Previsões / Futebol / England. Premier League / Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest

Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest Previsão, Odds e Dicas de Apostas com IA

May 02, 2026 - 14:00
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10% 45% 45%
Betting decision (model & EV)
1X2 ✔ draw (Value)
Match: 45.0% draw; implied 25.0%; EV 80.0%
Primary: Nottingham Forest — Value · EV 112.4% · Model 45.0%
Not a dominant outcome (model probability is below 50% on this leg).
Secondary (balanced value): Empate (EV 80.0%) — 45.0% model
Secondary (balanced value): BTTS Não (EV 21.5%) — 53.3% model
Lower EV than primary, but with higher model probability (more “stable” when shown).
How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.
Mais / Menos de 2.5
Acima de 2.5 50.6%
Abaixo de 2.5 49.4%
Escolha da IA: Abaixo de 2.5
Ambas as Equipes Marcam
Sim 46.7%
Não 53.3%
Escolha da IA: BTTS Não
Principais Previsões de Placar Exato
1-1 12.2%
1-0 9.7%
2-1 8.8%
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Value opportunity — At least one market shows estimated +EV at current best decimal odds (threshold: 2.0%).
Confiança: 6.0 / 9
  • Primary line identified (+1.0)
  • Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)
  • Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)
  • Draw probability above 30% (−0.5)
  • Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)
O/U 2.5: EV Over -10.94% · EV Under 13.62% (10 book pairs)
BTTS: EV Yes -22.95% · EV No 21.52%
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.

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Premier League Premier League — Standings
# EQUIPE PJ W D L PTS
1 Arsenal 34 22 7 5 73
2 Manchester City 33 21 7 5 70
3 Manchester United 33 16 10 7 58
4 Liverpool 34 17 7 10 58
5 Aston Villa 34 17 7 10 58
6 Brighton 34 13 11 10 50
7 Bournemouth 34 11 16 7 49
8 Chelsea 34 13 9 12 48
9 Brentford 33 13 9 11 48
10 Fulham 34 14 6 14 48
11 Everton 34 13 8 13 47
12 Sunderland 34 12 10 12 46
13 Crystal Palace 33 11 10 12 43
14 Newcastle 34 12 6 16 42
15 Leeds 34 9 13 12 40
16 Nottingham Forest 34 10 9 15 39
17 West Ham 34 9 9 16 36
18 Tottenham 34 8 10 16 34
19 Burnley 34 4 8 22 20
20 Wolves 34 3 8 23 17
# EQUIPE PJ GS GC +/- PTS
1 Manchester City 33 66 29 +37 70
2 Arsenal 34 64 26 +38 73
3 Manchester United 33 58 45 +13 58
4 Liverpool 34 57 44 +13 58
5 Chelsea 34 53 45 +8 48
6 Bournemouth 34 52 52 0 49
7 Brighton 34 48 39 +9 50
8 Brentford 33 48 44 +4 48
9 Aston Villa 34 47 42 +5 58
10 Newcastle 34 46 50 -4 42
11 Fulham 34 44 46 -2 48
12 Leeds 34 44 51 -7 40
13 Tottenham 34 43 53 -10 34
14 West Ham 34 42 58 -16 36
15 Everton 34 41 41 0 47
16 Nottingham Forest 34 41 45 -4 39
17 Crystal Palace 33 36 39 -3 43
18 Sunderland 34 36 45 -9 46
19 Burnley 34 34 68 -34 20
20 Wolves 34 24 62 -38 17
# EQUIPE PJ xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Arsenal 34 56.1 24.9 +31.2 73
2 Manchester City 33 58.1 35.4 +22.7 70
3 Chelsea 34 59.2 43.5 +15.7 48
4 Liverpool 34 53.3 38.8 +14.5 58
5 Manchester United 33 54.5 42.6 +11.9 58
6 Brentford 33 52.6 44.6 +8.0 48
7 Crystal Palace 33 49.1 41.1 +8.0 43
8 Brighton 34 48.4 43.2 +5.2 50
9 Bournemouth 34 54.8 50.3 +4.5 49
10 Newcastle 34 49.5 45.4 +4.1 42
11 Leeds 34 48.4 46.2 +2.2 40
12 Fulham 34 41.9 46.0 -4.1 48
13 Aston Villa 34 41.6 47.6 -6.0 58
14 Nottingham Forest 34 38.3 46.9 -8.6 39
15 Everton 34 38.9 48.9 -10.0 47
16 West Ham 34 38.4 48.8 -10.4 36
17 Sunderland 34 33.9 47.9 -14.0 46
18 Tottenham 34 34.7 49.1 -14.4 34
19 Wolves 34 29.2 52.2 -23.0 17
20 Burnley 34 28.1 65.4 -37.3 20