Previsões / Futebol / France. Ligue 2 / Guingamp vs Bastia

Guingamp vs Bastia Previsão, Odds e Dicas de Apostas com IA

Guingamp Guingamp
May 02, 2026 - 18:00
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10% 45% 45%
Bastia Bastia
Betting decision (model & EV)
1X2 ✔ draw (Value)
Match: 45.0% draw; implied 30.0%; EV 49.9%
Primary: Empate — Value · EV 49.9% · Model 45.0%
Not a dominant outcome (model probability is below 50% on this leg).
Secondary (balanced value): Bastia (EV 46.2%) — 45.0% model
Secondary (balanced value): BTTS Não (EV 31.1%) — 65.2% model
Lower EV than primary, but with higher model probability (more “stable” when shown).
How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.
Mais / Menos de 2.5
Acima de 2.5 41.7%
Abaixo de 2.5 58.3%
Escolha da IA: Abaixo de 2.5
Ambas as Equipes Marcam
Sim 34.8%
Não 65.2%
Escolha da IA: BTTS Não
Principais Previsões de Placar Exato
1-1 13.1%
1-0 11.9%
0-1 10.5%
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Value opportunity — At least one market shows estimated +EV at current best decimal odds (threshold: 2.0%).
Confiança: 6.0 / 9
  • Primary line identified (+1.0)
  • Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)
  • Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)
  • Draw probability above 30% (−0.5)
  • Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)
O/U 2.5: EV Over -13.68% · EV Under 6.69% (6 book pairs)
BTTS: EV Yes -37.36% · EV No 31.05%
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.
OddsGPT Decision Engine v2.0.0(EV + Market Structure + Risk Adjustment) Ver Odds em 1xBet

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Ligue 2 Ligue 2 — Standings
# EQUIPE PJ W D L PTS
1 Estac Troyes 31 18 7 6 61
2 Saint Etienne 31 17 6 8 57
3 Le Mans 31 15 12 4 57
4 RED Star FC 93 32 15 9 8 54
5 Rodez 32 13 13 6 52
6 Reims 31 13 12 6 51
7 Montpellier 32 14 8 10 50
8 Annecy 32 14 7 11 49
9 PAU 32 12 9 11 45
10 Dunkerque 31 10 10 11 40
11 Guingamp 32 10 10 12 40
12 Boulogne 31 9 9 13 36
13 Grenoble 31 6 14 11 32
14 Clermont Foot 32 7 10 15 31
15 Nancy 31 7 9 15 30
16 Laval 32 5 14 13 29
17 Bastia 32 4 13 15 25
18 Amiens 32 6 6 20 24
# EQUIPE PJ GS GC +/- PTS
1 Estac Troyes 31 53 32 +21 61
2 Saint Etienne 31 53 33 +20 57
3 Le Mans 31 46 29 +17 57
4 Reims 31 46 30 +16 51
5 Annecy 32 46 36 +10 49
6 Dunkerque 31 45 39 +6 40
7 PAU 32 44 54 -10 45
8 Guingamp 32 42 47 -5 40
9 RED Star FC 93 32 41 35 +6 54
10 Rodez 32 41 37 +4 52
11 Montpellier 32 39 28 +11 50
12 Amiens 32 36 57 -21 24
13 Clermont Foot 32 35 43 -8 31
14 Grenoble 31 30 38 -8 32
15 Boulogne 31 30 39 -9 36
16 Laval 32 28 43 -15 29
17 Nancy 31 28 48 -20 30
18 Bastia 32 22 37 -15 25
# EQUIPE PJ xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Estac Troyes 31 24.9 17.8 +7.1 61
2 PAU 32 24.1 17.0 +7.1 45
3 Reims 31 21.9 15.1 +6.8 51
4 Saint Etienne 31 22.9 18.3 +4.6 57
5 Le Mans 31 20.8 17.6 +3.2 57
6 Dunkerque 31 20.2 17.3 +2.9 40
7 Guingamp 32 21.2 19.1 +2.1 40
8 Boulogne 31 20.0 17.9 +2.1 36
9 Annecy 32 17.4 15.3 +2.1 49
10 RED Star FC 93 32 18.4 16.8 +1.6 54
11 Montpellier 32 21.5 20.0 +1.5 50
12 Nancy 31 19.7 20.1 -0.4 30
13 Bastia 32 16.6 18.1 -1.5 25
14 Grenoble 31 18.9 23.3 -4.4 32
15 Laval 32 14.8 19.7 -4.9 29
16 Rodez 32 20.2 27.6 -7.4 52
17 Clermont Foot 32 16.0 26.0 -10.0 31
18 Amiens 32 14.8 27.2 -12.4 24
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