.0488,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.0488,
        "over_prob": 54.2,
        "sort_key": 10043.92,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 45.8,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.0941,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.4546,
        "max_ev": 0.0332,
        "model_prob": 0.3758,
        "side_label": "Atletico Madrid",
        "sort_key": 5226.56,
        "tier": "lean"
      },
      {
        "decision": "lean",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": -0.029,
        "ev_yes": -0.041,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": -0.029,
        "no_prob": 40.8,
        "sort_key": 1792.75,
        "tier": "bad_ev",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 59.2
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 815.1,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 11.7
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 538,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/538.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Celta Vigo",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/es.svg",
      "country_name": "Spain",
      "fixture_id": 1391160,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 530,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/530.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Atletico Madrid",
      "league_country": "Spain",
      "league_id": 140,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/140.webp",
      "league_name": "La Liga",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-10 16:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.2712,
            "best_odd": 3.48,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0173,
            "ev": 0.0332,
            "implied_prob": 0.2796,
            "model_prob": 0.3435,
            "p_final": 0.2969
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2933,
            "best_odd": 3.66,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0044,
            "ev": -0.0111,
            "implied_prob": 0.2658,
            "model_prob": 0.2808,
            "p_final": 0.2702
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.3968,
            "best_odd": 2.14,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0313,
            "ev": -0.0941,
            "implied_prob": 0.4546,
            "model_prob": 0.3758,
            "p_final": 0.4233
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.38,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.62,
          "edge_no": 0.0045,
          "edge_yes": -0.0045,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": -0.029,
          "ev_yes": -0.041,
          "implied_no": 0.4035,
          "implied_yes": 0.5965,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.75,
          "best_under_odd": 2.29,
          "edge_over": -0.021,
          "edge_under": 0.021,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.0515,
          "ev_under": 0.0488,
          "implied_over": 0.563,
          "implied_under": 0.437,
          "n_bookmakers": 11,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.85,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.0.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.0488,
      "confidence": 4.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 4.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "C",
        "stake_factor": 0.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5927\u5f00\u5927\u5408\uff08\u8fdb\u7403\u578b\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "high_scoring",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.592,
          "draw_prob": 0.2808,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.3758,
          "over_prob": 0.542,
          "total_xg": 2.85,
          "under_prob": 0.458,
          "xg_diff": 0.07
        },
        "type": "high_scoring",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0488,
        "hero_display_only": true,
        "implied_prob": 0.437,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.458,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "hero_display",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "hero_display"
      },
      "longshot_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.0332,
          "implied_prob": 0.2796,
          "market": "1x2",
          "model_prob": 0.3435,
          "not_dominant": true,
          "risk_band": "speculative",
          "risk_tier": "longshot",
          "side": "away",
          "side_label": "Celta Vigo",
          "slot": "longshot"
        }
      ],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.0313,
          "ev": -0.0941,
          "implied_prob": 0.4546,
          "max_ev_side": "away",
          "model_prob": 0.3758,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Atletico Madrid"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "lean",
          "edge": 0.0045,
          "ev": -0.029,
          "implied_prob": 0.4035,
          "model_prob": 0.408,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.021,
          "ev": 0.0488,
          "implied_prob": 0.437,
          "model_prob": 0.458,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1391160,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "optional",
        "actionable": false,
        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
        "execution_line_key": "pred_regime_exec_no_actionable",
        "insight_line_key": "pred_regime_insight_minor_inefficiency",
        "max_valid_ev": 0.0488,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": true
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3435,
        "draw": 0.2808,
        "home": 0.3758
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals",
        "longshot_high_variance"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Celta Vigo",
        "home": "Atletico Madrid"
      },
      "top_pick": null,
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1391160,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-10T15:59:06.315016+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

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Langgan Sekarang
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La Liga La LigaKedudukan
# PASUKAN MP M S K PTS
1 Barcelona 38 31 1 6 94
2 Real Madrid 38 27 5 6 86
3 Villarreal 37 21 6 10 69
4 Atletico Madrid 37 21 6 10 69
5 Real Betis 38 15 15 8 60
6 Celta Vigo 38 14 12 12 54
7 Getafe 38 15 6 17 51
8 Rayo Vallecano 38 12 14 12 50
9 Valencia 38 13 10 15 49
10 Real Sociedad 38 11 13 14 46
11 Espanyol 38 12 10 16 46
12 Athletic Club 38 13 6 19 45
13 Sevilla 38 12 7 19 43
14 Alaves 38 11 10 17 43
15 Elche 38 10 13 15 43
16 Levante 38 11 9 18 42
17 Osasuna 38 11 9 18 42
18 Mallorca 38 11 9 18 42
19 Girona 38 9 14 15 41
20 Oviedo 38 6 11 21 29
# PASUKAN MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Barcelona 38 95 36 +59 94
2 Real Madrid 38 77 35 +42 86
3 Villarreal 37 67 45 +22 69
4 Atletico Madrid 37 61 39 +22 69
5 Real Betis 38 59 48 +11 60
6 Real Sociedad 38 59 61 -2 46
7 Celta Vigo 38 53 48 +5 54
8 Elche 38 49 57 -8 43
9 Mallorca 38 47 57 -10 42
10 Levante 38 47 61 -14 42
11 Valencia 38 46 55 -9 49
12 Sevilla 38 46 60 -14 43
13 Osasuna 38 44 50 -6 42
14 Alaves 38 44 56 -12 43
15 Espanyol 38 43 55 -12 46
16 Athletic Club 38 43 58 -15 45
17 Rayo Vallecano 38 41 44 -3 50
18 Girona 38 39 55 -16 41
19 Getafe 38 32 38 -6 51
20 Oviedo 38 26 60 -34 29
# PASUKAN MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Barcelona 38 85.2 44.1 +41.1 94
2 Real Madrid 38 72.9 39.3 +33.6 86
3 Villarreal 37 55.3 43.8 +11.5 69
4 Atletico Madrid 37 56.8 46.1 +10.7 69
5 Real Betis 38 53.2 43.2 +10.0 60
6 Athletic Club 38 48.6 38.6 +10.0 45
7 Valencia 38 47.8 44.8 +3.0 49
8 Rayo Vallecano 38 48.8 46.4 +2.4 50
9 Celta Vigo 38 48.1 48.5 -0.4 54
10 Alaves 38 44.5 46.0 -1.5 43
11 Osasuna 38 45.0 48.9 -3.9 42
12 Real Sociedad 38 47.6 52.3 -4.7 46
13 Espanyol 38 46.0 52.4 -6.4 46
14 Levante 38 49.3 57.8 -8.5 42
15 Girona 38 45.0 55.2 -10.2 41
16 Getafe 38 29.9 40.3 -10.4 51
17 Sevilla 38 37.2 52.4 -15.2 43
18 Elche 38 40.3 59.5 -19.2 43
19 Oviedo 38 34.0 54.7 -20.7 29
20 Mallorca 38 40.4 61.6 -21.2 42