Previsões / Futebol / Spain. Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 / Aurrerá Vitoria vs San Ignacio

Aurrerá Vitoria vs San Ignacio Previsão, Odds e Dicas de Apostas com IA

Apr 26, 2026 - 16:00
1.45
1.25
10% 45% 45%
Betting decision (model & EV)
1X2 ✔ draw (Value)
Match: 45.0% draw; implied 31.2%; EV 44.0%
Primary: Empate — Value · EV 44.0% · Model 45.0%
Not a dominant outcome (model probability is below 50% on this leg).
Secondary (balanced value): San Ignacio (EV 17.9%) — 45.0% model
Lower EV than primary, but with higher model probability (more “stable” when shown).
How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.
Mais / Menos de 2.5
Acima de 2.5 36.4%
Abaixo de 2.5 63.6%
No value — this market is efficiently priced at the best available odds (no line clears the +EV threshold).
Ambas as Equipes Marcam
Sim 48.1%
Não 51.9%
No value — BTTS is efficiently priced at the best available odds (no side clears the +EV threshold).
Principais Previsões de Placar Exato
0-1 13.4%
1-1 13.4%
0-0 11.6%
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Value opportunity — At least one market shows estimated +EV at current best decimal odds (threshold: 2.0%).
Confiança: 6.0 / 9
  • Primary line identified (+1.0)
  • Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)
  • Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)
  • Draw probability above 30% (−0.5)
  • Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)
O/U 2.5: EV Over -14.46% · EV Under -0.15% (5 book pairs)
BTTS: EV Yes -7.17% · EV No -9.17%
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.

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Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 — Standings
# EQUIPE PJ W D L PTS
1 Portugalete 32 23 6 3 75
2 Leioa 32 17 7 8 58
3 Touring 32 16 9 7 57
4 San Ignacio 32 15 7 10 52
5 Lagun Onak 31 16 4 11 52
6 Deportivo Alavés III 31 14 8 9 50
7 Derio 31 14 7 10 49
8 Aurrerá Vitoria 32 14 6 12 48
9 Real Sociedad III 31 14 4 13 46
10 Aretxabaleta 31 12 6 13 42
11 Durango 32 10 11 11 41
12 Pasaia KE 32 9 9 14 36
13 Santurtzi 31 8 11 12 35
14 Añorga 30 10 3 17 33
15 Zamudio 31 9 5 17 32
16 Eibar III 31 7 8 16 29
17 Zarautz 32 7 6 19 27
18 Deusto 30 5 7 18 22
# EQUIPE PJ GS GC +/- PTS
1 Portugalete 32 67 26 +41 75
2 Deportivo Alavés III 31 53 35 +18 50
3 Aretxabaleta 31 50 53 -3 42
4 Derio 31 48 37 +11 49
5 Lagun Onak 31 47 29 +18 52
6 Leioa 32 45 30 +15 58
7 Touring 32 45 31 +14 57
8 Zamudio 31 40 53 -13 32
9 Aurrerá Vitoria 32 38 38 0 48
10 Real Sociedad III 31 37 36 +1 46
11 San Ignacio 32 35 25 +10 52
12 Eibar III 31 35 52 -17 29
13 Añorga 30 33 52 -19 33
14 Durango 32 31 31 0 41
15 Santurtzi 31 28 39 -11 35
16 Zarautz 32 28 59 -31 27
17 Pasaia KE 32 26 42 -16 36
18 Deusto 30 21 39 -18 22