Previsões / Futebol / Spain. Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 / Utrillas vs UD Casetas

Utrillas vs UD Casetas Previsão, Odds e Dicas de Apostas com IA

Utrillas Utrillas
Apr 26, 2026 - 16:00
1.45
1.25
45% 45% 10%
UD Casetas UD Casetas
Betting decision (model & EV)
1X2 ❌ No bet — no value vs. current odds
Match: 45.0% Utrillas; implied 52.4%; EV -14.1%
Primary: Empate — Value · EV 48.5% · Model 45.0%
Not a dominant outcome (model probability is below 50% on this leg).
Secondary (balanced value): BTTS Não (EV 13.1%) — 64.6% model
Secondary (balanced value): Acima de 2.5 (EV 8.7%) — 49.4% model
Lower EV than primary, but with higher model probability (more “stable” when shown).
How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.
Mais / Menos de 2.5
Acima de 2.5 49.4%
Abaixo de 2.5 50.6%
Escolha da IA: Acima de 2.5
Ambas as Equipes Marcam
Sim 35.4%
Não 64.6%
Escolha da IA: BTTS Não
Principais Previsões de Placar Exato
1-1 12.4%
1-0 9.5%
0-1 9.2%
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Value opportunity — At least one market shows estimated +EV at current best decimal odds (threshold: 2.0%).
Confiança: 6.0 / 9
  • Primary line identified (+1.0)
  • Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)
  • Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)
  • Draw probability above 30% (−0.5)
  • Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)
O/U 2.5: EV Over 8.68% · EV Under -16.51% (4 book pairs)
BTTS: EV Yes -32.03% · EV No 13.05%
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.
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Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 — Standings
# EQUIPE PJ W D L PTS
1 Cuarte 31 19 12 0 69
2 Calamocha 31 20 6 5 66
3 Atlético Monzón 31 20 4 7 64
4 Épila 31 17 9 5 60
5 Huesca II 31 14 9 8 51
6 Caspe 31 12 14 5 50
7 Binéfar 31 12 6 13 42
8 La Almunia 31 9 14 8 41
9 Almudévar 32 11 8 13 41
10 CDJ Tamarite 31 9 11 11 38
11 Robres 31 10 6 15 36
12 Illueca 32 8 11 13 35
13 Andorra CF 31 8 9 14 33
14 Cariñena 31 5 15 11 30
15 Utrillas 31 5 13 13 28
16 Belchite 97 31 6 10 15 28
17 UD Casetas 31 5 10 16 25
18 Zuera 31 2 9 20 15
# EQUIPE PJ GS GC +/- PTS
1 Atlético Monzón 31 67 34 +33 64
2 Huesca II 31 49 28 +21 51
3 Binéfar 31 48 42 +6 42
4 Calamocha 31 45 22 +23 66
5 Cuarte 31 39 10 +29 69
6 La Almunia 31 39 36 +3 41
7 CDJ Tamarite 31 38 43 -5 38
8 Robres 31 38 45 -7 36
9 Épila 31 36 19 +17 60
10 Caspe 31 35 22 +13 50
11 UD Casetas 31 34 52 -18 25
12 Cariñena 31 33 42 -9 30
13 Utrillas 31 32 47 -15 28
14 Illueca 32 32 48 -16 35
15 Almudévar 32 31 35 -4 41
16 Andorra CF 31 27 40 -13 33
17 Belchite 97 31 22 40 -18 28
18 Zuera 31 16 56 -40 15
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