The model missed the final outcome (Middlesbrough win 3–1).
The model had projected Draw at 35.2%, but the full-time result went the other way.
Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa
Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.
- Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 matlamat) ✖ tak betul
- Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Ya ✖ tak betul
- 1X2 Draw Middlesbrough ✖ tak betul
- Cerapan skor tepat 0-0, 1-0, 0-1, 1-1, 2-0 3-1 ✖ tak betul
Post Match Insights
What failed
- Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS No; match finished BTTS Yes
- Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Under 2.5; match finished Over 2.5 (4 goals)
Market lesson
The full-time result was Middlesbrough win 3–1, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.
Garis Masa Ramalan
Cara ramalan ini beralih daripada ramalan kepada semakan sepenuh masa.
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Before kickoff Forecast generated
- xG · Middlesbrough 0.99 — QPR 0.92
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Dec 13, 2025 · 15:00 UTC Kickoff
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FT Full-time result Middlesbrough win · 3–1
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FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
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Archived Prediction review
Gambar Sejarah
Dibekukan pada sepak mula — keluaran model seperti sebelum perlawanan bermula.
Metrik pra-padanan (konteks sejarah)
- Validation: Pending
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Validation Report
Immutable SnapshotModel Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Semakan Soalan Lazim
- Sejauh manakah ramalan itu tepat?
- Halaman ini menilai pasaran berarah (1X2, Lebih/Bawah 2.5, BTTS) berbanding keputusan sepenuh masa. Gred ramalan menggambarkan bilangan pasaran yang dijejaki itu sepadan dengan realiti.
- Apakah ukuran Ketepatan xG?
- Ketepatan xG membandingkan profil matlamat jangkaan pra-perlawanan model dengan garis skor sebenar — bukan sama ada setiap pasaran mencecah. Semakan arah yang kukuh boleh wujud bersama dengan skor ketepatan xG yang sederhana.
- Mengapakah skor tepat tidak diramalkan?
- Hasil skor betul ialah ekor berkemungkinan rendah walaupun model membaca profil padanan dengan baik. Kami menyerlahkan tong skor tertinggi untuk konteks; kehilangan baris tepat tidak membatalkan semakan arah.
- Adakah ini meningkatkan rekod AI?
- Setiap perlawanan selesai dilog masuk dalam saluran paip pengesahan kami. Kadar hit teragregat dan kajian CLV diterbitkan secara berasingan — halaman ini ialah jejak audit setiap perlawanan.
Ramalan adalah untuk tujuan maklumat sahaja. Sentiasa berjudi dengan penuh tanggungjawab dan dalam had anda. Prestasi masa lalu tidak menjamin hasil masa depan.
Terokai Kandungan Ramalan Lain
Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Middlesbrough & QPR!
Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.
Langgan Sekarang
Kejuaraan EFL — Kedudukan
| # | PASUKAN | P | M | S | K | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 60 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 0 |
| # | PASUKAN | P | J | B | +/- | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City | 46 | 97 | 45 | +52 | 95 |
| 2 | Southampton | 46 | 82 | 56 | +26 | 80 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 46 | 80 | 47 | +33 | 84 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 72 | 47 | +25 | 80 |
| 5 | Hull City | 46 | 70 | 66 | +4 | 73 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 46 | 69 | 65 | +4 | 71 |
| 7 | Derby County | 46 | 67 | 59 | +8 | 69 |
| 8 | Sheffield United | 46 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 60 |
| 9 | Millwall | 46 | 64 | 49 | +15 | 83 |
| 10 | Norwich | 46 | 63 | 56 | +7 | 65 |
| 11 | QPR | 46 | 61 | 73 | -12 | 58 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 46 | 59 | 59 | 0 | 62 |
| 13 | Leicester | 46 | 58 | 68 | -10 | 46 |
| 14 | Birmingham | 46 | 57 | 56 | +1 | 64 |
| 15 | Swansea | 46 | 57 | 59 | -2 | 64 |
| 16 | Preston | 46 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 60 |
| 17 | Watford | 46 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 57 |
| 18 | Stoke City | 46 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 55 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 46 | 49 | 64 | -15 | 55 |
| 20 | West Bromwich Albion | 46 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 51 |
| 21 | Oxford United | 46 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 47 |
| 22 | Charlton | 46 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 53 |
| 23 | Blackburn Rovers | 46 | 42 | 56 | -14 | 52 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday | 46 | 29 | 89 | -60 | 0 |
| # | PASUKAN | P | xG | xGC | +/- | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City | 46 | 84.9 | 49.6 | +35.3 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 46 | 75.5 | 44.3 | +31.2 | 84 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 69.5 | 41.4 | +28.1 | 80 |
| 4 | Southampton | 46 | 76.3 | 57.0 | +19.3 | 80 |
| 5 | Sheffield United | 46 | 70.5 | 56.8 | +13.7 | 60 |
| 6 | Birmingham | 46 | 61.5 | 48.2 | +13.3 | 64 |
| 7 | West Bromwich Albion | 46 | 57.0 | 46.3 | +10.7 | 51 |
| 8 | Millwall | 46 | 62.2 | 57.2 | +5.0 | 83 |
| 9 | Watford | 46 | 55.1 | 53.3 | +1.8 | 57 |
| 10 | Derby County | 46 | 56.0 | 54.6 | +1.4 | 69 |
| 11 | Blackburn Rovers | 46 | 53.4 | 54.5 | -1.1 | 52 |
| 12 | QPR | 46 | 54.3 | 55.6 | -1.3 | 58 |
| 13 | Norwich | 46 | 60.7 | 63.9 | -3.2 | 65 |
| 14 | Swansea | 46 | 51.1 | 56.0 | -4.9 | 64 |
| 15 | Portsmouth | 46 | 46.9 | 52.7 | -5.8 | 55 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 46 | 55.8 | 62.5 | -6.7 | 71 |
| 17 | Oxford United | 46 | 51.6 | 58.3 | -6.7 | 47 |
| 18 | Bristol City | 46 | 55.1 | 62.7 | -7.6 | 62 |
| 19 | Leicester | 46 | 54.2 | 64.8 | -10.6 | 46 |
| 20 | Stoke City | 46 | 50.2 | 63.2 | -13.0 | 55 |
| 21 | Charlton | 46 | 46.2 | 60.7 | -14.5 | 53 |
| 22 | Preston | 46 | 52.8 | 68.0 | -15.2 | 60 |
| 23 | Hull City | 46 | 58.8 | 78.3 | -19.5 | 73 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday | 46 | 39.7 | 89.4 | -49.7 | 0 |