Coastal Union · Model 41.8%
tersirat 9.8%
EV: 19.5%
EV terbaik (1X2) 19.5%
Pilihan utama (+EV tertinggi)
Kurang 2.5
— Nilai
Mengapa
Model menilai Coastal Union (1X2) kira-kira 32.0 mata peratus melebihi implied penutupan — bacaan struktur utama vs garisan.
Ya 44.2% · Tidak 55.8%
EV Ya 14.92% · EV No -15.18%
Condong nilai: BTTS Ya
Paling berkemungkinan
0-1
Kebarangkalian 16.3%
Skor tepat berisiko tinggi — pertaruhan kecil untuk hiburan sahaja.
Keputusan pertaruhan (model lwn. EV pasaran)
Nilai peluang — Sekurang-kurangnya satu pasaran menunjukkan anggaran +EV pada kemungkinan perpuluhan terbaik semasa (ambang: 2.0%).
Kekuatan keputusan: 6.5 / 10
- Barisan utama dikenal pasti (+1.0)
- EV utama melebihi 10% (+1.0)
- Kebarangkalian maksimum 1X2 di bawah 50% (tiada 1X2 dominan) (−1.0)
- Dua atau lebih baris +EV yang sah pada ambang (+0.5)
O/U 2.5:
EV Selesai -21.8% ·
EV Di Bawah 19.97%
(10 pasangan buku)
BTTS: EV Ya 14.92% · EV No -15.18%
BTTS: EV Ya 14.92% · EV No -15.18%
Enjin Keputusan OddsGPT v2.1.0(EV + Struktur Pasaran + Pelarasan Risiko)
Semak Odds di 1xBet
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
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"away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
"away_win_prob": null,
"btts_no_prob": 0.438,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.562,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"over_25_prob": 0.506,
"prediction_confidence": "none",
"under_25_prob": 0.494
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or Simba",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "50%",
"percent_draw": "50%",
"percent_home": "0%",
"winner_name": "Simba"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
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"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.3201,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.0976,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
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"draw": 25.7,
"home": 41.8
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
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"away_failed_to_score": 5,
"away_played": 23,
"away_score_rate": 78.3,
"home_clean_sheet": 5,
"home_failed_to_score": 10,
"home_played": 23,
"home_score_rate": 56.5,
"no_prob": 55.8,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 55.8,
"source": "stats",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 44.2
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"correct_score": {
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"home_expected": 0.7,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
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{
"away": 2,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-2",
"prob": 12.7
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{
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{
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"home": 0,
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{
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"prob": 8.9
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"source": "avg"
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"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Coastal Union or Draw",
"prob": 50.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Coastal Union or Simba",
"prob": 50.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Simba",
"prob": 100.0
}
],
"pick_key": "X2",
"pick_label": "Draw or Simba",
"pick_prob": 100.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 50.0,
"draw_pct": 50.0,
"home_pct": 0.0,
"lean_key": "draw",
"lean_label": "Draw"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.25,
"away_avg_scored": 1.8,
"confidence": "medium",
"home_avg_scored": 1.0,
"over_prob": 39.1,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 60.9,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.25,
"under_prob": 60.9
},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Simba",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Coastal Union",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 9.76,
"gap_pp": 32.01,
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"model_pct": 41.77
},
{
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{
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{
"closing_implied_pct": 50.4,
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"movement": [
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"closing": 9.13,
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"implied_early_pct": 9.76,
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"closing": 1.26,
"early": 1.26,
"implied_closing_pct": 70.71,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 70.71,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.84,
"early": 1.84,
"implied_closing_pct": 50.4,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 50.4,
"kind": "ou_o"
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{
"closing": 1.87,
"early": 1.87,
"implied_closing_pct": 49.6,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 49.6,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 32.0,
"kind": "1x2_h"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 16.3
}
},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.218,
"ev_under": 0.1997,
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.1997,
"over_prob": 39.1,
"sort_key": 10329.73,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 60.9,
"value_side": "under"
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{
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"id": "1x2",
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"tier": "best"
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{
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"ev_no": -0.1518,
"ev_yes": 0.1492,
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"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.1492,
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"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "0-1",
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],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 6432,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/6432.webp",
"away_team_name": "Simba",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/tz.svg",
"country_name": "Tanzania",
"fixture_id": 1457785,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 12189,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/12189.webp",
"home_team_name": "Coastal Union",
"league_country": "Tanzania",
"league_id": 567,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/567.webp",
"league_name": "Ligi kuu Bara",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-21 15:30:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
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"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.3,
"best_odd": 1.26,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.1144,
"ev": -0.2533,
"implied_prob": 0.7071,
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"p_final": 0.5926
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.1816,
"best_odd": 4.56,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0111,
"ev": -0.0583,
"implied_prob": 0.1954,
"model_prob": 0.2567,
"p_final": 0.2065
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.104,
"best_odd": 9.13,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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"edge": 0.0333,
"ev": 0.1947,
"implied_prob": 0.0976,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"p_final": 0.1309
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},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.52,
"best_yes_odd": 2.6,
"edge_no": -0.062,
"edge_yes": 0.062,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.1518,
"ev_yes": 0.1492,
"implied_no": 0.62,
"implied_yes": 0.38,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 2.0,
"best_under_odd": 1.97,
"edge_over": -0.1148,
"edge_under": 0.1148,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.218,
"ev_under": 0.1997,
"implied_over": 0.5058,
"implied_under": 0.4942,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.1997,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.442,
"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.391,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.609,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0333,
"ev": 0.1947,
"implied_prob": 0.0976,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Coastal Union"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.062,
"ev": 0.1492,
"implied_prob": 0.38,
"model_prob": 0.442,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1148,
"ev": 0.1997,
"implied_prob": 0.4942,
"model_prob": 0.609,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1457785,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.1997,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3257,
"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1947,
"implied_prob": 0.0976,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Coastal Union",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1947,
"implied_prob": 0.0976,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Coastal Union",
"slot": "secondary"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1492,
"implied_prob": 0.38,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.442,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Simba",
"home": "Coastal Union"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.121617,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1997,
"implied_prob": 0.4942,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.609,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 3
}
},
"fixture_id": 1457785,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-21T18:16:50.502519+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
- Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
- Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
- Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.
Terokai Kandungan Ramalan Lain
Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Coastal Union & Simba!
Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.
Langgan Sekarang
Ligi kuu Bara — Kedudukan
| # | PASUKAN | MP | M | S | K | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 23 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 54 |
| 2 | Simba | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 52 |
| 3 | Azam | 23 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 46 |
| 4 | Singida Black Stars | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 38 |
| 5 | Tabora United | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 37 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 36 |
| 7 | Pamba Jiji | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 33 |
| 8 | Dodoma Jiji | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 33 |
| 9 | Mashujaa | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 27 |
| 10 | Mtibwa Sugar | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26 |
| 11 | Coastal Union | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 |
| 12 | Fountain Gate | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 25 |
| 13 | Namungo | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 24 |
| 14 | Mbeya City | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 |
| 15 | Tanzania Prisons | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 |
| 16 | KMC | 24 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 9 |
| # | PASUKAN | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 23 | 52 | 8 | +44 | 54 |
| 2 | Simba | 23 | 42 | 9 | +33 | 52 |
| 3 | Azam | 23 | 33 | 9 | +24 | 46 |
| 4 | Tabora United | 24 | 30 | 22 | +8 | 37 |
| 5 | Singida Black Stars | 23 | 30 | 23 | +7 | 38 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 23 | 23 | 22 | +1 | 36 |
| 7 | Pamba Jiji | 24 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 33 |
| 8 | Dodoma Jiji | 24 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 33 |
| 9 | Coastal Union | 23 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 25 |
| 10 | Mtibwa Sugar | 24 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 26 |
| 11 | Mbeya City | 23 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 21 |
| 12 | Namungo | 23 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 24 |
| 13 | Fountain Gate | 23 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 25 |
| 14 | KMC | 24 | 13 | 40 | -27 | 9 |
| 15 | Mashujaa | 24 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 27 |
| 16 | Tanzania Prisons | 23 | 12 | 32 | -20 | 17 |
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