The model missed the final outcome (Celtic II win 3–5).
The model had projected Renfrew at 36.1%, but the full-time result went the other way.
Pasar terlacak vs hasil penuh waktu
Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-pertandingan dengan hasil penuh waktu.
- Pasar Ramalan Hasil Hasil
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (8 sasaran) ✖ Salah
- Kedua Tim Mencetak Skor BTTS Ya Ya ✔ Benar
- 1X2 Renfrew Celtic II ✖ Salah
- Wawasan skor akurat 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-5 ✖ Salah
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.60) — 8 goals materialised
- Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
What failed
- Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Under 2.5; match finished Over 2.5 (8 goals)
- 1X2: model leaned Renfrew; match finished Celtic II
Market lesson
The full-time result was Celtic II win 3–5, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.
Garis Waktu Prediksi
Bagaimana prediksi ini berpindah dari perkiraan ke tinjauan penuh waktu.
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Aug 02, 2026 · 01:57 UTC Forecast generated
- xG · Renfrew 1.32 — Celtic II 1.28
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Aug 08, 2026 · 14:00 UTC Kickoff
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FT Full-time result Celtic II win · 3–5
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FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
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Archived Prediction review
Cuplikan Sejarah
Dibekukan saat kickoff — keluaran model seperti sebelum pertandingan dimulai.
Metrik pra-pertandingan (konteks historis)
- Validation: Pending
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Validation Report
Immutable SnapshotModel Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Tinjau FAQ
- Seberapa akurat prediksinya?
- Halaman ini menilai pasar terarah (1X2, Atas/Bawah 2.5, BTTS) dibandingkan dengan hasil penuh waktu. Nilai prediksi mencerminkan seberapa banyak pasar yang dilacak tersebut sesuai dengan kenyataan.
- Apa yang diukur oleh Akurasi xG?
- Akurasi xG membandingkan profil gol yang diharapkan sebelum pertandingan dengan skor sebenarnya — bukan apakah setiap pasar berhasil. Tinjauan terarah yang kuat dapat dilakukan bersamaan dengan skor akurasi xG yang moderat.
- Mengapa skor pastinya tidak diprediksi?
- Hasil skor yang benar memiliki probabilitas yang rendah meskipun model membaca profil pertandingan dengan baik. Kami menyoroti kumpulan skor tertinggi untuk konteks; melewatkan garis yang tepat tidak membatalkan tinjauan terarah.
- Apakah ini meningkatkan rekor AI?
- Setiap kecocokan yang telah selesai dicatat dalam jalur validasi kami. Tingkat hit gabungan dan studi CLV dipublikasikan secara terpisah — halaman ini adalah jejak audit per pertandingan.
Prediksi hanya untuk tujuan informasi. Selalu bertaruh secara bertanggung jawab dan sesuai batas kemampuan Anda. Kinerja masa lalu tidak menjamin hasil di masa depan.
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Berlangganan Sekarang
Liga Lowland Skotlandia — Klasemen
| # | TIM | Main | M | S | K | Poin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kilwinning Rangers | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 24 |
| 2 | Tranent Juniors | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 24 |
| 3 | Largs Thistle | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22 |
| 4 | Hill Of Beath Hawthorn | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21 |
| 5 | Clydebank | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 |
| 6 | Pollok | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 |
| 7 | Auchinleck Talbot | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Linlithgow Rose | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19 |
| 9 | Brechin City | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 |
| 10 | Broxburn Athletic | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 |
| 11 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 18 |
| 12 | Cumnock Juniors | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 |
| 13 | Celtic II | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 |
| 14 | Caledonian Braves | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 |
| 15 | Lochee United | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 |
| 16 | Johnstone Burgh | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 |
| 17 | Civil Service Strollers | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 |
| 18 | Bo'ness United | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 |
| 19 | Troon FC | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12 |
| 20 | Cumbernauld Colts | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 21 | East Stirlingshire | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 |
| 22 | Cowdenbeath | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
| 23 | Musselburgh Athletic | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| 24 | Albion Rovers | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| 25 | Beith | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| 26 | Renfrew | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
| 27 | Gretna 2008 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 |
| 28 | Berwick Rangers | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 |
| 29 | Dunipace | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 |
| 30 | Newton Stewart | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 |
| 31 | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 |
| 32 | Stirling University | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 |
| 33 | Dalbeattie Star | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
| # | TIM | Main | Gol | Kebob | +/- | Poin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clydebank | 9 | 32 | 18 | +14 | 20 |
| 2 | Auchinleck Talbot | 10 | 31 | 12 | +19 | 19 |
| 3 | Kilwinning Rangers | 10 | 31 | 13 | +18 | 24 |
| 4 | Celtic II | 10 | 28 | 19 | +9 | 17 |
| 5 | Caledonian Braves | 9 | 26 | 21 | +5 | 16 |
| 6 | Linlithgow Rose | 9 | 25 | 11 | +14 | 19 |
| 7 | Cumnock Juniors | 9 | 25 | 14 | +11 | 17 |
| 8 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 9 | 23 | 9 | +14 | 18 |
| 9 | Pollok | 9 | 21 | 12 | +9 | 20 |
| 10 | Lochee United | 9 | 20 | 15 | +5 | 16 |
| 11 | Cumbernauld Colts | 10 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Gretna 2008 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 7 |
| 13 | Johnstone Burgh | 9 | 19 | 14 | +5 | 15 |
| 14 | Troon FC | 10 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 12 |
| 15 | Tranent Juniors | 8 | 17 | 4 | +13 | 24 |
| 16 | Brechin City | 8 | 17 | 10 | +7 | 19 |
| 17 | Bo'ness United | 9 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 13 |
| 18 | Renfrew | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 7 |
| 19 | Largs Thistle | 10 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 22 |
| 20 | Hill Of Beath Hawthorn | 9 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 21 |
| 21 | Broxburn Athletic | 8 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 19 |
| 22 | Civil Service Strollers | 9 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 13 |
| 23 | Cowdenbeath | 9 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 9 |
| 24 | East Stirlingshire | 9 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 10 |
| 25 | Beith | 10 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
| 26 | Musselburgh Athletic | 9 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 8 |
| 27 | Albion Rovers | 9 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 8 |
| 28 | Berwick Rangers | 9 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 5 |
| 29 | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 9 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 3 |
| 30 | Stirling University | 9 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 3 |
| 31 | Newton Stewart | 8 | 9 | 32 | -23 | 4 |
| 32 | Dunipace | 8 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 |
| 33 | Dalbeattie Star | 9 | 5 | 30 | -25 | 1 |