Puente Genil vs Málaga II Previsão, Odds e Dicas de Apostas com IA

Apr 26, 2026 - 16:00
1.45
1.25
35% 35% 30%
Betting decision (model & EV)
1X2 No bet — no value vs. current odds
Match: 35.0% Puente Genil; implied 63.7%; EV -45.1%
Primary: Málaga II — Value · EV 81.8% · Model 30.0%
Not a dominant outcome (model probability is below 50% on this leg).
Secondary (balanced value): Abaixo de 2.5 (EV 13.7%) — 58.3% model
Lower EV than primary, but with higher model probability (more “stable” when shown).
How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.
Mais / Menos de 2.5
Acima de 2.5 41.7%
Abaixo de 2.5 58.3%
Escolha da IA: Abaixo de 2.5
Ambas as Equipes Marcam
Sim 43.1%
Não 56.9%
No value — BTTS is efficiently priced at the best available odds (no side clears the +EV threshold).
Principais Previsões de Placar Exato
1-0 12.9%
1-1 12.9%
0-0 9.5%
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Value opportunity — At least one market shows estimated +EV at current best decimal odds (threshold: 2.0%).
Confiança: 6.0 / 9
  • Primary line identified (+1.0)
  • Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)
  • Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)
  • Draw probability above 30% (−0.5)
  • Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)
O/U 2.5: EV Over -11.6% · EV Under 13.68% (5 book pairs)
BTTS: EV Yes -7.77% · EV No -4.98%
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.

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Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 — Standings
# EQUIPE PJ W D L PTS
1 Águilas 32 17 7 8 58
2 Extremadura 1924 32 15 12 5 57
3 Deportiva Minera 32 17 6 9 57
4 Ucam Murcia 32 16 7 9 55
5 Xerez 32 16 7 9 55
6 Recreativo Huelva 32 15 9 8 54
7 Real Jaén 32 15 9 8 54
8 Lorca Deportiva 32 12 8 12 44
9 Linares Deportivo 32 10 14 8 44
10 Yeclano 32 12 6 14 42
11 La Unión Atlético 32 12 6 14 42
12 Antoniano 32 11 7 14 40
13 Estepona 32 11 7 14 40
14 Puente Genil 32 9 10 13 37
15 Xerez Deportivo 32 8 11 13 35
16 Melilla 32 7 12 13 33
17 Almería II 32 4 9 19 21
18 Málaga II 32 5 5 22 20
# EQUIPE PJ GS GC +/- PTS
1 Extremadura 1924 32 48 35 +13 57
2 Ucam Murcia 32 48 38 +10 55
3 Deportiva Minera 32 45 30 +15 57
4 Águilas 32 42 23 +19 58
5 La Unión Atlético 32 41 39 +2 42
6 Real Jaén 32 40 31 +9 54
7 Recreativo Huelva 32 38 21 +17 54
8 Linares Deportivo 32 37 41 -4 44
9 Estepona 32 37 42 -5 40
10 Antoniano 32 35 39 -4 40
11 Xerez Deportivo 32 32 40 -8 35
12 Xerez 32 31 24 +7 55
13 Melilla 32 31 33 -2 33
14 Yeclano 32 30 30 0 42
15 Lorca Deportiva 32 30 33 -3 44
16 Málaga II 32 28 61 -33 20
17 Puente Genil 32 26 35 -9 37
18 Almería II 32 23 47 -24 21