Previsões / Futebol / Spain. La Liga / Villarreal vs Celta Vigo

Villarreal vs Celta Vigo Previsão, Odds e Dicas de Apostas com IA

Villarreal Villarreal
Apr 26, 2026 - 19:00
1.34
1.08
41% 31% 28%
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
Betting decision (model & EV)
1X2 ❌ No bet — no value vs. current odds
Match: 41.0% Villarreal; implied 50.2%; EV -18.4%
Primary: Abaixo de 2.5 — Value · EV 22.6% · Model 56.5%
Secondary (balanced value): BTTS Não (EV 11.6%) — 49.6% model
Lower EV than primary, but with higher model probability (more “stable” when shown).
Longshot — High risk value — Celta Vigo (EV 17.1%) ; Model 28.4%
High variance — not for standard staking plan sizing.
Longshot — High risk value — Empate (EV 13.2%) ; Model 30.6%
High variance — not for standard staking plan sizing.
How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.
Mais / Menos de 2.5
Acima de 2.5 43.5%
Abaixo de 2.5 56.5%
Escolha da IA: Abaixo de 2.5
Ambas as Equipes Marcam
Sim 50.4%
Não 49.6%
Escolha da IA: BTTS Não
Principais Previsões de Placar Exato
1-1 12.9%
1-0 11.9%
0-1 9.6%
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Value opportunity — At least one market shows estimated +EV at current best decimal odds (threshold: 2.0%).
Total expected goals (xG sum) is in a borderline band — outcome variance is high. (ΣxG ≈ 2.42)
Confiança: 6.0 / 9
  • Primary line identified (+1.0)
  • Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)
  • Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)
  • Draw probability above 30% (−0.5)
  • Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)
O/U 2.5: EV Over -21.27% · EV Under 22.6% (11 book pairs)
BTTS: EV Yes -15.83% · EV No 11.6%
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.
OddsGPT Decision Engine v2.0.0(EV + Market Structure + Risk Adjustment) Ver Odds em 1xBet

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La Liga La Liga — Standings
# EQUIPE PJ W D L PTS
1 Barcelona 31 26 1 4 79
2 Real Madrid 31 22 4 5 70
3 Villarreal 31 19 4 8 61
4 Atletico Madrid 31 17 6 8 57
5 Real Betis 31 11 13 7 46
6 Celta Vigo 31 11 11 9 44
7 Real Sociedad 31 11 9 11 42
8 Getafe 31 12 5 14 41
9 Osasuna 31 10 9 12 39
10 Espanyol 31 10 8 13 38
11 Athletic Club 31 11 5 15 38
12 Girona 31 9 11 11 38
13 Rayo Vallecano 31 8 11 12 35
14 Valencia 31 9 8 14 35
15 Mallorca 31 9 7 15 34
16 Sevilla 31 9 7 15 34
17 Alaves 31 8 9 14 33
18 Elche 31 7 11 13 32
19 Levante 31 7 8 16 29
20 Oviedo 31 6 9 16 27
# EQUIPE PJ GS GC +/- PTS
1 Barcelona 31 84 30 +54 79
2 Real Madrid 31 65 29 +36 70
3 Villarreal 31 56 36 +20 61
4 Atletico Madrid 31 51 32 +19 57
5 Real Sociedad 31 49 48 +1 42
6 Real Betis 31 45 38 +7 46
7 Celta Vigo 31 44 40 +4 44
8 Elche 31 39 47 -8 32
9 Mallorca 31 39 48 -9 34
10 Sevilla 31 39 51 -12 34
11 Osasuna 31 37 38 -1 39
12 Espanyol 31 37 48 -11 38
13 Alaves 31 35 46 -11 33
14 Levante 31 35 50 -15 29
15 Valencia 31 34 46 -12 35
16 Athletic Club 31 33 45 -12 38
17 Girona 31 33 45 -12 38
18 Rayo Vallecano 31 29 38 -9 35
19 Getafe 31 27 32 -5 41
20 Oviedo 31 24 48 -24 27
# EQUIPE PJ xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Barcelona 31 79.4 40.2 +39.2 79
2 Real Madrid 31 67.8 35.4 +32.4 70
3 Villarreal 31 48.3 36.8 +11.5 61
4 Real Betis 31 47.0 37.8 +9.2 46
5 Athletic Club 31 42.5 34.0 +8.5 38
6 Atletico Madrid 31 47.0 39.6 +7.4 57
7 Valencia 31 41.9 37.9 +4.0 35
8 Celta Vigo 31 42.8 39.1 +3.7 44
9 Rayo Vallecano 31 41.7 40.2 +1.5 35
10 Real Sociedad 31 41.3 42.8 -1.5 42
11 Osasuna 31 38.1 41.7 -3.6 39
12 Espanyol 31 42.1 45.8 -3.7 38
13 Alaves 31 38.7 42.5 -3.8 33
14 Levante 31 40.5 51.7 -11.2 29
15 Getafe 31 24.8 36.5 -11.7 41
16 Girona 31 36.5 49.3 -12.8 38
17 Sevilla 31 32.5 48.4 -15.9 34
18 Mallorca 31 36.6 53.8 -17.2 34
19 Elche 31 36.2 53.8 -17.6 32
20 Oviedo 31 29.9 48.3 -18.4 27
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