Dự đoán / Bóng đá / Romania. Liga I / Arges Pitesti vs Rapid

Arges Pitesti vs Rapid Dự đoán, tỷ lệ cược & mẹo cá cược AI

May 15, 2026 - 17:30
2 0.85
2 1.11
xG Accuracy: 57%
Nhà cái cao cấp 1xBet: người mới có thể dùng mã khuyến mãi 1x_3342271. Đăng ký ngay

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Trên / Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Rapid Vẽ tranh ✖ Incorrect
  • Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 0-1, 0-0, 1-1, 1-0, 0-2 2-2 ✖ Incorrect

Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "24a7d74bd822794d0620685b78cd7f093e76bd82e48747418a814cb94f8cb650",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.11,
      "away_win_prob": 0.3969,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.3431,
      "fair_odds_away": 2.52,
      "fair_odds_draw": 2.91,
      "fair_odds_home": 3.85,
      "home_predicted_xg": 0.85,
      "home_win_prob": 0.26,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Combo Double chance : draw or Rapid and -3.5 goals",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "Rapid"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.11,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Rapid",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.0116,
        "edge_gap": 0.0532,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.3852,
        "model_prob": 0.3967,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 39.7,
          "draw": 34.4,
          "home": 26.0
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 2.41
        }
      ],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 2.41,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "Rapid Win",
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Away",
        "market_fair_odds": 2.6,
        "market_odds": 2.41,
        "model_odds": 2.52,
        "overround": 7.7,
        "prob_edge": -1.8,
        "value_pct": -4.4,
        "value_rating": "no_value"
      }
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 11,
        "away_failed_to_score": 9,
        "away_played": 38,
        "away_score_rate": 67.0,
        "home_clean_sheet": 17,
        "home_failed_to_score": 12,
        "home_played": 38,
        "home_score_rate": 57.3,
        "no_prob": 59.9,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 59.9,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 40.1
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.11,
        "home_expected": 0.85,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 15.6
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-0",
            "prob": 14.1
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 13.3
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 12.0
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-2",
            "prob": 8.7
          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Arges Pitesti or Draw",
            "prob": 60.3
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Arges Pitesti or Rapid",
            "prob": 65.7
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Rapid",
            "prob": 74.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "X2",
        "pick_label": "Draw or Rapid",
        "pick_prob": 74.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 39.7,
        "draw_pct": 34.3,
        "home_pct": 26.0,
        "lean_key": "away",
        "lean_label": "Rapid"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": "-3.5",
        "avg_total": 1.96,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.4,
        "confidence": "high",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.1,
        "over_prob": 31.2,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 68.8,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 1.96,
        "under_prob": 68.8
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "edge": 8.0,
        "implied_prob": 31.7,
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Draw",
        "market": "Draw",
        "model_prob": 34.3,
        "odds": 3.15
      }
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Rapid",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE5",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Arges Pitesti",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 32.01,
          "gap_pp": -6.04,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 25.97
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 29.47,
          "gap_pp": 4.89,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 34.36
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 38.52,
          "gap_pp": 1.16,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 39.67
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 39.74,
          "gap_pp": -8.54,
          "kind": "ou_o",
          "model_pct": 31.2
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 60.26,
          "gap_pp": 8.54,
          "kind": "ou_u",
          "model_pct": 68.8
        }
      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 2.9,
          "early": 2.9,
          "implied_closing_pct": 32.01,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 32.01,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.15,
          "early": 3.15,
          "implied_closing_pct": 29.47,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 29.47,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.41,
          "early": 2.41,
          "implied_closing_pct": 38.52,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 38.52,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.35,
          "early": 2.35,
          "implied_closing_pct": 39.74,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 39.74,
          "kind": "ou_o"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.55,
          "early": 1.55,
          "implied_closing_pct": 60.26,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 60.26,
          "kind": "ou_u"
        }
      ],
      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 8.5,
        "kind": "ou_u"
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "0-1",
        "prob": 15.6
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 0.85,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.245,
        "ev_under": 0.1008,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.1008,
        "over_prob": 31.2,
        "sort_key": 10240.72,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 68.8,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.1201,
        "ev_yes": -0.178,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.1201,
        "no_prob": 59.9,
        "sort_key": 10108.09,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 40.1
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.0594,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.3852,
        "max_ev": -0.0289,
        "model_prob": 0.3967,
        "side_label": "Rapid",
        "sort_key": 1792.775,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 826.8,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "0-1",
        "top_prob": 15.6
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 6231,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/6231.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Rapid",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/ro.svg",
      "country_name": "Romania",
      "fixture_id": 1531645,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 2592,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/2592.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Arges Pitesti",
      "league_country": "Romania",
      "league_id": 283,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/283.webp",
      "league_name": "Liga I",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-16 15:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
          "pred_conf_md_draw_above_30"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
        ],
        "score": 5.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.4422,
            "best_odd": 2.41,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0051,
            "ev": -0.0594,
            "implied_prob": 0.3852,
            "model_prob": 0.3967,
            "p_final": 0.3903
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.278,
            "best_odd": 3.15,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0136,
            "ev": -0.0289,
            "implied_prob": 0.2947,
            "model_prob": 0.3436,
            "p_final": 0.3083
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.4092,
            "best_odd": 2.9,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0247,
            "ev": -0.1434,
            "implied_prob": 0.3201,
            "model_prob": 0.2597,
            "p_final": 0.2954
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 1.87,
          "best_yes_odd": 2.05,
          "edge_no": 0.0768,
          "edge_yes": -0.0768,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.1201,
          "ev_yes": -0.178,
          "implied_no": 0.5222,
          "implied_yes": 0.4778,
          "n_bookmakers": 9,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 2.42,
          "best_under_odd": 1.6,
          "edge_over": -0.0931,
          "edge_under": 0.0931,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.245,
          "ev_under": 0.1008,
          "implied_over": 0.4051,
          "implied_under": 0.5949,
          "n_bookmakers": 10,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 1.96,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.1.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.1201,
      "confidence": 6.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_draw_above_30",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u6781\u7aef\u9632\u5b88\uff08\u4f4e\u8fdb\u7403\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "defensive",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.401,
          "draw_prob": 0.3436,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.3967,
          "over_prob": 0.312,
          "total_xg": 1.96,
          "under_prob": 0.688,
          "xg_diff": 0.26
        },
        "type": "defensive",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": 0.0051,
          "ev": -0.0594,
          "implied_prob": 0.3852,
          "max_ev_side": "draw",
          "model_prob": 0.3967,
          "side": "away",
          "side_label": "Rapid"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0768,
          "ev": 0.1201,
          "implied_prob": 0.5222,
          "model_prob": 0.599,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0931,
          "ev": 0.1008,
          "implied_prob": 0.5949,
          "model_prob": 0.688,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1531645,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.1201,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3967,
        "draw": 0.3436,
        "home": 0.2597
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1201,
        "implied_prob": 0.5222,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.599,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.1201,
          "implied_prob": 0.5222,
          "market": "btts",
          "model_prob": 0.599,
          "not_dominant": false,
          "risk_band": "strong",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "no",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Rapid",
        "home": "Arges Pitesti"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.090156,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1008,
        "implied_prob": 0.5949,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.688,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1531645,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-16T14:58:59.365211+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Arges Pitesti & Rapid!

Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.

Đăng ký ngay
Quay lại Dự đoán
Liga I Liga IBảng xếp hạng
# ĐỘI MP T H B PTS
1 Universitatea Craiova 9 6 1 2 49
2 Universitatea Cluj 9 6 0 3 45
3 CFR 1907 Cluj 10 4 4 2 43
4 Dinamo Bucuresti 9 3 3 3 38
5 Rapid 9 1 2 6 33
6 Arges Pitesti 10 1 4 5 32
7 FCSB 30 13 7 10 46
8 Uta Arad 30 11 10 9 43
9 FC Botosani 30 11 9 10 42
10 Oţelul 30 11 8 11 41
11 Farul Constanta 30 10 7 13 37
12 Petrolul Ploiesti 30 7 11 12 32
13 Csikszereda 30 8 8 14 32
14 Unirea Slobozia 30 7 4 19 25
15 AFC Hermannstadt 30 5 8 17 23
16 Metaloglobus 30 2 6 22 12
# ĐỘI MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 FCSB 30 48 40 +8 46
2 Oţelul 30 39 32 +7 41
3 Farul Constanta 30 39 37 +2 37
4 Uta Arad 30 39 44 -5 43
5 FC Botosani 30 37 29 +8 42
6 Csikszereda 30 30 58 -28 32
7 AFC Hermannstadt 30 29 50 -21 23
8 Unirea Slobozia 30 27 46 -19 25
9 Metaloglobus 30 25 66 -41 12
10 Petrolul Ploiesti 30 24 31 -7 32
11 Universitatea Craiova 9 12 6 +6 49
12 Universitatea Cluj 9 12 10 +2 45
13 Dinamo Bucuresti 9 12 11 +1 38
14 CFR 1907 Cluj 10 8 7 +1 43
15 Rapid 9 8 14 -6 33
16 Arges Pitesti 10 6 10 -4 32
# ĐỘI MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 FCSB 30 50.6 28.2 +22.4 46
2 Dinamo Bucuresti 9 43.7 24.3 +19.4 38
3 Universitatea Craiova 9 37.5 24.4 +13.1 49
4 Oţelul 30 41.3 33.1 +8.2 41
5 Farul Constanta 30 37.8 33.2 +4.6 37
6 CFR 1907 Cluj 10 34.8 32.4 +2.4 43
7 Rapid 9 35.3 33.2 +2.1 33
8 FC Botosani 30 33.9 32.2 +1.7 42
9 Universitatea Cluj 9 32.0 30.8 +1.2 45
10 Arges Pitesti 10 26.0 25.8 +0.2 32
11 AFC Hermannstadt 30 29.8 31.9 -2.1 23
12 Petrolul Ploiesti 30 28.9 34.5 -5.6 32
13 Uta Arad 30 33.5 42.0 -8.5 43
14 Unirea Slobozia 30 26.9 39.8 -12.9 25
15 Metaloglobus 30 23.1 42.4 -19.3 12
16 Csikszereda 30 22.9 49.8 -26.9 32