The model missed the final outcome (Draw 2–2).
The model had projected Reading at 52.1%, but the full-time result went the other way.
Pasar terlacak vs hasil penuh waktu
Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-pertandingan dengan hasil penuh waktu.
- Pasar Ramalan Hasil Hasil
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 sasaran) ✖ Salah
- Kedua Tim Mencetak Skor BTTS Ya Ya ✔ Benar
- 1X2 Reading Menggambar ✖ Salah
- Wawasan skor akurat 1-0, 1-1, 2-0, 2-1, 0-0 2-2 ✖ Salah
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.67) — 4 goals materialised
- Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
What failed
- Over / Under 2.5: model leaned Under 2.5; match finished Over 2.5 (4 goals)
- 1X2: model leaned Reading; match finished Draw
Market lesson
The full-time result was Draw 2–2, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.
Garis Waktu Prediksi
Bagaimana prediksi ini berpindah dari perkiraan ke tinjauan penuh waktu.
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Before kickoff Forecast generated
- xG · Reading 1.68 — Barnsley 0.99
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Jan 24, 2026 · 15:00 UTC Kickoff
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FT Full-time result Draw · 2–2
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FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
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Archived Prediction review
Cuplikan Sejarah
Dibekukan saat kickoff — keluaran model seperti sebelum pertandingan dimulai.
Metrik pra-pertandingan (konteks historis)
- Validation: Pending
- Moderate model lean
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Validation Report
Immutable SnapshotModel Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Tinjau FAQ
- Seberapa akurat prediksinya?
- Halaman ini menilai pasar terarah (1X2, Atas/Bawah 2.5, BTTS) dibandingkan dengan hasil penuh waktu. Nilai prediksi mencerminkan seberapa banyak pasar yang dilacak tersebut sesuai dengan kenyataan.
- Apa yang diukur oleh Akurasi xG?
- Akurasi xG membandingkan profil gol yang diharapkan sebelum pertandingan dengan skor sebenarnya — bukan apakah setiap pasar berhasil. Tinjauan terarah yang kuat dapat dilakukan bersamaan dengan skor akurasi xG yang moderat.
- Mengapa skor pastinya tidak diprediksi?
- Hasil skor yang benar memiliki probabilitas yang rendah meskipun model membaca profil pertandingan dengan baik. Kami menyoroti kumpulan skor tertinggi untuk konteks; melewatkan garis yang tepat tidak membatalkan tinjauan terarah.
- Apakah ini meningkatkan rekor AI?
- Setiap kecocokan yang telah selesai dicatat dalam jalur validasi kami. Tingkat hit gabungan dan studi CLV dipublikasikan secara terpisah — halaman ini adalah jejak audit per pertandingan.
Prediksi hanya untuk tujuan informasi. Selalu bertaruh secara bertanggung jawab dan sesuai batas kemampuan Anda. Kinerja masa lalu tidak menjamin hasil di masa depan.
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Berlangganan Sekarang
Liga Satu Inggris — Klasemen
| # | TIM | Main | M | S | K | Poin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton Wanderers | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton Town | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield Town | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield Town | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe Wanderers | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster Rovers | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan Athletic | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton Albion | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough United | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter City | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham United | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton Town | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 35 |
| # | TIM | Main | Gol | Kebob | +/- | Poin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cardiff | 46 | 90 | 50 | +40 | 91 |
| 2 | Lincoln | 46 | 89 | 41 | +48 | 103 |
| 3 | Plymouth | 46 | 75 | 63 | +12 | 73 |
| 4 | Huddersfield Town | 46 | 74 | 64 | +10 | 67 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 46 | 71 | 58 | +13 | 77 |
| 6 | Bolton Wanderers | 46 | 70 | 52 | +18 | 75 |
| 7 | Wycombe Wanderers | 46 | 69 | 58 | +11 | 63 |
| 8 | Luton Town | 46 | 68 | 56 | +12 | 74 |
| 9 | Barnsley | 46 | 68 | 73 | -5 | 59 |
| 10 | Reading | 46 | 64 | 60 | +4 | 63 |
| 11 | Peterborough United | 46 | 64 | 68 | -4 | 53 |
| 12 | Mansfield Town | 46 | 62 | 50 | +12 | 65 |
| 13 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
| 14 | Bradford | 46 | 58 | 51 | +7 | 77 |
| 15 | Blackpool | 46 | 54 | 65 | -11 | 60 |
| 16 | Exeter City | 46 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 49 |
| 17 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 51 | 72 | -21 | 53 |
| 18 | Burton Albion | 46 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 54 |
| 19 | Doncaster Rovers | 46 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 60 |
| 20 | Stevenage | 46 | 49 | 46 | +3 | 75 |
| 21 | Wigan Athletic | 46 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 56 |
| 22 | Rotherham United | 46 | 41 | 71 | -30 | 41 |
| 23 | Northampton Town | 46 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 46 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 42 |
| # | TIM | Main | xG | xGC | +/- | Poin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield Town | 46 | 21.2 | 12.8 | +8.4 | 67 |
| 2 | Bolton Wanderers | 46 | 18.1 | 12.5 | +5.6 | 75 |
| 3 | Cardiff | 46 | 22.0 | 17.0 | +5.0 | 91 |
| 4 | Wigan Athletic | 46 | 15.6 | 11.5 | +4.1 | 56 |
| 5 | Peterborough United | 46 | 22.5 | 18.5 | +4.0 | 53 |
| 6 | Wycombe Wanderers | 46 | 17.0 | 14.0 | +3.0 | 63 |
| 7 | Luton Town | 46 | 16.8 | 14.1 | +2.7 | 74 |
| 8 | Reading | 46 | 16.6 | 14.8 | +1.8 | 63 |
| 9 | Stockport County | 46 | 15.4 | 15.2 | +0.2 | 77 |
| 10 | Port Vale | 46 | 12.9 | 12.8 | +0.1 | 42 |
| 11 | Plymouth | 46 | 19.2 | 19.2 | 0.0 | 73 |
| 12 | Burton Albion | 46 | 14.6 | 14.8 | -0.2 | 54 |
| 13 | Doncaster Rovers | 46 | 16.8 | 17.3 | -0.5 | 60 |
| 14 | Stevenage | 46 | 11.2 | 12.4 | -1.2 | 75 |
| 15 | Rotherham United | 46 | 11.9 | 13.2 | -1.3 | 41 |
| 16 | Lincoln | 46 | 16.7 | 18.8 | -2.1 | 103 |
| 17 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 19.6 | 22.4 | -2.8 | 52 |
| 18 | Bradford | 46 | 13.4 | 16.2 | -2.8 | 77 |
| 19 | Barnsley | 46 | 12.3 | 15.2 | -2.9 | 59 |
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 11.0 | 14.4 | -3.4 | 53 |
| 21 | Mansfield Town | 46 | 12.7 | 16.6 | -3.9 | 65 |
| 22 | Exeter City | 46 | 10.7 | 15.1 | -4.4 | 49 |
| 23 | Northampton Town | 46 | 13.5 | 18.0 | -4.5 | 35 |
| 24 | Blackpool | 46 | 21.6 | 26.3 | -4.7 | 60 |