Karviná II vs Zbrojovka Brno II Statistics & Analysis

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      "away_win_prob": 0.4086,
      "away_win_prob_posterior": null,
      "bayes_applied": 0,
      "btts_no_prob": 0.366,
      "btts_yes_prob": 0.634,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.2649,
      "draw_prob_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_away": 2.45,
      "fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.78,
      "fair_odds_draw_posterior": null,
      "fair_odds_home": 3.06,
      "fair_odds_home_posterior": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.46,
      "home_win_prob": 0.3265,
      "home_win_prob_posterior": null,
      "over_25_prob": 0.601,
      "prediction_confidence": "very_low",
      "under_25_prob": 0.399
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    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Winner : Zbrojovka Brno II",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "Zbrojovka Brno II"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.65,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Zbrojovka Brno II",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.0175,
        "edge_gap": 0.0814,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.4259,
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        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 40.8,
          "draw": 26.5,
          "home": 32.7
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
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      "market_comparison": [
        {
          "affi_link": "https://refpa14435.com/L?tag=d_4682699m_1599c_\u0026site=4682699\u0026ad=1599",
          "bookmaker_name": "1xBet",
          "odd": 2.2
        },
        {
          "affi_link": "https://banners.dfbanners.com/redirect.aspx?pid=79572\u0026bid=19634\u0026redirectURL=http://www.dafabet.com/",
          "bookmaker_name": "Dafabet",
          "odd": 2.15
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        {
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          "bookmaker_name": "Unibet",
          "odd": 2.02
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        "best_odds": 2.2,
        "bookmaker_affi": "https://refpa14435.com/L?tag=d_4682699m_1599c_\u0026site=4682699\u0026ad=1599",
        "bookmaker_id": 11,
        "bookmaker_name": "1xBet",
        "display_market": "Zbrojovka Brno II Win",
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Away",
        "market_fair_odds": 2.35,
        "market_odds": 2.12,
        "model_odds": 2.45,
        "overround": 10.6,
        "prob_edge": -4.6,
        "value_pct": -10.2,
        "value_rating": "no_value"
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    "betting_markets": {
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        "away_clean_sheet": 9,
        "away_failed_to_score": 3,
        "away_played": 32,
        "away_score_rate": 80.8,
        "home_clean_sheet": 5,
        "home_failed_to_score": 10,
        "home_played": 32,
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        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 63.4,
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        "yes_prob": 63.4
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        "home_expected": 1.46,
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            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 10.7
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          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
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            "prob": 8.9
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            "away": 1,
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      "double_chance": {
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            "label": "Karvin\u00e1 II or Draw",
            "prob": 59.1
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Karvin\u00e1 II or Zbrojovka Brno II",
            "prob": 73.5
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Zbrojovka Brno II",
            "prob": 67.4
          }
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        "pick_key": "12",
        "pick_label": "Karvin\u00e1 II or Zbrojovka Brno II",
        "pick_prob": 73.5
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        "draw_pct": 26.5,
        "home_pct": 32.6,
        "lean_key": "away",
        "lean_label": "Zbrojovka Brno II"
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        "avg_total": 3.11,
        "away_avg_scored": 2.1,
        "confidence": "medium",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.1,
        "over_prob": 60.1,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
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        "under_prob": 39.9
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
        "bookmaker_id": 11,
        "bookmaker_name": "1xBet",
        "edge": 3.3,
        "implied_prob": 25.6,
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Draw",
        "market": "Draw",
        "model_prob": 26.5,
        "odds": 3.9
      }
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
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    "correct_score_insight": {
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      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 10.7
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    },
    "home_xg": 1.46,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
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          "raw_pct": -17.1,
          "text": "-17.1%"
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        "ev_under_display": {
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          "raw_pct": 7.7,
          "text": "+7.7%"
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        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.0773,
        "over_prob": 60.1,
        "sort_key": 10219.57,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 39.9,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "lean",
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        "ev_no_display": null,
        "ev_yes": null,
        "ev_yes_display": null,
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        "id": "btts",
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        "sort_key": 4050.0,
        "tier": "lean",
        "value_side": "yes",
        "yes_prob": 63.4
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      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
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          "raw_pct": -10.1,
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        "id": "1x2",
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          "raw_pct": -5.5,
          "text": "-5.5%"
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      {
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        "id": "correct_score",
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        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
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    ],
    "match": {
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      "away_team_id": 8633,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/8633.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Zbrojovka Brno II",
      "country_code": "CZ",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/cz.svg",
      "country_name": "Czech-Republic",
      "fixture_id": 1487457,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_country": "Czech-Republic",
      "home_team_id": 15134,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/15134.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Karvin\u00e1 II",
      "league_country": "Czech-Republic",
      "league_id": 349,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/349.webp",
      "league_name": "3. liga - MSFL",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-06-07 15:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS",
      "venue_city": "Karvina",
      "venue_name": "Stadion Kovona"
    },
    "match_decision": {
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        "breakdown_resolved": [
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          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
          "Few bookmakers for O/U odds (edge less reliable) (\u22120.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
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      "markets": {
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            "best_odd": 2.15,
            "calibration": {
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "edge": -0.0076,
            "ev": -0.101,
            "implied_prob": 0.4257,
            "model_prob": 0.4084,
            "p_final": 0.4181
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          "draw": {
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            "best_odd": 3.85,
            "calibration": {
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              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "ev": -0.0548,
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        "ou25": {
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          "edge_under": 0.0608,
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          "implied_under": 0.3382,
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          "reliability": "low"
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      "total_xg": 3.11,
      "variance_flag": false
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      "algorithm": {
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        "game_typing_module": true,
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      "confidence": 5.0,
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          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
        ],
        "score": 5.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
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      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
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        "gap": null,
        "side": null
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      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5927\u5f00\u5927\u5408\uff08\u8fdb\u7403\u578b\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "high_scoring",
        "signals": {
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          "draw_prob": 0.2647,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4084,
          "over_prob": 0.601,
          "total_xg": 3.11,
          "under_prob": 0.399,
          "xg_diff": 0.19
        },
        "type": "high_scoring",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
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          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.0076,
          "ev": -0.101,
          "implied_prob": 0.4257,
          "max_ev_side": "draw",
          "model_prob": 0.4084,
          "side": "away",
          "side_label": "Zbrojovka Brno II"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "lean",
          "edge": null,
          "ev": null,
          "implied_prob": null,
          "model_prob": 0.634,
          "side": "yes",
          "value_side": "yes"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0608,
          "ev": 0.0773,
          "implied_prob": 0.3382,
          "model_prob": 0.399,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
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      },
      "match_id": 1487457,
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        "action": "optional",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
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        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.0773,
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        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.4084,
        "draw": 0.2647,
        "home": 0.327
      },
      "reason_codes": [
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        "high_total_goals"
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      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Zbrojovka Brno II",
        "home": "Karvin\u00e1 II"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.022268,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0773,
        "implied_prob": 0.3382,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.399,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "primary_strength": "weak",
        "risk_band": "speculative",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": true
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 1
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  "generated_at_utc": "2026-06-07T18:19:37.417252+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}