Ramalan / Bola Sepak / Slovenia. 1. SNL / Maribor vs Olimpija Ljubljana

Maribor vs Olimpija Ljubljana Ramalan, Odds & Tip Pertaruhan AI

May 09, 2026 - 18:15 ABD
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42% 26% 33%

Keputusan pertaruhan akhir

Kecekapan harga pasaran berbeza secara berbeza — 1X2 boleh menjadi hantaran sementara pasaran matlamat masih menunjukkan kelebihan.

  • Tiada nilai pada 1X2 (Maribor lwn. odds semasa)
  • Tepi nipis: Kurang 2.5 (+2.5% — di bawah bar saiz lalai)
  • Nilai yang mungkin: BTTS Ya (+12.4% EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
  • Harga semula wap pada perlawanan ini — wang lewat mungkin telah memakan kelebihan yang tinggal di bahagian kukus.
Sabitan sederhana (6.5/10) — satu baris terpilih, bukan parlay berbilang pasaran.
Pilihan utama (+EV tertinggi)
BTTS Ya — Nilai
EV +12.4% Model 65.0%
Steam vs. nilai
Momentum pasaran kuat, tetapi odds semasa mungkin sudah over-adjusted. Steam dikesan — nilai model pada baris ini mungkin sudah habis.
Perlawanan ini muncul di papan pergerakan kerana penilaian semula agresif — bukan kerana 1X2 ialah pertaruhan +EV sekarang.
⚡ Gerakan dipimpin sharp · Olimpija Ljubljana ↓ -4.6% · 9/13 · 42 B
Steam pasaran Dikesan
EV semasa Negatif
Tekanan garisan penutupan Normal
Nilai berbaki Terhad
Longshot — Nilai berisiko tinggi Olimpija Ljubljana (EV +2.8%) ; Model 32.6%
Varians tinggi — bukan untuk saiz pelan staking standard.
Mengapa Model menilai Olimpija Ljubljana (1X2) kira-kira 7.5 mata peratus melebihi implied penutupan — bacaan struktur utama vs garisan.

Intelijen pasaran

Bacaan selepas pilihan utama: bagaimana suapan penutup berprioriti bergerak berbanding model.

Ringkasan pasaran

Pasaran kekal stabil menjelang sepakan. Tiada anjakan implied ketara antara PRE30 dan PRE5 pada snapshot berprioriti.

Walaupun pergerakan lewat kecil, model masih menilai Olimpija Ljubljana (1X2) jauh melebihi implied snapshot penutupan — bacaan statik "model vs harga", bukan kejaran steam.

Model masih melebihi implied penutupan pada Olimpija Ljubljana (1X2) kira-kira 7.5 mata peratus — isyarat salah harga paling jelas pada halaman ini.

Model vs implied penutup

Pasaran Model % Implied penutup % Jurang (pp)
Maribor (1X2) 41.8 47.4 -5.6
Lukis (1X2) 25.7 27.6 -1.9
Olimpija Ljubljana (1X2) 32.6 25.1 +7.5
Lebih 2.5 gol 51.9 51.7 +0.2
Bawah 2.5 gol 48.1 48.3 -0.2
Apa maksudnya

Secara ringkas: model kira-kira 32.6% pada Olimpija Ljubljana (1X2), manakala snapshot penutup menunjukkan kira-kira 25.1%. Bezanya — kira-kira 7.5 mata peratus — ialah jurang model-vs-pasaran terbesar yang ditonjolkan di halaman ini.

Ringkas: "implied penutup" ialah kebarangkalian terbit daripada odds akhir yang ditangkap (selepas de-vig ringkas). "Jurang (pp)" = peratus model tolak implied tersebut, dalam mata peratus (pp).

Pergerakan garisan menjelang sepakan mula

Satu buku prioriti setiap snapshot (bukan semua). Laluan tangkapan: PRE30 → PRE5 · Buku: Pinnacle

Dalam kurungan pada lajur: Penutup = snapshot pertama tersedia ikut PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Awal = pertama dalam PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 yang berbeza daripada Penutup.

Odds terperinci dilipat di bawah — pergerakan implied (de-vig) boleh diabaikan.

Lihat jadual penuh baris demi baris
Pasaran Awal (PRE30) Penutup (PRE5) Δ tersirat (pp)
Maribor (1X2) 2.01 2.01 0.0
Lukis (1X2) 3.45 3.45 0.0
Olimpija Ljubljana (1X2) 3.8 3.8 0.0
Lebih 2.5 gol 1.85 1.85 0.0
Bawah 2.5 gol 1.98 1.98 0.0
1X2 Condong
Maribor · Model 41.8%
tersirat 47.4%
Pasaran konsensus utama · EV: -9.4%
Garis pembuat taruhan terbaik yang tersedia: +2.8% EV
Sesetengah odds outlier pembuat taruhan mungkin masih menunjukkan nilai teori kecil berbanding garisan konsensus di atas.
Lebih / Kurang 2.5 Condong
Lebih 2.5 51.9% · Kurang 2.5 48.1%
EV Selesai -9.2% · EV Di Bawah +2.5%
Condong nilai: Kurang 2.5
Cerapan skor tepat Kecua / hiburan
Paling berkemungkinan
1-1
Kebarangkalian 12.1%
Skor tepat berisiko tinggi — pertaruhan kecil untuk hiburan sahaja.
Keputusan pertaruhan (model lwn. EV pasaran)
Nilai peluang — Sekurang-kurangnya satu pasaran menunjukkan anggaran +EV pada kemungkinan perpuluhan terbaik semasa (ambang: 2.0%).
Kekuatan keputusan: 6.5 / 10
  • Barisan utama dikenal pasti (+1.0)
  • EV utama melebihi 10% (+1.0)
  • Kebarangkalian maksimum 1X2 di bawah 50% (tiada 1X2 dominan) (−1.0)
  • Dua atau lebih baris +EV yang sah pada ambang (+0.5)
O/U 2.5: EV Selesai -9.2% · EV Di Bawah +2.5% (11 pasangan buku)
BTTS: EV Ya +12.4% · EV No -21.2%
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

View technical JSON
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      },
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      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
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        "home": "Maribor"
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        "risk_tier": "primary",
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        "speculative_primary": false
      },
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    }
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  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-09T14:57:42.426007+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
  • Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
  • Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
  • Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.

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Langgan Sekarang
Kembali ke Ramalan
1. SNL 1. SNLKedudukan
# PASUKAN P M S K Mata
1 Celje 34 23 5 6 74
2 Koper 34 20 7 7 67
3 Bravo 34 19 5 10 62
4 Olimpija Ljubljana 34 16 7 11 55
5 Maribor 34 15 8 11 53
6 Radomlje 34 13 6 15 45
7 Aluminij 34 10 6 18 36
8 Mura 34 8 7 19 31
9 Primorje 34 6 4 24 22
10 NK Domzale 18 3 3 12 12
# PASUKAN P J B +/- Mata
1 Celje 34 85 32 +53 74
2 Koper 34 71 43 +28 67
3 Bravo 34 62 51 +11 62
4 Maribor 34 57 43 +14 53
5 Olimpija Ljubljana 34 50 40 +10 55
6 Radomlje 34 50 63 -13 45
7 Aluminij 34 42 61 -19 36
8 Mura 34 35 55 -20 31
9 Primorje 34 31 74 -43 22
10 NK Domzale 18 17 38 -21 12