Estadistika / Football / England. League Two / Port Vale vs Grimsby Town

Port Vale vs Grimsby Town Statistics & Analysis

Port Vale Port Vale
Oct 10, 2026 - 14:00
1 1.55
0 1.45
xG Accuracy: 58%
Grimsby Town Grimsby Town
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Mga sinusubaybayang market kumpara sa full-time na resulta

Inihahambing ng bawat hilera ang modelong pre-match na lean sa full-time na resulta.

  • palengke Hula Resulta kinalabasan
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 mga layunin) ✖ mali
  • Parehong Koponan ang Mag-iskor BTTS Oo Hindi ✖ mali
  • 1X2 Port Vale Port Vale ✔ Tama
  • Mga insight sa correct score 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-1 1-0 ✔ Tama

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 02:53 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13226051

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Port Vale win · Port Vale 1–0 Grimsby Town
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI briefing ng laban

Buod ng laban ng AI

Pre-match snapshot para sa fixture na ito.

  • Liga: League Two
  • Kabit: Port Vale vs Grimsby Town
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (modelo): Bahay 37.0% · Gumuhit 27.7% · Malayo 35.3%
  • xG (ipinapakita): Port Vale 1.55 — Grimsby Town 1.45 (kabuuang xG ≈ 3.0)
  • Pinakamahusay na linya ng +EV (kaparehong label ng hero card kapag hindi naabot ang mga Pangunahing threshold): Over 2.5 goals
  • Modelo: 57.7% · Ipinahiwatig: 48.1% · Probability edge: +9.6 pts · Est. EV: +17.7%
  • BTTS (modelo): Oo N/A · Hindi N/A
  • Tamang marka (top bin): N/A

Kung saan ipinapakita ang EV, ito ay tinatantiyang pagbabalik sa bawat unit stake sa pinakamahusay na sinusubaybayang presyo ng decimal — hindi katulad ng isang raw na probability gap.

Maaaring ilipat ng estado ng maagang tugma ang mga natupad na layunin palayo sa mga projection bago ang pagsipa.

Makasaysayang Rekomendasyon

Makasaysayang Desisyon: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

kinalabasan: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Isinasaalang-alang ang Mga Panganib na Salik Bago ang Kickoff

  • Paggalaw ng presyo: ipinahiwatig na mga probabilidad at paglipat ng EV na may mga logro.
  • Sample / data gaps: ang mga liga na may mababang impormasyon ay nagpapalawak ng mga banda ng pagtataya.
  • In-play na estado: ang mga layunin at pulang card ay hindi namodelo dito.
  • Pagbabago ng Scoreline: ang pinaka-malamang na scoreline ay karaniwang isang mababang ganap na posibilidad na kinalabasan (kadalasang mas mababa sa 20%).

Huling na-update

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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League Two League Two — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Salford City 9 5 1 3 16
2 Barnet 7 4 3 0 15
3 Crewe Alexandra 9 3 6 0 15
4 Cheltenham Town 9 4 3 2 15
5 Bristol Rovers 9 5 0 4 15
6 York City 8 4 2 2 14
7 Walsall 8 3 5 0 14
8 Chesterfield FC 9 4 2 3 14
9 Grimsby Town 9 3 4 2 13
10 Gillingham 9 3 4 2 13
11 Rochdale 9 4 1 4 13
12 Tranmere 9 2 5 2 11
13 Swindon Town 9 3 2 4 11
14 Shrewsbury Town 9 3 2 4 11
15 Newport County 9 2 4 3 10
16 Accrington Stanley 9 2 4 3 10
17 Rotherham United 9 2 4 3 10
18 Fleetwood Town 9 2 4 3 10
19 Colchester United 8 2 4 2 10
20 Exeter City 9 2 3 4 9
21 Oldham 8 2 1 5 7
22 Northampton 7 1 3 3 6
23 Port Vale 7 1 2 4 5
24 Crawley Town 7 1 1 5 4
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Barnet 7 17 10 +7 15
2 York City 8 16 10 +6 14
3 Cheltenham Town 9 16 14 +2 15
4 Chesterfield FC 9 15 12 +3 14
5 Bristol Rovers 9 14 14 0 15
6 Salford City 9 13 10 +3 16
7 Grimsby Town 9 13 10 +3 13
8 Accrington Stanley 9 13 14 -1 10
9 Tranmere 9 12 12 0 11
10 Newport County 9 12 12 0 10
11 Walsall 8 11 5 +6 14
12 Crewe Alexandra 9 11 7 +4 15
13 Gillingham 9 11 9 +2 13
14 Rotherham United 9 11 12 -1 10
15 Rochdale 9 10 11 -1 13
16 Colchester United 8 10 12 -2 10
17 Fleetwood Town 9 9 10 -1 10
18 Swindon Town 9 9 13 -4 11
19 Oldham 8 9 13 -4 7
20 Shrewsbury Town 9 9 14 -5 11
21 Crawley Town 7 6 13 -7 4
22 Exeter City 9 5 6 -1 9
23 Northampton 7 3 6 -3 6
24 Port Vale 7 3 9 -6 5
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Accrington Stanley 9 3.6 0.6 +3.0 10
2 Port Vale 7 4.5 2.1 +2.4 5
3 Crewe Alexandra 9 3.0 1.5 +1.5 15
4 Shrewsbury Town 9 3.7 2.5 +1.2 11
5 Fleetwood Town 9 3.6 2.4 +1.2 10
6 Walsall 8 4.3 3.4 +0.9 14
7 York City 8 3.9 3.0 +0.9 14
8 Newport County 9 1.6 0.7 +0.9 10
9 Barnet 7 4.7 4.0 +0.7 15
10 Bristol Rovers 9 4.2 3.5 +0.7 15
11 Tranmere 9 3.3 2.6 +0.7 11
12 Rotherham United 9 3.3 2.6 +0.7 10
13 Oldham 8 1.7 1.5 +0.2 7
14 Northampton 7 2.6 2.6 0.0 6
15 Crawley Town 7 2.8 3.2 -0.4 4
16 Salford City 9 2.6 3.1 -0.5 16
17 Gillingham 9 3.6 4.6 -1.0 13
18 Chesterfield FC 9 3.0 4.0 -1.0 14
19 Exeter City 9 2.4 3.5 -1.1 9
20 Rochdale 9 0.6 2.1 -1.5 13
21 Swindon Town 9 1.0 2.9 -1.9 11
22 Cheltenham Town 9 1.0 3.0 -2.0 15
23 Grimsby Town 9 2.5 4.7 -2.2 13
24 Colchester United 8 1.2 4.7 -3.5 10