Previsões / Futebol / Germany. Bundesliga / SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg

SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg Previsão, Odds e Dicas de Apostas com IA

May 02, 2026 - 13:30
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45% 45% 10%
Betting decision (model & EV)
1X2 ✔ SC Freiburg (Value)
Match: 45.0% SC Freiburg; implied 42.4%; EV 6.2%
Primary: Empate — Value · EV 72.8% · Model 45.0%
Not a dominant outcome (model probability is below 50% on this leg).
Secondary (balanced value): Acima de 2.5 (EV 7.7%) — 63.0% model
Secondary (balanced value): SC Freiburg (EV 6.2%) — 45.0% model
Lower EV than primary, but with higher model probability (more “stable” when shown).
How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.
Mais / Menos de 2.5
Acima de 2.5 63.0%
Abaixo de 2.5 37.0%
Escolha da IA: Acima de 2.5
Ambas as Equipes Marcam
Sim 56.8%
Não 43.2%
Escolha da IA: BTTS Não
Principais Previsões de Placar Exato
1-1 10.1%
2-1 9.1%
1-2 7.3%
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Value opportunity — At least one market shows estimated +EV at current best decimal odds (threshold: 2.0%).
Confiança: 6.0 / 9
  • Primary line identified (+1.0)
  • Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)
  • Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)
  • Draw probability above 30% (−0.5)
  • Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)
O/U 2.5: EV Over 7.73% · EV Under -13.42% (10 book pairs)
BTTS: EV Yes -10.82% · EV No 4.54%
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.

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Bundesliga Bundesliga — Standings
# EQUIPE PJ W D L PTS
1 Bayern München 31 26 4 1 82
2 Borussia Dortmund 30 19 7 4 64
3 RB Leipzig 31 19 5 7 62
4 1899 Hoffenheim 31 17 6 8 57
5 VfB Stuttgart 30 17 5 8 56
6 Bayer Leverkusen 31 16 7 8 55
7 Eintracht Frankfurt 31 11 10 10 43
8 SC Freiburg 30 12 7 11 43
9 FC Augsburg 31 10 7 14 37
10 FSV Mainz 05 31 8 10 13 34
11 Borussia Mönchengladbach 31 7 11 13 32
12 Union Berlin 31 8 8 15 32
13 1. FC Köln 31 7 10 14 31
14 Hamburger SV 31 7 10 14 31
15 Werder Bremen 30 8 7 15 31
16 FC St. Pauli 31 6 8 17 26
17 VfL Wolfsburg 31 6 7 18 25
18 1. FC Heidenheim 31 5 7 19 22
# EQUIPE PJ GS GC +/- PTS
1 Bayern München 31 113 32 +81 82
2 RB Leipzig 31 62 38 +24 62
3 VfB Stuttgart 30 62 42 +20 56
4 Bayer Leverkusen 31 62 42 +20 55
5 Borussia Dortmund 30 61 31 +30 64
6 1899 Hoffenheim 31 61 45 +16 57
7 Eintracht Frankfurt 31 56 58 -2 43
8 1. FC Köln 31 45 53 -8 31
9 SC Freiburg 30 44 48 -4 43
10 VfL Wolfsburg 31 41 66 -25 25
11 FSV Mainz 05 31 39 49 -10 34
12 FC Augsburg 31 39 55 -16 37
13 Borussia Mönchengladbach 31 36 50 -14 32
14 Werder Bremen 30 35 53 -18 31
15 Union Berlin 31 35 55 -20 32
16 1. FC Heidenheim 31 35 66 -31 22
17 Hamburger SV 31 34 50 -16 31
18 FC St. Pauli 31 26 53 -27 26
# EQUIPE PJ xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Bayern München 31 88.4 29.4 +59.0 82
2 Borussia Dortmund 30 54.7 34.5 +20.2 64
3 Bayer Leverkusen 31 54.6 36.4 +18.2 55
4 RB Leipzig 31 58.2 43.3 +14.9 62
5 VfB Stuttgart 30 52.6 43.6 +9.0 56
6 SC Freiburg 30 45.0 40.4 +4.6 43
7 1899 Hoffenheim 31 48.4 45.8 +2.6 57
8 FSV Mainz 05 31 43.2 46.4 -3.2 34
9 1. FC Köln 31 44.4 48.2 -3.8 31
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 31 39.9 44.4 -4.5 43
11 Union Berlin 31 37.5 44.0 -6.5 32
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 31 37.5 46.5 -9.0 32
13 Werder Bremen 30 36.9 45.9 -9.0 31
14 1. FC Heidenheim 31 39.9 55.4 -15.5 22
15 FC Augsburg 31 37.9 56.0 -18.1 37
16 Hamburger SV 31 32.5 51.1 -18.6 31
17 VfL Wolfsburg 31 38.3 57.2 -18.9 25
18 FC St. Pauli 31 26.2 47.6 -21.4 26