Genoa · Model 41.5%
tersirat 19.1%
Pasaran konsensus utama · EV: 10.3%
1X2
✔ Genoa (Nilai)
Ya 48.4% · Tidak 51.6%
EV Ya 6.48% · EV No -12.28%
Condong nilai: BTTS Ya
Lebih 2.5 41.2% · Kurang 2.5 58.8%
EV Selesai 0.12% · EV Di Bawah -2.39%
Condong nilai:
Lebih 2.5
Paling berkemungkinan
1-1
Kebarangkalian 13.0%
Skor tepat berisiko tinggi — pertaruhan kecil untuk hiburan sahaja.
Keputusan pertaruhan (model lwn. EV pasaran)
Nilai peluang — Sekurang-kurangnya satu pasaran menunjukkan anggaran +EV pada kemungkinan perpuluhan terbaik semasa (ambang: 2.0%).
Kekuatan keputusan: 6.0 / 10
- Barisan utama dikenal pasti (+1.0)
- EV utama melebihi 10% (+1.0)
- Kebarangkalian maksimum 1X2 di bawah 50% (tiada 1X2 dominan) (−1.0)
- Lukis kebarangkalian melebihi 30% (−0.5)
- Dua atau lebih baris +EV yang sah pada ambang (+0.5)
O/U 2.5:
EV Selesai 0.12% ·
EV Di Bawah -2.39%
(12 pasangan buku)
BTTS: EV Ya 6.48% · EV No -12.28%
BTTS: EV Ya 6.48% · EV No -12.28%
Enjin Keputusan OddsGPT v2.1.0(EV + Struktur Pasaran + Pelarasan Risiko)
Semak Odds di 1xBet
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "d90c53a1783db48c7b4cfe472a70b82d51d0f61080b924df8929fbfbd1622b3e",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.31,
"away_win_prob": 0.4152,
"btts_no_prob": 0.516,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.484,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.3115,
"fair_odds_away": 2.41,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.21,
"fair_odds_home": 3.66,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.02,
"home_win_prob": 0.2733,
"over_25_prob": 0.412,
"prediction_confidence": "high",
"under_25_prob": 0.588
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Combo Double chance : Lecce or draw and -3.5 goals",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "30%",
"percent_draw": "35%",
"percent_home": "35%",
"winner_name": "Lecce"
},
"away_xg": 1.31,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Genoa",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.2254,
"edge_gap": 0.1034,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.1896,
"model_prob": 0.4151,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 41.5,
"draw": 31.2,
"home": 27.3
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Betano",
"odd": 5.3
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Bet365",
"odd": 5.25
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 5.21
},
{
"affi_link": "https://banners.dfbanners.com/redirect.aspx?pid=79572\u0026bid=19634\u0026redirectURL=http://www.dafabet.com/",
"bookmaker_name": "Dafabet",
"odd": 5.2
},
{
"affi_link": "https://refpa14435.com/L?tag=d_4682699m_1599c_\u0026site=4682699\u0026ad=1599",
"bookmaker_name": "1xBet",
"odd": 5.17
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "10Bet",
"odd": 5.1
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Superbet",
"odd": 5.1
},
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Marathonbet",
"odd": 5.05
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 5.3,
"bookmaker_id": 32,
"bookmaker_name": "Betano",
"display_market": "Genoa Win",
"is_value": false,
"label": "Away",
"market_fair_odds": 5.27,
"market_odds": 4.99,
"model_odds": 2.41,
"overround": 5.6,
"prob_edge": 22.6,
"value_pct": 119.9,
"value_rating": "no_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 9,
"away_failed_to_score": 14,
"away_played": 37,
"away_score_rate": 73.0,
"home_clean_sheet": 9,
"home_failed_to_score": 19,
"home_played": 37,
"home_score_rate": 63.9,
"no_prob": 51.6,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 51.6,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 48.4
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.31,
"home_expected": 1.02,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 13.0
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 12.7
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 9.9
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-0",
"prob": 9.7
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 8.5
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Lecce or Draw",
"prob": 58.4
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Lecce or Genoa",
"prob": 68.8
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Genoa",
"prob": 72.6
}
],
"pick_key": "X2",
"pick_label": "Draw or Genoa",
"pick_prob": 72.6
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 41.5,
"draw_pct": 31.1,
"home_pct": 27.3,
"lean_key": "away",
"lean_label": "Genoa"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": "-3.5",
"avg_total": 2.33,
"away_avg_scored": 1.1,
"confidence": "medium",
"home_avg_scored": 0.7,
"over_prob": 41.2,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 58.8,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": false,
"total_expected": 2.33,
"under_prob": 58.8
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 32,
"bookmaker_name": "Betano",
"edge": 119.9,
"implied_prob": 18.9,
"is_value": false,
"label": "Away",
"market": "Genoa Win",
"model_prob": 41.5,
"odds": 5.3
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"has_data": false
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 13.0
}
},
"home_xg": 1.02,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0991,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": true,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.1877,
"max_ev": 0.0991,
"model_prob": 0.4151,
"side_label": "Genoa",
"sort_key": 10239.19,
"tier": "best"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.1228,
"ev_yes": 0.0406,
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.0406,
"no_prob": 51.6,
"sort_key": 10036.54,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 48.4
},
{
"decision": "lean",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.0236,
"ev_under": -0.0063,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": -0.0063,
"over_prob": 41.2,
"sort_key": 1798.425,
"tier": "bad_ev",
"under_prob": 58.8,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 819.0,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 13.0
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 495,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/495.webp",
"away_team_name": "Genoa",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/it.svg",
"country_name": "Italy",
"fixture_id": 1378238,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 867,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/867.webp",
"home_team_name": "Lecce",
"league_country": "Italy",
"league_id": 135,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/135.webp",
"league_name": "Serie A",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-24 13:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
"pred_conf_md_draw_above_30"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
"Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.1318,
"best_odd": 5.05,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.03,
"ev": 0.0991,
"implied_prob": 0.1877,
"model_prob": 0.4151,
"p_final": 0.2176
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2816,
"best_odd": 3.5,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0115,
"ev": -0.012,
"implied_prob": 0.2708,
"model_prob": 0.3116,
"p_final": 0.2823
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.3586,
"best_odd": 1.75,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0962,
"ev": -0.2206,
"implied_prob": 0.5416,
"model_prob": 0.2733,
"p_final": 0.4454
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.7,
"best_yes_odd": 2.15,
"edge_no": -0.043,
"edge_yes": 0.043,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.1228,
"ev_yes": 0.0406,
"implied_no": 0.559,
"implied_yes": 0.441,
"n_bookmakers": 11,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 2.37,
"best_under_odd": 1.69,
"edge_over": -0.0034,
"edge_under": 0.0034,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.0236,
"ev_under": -0.0063,
"implied_over": 0.4154,
"implied_under": 0.5846,
"n_bookmakers": 12,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.33,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.0991,
"confidence": 5.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_draw_above_30",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 5.0
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "B",
"stake_factor": 0.5
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.484,
"draw_prob": 0.3116,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4151,
"over_prob": 0.412,
"total_xg": 2.33,
"under_prob": 0.588,
"xg_diff": 0.29
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.03,
"ev": 0.0991,
"implied_prob": 0.1877,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.4151,
"side": "away",
"side_label": "Genoa"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.043,
"ev": 0.0406,
"implied_prob": 0.441,
"model_prob": 0.484,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "lean",
"edge": 0.0034,
"ev": -0.0063,
"implied_prob": 0.5846,
"model_prob": 0.588,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1378238,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.0991,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.4151,
"draw": 0.3116,
"home": 0.2733
},
"reason_codes": [
"model_summary"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Genoa",
"home": "Lecce"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.04525,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0991,
"implied_prob": 0.1877,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.4151,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "away",
"side_label": "Genoa",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1378238,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-24T06:19:14.855053+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
- Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
- Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
- Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.
Terokai Kandungan Ramalan Lain
Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Lecce & Genoa!
Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.
Langgan Sekarang
Serie A — Kedudukan
| # | PASUKAN | MP | M | S | K | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 87 |
| 2 | Napoli | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 73 |
| 3 | AC Milan | 37 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 70 |
| 4 | AS Roma | 37 | 22 | 4 | 11 | 70 |
| 5 | Como | 37 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 68 |
| 6 | Juventus | 37 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 68 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 56 |
| 9 | Lazio | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 50 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 37 | 14 | 7 | 16 | 49 |
| 12 | Torino | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 |
| 13 | Parma | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 42 |
| 14 | Fiorentina | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 42 |
| 15 | Genoa | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 41 |
| 16 | Cagliari | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 40 |
| 17 | Lecce | 37 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 35 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona | 37 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 21 |
| 20 | Pisa | 38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 18 |
| # | PASUKAN | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 38 | 89 | 35 | +54 | 87 |
| 2 | Como | 37 | 61 | 28 | +33 | 68 |
| 3 | Juventus | 37 | 59 | 32 | +27 | 68 |
| 4 | AS Roma | 37 | 57 | 31 | +26 | 70 |
| 5 | Napoli | 37 | 57 | 36 | +21 | 73 |
| 6 | AC Milan | 37 | 52 | 33 | +19 | 70 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 38 | 51 | 36 | +15 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna | 38 | 49 | 46 | +3 | 56 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 37 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 49 |
| 10 | Udinese | 37 | 45 | 47 | -2 | 50 |
| 11 | Torino | 37 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 44 |
| 12 | Lazio | 38 | 41 | 40 | +1 | 54 |
| 13 | Fiorentina | 38 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 42 |
| 14 | Genoa | 37 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 41 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 37 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 40 |
| 16 | Cremonese | 37 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 34 |
| 17 | Parma | 37 | 27 | 46 | -19 | 42 |
| 18 | Lecce | 37 | 27 | 50 | -23 | 35 |
| 19 | Pisa | 38 | 26 | 71 | -45 | 18 |
| 20 | Hellas Verona | 37 | 25 | 59 | -34 | 21 |
| # | PASUKAN | MP | xG | xGC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 38 | 69.7 | 33.4 | +36.3 | 87 |
| 2 | Juventus | 37 | 63.6 | 31.2 | +32.4 | 68 |
| 3 | Como | 37 | 59.9 | 32.7 | +27.2 | 68 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 57.9 | 40.5 | +17.4 | 70 |
| 5 | Atalanta | 38 | 55.9 | 41.4 | +14.5 | 59 |
| 6 | AS Roma | 37 | 52.1 | 38.3 | +13.8 | 70 |
| 7 | Napoli | 37 | 47.9 | 36.2 | +11.7 | 73 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 48.9 | 46.1 | +2.8 | 42 |
| 9 | Bologna | 38 | 42.6 | 44.0 | -1.4 | 56 |
| 10 | Lazio | 38 | 39.8 | 42.0 | -2.2 | 54 |
| 11 | Genoa | 37 | 44.3 | 47.0 | -2.7 | 41 |
| 12 | Torino | 37 | 44.0 | 50.7 | -6.7 | 44 |
| 13 | Udinese | 37 | 41.5 | 50.4 | -8.9 | 50 |
| 14 | Hellas Verona | 37 | 34.5 | 45.3 | -10.8 | 21 |
| 15 | Sassuolo | 37 | 41.7 | 54.1 | -12.4 | 49 |
| 16 | Cagliari | 37 | 34.1 | 51.6 | -17.5 | 40 |
| 17 | Pisa | 38 | 38.1 | 57.8 | -19.7 | 18 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 37 | 34.0 | 55.4 | -21.4 | 34 |
| 19 | Parma | 37 | 31.0 | 55.6 | -24.6 | 42 |
| 20 | Lecce | 37 | 29.1 | 56.6 | -27.5 | 35 |
UEFA Champions League
Premier League
La Liga
Ligue 1
Eredivisie
Bundesliga
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Europa Conference League
Primeira Liga
Superliga
Eliteserien
Allsvenskan
World Cup
