The model missed the final outcome (Pafos win 4–1).
The model had projected Slavia Praha at 38.1%, but the full-time result went the other way.
Pasar terlacak vs hasil penuh waktu
Nilai prediksi
C
Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-pertandingan dengan hasil penuh waktu.
- Pasar Ramalan Hasil Hasil
- Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 sasaran) ✔ Benar
- Kedua Tim Mencetak Skor BTTS Ya Ya ✔ Benar
- 1X2 Slavia Praha Pafos ✖ Salah
- Wawasan skor akurat 1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 2-2, 0-1 4-1 ✖ Salah
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 3.32) — 5 goals materialised
- Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
- Over 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile
What failed
- 1X2: model leaned Slavia Praha; match finished Pafos
- Exact score: outside the model's top score bins
Market lesson
The full-time result was Pafos win 4–1, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.
Situs taruhan premium stake: pengguna baru dapat memakai kode promo FHn2uDc1. Daftar sekarang
Garis Waktu Prediksi
Bagaimana prediksi ini berpindah dari perkiraan ke tinjauan penuh waktu.
-
Before kickoff Forecast generated
- xG · Pafos 1.64 — Slavia Praha 1.68
-
Jan 28, 2026 · 20:00 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Pafos win · 4–1
-
FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Cuplikan Sejarah
Dibekukan saat kickoff — keluaran model seperti sebelum pertandingan dimulai.
Putusan sejarah:
Observe
Keputusan Sejarah
No Primary Bet
Hasil
Missed
Metrik pra-pertandingan (konteks historis)
Keandalan Prediksi
57/100
· Moderate
- Validation: Pending
Bukti
★★★★★
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Market Compatibility
100/100
Betting Confidence
59/100
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Pafos win · Pafos 4–1 Slavia Praha
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
C
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Tinjau FAQ
- Seberapa akurat prediksinya?
- Halaman ini menilai pasar terarah (1X2, Atas/Bawah 2.5, BTTS) dibandingkan dengan hasil penuh waktu. Nilai prediksi mencerminkan seberapa banyak pasar yang dilacak tersebut sesuai dengan kenyataan.
- Apa yang diukur oleh Akurasi xG?
- Akurasi xG membandingkan profil gol yang diharapkan sebelum pertandingan dengan skor sebenarnya — bukan apakah setiap pasar berhasil. Tinjauan terarah yang kuat dapat dilakukan bersamaan dengan skor akurasi xG yang moderat.
- Mengapa skor pastinya tidak diprediksi?
- Hasil skor yang benar memiliki probabilitas yang rendah meskipun model membaca profil pertandingan dengan baik. Kami menyoroti kumpulan skor tertinggi untuk konteks; melewatkan garis yang tepat tidak membatalkan tinjauan terarah.
- Apakah ini meningkatkan rekor AI?
- Setiap kecocokan yang telah selesai dicatat dalam jalur validasi kami. Tingkat hit gabungan dan studi CLV dipublikasikan secara terpisah — halaman ini adalah jejak audit per pertandingan.
Prediksi hanya untuk tujuan informasi. Selalu bertaruh secara bertanggung jawab dan sesuai batas kemampuan Anda. Kinerja masa lalu tidak menjamin hasil di masa depan.
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Berlangganan Sekarang
Liga Champions UEFA — Klasemen
| # | TIM | Main | M | S | K | Poin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 24 |
| 2 | Bayern München | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 |
| 5 | Barcelona | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15 |
| 10 | Inter Milan | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13 |
| 14 | Atletico Madrid | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 |
| 18 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 |
| 21 | Monaco | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 |
| 23 | Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 24 | Benfica | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 25 | Marseille | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 26 | Pafos | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 27 | Union St. Gilloise | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| 30 | Napoli | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| 31 | FC Copenhagen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| 32 | Ajax | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 |
| 34 | Slavia Praha | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| 36 | Kairat Almaty | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| # | TIM | Main | Gol | Kebob | +/- | Poin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | 23 | 4 | +19 | 24 |
| 2 | Bayern München | 8 | 22 | 8 | +14 | 21 |
| 3 | Barcelona | 8 | 22 | 14 | +8 | 16 |
| 4 | Paris Saint-Germain | 8 | 21 | 11 | +10 | 14 |
| 5 | Real Madrid | 8 | 21 | 12 | +9 | 15 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 8 | 20 | 8 | +12 | 18 |
| 7 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 19 | 17 | +2 | 11 |
| 8 | Tottenham Hotspur | 8 | 17 | 7 | +10 | 17 |
| 9 | Newcastle United | 8 | 17 | 7 | +10 | 14 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 8 | 17 | 10 | +7 | 16 |
| 11 | Sporting CP | 8 | 17 | 11 | +6 | 16 |
| 12 | Atletico Madrid | 8 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 13 |
| 13 | PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Inter Milan | 8 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 15 |
| 15 | Manchester City | 8 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 16 |
| 16 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 10 |
| 17 | Juventus | 8 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 13 |
| 18 | Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 9 |
| 19 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 12 |
| 20 | Qarabag | 8 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
| 21 | FC Copenhagen | 8 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 8 |
| 22 | Marseille | 8 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 9 |
| 23 | Atalanta | 8 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 24 | Benfica | 8 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 8 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 11 |
| 26 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 4 |
| 27 | Galatasaray | 8 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
| 28 | Athletic Club | 8 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 8 |
| 29 | Napoli | 8 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 8 |
| 30 | Pafos | 8 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 9 |
| 31 | Monaco | 8 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 10 |
| 32 | Union St. Gilloise | 8 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 |
| 33 | Ajax | 8 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 6 |
| 34 | Kairat Almaty | 8 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 1 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 1 |
| 36 | Slavia Praha | 8 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 3 |
| # | TIM | Main | xG | xGC | +/- | Poin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 8 | 21.5 | 6.3 | +15.2 | 18 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 8 | 20.5 | 6.2 | +14.3 | 24 |
| 3 | Newcastle United | 8 | 23.5 | 10.9 | +12.6 | 14 |
| 4 | Bayern München | 8 | 20.1 | 8.3 | +11.8 | 21 |
| 5 | Inter Milan | 8 | 16.4 | 7.8 | +8.6 | 15 |
| 6 | Paris Saint-Germain | 8 | 18.0 | 10.1 | +7.9 | 14 |
| 7 | Manchester City | 8 | 14.4 | 7.8 | +6.6 | 16 |
| 8 | Real Madrid | 8 | 18.9 | 13.1 | +5.8 | 15 |
| 9 | Chelsea | 8 | 13.7 | 9.2 | +4.5 | 16 |
| 10 | Tottenham Hotspur | 8 | 12.7 | 8.8 | +3.9 | 17 |
| 11 | Barcelona | 8 | 14.4 | 11.0 | +3.4 | 16 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 8 | 13.5 | 10.1 | +3.4 | 13 |
| 13 | Sporting CP | 8 | 11.7 | 8.6 | +3.1 | 16 |
| 14 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 13.6 | 10.8 | +2.8 | 11 |
| 15 | Atletico Madrid | 8 | 19.5 | 17.1 | +2.4 | 13 |
| 16 | Juventus | 8 | 13.1 | 10.7 | +2.4 | 13 |
| 17 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 11.8 | 10.5 | +1.3 | 12 |
| 18 | Benfica | 8 | 10.5 | 9.5 | +1.0 | 9 |
| 19 | Monaco | 8 | 13.2 | 13.6 | -0.4 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray | 8 | 12.3 | 13.8 | -1.5 | 10 |
| 21 | Athletic Club | 8 | 9.3 | 10.9 | -1.6 | 8 |
| 22 | Napoli | 8 | 10.7 | 12.9 | -2.2 | 8 |
| 23 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 9.7 | 12.2 | -2.5 | 1 |
| 24 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 8 | 9.6 | 12.4 | -2.8 | 11 |
| 25 | Marseille | 8 | 7.8 | 10.6 | -2.8 | 9 |
| 26 | Ajax | 8 | 9.3 | 12.7 | -3.4 | 6 |
| 27 | PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 12.1 | 16.1 | -4.0 | 8 |
| 28 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 16.4 | 21.8 | -5.4 | 10 |
| 29 | FC Copenhagen | 8 | 11.1 | 16.8 | -5.7 | 8 |
| 30 | Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 14.7 | 20.9 | -6.2 | 9 |
| 31 | Slavia Praha | 8 | 9.5 | 17.7 | -8.2 | 3 |
| 32 | Union St. Gilloise | 8 | 10.4 | 18.7 | -8.3 | 9 |
| 33 | Pafos | 8 | 7.1 | 16.8 | -9.7 | 9 |
| 34 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 5.3 | 16.8 | -11.5 | 4 |
| 35 | Qarabag | 8 | 10.9 | 27.7 | -16.8 | 10 |
| 36 | Kairat Almaty | 8 | 6.0 | 24.1 | -18.1 | 1 |
