Bastia vs Le Mans Ramalan, Odds & Tip Pertaruhan AI

Bastia

May 09, 2026 - 18:00 ABD

29% 37% 34%

Le Mans

Pilihan utama (+EV tertinggi)

Kurang 2.5 — Nilai

EV 45.2% Model 74.1%

Menengah (nilai seimbang): BTTS Tidak (EV 36.5%) — 64.1% Model

EV yang lebih rendah daripada primer, tetapi dengan kebarangkalian model yang lebih tinggi (lebih "stabil" apabila ditunjukkan).

Mengapa Model menilai Bawah 2.5 gol kira-kira 22.5 mata peratus melebihi implied penutupan — bacaan struktur utama vs garisan.

Intelijen pasaran

Bacaan selepas pilihan utama: bagaimana suapan penutup berprioriti bergerak berbanding model.

Ringkasan pasaran

Pasaran kekal stabil menjelang sepakan. Tiada anjakan implied ketara antara PRE30 dan PRE5 pada snapshot berprioriti.

Walaupun pergerakan lewat kecil, model masih menilai Lukis (1X2),Bawah 2.5 gol jauh melebihi implied snapshot penutupan — bacaan statik "model vs harga", bukan kejaran steam.

Model masih melebihi implied penutupan pada Bawah 2.5 gol kira-kira 22.5 mata peratus — isyarat salah harga paling jelas pada halaman ini.

Model vs implied penutup

Pasaran	Model %	Implied penutup %	Jurang (pp)
Bastia (1X2)	29.4	30.1	-0.7
Lukis (1X2)	36.8	27.4	+9.4
Le Mans (1X2)	33.8	42.5	-8.7
Lebih 2.5 gol	25.9	48.4	-22.5
Bawah 2.5 gol	74.1	51.6	+22.5

Apa maksudnya

Secara ringkas: model kira-kira 74.1% pada Bawah 2.5 gol, manakala snapshot penutup menunjukkan kira-kira 51.6%. Bezanya — kira-kira 22.5 mata peratus — ialah jurang model-vs-pasaran terbesar yang ditonjolkan di halaman ini.

Ringkas: "implied penutup" ialah kebarangkalian terbit daripada odds akhir yang ditangkap (selepas de-vig ringkas). "Jurang (pp)" = peratus model tolak implied tersebut, dalam mata peratus (pp).

Pergerakan garisan menjelang sepakan mula

Satu buku prioriti setiap snapshot (bukan semua). Laluan tangkapan: PRE30 → PRE5 · Buku: Pinnacle

Dalam kurungan pada lajur: Penutup = snapshot pertama tersedia ikut PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Awal = pertama dalam PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 yang berbeza daripada Penutup.

Odds terperinci dilipat di bawah — pergerakan implied (de-vig) boleh diabaikan.

Lihat jadual penuh baris demi baris

Pasaran	Awal (PRE30)	Penutup (PRE5)
Bastia (1X2)	3.16	3.16
Lukis (1X2)	3.48	3.48
Le Mans (1X2)	2.24	2.24
Lebih 2.5 gol	1.98	1.98
Bawah 2.5 gol	1.86	1.86

Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol Nilai terbaik (+EV)

Ya 35.9% · Tidak 64.1%

EV Ya -37.18% · EV No 36.53%

Condong nilai: BTTS Tidak

1X2 Nilai terbaik (+EV)

draw · Model 36.8%

tersirat 27.4%

EV: 3.7%

EV terbaik (1X2) 3.7%

Cerapan skor tepat Kecua / hiburan

Paling berkemungkinan

0-0

Kebarangkalian 17.2%

Skor tepat berisiko tinggi — pertaruhan kecil untuk hiburan sahaja.

Keputusan pertaruhan (model lwn. EV pasaran)

Nilai peluang — Sekurang-kurangnya satu pasaran menunjukkan anggaran +EV pada kemungkinan perpuluhan terbaik semasa (ambang: 2.0%).

Kekuatan keputusan: 6.0 / 10

Barisan utama dikenal pasti (+1.0)
EV utama melebihi 10% (+1.0)
Kebarangkalian maksimum 1X2 di bawah 50% (tiada 1X2 dominan) (−1.0)
Lukis kebarangkalian melebihi 30% (−0.5)
Dua atau lebih baris +EV yang sah pada ambang (+0.5)

O/U 2.5: EV Selesai -49.5% · EV Di Bawah 45.24% (11 pasangan buku)
BTTS: EV Ya -37.18% · EV No 36.53%

Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.

Enjin Keputusan OddsGPT v2.1.0(EV + Struktur Pasaran + Pelarasan Risiko) Semak Odds di 1xBet

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

View technical JSON

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        },
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        "stake_mult": 1.0,
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      },
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      },
      "reason_codes": [
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      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
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          "market": "btts",
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          "not_dominant": false,
          "risk_band": "strong",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "no",
          "slot": "secondary"
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      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Le Mans",
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      },
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        "model_prob": 0.741,
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        "side": "under",
        "slot": "primary",
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  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-09T14:55:18.165337+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini

Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.

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Ligue 2 — Kedudukan

#	PASUKAN	MP	M	S	K	PTS
1	Estac Troyes	34	20	7	7	67
2	Saint Etienne	34	18	6	10	60
3	Le Mans	33	15	14	4	59
4	RED Star FC 93	34	16	10	8	58
5	Rodez	34	15	13	6	58
6	Reims	34	14	14	6	56
7	Annecy	34	15	7	12	52
8	Montpellier	34	14	9	11	51
9	PAU	34	12	9	13	45
10	Dunkerque	34	11	10	13	43
11	Guingamp	34	10	10	14	40
12	Grenoble	34	8	15	11	39
13	Clermont Foot	34	9	10	15	37
14	Nancy	34	9	10	15	37
15	Boulogne	34	9	9	16	36
16	Laval	34	6	14	14	32
17	Bastia	33	5	13	15	28
18	Amiens	34	6	6	22	24

#	PASUKAN	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Estac Troyes	34	60	33	+27	67
2	Saint Etienne	34	59	38	+21	60
3	Reims	34	53	35	+18	56
4	Dunkerque	34	53	45	+8	43
5	Annecy	34	49	39	+10	52
6	Le Mans	33	48	31	+17	59
7	PAU	34	48	62	-14	45
8	RED Star FC 93	34	45	37	+8	58
9	Rodez	34	45	39	+6	58
10	Guingamp	34	42	49	-7	40
11	Montpellier	34	41	31	+10	51
12	Clermont Foot	34	38	44	-6	37
13	Amiens	34	37	65	-28	24
14	Nancy	34	35	52	-17	37
15	Boulogne	34	34	49	-15	36
16	Grenoble	34	33	39	-6	39
17	Laval	34	30	48	-18	32
18	Bastia	33	23	37	-14	28

#	PASUKAN	MP	xG	xGC	+/-	PTS
1	Estac Troyes	34	24.9	17.8	+7.1	67
2	PAU	34	24.1	17.0	+7.1	45
3	Reims	34	21.9	15.1	+6.8	56
4	Saint Etienne	34	22.9	18.3	+4.6	60
5	Le Mans	33	20.8	17.6	+3.2	59
6	Dunkerque	34	20.2	17.3	+2.9	43
7	Guingamp	34	21.2	19.1	+2.1	40
8	Boulogne	34	20.0	17.9	+2.1	36
9	Annecy	34	17.4	15.3	+2.1	52
10	RED Star FC 93	34	18.4	16.8	+1.6	58
11	Montpellier	34	21.5	20.0	+1.5	51
12	Nancy	34	19.7	20.1	-0.4	37
13	Bastia	33	16.6	18.1	-1.5	28
14	Grenoble	34	18.9	23.3	-4.4	39
15	Laval	34	14.8	19.7	-4.9	32
16	Rodez	34	20.2	27.6	-7.4	58
17	Clermont Foot	34	16.0	26.0	-10.0	37
18	Amiens	34	14.8	27.2	-12.4	24