AI correctly predicted the FC Botoșani win.
The match finished 1–0, validating the model's directional assessment.
Pasar terlacak vs hasil penuh waktu
Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-pertandingan dengan hasil penuh waktu.
- Pasar Ramalan Hasil Hasil
- Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 sasaran) ✖ Salah
- Kedua Tim Mencetak Skor BTTS Ya Tidak ✖ Salah
- 1X2 FC Botoșani FC Botoșani ✔ Benar
- Wawasan skor akurat 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 2-0, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Benar
Model vs Pasar Penutupan
| Hasil | Model | Menutup Pasar | Perbedaan | Sinyal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Botoșani | 48.2% | 53.4% | -5.2 pp | Market Higher |
| Draw | 26.1% | 25.3% | +0.7 pp | Aligned |
| Csíkszereda | 25.7% | 21.3% | +4.5 pp | Aligned |
The closing market estimates FC Botoșani's win probability at 53.4%, compared with the model's estimate of 48.2%, a difference of 5.2 percentage points. This highlights a disagreement between the model and market consensus, without indicating which view is ultimately correct.
Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.
Setelah waktu penuh, kemiringan terarah model cocok dengan hasilnya (FC Botoșani win 1–0).
Market Assessment
The market and model broadly agree on FC Botoșani. The remaining divergence may reflect differences in team-strength assumptions rather than a directional disagreement.
- Monitor line movement before kickoff — not a betting recommendation.
Post Match Insights
What worked
- FC Botoșani attacking xG significantly stronger (1.78 vs 1.26)
- Exact score 1–0 fell within the model's highlighted bins
What failed
- Both Teams To Score: model leaned BTTS Yes; match finished BTTS No
- Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Over 2.5; match finished Under 2.5 (1 goals)
Market lesson
Large model–market gaps do not automatically mean the market is right. Here the closing market priced FC Botoșani higher (53.4% vs model 48.2%, 5.2 pp), but the model's lean was validated (FC Botoșani win 1–0).
Garis Waktu Prediksi
Bagaimana prediksi ini berpindah dari perkiraan ke tinjauan penuh waktu.
-
Aug 24, 2026 · 19:10 UTC Forecast generated
- Model 1X2 · FC Botoșani 48.3% · Draw 26.0% · Csíkszereda 25.7%
- xG · FC Botoșani 1.78 — Csíkszereda 1.26
-
Aug 24, 2026 · 15:00 UTC Opening odds snapshot PRE30
- 1X2 odds · FC Botoșani 1.77 · Draw 3.80 · Csíkszereda 4.48
- Implied 1X2 · FC Botoșani 53.7% · Draw 25.0% · Csíkszereda 21.2%
- Bookmaker · Pinnacle
-
Aug 24, 2026 · 15:29 UTC Closing snapshot recorded PRE1
- 1X2 odds · FC Botoșani 1.78 · Draw 3.75 · Csíkszereda 4.47
- Implied 1X2 · FC Botoșani 53.4% · Draw 25.3% · Csíkszereda 21.3%
- Bookmaker · Pinnacle
-
Aug 24, 2026 · 15:30 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result FC Botoșani win · 1–0
-
FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Cuplikan Sejarah
Dibekukan saat kickoff — keluaran model seperti sebelum pertandingan dimulai.
Metrik pra-pertandingan (konteks historis)
- Validation: Pass
- No strong statistical edge
- Direction agrees with model lean
- Validation passed
Validation Report
Immutable SnapshotModel Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Tinjau FAQ
- Seberapa akurat prediksinya?
- Halaman ini menilai pasar terarah (1X2, Atas/Bawah 2.5, BTTS) dibandingkan dengan hasil penuh waktu. Nilai prediksi mencerminkan seberapa banyak pasar yang dilacak tersebut sesuai dengan kenyataan.
- Apa yang diukur oleh Akurasi xG?
- Akurasi xG membandingkan profil gol yang diharapkan sebelum pertandingan dengan skor sebenarnya — bukan apakah setiap pasar berhasil. Tinjauan terarah yang kuat dapat dilakukan bersamaan dengan skor akurasi xG yang moderat.
- Mengapa skor pastinya tidak diprediksi?
- Hasil skor yang benar memiliki probabilitas yang rendah meskipun model membaca profil pertandingan dengan baik. Kami menyoroti kumpulan skor tertinggi untuk konteks; melewatkan garis yang tepat tidak membatalkan tinjauan terarah.
- Apakah ini meningkatkan rekor AI?
- Setiap kecocokan yang telah selesai dicatat dalam jalur validasi kami. Tingkat hit gabungan dan studi CLV dipublikasikan secara terpisah — halaman ini adalah jejak audit per pertandingan.
Prediksi hanya untuk tujuan informasi. Selalu bertaruh secara bertanggung jawab dan sesuai batas kemampuan Anda. Kinerja masa lalu tidak menjamin hasil di masa depan.
Jelajahi Konten Prediksi Lainnya
Dapatkan Prediksi Premium untuk FC Botoșani & Csíkszereda!
Buka analisis mendalam, tips taruhan eksklusif, dan prakiraan pertandingan dengan layanan langganan premium kami.
Berlangganan Sekarang
Liga I Rumania — Klasemen
| # | TIM | Main | M | S | K | Poin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo București | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 23 |
| 2 | Rapid București | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21 |
| 3 | Universitatea Craiova | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20 |
| 4 | Petrolul Ploiești | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Universitatea Cluj | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | Farul Constanța | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14 |
| 7 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 8 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 |
| 9 | Sepsi OSK Sfântu Gheorghe | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 | UTA Arad | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 |
| 11 | FCSB | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 |
| 12 | FC Botoșani | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
| 13 | Arges Pitesti | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 |
| 14 | Oţelul | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 15 | FC Voluntari | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| 16 | Csíkszereda | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 |
| # | TIM | Main | Gol | Kebob | +/- | Poin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitatea Craiova | 10 | 24 | 9 | +15 | 20 |
| 2 | Dinamo București | 10 | 23 | 7 | +16 | 23 |
| 3 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 9 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 13 |
| 4 | Rapid București | 10 | 14 | 6 | +8 | 21 |
| 5 | FC Botoșani | 10 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 11 |
| 6 | Universitatea Cluj | 9 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 15 |
| 7 | Farul Constanța | 10 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 14 |
| 8 | UTA Arad | 10 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 | Petrolul Ploiești | 10 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 19 |
| 10 | FCSB | 10 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 10 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 13 |
| 12 | Oţelul | 10 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | FC Voluntari | 10 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 8 |
| 14 | Sepsi OSK Sfântu Gheorghe | 10 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 | Arges Pitesti | 10 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 11 |
| 16 | Csíkszereda | 10 | 6 | 23 | -17 | 1 |
| # | TIM | Main | xG | xGC | +/- | Poin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rapid București | 10 | 4.0 | 1.6 | +2.4 | 21 |
| 2 | Farul Constanța | 10 | 1.7 | 1.0 | +0.7 | 14 |
| 3 | Dinamo București | 10 | 3.6 | 3.0 | +0.6 | 23 |
| 4 | FCSB | 10 | 1.9 | 1.4 | +0.5 | 12 |
| 5 | FC Voluntari | 10 | 2.9 | 2.6 | +0.3 | 8 |
| 6 | Csíkszereda | 10 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1 |
| 7 | FC Botoșani | 10 | 2.6 | 2.9 | -0.3 | 11 |
| 8 | Arges Pitesti | 10 | 1.4 | 1.9 | -0.5 | 11 |
| 9 | Universitatea Cluj | 9 | 1.0 | 1.7 | -0.7 | 15 |
| 10 | Petrolul Ploiești | 10 | 1.4 | 2.2 | -0.8 | 19 |
| 11 | Sepsi OSK Sfântu Gheorghe | 10 | 1.4 | 3.6 | -2.2 | 13 |
| 12 | Universitatea Craiova | 10 | — | — | — | 20 |
| 13 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 10 | — | — | — | 13 |
| 14 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 9 | — | — | — | 13 |
| 15 | UTA Arad | 10 | — | — | — | 12 |
| 16 | Oţelul | 10 | — | — | — | 10 |