Audit Ramalan: Unirea Slobozia vs AFC Hermannstadt Ramalan, Odds & Tip Pertaruhan AI

Unirea Slobozia

May 04, 2026 - 14:30

2 1.42

2 1.15

xG Accuracy: 68%

AFC Hermannstadt

The model missed the final outcome (Draw 2–2).

The model had projected Unirea Slobozia at 41.6%, but the full-time result went the other way.

Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa

Gred ramalan C

Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.

Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 matlamat) ✔ Betul
Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Ya Ya ✔ Betul
1X2 Unirea Slobozia Lukis ✖ tak betul
Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 2-2 ✖ tak betul

Post Match Insights

What worked

Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.57) — 4 goals materialised
Both Teams To Score (Yes) matched the full-time result
Over 2.5 goals aligned with the xG profile

What failed

1X2: model leaned Unirea Slobozia; match finished Draw
Exact score: outside the model's top score bins

Market lesson

The full-time result was Draw 2–2, which did not match the model's pre-match lean on 1X2.

Laman pertaruhan premium stake: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo FHn2uDc1. Daftar sekarang

Garis Masa Ramalan

Cara ramalan ini beralih daripada ramalan kepada semakan sepenuh masa.

May 04, 2026 · 14:29 UTC Forecast generated
- xG · Unirea Slobozia 1.42 — AFC Hermannstadt 1.15
May 04, 2026 · 14:30 UTC Kickoff
FT Full-time result Draw · 2–2
FT Prediction missed 1X2 lean did not match full-time result
Archived Prediction review

Gambar Sejarah

Dibekukan pada sepak mula — keluaran model seperti sebelum perlawanan bermula.

Keputusan sejarah: Observe

Keputusan Sejarah No Primary Bet

Hasil Missed

Metrik pra-padanan (konteks sejarah)

Kebolehpercayaan Ramalan 57/100 · Moderate

Validation: Pending

Bukti ★★★★★

No strong statistical edge
Market has already priced much of the edge
Validation pending

Market Compatibility 100/100

Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 26, 2026 · 08:23 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1842184

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Unirea Slobozia 2–2 AFC Hermannstadt

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Semakan Soalan Lazim

Sejauh manakah ramalan itu tepat?: Halaman ini menilai pasaran berarah (1X2, Lebih/Bawah 2.5, BTTS) berbanding keputusan sepenuh masa. Gred ramalan menggambarkan bilangan pasaran yang dijejaki itu sepadan dengan realiti.
Apakah ukuran Ketepatan xG?: Ketepatan xG membandingkan profil matlamat jangkaan pra-perlawanan model dengan garis skor sebenar — bukan sama ada setiap pasaran mencecah. Semakan arah yang kukuh boleh wujud bersama dengan skor ketepatan xG yang sederhana.
Mengapakah skor tepat tidak diramalkan?: Hasil skor betul ialah ekor berkemungkinan rendah walaupun model membaca profil padanan dengan baik. Kami menyerlahkan tong skor tertinggi untuk konteks; kehilangan baris tepat tidak membatalkan semakan arah.
Adakah ini meningkatkan rekod AI?: Setiap perlawanan selesai dilog masuk dalam saluran paip pengesahan kami. Kadar hit teragregat dan kajian CLV diterbitkan secara berasingan — halaman ini ialah jejak audit setiap perlawanan.

Ramalan adalah untuk tujuan maklumat sahaja. Sentiasa berjudi dengan penuh tanggungjawab dan dalam had anda. Prestasi masa lalu tidak menjamin hasil masa depan.

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

View technical JSON

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  "decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.15,
      "away_win_prob": 0.289,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.2953,
      "fair_odds_away": 3.46,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.39,
      "fair_odds_home": 2.41,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.42,
      "home_win_prob": 0.4157,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : draw or AFC Hermannstadt",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "AFC Hermannstadt"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.15,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Unirea Slobozia",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.1152,
        "edge_gap": 0.1201,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.3002,
        "model_prob": 0.4154,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 28.9,
          "draw": 29.5,
          "home": 41.5
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 3.14
        }
      ],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 3.14,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "Unirea Slobozia Win",
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Home",
        "market_fair_odds": 3.33,
        "market_odds": 3.14,
        "model_odds": 2.41,
        "overround": 6.1,
        "prob_edge": 9.6,
        "value_pct": 30.3,
        "value_rating": "strong_value"
      }
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 5,
        "away_failed_to_score": 13,
        "away_played": 36,
        "away_score_rate": 68.3,
        "home_clean_sheet": 6,
        "home_failed_to_score": 14,
        "home_played": 36,
        "home_score_rate": 75.8,
        "no_prob": 46.6,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 53.4,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "yes_prob": 53.4
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.15,
        "home_expected": 1.42,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 12.5
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 10.9
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 8.9
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 8.8
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-0",
            "prob": 7.7
          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Unirea Slobozia or Draw",
            "prob": 71.1
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Unirea Slobozia or AFC Hermannstadt",
            "prob": 70.5
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or AFC Hermannstadt",
            "prob": 58.4
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Unirea Slobozia or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 71.1
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 28.9,
        "draw_pct": 29.5,
        "home_pct": 41.6,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Unirea Slobozia"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.57,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.0,
        "confidence": "low",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.0,
        "over_prob": 47.4,
        "pick": "Over 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 52.6,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.57,
        "under_prob": 52.6
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "edge": 30.6,
        "implied_prob": 31.8,
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Home",
        "market": "Unirea Slobozia Win",
        "model_prob": 41.6,
        "odds": 3.14
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 12.5
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.42,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": 0.057,
        "ev_under": -0.1058,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.057,
        "over_prob": 47.4,
        "sort_key": 10201.3,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 52.6,
        "value_side": "over"
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0323,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.3002,
        "max_ev": 0.0323,
        "model_prob": 0.4154,
        "side_label": "Unirea Slobozia",
        "sort_key": 10029.07,
        "tier": "best"
      },
      {
        "decision": "small_edge",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": -0.1379,
        "ev_yes": 0.0039,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.0039,
        "no_prob": 46.6,
        "sort_key": 5203.12,
        "tier": "lean",
        "value_side": "yes",
        "yes_prob": 53.4
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 817.5,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 12.5
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 2579,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/2579.webp",
      "away_team_name": "AFC Hermannstadt",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/ro.svg",
      "country_name": "Romania",
      "fixture_id": 1531536,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 6916,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/6916.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Unirea Slobozia",
      "league_country": "Romania",
      "league_id": 283,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/283.webp",
      "league_name": "Liga I Romania",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-04 14:30:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
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          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
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          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
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            "best_odd": 2.32,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0434,
            "ev": -0.1582,
            "implied_prob": 0.4062,
            "model_prob": 0.2893,
            "p_final": 0.3629
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2992,
            "best_odd": 3.21,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0005,
            "ev": -0.0559,
            "implied_prob": 0.2936,
            "model_prob": 0.2953,
            "p_final": 0.2941
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.2481,
            "best_odd": 3.14,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0286,
            "ev": 0.0323,
            "implied_prob": 0.3002,
            "model_prob": 0.4154,
            "p_final": 0.3287
          }
        },
        "btts": {
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          "best_yes_odd": 1.88,
          "edge_no": -0.0374,
          "edge_yes": 0.0374,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": -0.1379,
          "ev_yes": 0.0039,
          "implied_no": 0.5034,
          "implied_yes": 0.4966,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
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          "best_under_odd": 1.7,
          "edge_over": 0.0443,
          "edge_under": -0.0443,
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          "ev_over": 0.057,
          "ev_under": -0.1058,
          "implied_over": 0.4297,
          "implied_under": 0.5703,
          "n_bookmakers": 11,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.57,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.0.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.057,
      "confidence": 5.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 5.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "balanced",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.534,
          "draw_prob": 0.2953,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4154,
          "over_prob": 0.474,
          "total_xg": 2.57,
          "under_prob": 0.526,
          "xg_diff": 0.27
        },
        "type": "balanced",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0286,
          "ev": 0.0323,
          "implied_prob": 0.3002,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.4154,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Unirea Slobozia"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "small_edge",
          "edge": 0.0374,
          "ev": 0.0039,
          "implied_prob": 0.4966,
          "model_prob": 0.534,
          "side": "yes",
          "value_side": "yes"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0443,
          "ev": 0.057,
          "implied_prob": 0.4297,
          "model_prob": 0.474,
          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1531536,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "optional",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.057,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.2893,
        "draw": 0.2953,
        "home": 0.4154
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "model_summary"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "AFC Hermannstadt",
        "home": "Unirea Slobozia"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.018913,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.057,
        "implied_prob": 0.4297,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.474,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "over",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1531536,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-04T14:29:04.030417+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

Ramalan Berkaitan

Lihat Perlawanan Akan Datang Liga I Romania Perlawanan Jejak Unirea Slobozia Ramalan Perlawanan Seterusnya Jejak AFC Hermannstadt Ramalan Perlawanan Seterusnya Lihat Ramalan Bola Sepak Hari Ini

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Liga I Romania — Kedudukan

#	PASUKAN	P	M	S	K	Mata
1	Universitatea Craiova	10	6	2	2	50
2	Universitatea Cluj	10	6	1	3	46
3	CFR 1907 Cluj	10	4	4	2	43
4	Dinamo Bucuresti	10	3	4	3	39
5	Rapid	10	1	3	6	34
6	Arges Pitesti	10	1	4	5	32
7	FCSB	30	13	7	10	46
8	UTA Arad	30	11	10	9	43
9	FC Botoșani	30	11	9	10	42
10	Oţelul	30	11	8	11	41
11	Farul Constanța	30	10	7	13	37
12	Petrolul Ploieşti	30	7	11	12	32
13	Csikszereda	30	8	8	14	32
14	Unirea Slobozia	30	7	4	19	25
15	AFC Hermannstadt	30	5	8	17	23
16	Metaloglobus	30	2	6	22	12

#	PASUKAN	P	J	B	+/-	Mata
1	FCSB	30	48	40	+8	46
2	Oţelul	30	39	32	+7	41
3	Farul Constanța	30	39	37	+2	37
4	UTA Arad	30	39	44	-5	43
5	FC Botoșani	30	37	29	+8	42
6	Csikszereda	30	30	58	-28	32
7	AFC Hermannstadt	30	29	50	-21	23
8	Unirea Slobozia	30	27	46	-19	25
9	Metaloglobus	30	25	66	-41	12
10	Petrolul Ploieşti	30	24	31	-7	32
11	Universitatea Cluj	10	13	11	+2	46
12	Dinamo Bucuresti	10	13	12	+1	39
13	Universitatea Craiova	10	12	6	+6	50
14	CFR 1907 Cluj	10	8	7	+1	43
15	Rapid	10	8	14	-6	34
16	Arges Pitesti	10	6	10	-4	32

#	PASUKAN	P	xG	xGC	+/-	Mata
1	FCSB	30	50.6	28.2	+22.4	46
2	Dinamo Bucuresti	10	43.7	24.3	+19.4	39
3	Universitatea Craiova	10	37.5	24.4	+13.1	50
4	Oţelul	30	41.3	33.1	+8.2	41
5	Farul Constanța	30	37.8	33.2	+4.6	37
6	CFR 1907 Cluj	10	34.8	32.4	+2.4	43
7	Rapid	10	35.3	33.2	+2.1	34
8	FC Botoșani	30	33.9	32.2	+1.7	42
9	Universitatea Cluj	10	32.0	30.8	+1.2	46
10	Arges Pitesti	10	26.0	25.8	+0.2	32
11	AFC Hermannstadt	30	29.8	31.9	-2.1	23
12	Petrolul Ploieşti	30	28.9	34.5	-5.6	32
13	UTA Arad	30	33.5	42.0	-8.5	43
14	Unirea Slobozia	30	26.9	39.8	-12.9	25
15	Metaloglobus	30	23.1	42.4	-19.3	12
16	Csikszereda	30	22.9	49.8	-26.9	32