Previsões / Futebol / Portugal. Segunda Liga / Lusitânia Lourosa vs Pacos Ferreira

Lusitânia Lourosa vs Pacos Ferreira Previsão, Odds e Dicas de Apostas com IA

Lusitânia Lourosa Lusitânia Lourosa
Apr 26, 2026 - 15:00
1.40
1.12
42% 30% 28%
Pacos Ferreira Pacos Ferreira
Betting decision (model & EV)
1X2 ✔ Lusitânia Lourosa (Value)
Match: 41.7% Lusitânia Lourosa; implied 38.8%; EV 7.5%
Primary: Lusitânia Lourosa — Value · EV 7.5% · Model 41.7%
Not a dominant outcome (model probability is below 50% on this leg).
Secondary (balanced value): Acima de 2.5 (EV 8.3%) — 46.1% model
Lower EV than primary, but with higher model probability (more “stable” when shown).
How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.
Mais / Menos de 2.5
Acima de 2.5 46.1%
Abaixo de 2.5 53.9%
Escolha da IA: Acima de 2.5
Ambas as Equipes Marcam
Sim 52.4%
Não 47.6%
No value — BTTS is efficiently priced at the best available odds (no side clears the +EV threshold).
Principais Previsões de Placar Exato
1-1 12.6%
1-0 11.3%
0-1 9.0%
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Value opportunity — At least one market shows estimated +EV at current best decimal odds (threshold: 2.0%).
Total expected goals (xG sum) is in a borderline band — outcome variance is high. (ΣxG ≈ 2.52)
Confiança: 5.5 / 9
  • Primary line identified (+1.0)
  • Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)
  • Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)
O/U 2.5: EV Over 8.34% · EV Under -8.37% (10 book pairs)
BTTS: EV Yes 0.08% · EV No -10.04%
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.
OddsGPT Decision Engine v2.0.0(EV + Market Structure + Risk Adjustment) Ver Odds em 1xBet

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Segunda Liga Segunda Liga — Standings
# EQUIPE PJ W D L PTS
1 Maritimo 30 18 6 6 60
2 Academico Viseu 31 16 6 9 54
3 União de Leiria 31 13 10 8 49
4 Torreense 30 15 4 11 49
5 Vizela 30 12 8 10 44
6 Leixoes 31 13 5 13 44
7 FC Porto B 30 12 6 12 42
8 Sporting CP B 30 13 2 15 41
9 Benfica B 30 10 11 9 41
10 Feirense 30 11 8 11 41
11 Felgueiras 1932 31 10 10 11 40
12 Chaves 30 11 6 13 39
13 Lusitânia Lourosa 30 10 9 11 39
14 Farense 31 9 9 13 36
15 Penafiel 30 9 8 13 35
16 Pacos Ferreira 30 8 11 11 35
17 Portimonense 31 9 6 16 33
18 Oliveirense 30 7 9 14 30
# EQUIPE PJ GS GC +/- PTS
1 Academico Viseu 31 56 33 +23 54
2 União de Leiria 31 50 40 +10 49
3 Maritimo 30 44 22 +22 60
4 Sporting CP B 30 41 31 +10 41
5 Benfica B 30 41 38 +3 41
6 Lusitânia Lourosa 30 40 48 -8 39
7 Leixoes 31 40 50 -10 44
8 Torreense 30 37 30 +7 49
9 Vizela 30 37 36 +1 44
10 FC Porto B 30 37 39 -2 42
11 Chaves 30 34 33 +1 39
12 Portimonense 31 34 46 -12 33
13 Feirense 30 32 35 -3 41
14 Penafiel 30 30 34 -4 35
15 Oliveirense 30 30 41 -11 30
16 Pacos Ferreira 30 30 42 -12 35
17 Felgueiras 1932 31 28 35 -7 40
18 Farense 31 27 35 -8 36
# EQUIPE PJ xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Maritimo 30 9.6 5.5 +4.1 60
2 Chaves 30 7.5 4.3 +3.2 39
3 Academico Viseu 31 8.5 6.2 +2.3 54
4 Feirense 30 2.9 1.1 +1.8 41
5 Leixoes 31 7.9 7.1 +0.8 44
6 Portimonense 31 6.2 5.4 +0.8 33
7 Benfica B 30 4.1 3.5 +0.6 41
8 Felgueiras 1932 31 7.2 6.7 +0.5 40
9 União de Leiria 31 8.6 8.2 +0.4 49
10 Sporting CP B 30 3.6 3.2 +0.4 41
11 Farense 31 3.8 4.2 -0.4 36
12 Lusitânia Lourosa 30 7.6 8.5 -0.9 39
13 Vizela 30 3.1 4.4 -1.3 44
14 Oliveirense 30 6.8 8.7 -1.9 30
15 Torreense 30 3.1 5.0 -1.9 49
16 Penafiel 30 4.7 7.3 -2.6 35
17 FC Porto B 30 4.0 6.7 -2.7 42
18 Pacos Ferreira 30 4.0 7.3 -3.3 35
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