AI correctly predicted the Sölvesborg win.
The match finished 0–2, validating the model's directional assessment.
Thị trường được theo dõi so với kết quả toàn thời gian
Mỗi hàng so sánh mô hình trước trận đấu với kết quả toàn thời gian.
- Chợ Dự đoán Kết quả kết quả
- Tài / Xỉu 2.5 Xỉu 2.5 Xỉu 2.5 (2 mục tiêu) ✔ Chính xác
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Không ✔ Chính xác
- 1X2 Sölvesborg Sölvesborg ✔ Chính xác
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-2 ✖ Không đúng
Post Match Insights
What worked
- Both Teams To Score (No) matched the full-time result
- Under 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile
What failed
- Exact score: outside the model's top score bins
Market lesson
The model's directional lean matched the full-time result (Sölvesborg win 0–2).
Dòng thời gian dự đoán
Dự đoán này chuyển từ dự báo sang đánh giá toàn thời gian như thế nào.
-
Jun 12, 2026 · 16:59 UTC Forecast generated
- xG · Karlshamn 1.25 — Sölvesborg 1.35
-
Jun 12, 2026 · 17:00 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result Sölvesborg win · 0–2
-
FT Prediction validated Directional lean matched full-time result
-
Archived Prediction review
Ảnh chụp lịch sử
Bị treo khi bắt đầu — kết quả đầu ra của mô hình như trước khi trận đấu bắt đầu.
Số liệu trước trận đấu (bối cảnh lịch sử)
- Validation: Pending
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Validation Report
Immutable SnapshotModel Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Xem lại câu hỏi thường gặp
- Dự đoán đó chính xác đến mức nào?
- Trang này xếp loại các thị trường định hướng (1X2, Trên/Dưới 2,5, BTTS) so với kết quả toàn thời gian. Mức dự đoán phản ánh có bao nhiêu thị trường được theo dõi phù hợp với thực tế.
- Độ chính xác xG đo lường điều gì?
- Độ chính xác của xG so sánh hồ sơ bàn thắng dự kiến trước trận đấu của mô hình với tỷ số thực tế — chứ không phải liệu mọi thị trường có thành công hay không. Đánh giá mang tính định hướng mạnh mẽ có thể cùng tồn tại với điểm chính xác xG vừa phải.
- Tại sao tỷ số chính xác không được dự đoán?
- Các kết quả có tỷ số chính xác là các kết quả có xác suất thấp ngay cả khi mô hình đọc tốt hồ sơ trận đấu. Chúng tôi nêu bật các thùng điểm cao nhất cho ngữ cảnh; thiếu dòng chính xác không làm mất hiệu lực của đánh giá định hướng.
- Điều này có cải thiện bản ghi AI không?
- Mỗi trận đấu kết thúc sẽ được ghi vào hệ thống xác thực của chúng tôi. Tỷ lệ trúng tổng hợp và nghiên cứu CLV được xuất bản riêng - trang này là đường dẫn kiểm tra mỗi trận đấu.
Dự đoán chỉ nhằm mục đích thông tin. Luôn đánh bạc có trách nhiệm và trong giới hạn của bạn. Hiệu suất trong quá khứ không đảm bảo kết quả trong tương lai.
Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.
View technical JSON
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{
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"label": "BTTS Yes",
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{
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}
],
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"edge_label": "mild_disagreement",
"edge_pp": 5.25,
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"hero_side": "draw",
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"market_prob_pct": 24.36,
"status": "strong_disagreement",
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},
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"degraded_note": "",
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"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "Moderate model-market divergence",
"divergence_level": "moderate",
"divergence_level_label": "Moderate divergence",
"divergence_note": "Fair estimate and market pricing differ modestly. Monitor before kickoff.",
"divergence_tier": "moderate",
"edge_label": "Mild disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "mild_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Balanced match",
"favourite_label": "S\u00f6lvesborg",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
"headline": "Balanced match",
"market_agreement_label": "Strong",
"market_prob_pct": 39.3,
"model_prob_pct": 37.5,
"outcome_separation_tier": "low",
"paragraphs": [],
"reliability_headline": "Reliable forecast",
"reliability_icon": "\u2713",
"reliability_tier": "reliable",
"summary": "The model and market both lean S\u00f6lvesborg, but neither indicates a dominant favourite. Draw and Karlshamn remain plausible \u2014 this is a relatively open match.",
"tier": "balanced",
"title": "Forecast Assessment",
"validation_label": "Pass"
},
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"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": 5.25,
"hero_label": "Draw",
"hero_side": "draw",
"market_activity": "S\u00f6lvesborg odds lengthened \u2191 +15.8%.",
"market_agreement": "strong",
"market_agreement_label": "Strong",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"Monitor line movement before kickoff \u2014 not a betting recommendation."
],
"follow_up": "However, S\u00f6lvesborg has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 15.8%, suggesting weakening support.",
"gap_tier": "mild",
"lead": "The fair estimate shows a modest edge over current market pricing on Draw.",
"note": "Drift away from S\u00f6lvesborg \u2014 odds lengthened by 15.8% (weakening support).",
"paragraphs": [
"The fair estimate shows a modest edge over current market pricing on Draw.",
"However, S\u00f6lvesborg has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 15.8%, suggesting weakening support.",
"Drift away from S\u00f6lvesborg \u2014 odds lengthened by 15.8% (weakening support)."
],
"quiet_market": false,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"The fair estimate still sits above current market pricing on Draw.",
"At the same time, S\u00f6lvesborg has drifted \u2014 odds lengthened by 15.8%, suggesting weakening support."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"max_gap_pp": 5.25,
"model_validation": {
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"status": "pass"
},
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 4.7 pp (at 37.5%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 4.7,
"max_prob_pct": 37.5,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Low",
"rows": [
{
"edge_pp": -3.44,
"fair_prob_pct": 32.85,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Karlshamn",
"market_prob_pct": 36.29,
"side": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 5.25,
"fair_prob_pct": 29.61,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 24.36,
"side": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -1.8,
"fair_prob_pct": 37.54,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "S\u00f6lvesborg",
"market_prob_pct": 39.34,
"side": "away"
}
],
"status": "strong_disagreement",
"status_label": "Strong Disagreement",
"steam_note": "Drift away from S\u00f6lvesborg \u2014 odds lengthened by 15.8% (weakening support).",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": false,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers S\u00f6lvesborg (39.3%).",
"However, S\u00f6lvesborg has attracted one of the strongest multi-book steam moves of the day (\u2191 +15.8%, 9/13).",
"The model and market both lean S\u00f6lvesborg, but neither indicates a dominant favourite. Draw and Karlshamn remain plausible \u2014 this is a relatively open match."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 27.4,
"closing_odds": 3.65,
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
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"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 27.4,
"entry_odds": 3.65,
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"model_validation_status": "pass",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Forecast Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"books_reacting": 9,
"books_total": 13,
"breadth_display": "9/13",
"clv_label": "+0.00 pp",
"clv_status": "evaluated",
"current_odds": 2.2,
"move_context": "Largest move today",
"move_display": "\u2191 +15.8%",
"move_pct_abs": 15.8,
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 15h 59m",
"narrative_paragraphs": [
"Multi-book steam on S\u00f6lvesborg (15.8%, 9/13) \u2014 aligned shortening, not a single-book blip.",
"Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation."
],
"narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
"odds_path": {
"display": "2.30 \u2192 1.90 \u2192 2.20",
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 15h 59m",
"pick_team": "S\u00f6lvesborg",
"points": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "2.30"
},
{
"label_key": "extreme",
"value": "1.90"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "2.20"
}
],
"sparkline_polyline": "0.0,18.0 28.0,0.0 56.0,3.0",
"sparkline_trend": "up",
"sparkline_trend_label": "One-way rise"
},
"open_odds": 1.9,
"page_alert_line": "Sharp money alert: S\u00f6lvesborg \u2191 +15.8% market move detected",
"phase_label": "Sharp repricing",
"phase_tip": "Aggressive adjustment \u2014 often sharp-led or high consensus.",
"pick_team": "S\u00f6lvesborg",
"ref_book": "Bet365",
"seo_title_alert": "Sharp money alert: S\u00f6lvesborg \u2191 +15.8% market move detected",
"sharp_leader": "Bet365",
"show": true,
"signal_badge_class": "confirm",
"signal_icon": "\ud83d\udcc8",
"signal_key": "market_steam",
"signal_label": "Steam",
"steam_score": 72,
"steam_subtitle": "Strong sharp signal",
"steam_tier": "A",
"title": "Market Move Intelligence"
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "9/13",
"current_odds": 2.2,
"move_display": "\u2191 +15.8%",
"open_odds": 1.9,
"pick_team": "S\u00f6lvesborg",
"steam_score": 72,
"steam_team_name": "S\u00f6lvesborg",
"steam_tier": "A"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 5.2,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 12660,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/12660.webp",
"away_team_name": "S\u00f6lvesborg",
"country_code": "SE",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/se.svg",
"country_name": "Sweden",
"fixture_id": 1510955,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "Sweden",
"home_team_id": 12615,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/12615.webp",
"home_team_name": "Karlshamn",
"league_country": "Sweden",
"league_id": 597,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/597.webp",
"league_name": "Division 2 - S\u00f6dra G\u00f6taland",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-12 17:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": null,
"venue_name": null
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.438,
"best_odd": 2.26,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0078,
"ev": -0.1284,
"implied_prob": 0.3934,
"model_prob": 0.3757,
"p_final": 0.3857
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2766,
"best_odd": 3.65,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0144,
"ev": -0.0583,
"implied_prob": 0.2436,
"model_prob": 0.2956,
"p_final": 0.258
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4269,
"best_odd": 2.45,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0146,
"ev": -0.1466,
"implied_prob": 0.3629,
"model_prob": 0.3287,
"p_final": 0.3483
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.7,
"best_yes_odd": 1.5,
"edge_no": 0.0933,
"edge_yes": -0.0933,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.2285,
"ev_yes": -0.1825,
"implied_no": 0.3617,
"implied_yes": 0.6383,
"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.53,
"best_under_odd": 2.55,
"edge_over": -0.1358,
"edge_under": 0.1358,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.2625,
"ev_under": 0.3209,
"implied_over": 0.6178,
"implied_under": 0.3822,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.3209,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
"draw_prob": 0.2956,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3757,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.1
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0078,
"ev": -0.1284,
"implied_prob": 0.3934,
"max_ev_side": "draw",
"model_prob": 0.3757,
"side": "away",
"side_label": "S\u00f6lvesborg"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0933,
"ev": 0.2285,
"implied_prob": 0.3617,
"model_prob": 0.455,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1358,
"ev": 0.3209,
"implied_prob": 0.3822,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1510955,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.3209,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3757,
"draw": 0.2956,
"home": 0.3287
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2285,
"implied_prob": 0.3617,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.455,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2285,
"implied_prob": 0.3617,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.455,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
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"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "S\u00f6lvesborg",
"home": "Karlshamn"
},
"top_pick": {
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"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.3209,
"implied_prob": 0.3822,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1510955,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T16:59:20.216722+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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Division 2 - Södra Götaland — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | Đội | Tr | T | H | B | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karlskrona | 24 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 60 |
| 2 | IFK Trelleborg | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 50 |
| 3 | Oskarshamns AIK | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 45 |
| 4 | Nosaby | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 42 |
| 5 | Linero | 25 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 41 |
| 6 | Berga | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 40 |
| 7 | Växjö Norra | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 35 |
| 8 | Österlen | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 30 |
| 9 | Lilla Torg | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 29 |
| 10 | Sölvesborg | 25 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 29 |
| 11 | Staffanstorp United | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26 |
| 12 | Torns | 24 | 7 | 0 | 17 | 21 |
| 13 | Räppe | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 18 |
| 14 | Karlshamn | 24 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 14 |
| # | Đội | Tr | BT | BB | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karlskrona | 24 | 63 | 21 | +42 | 60 |
| 2 | Oskarshamns AIK | 24 | 60 | 30 | +30 | 45 |
| 3 | Berga | 24 | 52 | 36 | +16 | 40 |
| 4 | IFK Trelleborg | 24 | 51 | 23 | +28 | 50 |
| 5 | Linero | 25 | 48 | 42 | +6 | 41 |
| 6 | Nosaby | 25 | 47 | 40 | +7 | 42 |
| 7 | Österlen | 24 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 30 |
| 8 | Staffanstorp United | 24 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 26 |
| 9 | Sölvesborg | 25 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 29 |
| 10 | Lilla Torg | 25 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 29 |
| 11 | Växjö Norra | 25 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 35 |
| 12 | Torns | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 21 |
| 13 | Räppe | 25 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 18 |
| 14 | Karlshamn | 24 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 14 |