AI correctly predicted the Leeds United win.
The match finished 1–0, validating the model's directional assessment.
Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa
Gred ramalan
A
Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.
- Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 matlamat) ✔ Betul
- Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Tidak ✔ Betul
- 1X2 Leeds United Leeds United ✔ Betul
- Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 1-0 ✔ Betul
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Leeds United attacking xG significantly stronger (1.60 vs 1.10)
- Both Teams To Score (No) matched the full-time result
- Under 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile
Market lesson
The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Leeds United win 1–0).
Laman pertaruhan premium stake: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo FHn2uDc1. Daftar sekarang
Garis Masa Ramalan
Cara ramalan ini beralih daripada ramalan kepada semakan sepenuh masa.
-
May 17, 2026 · 13:59 UTC Forecast generated
- xG · Leeds United 1.60 — Brighton & Hove Albion 1.10
-
May 17, 2026 · 14:00 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Leeds United win · 1–0
-
FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Gambar Sejarah
Dibekukan pada sepak mula — keluaran model seperti sebelum perlawanan bermula.
Keputusan sejarah:
Observe
Keputusan Sejarah
No Primary Bet
Hasil
Validated
Metrik pra-padanan (konteks sejarah)
Kebolehpercayaan Ramalan
57/100
· Moderate
- Validation: Pending
Bukti
★★★★★
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Market Compatibility
100/100
Betting Confidence
59/100
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
2.11
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Leeds United win · Leeds United 1–0 Brighton & Hove Albion
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
A
Probability Calibration
- Expected: 47.4%
- Historical Bucket: 45–50% — Building sample
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Semakan Soalan Lazim
- Sejauh manakah ramalan itu tepat?
- Halaman ini menilai pasaran berarah (1X2, Lebih/Bawah 2.5, BTTS) berbanding keputusan sepenuh masa. Gred ramalan menggambarkan bilangan pasaran yang dijejaki itu sepadan dengan realiti.
- Apakah ukuran Ketepatan xG?
- Ketepatan xG membandingkan profil matlamat jangkaan pra-perlawanan model dengan garis skor sebenar — bukan sama ada setiap pasaran mencecah. Semakan arah yang kukuh boleh wujud bersama dengan skor ketepatan xG yang sederhana.
- Mengapakah skor tepat tidak diramalkan?
- Hasil skor betul ialah ekor berkemungkinan rendah walaupun model membaca profil padanan dengan baik. Kami menyerlahkan tong skor tertinggi untuk konteks; kehilangan baris tepat tidak membatalkan semakan arah.
- Adakah ini meningkatkan rekod AI?
- Setiap perlawanan selesai dilog masuk dalam saluran paip pengesahan kami. Kadar hit teragregat dan kajian CLV diterbitkan secara berasingan — halaman ini ialah jejak audit setiap perlawanan.
Ramalan adalah untuk tujuan maklumat sahaja. Sentiasa berjudi dengan penuh tanggungjawab dan dalam had anda. Prestasi masa lalu tidak menjamin hasil masa depan.
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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"draw_prob": 0.2797,
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"fair_odds_draw": 3.58,
"fair_odds_home": 2.11,
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"api_prediction": {
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"main_pick_display": "Winner : Leeds United",
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"reason": "",
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"risk_color": "#f44336",
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"betting_markets": {
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"pick": "No",
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"home_expected": 1.6,
"scores": [
{
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"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 11.8
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{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 10.8
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{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 9.5
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{
"away": 0,
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"label": "2-0",
"prob": 8.6
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{
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"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
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"key": "1X",
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{
"key": "12",
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"prob": 72.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
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"prob": 52.6
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],
"pick_key": "1X",
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"pick_prob": 75.4
},
"match_winner": {
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"draw_pct": 28.0,
"home_pct": 47.4,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Leeds United"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.7,
"away_avg_scored": 1.4,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 1.3,
"over_prob": 50.6,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 50.6,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.7,
"under_prob": 49.4
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 63.5,
"implied_prob": 29.0,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Home",
"market": "Leeds United Win",
"model_prob": 47.4,
"odds": 3.45
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
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"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Leeds United",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
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{
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"movement": [
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{
"closing": 3.6,
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{
"closing": 2.17,
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"home_xg": 1.6,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
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{
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}
],
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"country_flag": "/static/images/country/gb-eng.svg",
"country_name": "England",
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"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
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"home_team_id": 63,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/63.webp",
"home_team_name": "Leeds United",
"league_country": "England",
"league_id": 39,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/39.webp",
"league_name": "Liga Perdana Inggeris",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-17 14:00:00",
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"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
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],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
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"draw": {
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"best_odd": 3.6,
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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"edge": 0.0028,
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},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
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"best_odd": 3.45,
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"edge": 0.041,
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}
},
"btts": {
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"best_yes_odd": 1.71,
"edge_no": 0.0286,
"edge_yes": -0.0286,
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"implied_no": 0.4234,
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"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
},
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"edge_over": -0.0339,
"edge_under": 0.0339,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.0032,
"ev_under": 0.0868,
"implied_over": 0.5399,
"implied_under": 0.4601,
"n_bookmakers": 11,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.1139,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
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"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "B",
"stake_factor": 0.5
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.548,
"draw_prob": 0.2795,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4741,
"over_prob": 0.506,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.494,
"xg_diff": 0.5
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.041,
"ev": 0.1139,
"implied_prob": 0.2818,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.4741,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Leeds United"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0286,
"ev": 0.0486,
"implied_prob": 0.4234,
"model_prob": 0.452,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0339,
"ev": 0.0868,
"implied_prob": 0.4601,
"model_prob": 0.494,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1379335,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.1139,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.5,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.2464,
"draw": 0.2795,
"home": 0.4741
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0868,
"implied_prob": 0.4601,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.494,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0868,
"implied_prob": 0.4601,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.494,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Brighton \u0026 Hove Albion",
"home": "Leeds United"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.054,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1139,
"implied_prob": 0.2818,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.4741,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Leeds United",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 3
}
},
"fixture_id": 1379335,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T13:59:17.124892+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Terokai Kandungan Ramalan Lain
Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Leeds United & Brighton & Hove Albion!
Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.
Langgan Sekarang
Liga Perdana Inggeris — Kedudukan
| # | PASUKAN | P | M | S | K | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 85 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 78 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 71 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 65 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 60 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 57 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 53 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 53 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 52 |
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 52 |
| 12 | Newcastle United | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 49 |
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49 |
| 14 | Leeds United | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 47 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 45 |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 44 |
| 17 | Tottenham Hotspur | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41 |
| 18 | West Ham United | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 39 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 22 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 20 |
| # | PASUKAN | P | J | B | +/- | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 38 | 77 | 35 | +42 | 78 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 71 | 27 | +44 | 85 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | 69 | 50 | +19 | 71 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 38 | 63 | 53 | +10 | 60 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 38 | 58 | 52 | +6 | 52 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 38 | 58 | 54 | +4 | 57 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 56 | 49 | +7 | 65 |
| 8 | Brentford | 38 | 55 | 52 | +3 | 53 |
| 9 | Newcastle United | 38 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 49 |
| 10 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 38 | 52 | 46 | +6 | 53 |
| 11 | Leeds United | 38 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 47 |
| 12 | Nottingham Forest | 38 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 44 |
| 13 | Tottenham Hotspur | 38 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 41 |
| 14 | Everton | 38 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 49 |
| 15 | Fulham | 38 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 52 |
| 16 | West Ham United | 38 | 46 | 65 | -19 | 39 |
| 17 | Sunderland | 38 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 54 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 45 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | 38 | 75 | -37 | 22 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 38 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 20 |
| # | PASUKAN | P | xG | xGC | +/- | Mata |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | 64.5 | 28.8 | +35.7 | 85 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 38 | 68.8 | 42.6 | +26.2 | 78 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | 64.7 | 48.5 | +16.2 | 71 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 38 | 60.1 | 46.9 | +13.2 | 60 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 38 | 63.5 | 51.9 | +11.6 | 52 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 38 | 57.4 | 49.9 | +7.5 | 53 |
| 7 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 57.6 | 50.2 | +7.4 | 45 |
| 8 | Bournemouth | 38 | 62.5 | 56.8 | +5.7 | 57 |
| 9 | Newcastle United | 38 | 57.2 | 51.5 | +5.7 | 49 |
| 10 | Brentford | 38 | 59.3 | 54.3 | +5.0 | 53 |
| 11 | Leeds United | 38 | 54.4 | 55.1 | -0.7 | 47 |
| 12 | Fulham | 38 | 47.9 | 52.2 | -4.3 | 52 |
| 13 | Aston Villa | 38 | 47.6 | 54.3 | -6.7 | 65 |
| 14 | Nottingham Forest | 38 | 46.3 | 56.3 | -10.0 | 44 |
| 15 | Everton | 38 | 45.9 | 55.9 | -10.0 | 49 |
| 16 | Tottenham Hotspur | 38 | 40.8 | 52.2 | -11.4 | 41 |
| 17 | West Ham United | 38 | 45.1 | 56.8 | -11.7 | 39 |
| 18 | Sunderland | 38 | 39.1 | 53.4 | -14.3 | 54 |
| 19 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 38 | 35.5 | 58.1 | -22.6 | 20 |
| 20 | Burnley | 38 | 32.3 | 74.9 | -42.6 | 22 |
