The model missed the final outcome (Peterborough United win 5–0).
The model had projected Rotherham at 40.8%, but the full-time result went the other way.
Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa
Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.
- Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
- Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 matlamat) ✔ Betul
- Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Ya Tidak ✖ tak betul
- 1X2 Rotherham Peterborough United ✖ tak betul
- Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 0-1, 1-0 5-0 ✖ tak betul
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 3.09) — 5 goals materialised
- Over 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile
What failed
- Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
- 1X2: model leaned Rotherham; match finished Peterborough United
Market lesson
The full-time result was Peterborough United win 5–0, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.
Garis Masa Ramalan
Cara ramalan ini beralih daripada ramalan kepada semakan sepenuh masa.
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Before kickoff Forecast generated
- xG · Peterborough United 1.45 — Rotherham 1.64
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Mar 17, 2026 · 19:45 UTC Kickoff
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FT Full-time result Peterborough United win · 5–0
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FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
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Archived Prediction review
Gambar Sejarah
Dibekukan pada sepak mula — keluaran model seperti sebelum perlawanan bermula.
Metrik pra-padanan (konteks sejarah)
- Validation: Pending
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Validation Report
Immutable SnapshotModel Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Semakan Soalan Lazim
- Sejauh manakah ramalan itu tepat?
- Halaman ini menilai pasaran berarah (1X2, Lebih/Bawah 2.5, BTTS) berbanding keputusan sepenuh masa. Gred ramalan menggambarkan bilangan pasaran yang dijejaki itu sepadan dengan realiti.
- Apakah ukuran Ketepatan xG?
- Ketepatan xG membandingkan profil matlamat jangkaan pra-perlawanan model dengan garis skor sebenar — bukan sama ada setiap pasaran mencecah. Semakan arah yang kukuh boleh wujud bersama dengan skor ketepatan xG yang sederhana.
- Mengapakah skor tepat tidak diramalkan?
- Hasil skor betul ialah ekor berkemungkinan rendah walaupun model membaca profil padanan dengan baik. Kami menyerlahkan tong skor tertinggi untuk konteks; kehilangan baris tepat tidak membatalkan semakan arah.
- Adakah ini meningkatkan rekod AI?
- Setiap perlawanan selesai dilog masuk dalam saluran paip pengesahan kami. Kadar hit teragregat dan kajian CLV diterbitkan secara berasingan — halaman ini ialah jejak audit setiap perlawanan.
Ramalan adalah untuk tujuan maklumat sahaja. Sentiasa berjudi dengan penuh tanggungjawab dan dalam had anda. Prestasi masa lalu tidak menjamin hasil masa depan.
Terokai Kandungan Ramalan Lain
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Langgan Sekarang
Liga Satu Inggeris — Kedudukan
| # | PASUKAN | P | M | S | K | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton Wanderers | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton Town | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth Argyle | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield Town | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton Albion | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough United | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter City | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton Town | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 35 |
| # | PASUKAN | P | J | B | +/- | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cardiff | 46 | 90 | 50 | +40 | 91 |
| 2 | Lincoln City | 46 | 89 | 41 | +48 | 103 |
| 3 | Plymouth Argyle | 46 | 75 | 63 | +12 | 73 |
| 4 | Huddersfield | 46 | 74 | 64 | +10 | 67 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 46 | 71 | 58 | +13 | 77 |
| 6 | Bolton Wanderers | 46 | 70 | 52 | +18 | 75 |
| 7 | Wycombe | 46 | 69 | 58 | +11 | 63 |
| 8 | Luton Town | 46 | 68 | 56 | +12 | 74 |
| 9 | Barnsley | 46 | 68 | 73 | -5 | 59 |
| 10 | Reading | 46 | 64 | 60 | +4 | 63 |
| 11 | Peterborough United | 46 | 64 | 68 | -4 | 53 |
| 12 | Mansfield Town | 46 | 62 | 50 | +12 | 65 |
| 13 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
| 14 | Bradford | 46 | 58 | 51 | +7 | 77 |
| 15 | Blackpool | 46 | 54 | 65 | -11 | 60 |
| 16 | Exeter City | 46 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 49 |
| 17 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 51 | 72 | -21 | 53 |
| 18 | Burton Albion | 46 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 54 |
| 19 | Doncaster | 46 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 60 |
| 20 | Stevenage | 46 | 49 | 46 | +3 | 75 |
| 21 | Wigan | 46 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 56 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 46 | 41 | 71 | -30 | 41 |
| 23 | Northampton Town | 46 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 46 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 42 |
| # | PASUKAN | P | xG | xGC | +/- | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 46 | 21.2 | 12.8 | +8.4 | 67 |
| 2 | Bolton Wanderers | 46 | 18.1 | 12.5 | +5.6 | 75 |
| 3 | Cardiff | 46 | 22.0 | 17.0 | +5.0 | 91 |
| 4 | Wigan | 46 | 15.6 | 11.5 | +4.1 | 56 |
| 5 | Peterborough United | 46 | 22.5 | 18.5 | +4.0 | 53 |
| 6 | Wycombe | 46 | 17.0 | 14.0 | +3.0 | 63 |
| 7 | Luton Town | 46 | 16.8 | 14.1 | +2.7 | 74 |
| 8 | Reading | 46 | 16.6 | 14.8 | +1.8 | 63 |
| 9 | Stockport County | 46 | 15.4 | 15.2 | +0.2 | 77 |
| 10 | Port Vale | 46 | 12.9 | 12.8 | +0.1 | 42 |
| 11 | Plymouth Argyle | 46 | 19.2 | 19.2 | 0.0 | 73 |
| 12 | Burton Albion | 46 | 14.6 | 14.8 | -0.2 | 54 |
| 13 | Doncaster | 46 | 16.8 | 17.3 | -0.5 | 60 |
| 14 | Stevenage | 46 | 11.2 | 12.4 | -1.2 | 75 |
| 15 | Rotherham | 46 | 11.9 | 13.2 | -1.3 | 41 |
| 16 | Lincoln City | 46 | 16.7 | 18.8 | -2.1 | 103 |
| 17 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 19.6 | 22.4 | -2.8 | 52 |
| 18 | Bradford | 46 | 13.4 | 16.2 | -2.8 | 77 |
| 19 | Barnsley | 46 | 12.3 | 15.2 | -2.9 | 59 |
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 11.0 | 14.4 | -3.4 | 53 |
| 21 | Mansfield Town | 46 | 12.7 | 16.6 | -3.9 | 65 |
| 22 | Exeter City | 46 | 10.7 | 15.1 | -4.4 | 49 |
| 23 | Northampton Town | 46 | 13.5 | 18.0 | -4.5 | 35 |
| 24 | Blackpool | 46 | 21.6 | 26.3 | -4.7 | 60 |